Re: US - Texas: Patient tests positive for Ebola in Dallas - traveled from Liberia -deceased
Re: US - Texas: Patient tests positive for Ebola in Dallas - traveled from Liberia -deceased
Personally I feel not enough is known about the virus to indicate with confidence a strict correlation reliably exists between earlier diagnosis and best clinical outcome. This is perhaps an over simplistic view.
Undefined variables which could feasibly affect outcome are patients immunostatus at time of viral exposure, presence of coinfections, patients inherent genetic susceptibility, route of transmission/inoculation, ( I.e. how patient was initially exposed mucosal vs systemic route which activates very different different components of immune system), initial viral load, and so on and on .
Both Spanish priests received good care, the first had ZMapp, both died. In contrast William Pooley had mild symptoms and only slight GI disturbances, while others have died within hours of symptoms starting.
Good early cytokine responses are reportedly prognostic, but I can take 4 peoples white blood cells and stimulate them under identical conditions, and amongst these individuals you will always get high TNFa producers and low cytokine producers.
The unpredictable nature of Ebola infections in individuals was discussed by Dr Daniel Bausch last month. He is an infectious disease expert who has worked previously in Uganda with Ebola and has been working for months in Sierra Leone and Liberia Ebola wards.
He was asked
"If you were treating Ebola patients in this country with our facilities and expertise, what do you think the survival rate would be?"
Thus is what he replied.
Quote:
http://www.npr.org/blogs/goatsandso...iel-bausch-knows-the-ebola-virus-all-too-well
It's not going to be something where we get it down to a few percentage points; it's still going to be a very serious disease.
I remember this one patient, not in this outbreak but an outbreak in Uganda a few years ago. And we did have control of that ward and we were doing a little bit closer to kind of what we would think of as typical medical rounds back home, examining each patient, and able to gear our care to their needs each day to some degree. And this guy came in, he was a military guy, and his wife had just died of confirmed Ebola, and he came in right away saying, "I have a fever." A young, healthy guy.
I thought, OK, like, here's a guy, I know he's going to have the disease, I got him right at the beginning, and I have time now because the outbreak is somewhat controlled, and I'm really going to just really pay close attention to this guy and his fluid balance, and see if we can get him through.
I don't claim to be the world's best doctor, but I don't think I'm the world's worst either. He got great treatment. But he still died.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/goatsandso...iel-bausch-knows-the-ebola-virus-all-too-well