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Archive: WHO, 2009 H1N1 Pandemic Influenza - Updates (until the end of July 2010)
So do you feel that lack of movement from Phase 5 to Phase 6 has taken H1N1 off the public radar, thus reducing the potential prepardness that could be taken place if we have a 1918 redux?
It is MUCH more complex than simply removing H1N1 from the public's radar. H1N1 is a ticking time bomb, which could explode at any moment, yet WHO is spending time putting out utter nonsense about a swine H1N1 not being a swine H1N1 and denying that phase 6 is phase 6.
The virus really doesn't care if samples are tested or covered up. The CDC data for last week demonstrated what is happening in North America, but the same thing is happening at a lower level in Europe, South America, Asia, and Australia.
Testing is focused on North American travelers, but levels peaked in Mexico a month ago, and H1N1 has been seeded worldwide. Checks at airports largely limit spread on airplanes. Those infected within 1-2 days of their flight will not have symptoms until after the leave the airport at their destination. Moreover, the vast majority of spread will not be detected because symptoms are mild and many will not seek medical attention, and those that do will be treated for seasonal flu.
WHO shuld be marshalling forces to test samples much more broadly. Instead efforts are focused on travelers. In the US the CDC was overwhelmed and handed the confimatory testing off to state labs, who have already said that they will focus on severe cases.
The vast majority of cases remain off the radar, so many sequences changes will be missed.
Similarly, vaccine companies are not fully scaled up, so production of a second or third generation vaccine will signifiantly trail the virus.
H5N1 surveillance has been abysmal, and that will exted to H1N1. Many countries will cover-up cases, as they were allowed to do for H5N1.
H1N1 spread is a train wreck in motion, and most are just watching, rather passively.
Re: WHO Update #26 - 5251 cases - 61 dead - 30 countries
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
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Re: WHO Update #26 - 5251 cases - 61 dead - 30 countries
I got it figuresd out. Thx. It was the aggregate of all the Americas....
On the right hand side of this website, in the Comparison table, it says the Americas have 61 deaths. Have I missed something, is this past events, or am I not understanding how to read this? Can you help?
On the right hand side of this website, in the Comparison table, it says the Americas have 61 deaths. Have I missed something, is this past events, or am I not understanding how to read this? Can you help?
There are attempts at containment being implemented in Europe and Asia.
Whether there is any meat behind them is debatable due to the issue of asymptomatic spreaders, symptomatic but mild, and symptomatic but not tested versus symptomatic and tested.
Is the horse out of the barn in Europe? Most likely.
Is the horse out of the barn in Asia? Possibly, but still to early to tell.
Regardless, it will hit everywhere....it is really only a matter of time.
That being said, no one has taken the challenge to answer the question:
However what impact will it have if WHO moves to Phase 6. What changes and what is the net positive?
As far as I can tell (and I am new to FT), having read everything I can find on the WHO website, the only difference between levels 5 and 6 is that one number has been added to the alert level. Maybe that's why noone has tried to answer your question?
Re: WHO Update #26 - 5251 cases - 61 dead - 30 countries
looking at the graph and assuming the same rate of positives
for normal flu and that the light blue cases are novel flu,
I calculate a rate of ~24% positives for novel flu and
~8% for normal flu
Last edited by Sally Furniss; May 20, 2009, 04:00 AM.
Reason: typo
WHO Update #27 - 5728 cases - 61 dead - 33 countries
Influenza A(H1N1) - update 27
13 May 2009 -- As of 06:00 GMT, 13 May 2009, 33 countries have officially reported 5728 cases of influenza A(H1N1) infection.
Mexico has reported 2059 laboratory confirmed human cases of infection, including 56 deaths. The United States has reported 3009 laboratory confirmed human cases, including three deaths. Canada has reported 358 laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death. Costa Rica has reported eight laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death.
The following countries have reported laboratory confirmed cases with no deaths - Argentina (1), Australia (1), Austria (1), Brazil (8), China (3, comprising 1 in China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, and 2 in mainland China), Colombia (6), Cuba (1), Denmark (1), El Salvador (4), Finland (2), France (13), Germany (12), Guatemala (3), Ireland (1), Israel (7), Italy (9), Japan (4), Netherlands (3), New Zealand (7), Norway (2), Panama (29), Poland (1), Portugal (1), Republic of Korea (3), Spain (98), Sweden (2), Switzerland (1), Thailand (2), and the United Kingdom (68).
