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  • Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

    -------------edit-------------
    actual WHO graphics:

    general: http://www.who.int/influenza/surveil.../en/index.html
    virological:http://www.who.int/influenza/gisrs_l.../en/index.html

    ------------------------edit,Sept.21.2013-----------------------------------
    WHO now also has the charts per country:
    http://gamapserver.who.int/gareports...spx?ReportNo=1
    (select a country)


    link to flunet-login (copied from below):
    http://gamapserver.who.int/GlobalAtlas/home.asp
    http://apps.who.int/globalatlas/auto...unet_login.asp


    ================================================== ===========================

    update 2009/02/26 , 12:00 UTC
    Code:
    China:
      (H1):10,9,9,10,5,3,2
      (H3):62,47,53,24,32,16,10
      (Mx):1218,927,638,459,295,164,44
      (B):744,1087,1423,1456,1392,980,460
    Russia:
      (H1):4,7,21,26,14,12,33,55
      (H3):3,6,10,9,4,15,5
      (Mx):151,207,185,94,101,81,49  
      (B):0,11,41,15,7,30,20
    Ghana   : 
      (H1): 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0
      (H3): 1, 0, 9, 2, 4, 5, 4
      (Mx): 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1
      (A) : 2, 0,10, 6, 5, 6, 6
    Mauritania:
      (H1): 0, 0,13, -, -    (H3): 0, 0, 0, -, -   (Mx):0,9,12,-,-
    Thailand: (H1): 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0    (H3): 1, 2, 2, 0, 0, 1      (Mx):6,39,49,48,58,73
    Tunisia : (H1): 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,0   (H3): 1, 1, 0, 0, 2, 1,0   (Mx):66,20,17,7,4,2,0
    USA     : 
      (H1): 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0
      (H3): 0, 2, 0, 3, 0, 0
      (Mx):246,221,251,216,222,53
      (A) :315,312,330,291,293,125
    
    USA,CDC : (H1): 0, 1, 0, 0, 0   (H3): 0, 1, 0, 0, 0   (Mx):214,147,98,78,144
    
    total    : 
      (H1):19,33,49,26,20,47,60
      (H3):72,58,74,41,43,38,19
      (Mx):3750,2974,2334,1553,1169,751,227
      (A) :4117,3388,2722,1821,1408,973,347
      (B) :773,1142,1489,1500,1431,1075,497
    %(Mx) : 97.6,97.0,95.0,95.9,94.9,89.8,74.2
    %(A)  : 84.2,74.8,64.6,54.8,49.6,47.5,41.1

    http://apps.who.int/globalatlas/auto...unet_login.asp


    Feb.18 : sum : (H1):19,33,48,25,12,33 (H3):72,57,74,41,10,17 (Mx):3710,2930,2260,1419,753,317




    China A: 1435,1126,805,571,55,47
    China B: 744,1087,1423,1456,29,60
    B/A:52,97,177,255,53,128
    China B: Yamagata/Victoria : 18,18,21,07,59,25



    H3N2/** in promille , weeks 1-4:
    ----------------------------------
    25,29,47,00,world:2730,69,1873,54,1055,50,2,0
    51,50,80,--,China:1208,62,914,46,499,40,-,-
    00,00,00,--,France:103,0,63,0,39,0,-,-
    00,00,00,--,Greece,356,0,198,0,117,0,-,-
    00,00,00,--,Iran:27,0,17,0,5,0,-,-
    00,00,00,--,Japan:200,0,167,0,52,0,-,-
    00,00,00,00,Marocco:128,0,52,0,10,0,2,0
    00,00,00,--,Mongolia,8,0,23,0,23,0,-,-
    20,29,54,--,Russia:151,3,207,6,185,10,-,-
    15,50,00,--,Tunisia:66,1,20,1,17,0,-,-
    25,00,00,--,Turkey:40,1,21,0,7,0,-,-
    00,00,--,--,USA:182,0,65,1,0,0,-,-



    graphics:
    http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/updates/i...tional/map.htm

    sticky, please
    that's the interesting and important question now, whether HKflu(1968,H3N2) and
    Anshanflu(1977,H1N1) will survive
    flu-B will probably survive, it survived all past pandemics



    http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/images/ma.../int012210.gif






    2009/03/01/20:43 UTC:
    (H1): 22,38,52,26,20,47,61,1
    (H3): 72,58,74,41,43,38,19,0
    (Mx):3790,2984,2353,1630,1362,862,243,29
    (A) :4168,3401,2751,1905,1631,1095,365,30
    (B) :773,1147,1490,1500,1432,1075,533,16
    %Mx:97.6,96.7,94.9,96.1,95.6,91.0,75.2,96.7
    %B:15.6,25.2,35.1,44.1,46.8,49.5,59.4,34.8

