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Weekly MMWR: Week 30 (2009) - Week 39 (2010)

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  • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 6 2010

    what was 2004 ?

    yearly deaths

    year Europe* USA
    -----------------------
    1996 2609201 2314689
    1997 2581660 2314244
    1998 2589790 2337255
    1999 2583794 2391399
    2000 2538148 2403350
    2001 2518773 2416424
    2002 2543436 2443387
    2003 2602054 2448287
    2004 2452689 2397614
    2005 2505571 2448017
    2006 2465555 2426264


    *: Germany,UK,France,Italy


    deaths-decline in 2004 also in Russia, (Australia in 2005)
    but not in Japan,Taiwan,New Zealand,Chile,Canada
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

    Comment


    • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 6 2010

      Weeks 1-6 cumulative Flu testing.

      Year-- Total tests-- # positive-- % positive
      2010-- 39,078------ 1,705 ----- 4.36%
      2009-- 39,572------ 6,452 ----- 16.3%

      Twitter: @RonanKelly13
      The views expressed are mine alone and do not represent the views of my employer or any other person or organization.

      Comment


      • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 7 2010

        Week 7 P&I at 7.4 %.
        3 pediatric fatalities, GA, NY, TN.
        Twitter: @RonanKelly13
        The views expressed are mine alone and do not represent the views of my employer or any other person or organization.

        Comment


        • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 7 2010

          % P&I By Region:
          ES Central ---- 10.0%
          New England----9.5%
          Pacific----------9.5%
          Mountain-------8.1%

          National average--7.4%

          EN Central------6.6%
          WS Central-----6.4%
          S Atlantic------6.2%
          Mid Atlantic----5.8%
          WN Central-----5.3%


          and Comparison to Week 7 in the past 11 years;
          Click image for larger version

Name:	P&I.PNG
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          Twitter: @RonanKelly13
          The views expressed are mine alone and do not represent the views of my employer or any other person or organization.

          Comment


          • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 7 2010

            Thanks for the great info every week. Very interesting.

            Comment


            • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 8 2010

              Week 8:

              P&I: 7.8%
              Pediatric influenza death: FL (1)

              Mid-Atlantic Region P&I: 5.7% (Buffalo, NY: 11.3%; Syracuse, NY: 20.7%; Elizabeth, NJ: 27.2%; Jersey City, NJ: 13.6%)
              New England Region P&I: 10.3% (Bridgeport, CT: 22%; New Haven, CT: 17%; Worcester, MA: 14%)
              EN Central Region P&I: 7.3% (Milwaukee, WI: 12%)
              WN Central Region P&I: 6.6% (KCMO 9.1%)
              Mountain Region P&I: 6.8% (SLC, UT: 12.9%; Ogden, UT: 12.5%)
              Pacific Region P&I: 10.2% (Long Beach: 21%; Pasadena, CA: 17.9%; HI: 13%)

              Comment


              • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 8 2010

                reposting my links and updates:



                New York:http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                Boston:http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                Atlanta: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A

                USA:http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                New England: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                Mid-Atlantic:http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                S.Atlantic: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                W.N.Central: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                W.S.Central: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                E.N.Central: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                E.S.Central: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                Mountain: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A
                Pacific: http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps...&mmwr_table=4A