WHO is not recommending travel restrictions related to the outbreak of the influenza A(H1N1) virus.
Individuals who are ill should delay travel plans and returning travelers who fall ill should seek appropriate medical care. These recommendations are prudent measures which can limit the spread of many communicable diseases, including influenza.
Further information on the situation will be available on the WHO web site on a regular basis.
14 May 2009 -- As of 06:00 GMT, 14 May 2009, 33 countries have officially reported 6497 cases of influenza A(H1N1) infection.
Mexico has reported 2446 laboratory confirmed human cases of infection, including 60 deaths. The United States has reported 3352 laboratory confirmed human cases, including three deaths. Canada has reported 389 laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death. Costa Rica has reported eight laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death.
The following countries have reported laboratory confirmed cases with no deaths - Argentina (1), Australia (1), Austria (1), Brazil (8), China (4), Colombia (7), Cuba (1), Denmark (1), El Salvador (4), Finland (2), France (14), Germany (12), Guatemala (3), Ireland (1), Israel (7), Italy (9), Japan (4), Netherlands (3), New Zealand (7), Norway (2), Panama (29), Poland (1), Portugal (1), Republic of Korea (3), Spain (100), Sweden (2), Switzerland (1), Thailand (2), and the United Kingdom (71).
WHO is not recommending travel restrictions related to the outbreak of the influenza A(H1N1) virus.
Individuals who are ill should delay travel plans and returning travelers who fall ill should seek appropriate medical care. These recommendations are prudent measures which can limit the spread of many communicable diseases, including influenza.
Further information on the situation will be available on the WHO web site on a regular basis.
15 May 2009 -- As of 06:00 GMT, 15 May 2009, 34 countries have officially reported 7520 cases of influenza A(H1N1) infection.
Mexico has reported 2446 laboratory confirmed human cases of infection, including 60 deaths. The United States has reported 4298 laboratory confirmed human cases, including three deaths. Canada has reported 449 laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death. Costa Rica has reported eight laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death.
The following countries have reported laboratory confirmed cases with no deaths - Argentina (1), Australia (1), Austria (1), Belgium (1), Brazil (8), China (4), Colombia (10), Cuba (3), Denmark (1), El Salvador (4), Finland (2), France (14), Germany (12), Guatemala (3), Ireland (1), Israel (7), Italy (9), Japan (4), Netherlands (3), New Zealand (7), Norway (2), Panama (40), Poland (1), Portugal (1), Republic of Korea (3), Spain (100), Sweden (2), Switzerland (1), Thailand (2), and the United Kingdom (71).
WHO is not recommending travel restrictions related to the outbreak of the influenza A(H1N1) virus.
Individuals who are ill should delay travel plans and returning travelers who fall ill should seek appropriate medical care. These recommendations are prudent measures which can limit the spread of many communicable diseases, including influenza.
Further information on the situation will be available on the WHO web site on a regular basis.
16 May 2009 -- As of 07:00 GMT, 16 May 2009, 36 countries have officially reported 8451 cases of influenza A(H1N1) infection.
Mexico has reported 2895 laboratory confirmed human cases of infection, including 66 deaths. The United States has reported 4714 laboratory confirmed human cases, including four deaths. Canada has reported 496 laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death. Costa Rica has reported nine laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death.
The following countries have reported laboratory confirmed cases with no deaths - Argentina (1), Australia (1), Austria (1), Belgium (2), Brazil (8), China (4), Colombia (11), Cuba (3), Denmark (1), Ecuador (1), El Salvador (4), Finland (2), France (14), Germany (14), Guatemala (3), Ireland (1), Israel (7), Italy (9), Japan (4), Netherlands (3), New Zealand (9), Norway (2), Panama (43), Peru (1), Poland (1), Portugal (1), Republic of Korea (3), Spain (100), Sweden (2), Switzerland (1), Thailand (2), and the United Kingdom (78).
WHO is not recommending travel restrictions related to the outbreak of the influenza A(H1N1) virus.
Individuals who are ill should delay travel plans and returning travelers who fall ill should seek appropriate medical care. These recommendations are prudent measures which can limit the spread of many communicable diseases, including influenza.
Further information on the situation will be available on the WHO web site on a regular basis.
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