    2009/03/08/17:30 UTC:
    (H1): 22,38,52,26,20,47,61,17,0
    (H3): 72,58,75,41,43,38,20,16,0
    (Mx):3855,3064,2440,1679,1455,1045,579,426,11
    (A) :4233,3486,2839,1957,1727,1295,781,563,11
    (B) :773,1147,1492,1501,1432,1080,546,250,10
    %Mx(A):91.1,87.9,85.9,85.8,84.3,80.7,74.1,75.7,99. 9
    %B:15.4,24.8,34.4,43.4,45.3,45.5,41.1,30.8,47.6

    Code:
    Russia:
      (H1):7,21,26,14,12,33,55,16
      (H3):3,6,10,9,4,15,5,11
      (Mx):151,207,185,94,101,81,49,41
      (A ):161,259,256,137,151,140,120,93
      (B ):0,11,41,15,7,30,20,52
    China:
      (H1):10,9,9,10,5,3,2,0
      (H3):0,62,47,53,24,32,16,10,1
      (Mx):1218,927,638,459,295,164,44,19
      (A ):1435,1126,805,571,396,229,77,31
      (B ):744,1087,1423,1456,1392,980,460,54

    ------------------------------------------------------------
    2010/03/14,07:00 UTC

    (H1): 22 38 52 26 21 50 62 21 13
    (H3): 72 58 75 41 43 40 25 43 28
    (Mx): 3904 3102 2502 1751 1528 1164 730 629 345
    (A ): 4302 3546 2936 2059 1818 1440 973 868 491
    (B ): 779 1147 1493 1502 1455 1197 763 1214 1018
    %Mx(A): 90.7 87.4 85.2 85 84 80.8 75 72.4 70.2
    %B: 15.3 24.4 33.7 42.1 44.4 45.3 43.9 58.3 67.4
    week 9 (H1,H3,Mx) : China:2,14,158 Russia:10,9,18 world:13,28,345

    -------------------------------------------------------------
    2010,Mar,18,08:12 UTC
    (H1): 22 40 52 26 21 50 62 21 13 1
    (H3): 75 59 75 42 43 40 25 43 29 7
    (Mx): 4037 3269 2669 1879 1688 1312 870 669 430 205
    (A ): 4443 3717 3104 2191 1982 1592 1113 908 577 217
    (B ): 781 1154 1506 1507 1460 1210 767 1216 1019 228
    %Mx(A): 97.6 97 95.4 96.5 96.3 93.5 90.9 91.2 91.1 96.2
    %B: 14.9 23.6 32.6 40.7 42.4 43.1 40.7 57.2 63.8 51.2
    ---------------------------------------------------------------
    2010,Mar,21,05:51 UTC
    (H1): 22 40 52 26 21 50 62 21 13 1 0
    (H3): 75 59 75 42 43 40 25 45 29 7 0
    (Mx): 4040 3269 2669 1879 1690 1314 871 672 431 221 14
    (A ): 4446 3717 3104 2191 1984 1594 1114 913 578 233 14
    (B ): 781 1154 1506 1507 1460 1210 769 1216 1025 239 28
    %Mx(A): 97.6 97 95.4 96.5 96.3 93.5 90.9 91 91.1 96.5 100
    %B: 14.9 23.6 32.6 40.7 42.3 43.1 40.8 57.1 63.9 50.6 66.6
    --------------------------------------------------------------------
    2010/03/24,18:00 UTC
    (H1): 22 40 52 26 21 50 62 22 14 6 0
    (H3): 79 59 75 45 45 42 29 47 46 31 1
    (Mx): 4040 3270 2669 1879 1691 1315 871 676 478 314 141
    (A ): 4452 3726 3104 2193 1988 1599 1120 915 676 414 149
    (B ): 781 1154 1506 1507 1460 1210 769 1236 1274 1423 182
    %Mx(A): 97.5 97 95.4 96.3 96.2 93.4 90.5 90.7 88.8 89.4 99.2
    %B: 14.9 23.6 32.6 40.7 42.3 43 40.7 57.4 65.3 77.4 54.9
    -----------------------------------------------------------------
    2010/03/30,17:30 UTC
    (H1): 22 40 52 27 21 54 66 25 16 7 4 0
    (H3): 79 59 76 47 46 47 42 49 50 32 15 1
    (Mx): 4109 3303 2718 1919 1744 1451 1115 975 905 822 364 131
    (A ): 4535 3762 3161 2247 2061 1757 1421 1256 1160 1009 505 135
    (B ): 783 1155 1507 1508 1460 1210 769 1238 1279 1438 1244 234
    %Mx(A): 97.6 97 95.5 96.2 96.3 93.4 91.1 92.9 93.2 95.4 95 99.2
    %B: 14.7 23.4 32.2 40.1 41.4 40.7 35.1 49.6 52.4 58.7 71.1 63.4
    -------------------------------------------------------
    2010/04/02,15:20,UTC
    (H1): 22 40 52 27 21 54 66 25 16 7 4 14
    (H3): 79 59 77 45 46 47 42 49 50 33 16 16
    (Mx): 4130 3313 2730 1930 1770 1471 1134 998 956 879 505 234
    (A ): 4556 3772 3175 2256 2091 1783 1442 1286 1230 1088 660 310
    (B ): 783 1155 1507 1512 1466 1245 778 1245 1286 1449 1252 364
    %Mx(A): 97.6 97 95.4 96.4 96.3 93.5 91.3 93 93.5 95.6 96.1 88.6
    %B: 14.6 23.4 32.1 40.1 41.2 41.1 35 49.1 51.1 57.1 65.4 54