                Code:
                35  9,880  6,484  2,289  651  234  217  519     5.25
                36  9,099  5,874  2,221  585  226  191  541     5.95
                37 11,250  7,275  2,749  718  270  236  683     6.07
                38 10,762  6,996  2,585  677  259  238  661     6.14
                39  9,589  6,309  2,250  588  226  213  620     6.47
                40 10,612  6,890  2,585  672  258  207  715     6.74
                41  9,964  6,643  2,289  604  232  194  684     6.86
                42 10,903  7,110  2,610  712  237  228  775     7.11
                43 11,136  7,330  2,546  782  248  224  828     7.44
                44 10,564  7,008  2,500  615  239  201  821     7.77
                45 10,366  6,858  2,430  653  224  192  773     7.46
                46 10,929  7,200  2,626  652  253  196  895     8.19
                47  8,351  5,505  2,056  470  171  148  600     7.18
                48 11,866  7,992  2,721  684  249  215  923     7.78
                49 11,738  7,655  2,897  707  249  228  886     7.55
                50 11,052  7,422  2,537  672  224  193  796     7.20
                51  8,544  5,740  1,983  477  180  163  658     7.70
                52  9,131  6,342  1,983  502  171  133  673     7.37
                01 12,667  8,626  2,849  687  267  211  919     7.26
                02 12,170  8,344  2,787  591  233  214  967     7.95
                03 11,158  7,673  2,453  611  194  225  920     8.25
                04 11,853  8,141  2,609  653  222  227  959     8.09
                05 11,583  7,850  2,638  664  230  198  844     7.29
                06 11,154  7,462  2,529  611  215  202  863     7.74
                07 11,219  7,572  2,644  596  205  200  825     7.35
                08 11,642  7,893  2,685  608  231  221  910     7.82
                09 12,005  8,176  2,731  673  205  220  927     7.72
                10 12,071  8,234  2,716  657  229  224  880     7.29
                11 11,406  7,719  2,664  576  231  211  873     7.65
                12 11,189  7,620  2,518  613  225  209  878     7.85
                13 11,271  7,651  2,586  613  227  186  813     7.21
                
                25 10,448  6,807  2,531  655  262  187  650  
                26 10,154  6,594  2,457  627  251  221  666  
                27 9,556  6,295  2,278  587  213  180  601  
                28 11,363  7,518  2,726  656  250  212  729

                Code:
                P+I-ratio for the 9 regions:
                
                week=1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9    10    11
                -------------------------------------------------------------
                1: 1111  915 1074 1267 1023 1215  945 1024 1107 1034 1087
                2:  619  664  591  539  480  536  580  574  579  478  453
                3:  492  703  683  807  649  607  622  692  752  656  673
                4:  832  829 1214  884  717  579  527  663  653  641  835
                5:  656  761  731  742  709  856  638  829  778  731  681
                6:  674  721  705  685  700  806  662  727  666  569  685
                7:  963  909  858  916  880  959 1003  930  826  802  843
                8:  597  666  835  825  673  708  808  684  660  821  817
                9:  914 1057 1097 1060  965  945  947 1024 1148 1099  1120
                missing week 9: Washington D.C., Fort Worth, New Orleans (Pittsburg,Colorado Springs,Wilmington removed)
                missing week 10: Washington D.C., Fort Worth, New Orleans (Pittsburg,Colorado Springs,Wilmington removed)
                missing week 11: Fort Worth, New Orleans

                weeks 1-8, relative per 10000:
                6802,2268,538,193,181,771 - 2010 (11681)
                6904,1999,669,219,199,791 - average (12575)

                16% fewer people 0-44 were dying
                13% more people 45-64 were dying
                1% fewer people >64 were dying
                3% fewer people were dying from P+I
                (than average(last 14 years))
                Last edited by gsgs; July 24, 2010, 04:08 AM.
                I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                Comment


                • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 9 2010

                  Week 9:

                  NO influenza pediatric deaths

                  P&I: 7.7%
                  Pacific Region: 11.5%
                  New England: 11.1%

                  Omaha, NE: 10.4%
                  Grand Rapids, MI: 17.9%
                  Lexington, KY: 17.6%
                  Hawaii: 13.2%
                  Denver: 11.9%
                  Baltimore: 10.5%
                  Memphis: 11.5%
                  TX: Dallas 10.8%; Austin 11.1%
                  CA: Glendale 32.5%; Long Beach 19.4%; Pasadena 16.7%; Sacramento 16.5%; San Diego 13%; LA 12.3%; Fresno 11.5%; San Jose 10.6%

