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Yuan Guoyong expects new virus to originate from bats
Wuhan pneumonia virus may come from bats! Yuan Guoyong, Chair Professor of the Department of Microbiology at the University of Hong Kong, pointed out that the new virus is very likely to come from bats first, then to mammals, and then to humans. As many as 10 to 20 cases have been reported in the Mainland, the virus may have spread in the community. Xu Shuchang, Chair Professor of Respiratory Medicine of the Chinese University of Medicine, also pointed out that the incubation period of pneumonia virus is up to about two weeks, so the next week will be critical. If the number of infections increases, it may indicate a community outbreak.
The Wuhan pneumonia case was caused by an unknown virus. Yuan Guoyong pointed out that there is a great chance that it will first come from bats, then to mammals, and finally to humans. To find an intermediary host, there must be hundreds of each animal for sampling and testing, which will take some time. He believes that the new virus will not be effective from person to person, and that people who have close contact with patients will have the chance to get infected.
Viral gene changes call for fasting game
Yuan Guoyong continued, game has its own disease species, whether it is viruses, germs and bacteria, they usually do not jump on humans, but because humans have entered the range of wild animals, they also catch wild animals and put them in markets. In forests, now that they are locked up, the virus will naturally go to humans, and its viral genes will also change. Then it will not only jump to humans, but it can also be passed from person to person, causing a great disaster. "The easiest way to prevent and cure is not to eat game food. If there is no market, no one buys Japanese food, and naturally no one does it, so wild animals have their own living space, and humans will not have such a serious disaster."
Asked if there would be signs of community spread, Yuan Guoyong said that it was normal for the official announcement of infection cases to increase before the next release of information is very important. If there are more than a dozen cases, it shows that it is likely to spread in the community. If there are only two or three cases, the situation is more reassuring.
Xu Shuchang said that it is still unclear whether Wuhan pneumonia is transmitted from person to person, so it is difficult to estimate whether it will occur in the community. He pointed out that Wuhan is currently monitoring 163 people. It is necessary to assess whether people will be passed on to people, depending on whether any of these people have been infected by family members or medical staff. If none of them has been involved in the South China Seafood Market, the "China "Move," there is a great chance that someone will pass on signs.
Xu Shuchang: The next week is the key
Xu Shuchang continued that the South China seafood market has been closed for about a week and the pneumonia virus incubation period is up to about two weeks, so the next week is the key. If the number of infections increases, it may indicate a community outbreak.
Yuan Guoyong clarified that no online warning was issued
In addition, online circulated "Please pay attention to what Dr. Yuan Guoyong of the University of Hong Kong said; I suggest not to return to the mainland in the short term, remember to wear a mask when traveling abroad." It is OC43, and the treatment plan is still unknown. "Yuan Guoyong clarified that the relevant information was not sent by him and the content was not true. So far, the type of virus of unknown pneumonia in Wuhan has not been determined. I hope the public will not trust the online information.
https://orientaldaily.on.cc/cnt/news/20200108/00176_006.html