                  Comment


                  • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 10, 2010

                    Week 10:

                    Influenza related pediatric deaths: OK (1), TX (1)

                    P&I: 7.3%


                    Pacific Region: 11%
                    New England: 10.3%

                    MA: Lowell: 21.4%; River Falls: 12.5%; Worcester: 17.6%
                    CT: New Haven: 16.7%; Bridgeport: 14.8%
                    Erie, PA: 13.6%
                    Atlanta, GA: 12.4%
                    Albany, NY: 10.4%
                    KCMO: 10.6%
                    Omaha, NE: 10%
                    Peoria, IL: 12.5%
                    OH: Cincinnati: 10.4%; Dayton 10.2%
                    Hawaii: 12.8%
                    Charlotte, NC: 10.1%
                    Knoxville, TN: 13.6%
                    TX: Austin: 10.5%; Corpus Christi: 10.2%
                    Shreveport, LA: 12.9%
                    Albuquerque, NM: 20.4%
                    Pueblo, CO: 13.9%
                    CA:Berkeley:23.1%; Fresno:11.5%; Glendale:22.7%; Long Beach:12.8%; LA:11%; Sacramento:15.5%; San Diego:11.2%; San Francisco:14.9%; San Jose:10.9%

                    Comment


                    • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 11, 2010

                      Week 11:

                      Pediatric Influenza-Associated Deaths: MS (1)
                      P&I: 7.7%

                      Nebraska has been showing NO ACTIVITY for several weeks, yet Omaha P&I: 11.6% and Lincoln, NE P&I: 19.1%

                      Comment


                      • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 12, 2010

                        week 12

                        878 deaths
                        11184 total deaths
                        rate 7.8% (7.84)

                        Last week it was 7.65

                        Comment


                        • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 12, 2010

                          One influenza-associated pediatric death NYC

                          California:
                          San Francisco: 12.3%
                          Sacramento: 14.8%
                          LA: 12.7%
                          Long Beach: 20%
                          Glendale: 35.2%
                          Fresno: 15.7%

                          Salt Lake City: 12.9%
                          Ogden, UT: 13.5%
                          Little Rock, AR: 12.2%
                          Knoxville, TN: 13.1%
                          Birmingham, AL: 13.8%

                          New Haven, CT: 17.4%
                          Bridgeport, CT: 16.1%
                          Hartford, CT: 18.5%
                          Cambridge, MA: 20%
                          New Bedford, MA: 12%
                          Worcester, MA: 12.3%

                          Camden, NJ: 21.4%
                          Paterson, NJ: 14.3%
                          Reading, PA: 13.2%
                          Cincinnati, OH: 18.2%
                          Fort Wayne, IN: 14.3%

                          Peoria, IL: 13.3%
                          Duluth, MN: 16.7%
                          Minneapolis: 12.5%
                          St. Paul, MN: 12.3%
                          Omaha, NE: 16.3%

                          Comment


                          • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 12, 2010

                            As tetano pointed out above, the % P&I for week 12 is 7.84%.
                            This weeks fluview is in error and calculates it as 7.7% below the epidemic threshold.

                            -snip-
                            ?The proportion of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was below the epidemic threshold.
                            -snip-
                            During week 12, 7.7% of all deaths reported through the 122-Cities Mortality Reporting System were due to P&I. This percentage was below the epidemic threshold of 7.8% for week 12.
                            -snip-

                            However the accompanying graph clearly shows the increase in %P&I

                            Click image for larger version

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                            http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ (week 12)
                            Twitter: @RonanKelly13
                            The views expressed are mine alone and do not represent the views of my employer or any other person or organization.

                            Comment


                            • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 12, 2010

                              I moved this thread into the ILI forum from the HHS forum for more visibility.

                              Thanks everyone!

                              Comment


                              • Re: Weekly MMWR - Week 30 2009 - Updated through Week 12, 2010

                                Link to Week 12 report

                                Comment

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