    Code:
    2010,04,11,06:00 UTC
    (H1): 22 40 54 30 21 58 63 25 16  7  6 17 11
    (H3): 80 62 79 49 51 58 51 64 63 37 33 45 42
    (Mx): 4228 3498 2835 2034 1851 1534 1222 1126 1007  930 682 524 231
    (A ): 4661 3975 3313 2367 2169 1861 1536 1431 1295 1145 920 682 355
    (B ): 787 1160 1539 1523 1481 1266 791 1262 1304 1461 1645 1612 1310
    %Mx(A): 97.6 97.1 95.5 96.2 96.2 92.9 91.4 92.6 92.7 95.4 94.5 89.4 81.3
    %B    : 14.4 22.5 31.7 39.1 40.5 40.4 33.9 46.8 50.1 56.0 64.1 70.2 78.6
    Code:
    2010,04,24,20:11,UTC
    (H1): 22 40 54 30 21 58 63 25 16 7 6 18 11 10 17
    (H3): 80 62 80 49 52 58 51 64 70 40 36 48 58 41 44
    (Mx): 4321 3528 2864 2061 1865 1550 1248 1251 1135 1048 825 703 601 271 178
    (A ): 4754 4007 3343 2396 2195 1895 1572 1565 1437 1271 1049 875 781 392 276
    (B ): 838 1207 1577 1542 1489 1277 792 1274 1313 1470 1654 1633 1667 1214 1165
    %Mx(A): 97.6 97.1 95.5 96.3 96.2 93.0 91.6 93.3 92.9 95.7 95.1 91.4 89.7 84.1 74.4
    %B    : 14.9 23.1 32.0 39.1 40.4 40.2 33.5 44.8 47.7 53.6 61.1 65.1 68.0 75.5 80.8

    Code:
    2010,05,01,19:11,UTC
    (H1): 23 47 55 30 21 58 63 25 16 7 6 18 11 10 17 18 0 
    (H3): 83 65 80 50 52 58 50 64 71 45 36 55 64 49 45 31 0 
    (Mx): 4341 3545 2890 2075 1879 1561 1259 1277 1164 1058 861 767 708 510 391 272 32 
    (A ): 4781 4051 3371 2410 2215 1913 1586 1584 1463 1286 1098 955 901 651 510 337 35 
    (B ): 839 1209 1577 1543 1494 1278 795 1275 1315 1476 1656 1641 1676 1232 1047 466 171 
    %Mx(A): 97.6 96.9 95.5 96.2 96.2 93 91.7 93.4 93 95.3 95.3 91.3 90.4 89.6 86.3 84.7 100 
    %B: 14.9 22.9 31.8 39 40.2 40 33.3 44.5 47.3 53.4 60.1 63.2 65 65.4 67.2 58 83



    ----------I keep editing this--------
    Last edited by gsgs; December 1st, 2013, 01:30 AM. Reason: update
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

  • #2
    Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

    that map is not up to date

    I assume they get their data from flunet
    autologin: http://apps.who.int/globalatlas/auto...unet_login.asp
    then
    click : "DATA QUERY" on the top left
    choose : "Select/Deselect All"
    click : "Add to Selected Indicators"
    click : "Go" in the top of the mid field (not the one in the right field)
    scroll down in the middle box and highlite "China"
    click : ">>"
    select a time period on the bottom left (default is all weeks so far in 2010)
    click "View Data" on the bottom right

    { flunet: http://gamapserver.who.int/GlobalAtlas/home.asp }
    { help: http://gamapserver.who.int/GlobalAtl...Query/help.asp }
    { direct link should be: http://gamapserver.who.int/GlobalAtl...00000000&lev=2 }



    China, first 3 weeks in 2010:
    ------------------------------------------
    Regional Outbreak,Regional Outbreak,Regional Outbreak
    A(H1) : 9,11,6
    A(H3): 62,46,40
    A(H5):0,0,0
    A(not suptyped):146,143,78
    B(Lineage not determined):671,1009,1027
    B(Victoria lineage):61,44,7
    B(Yamagata lineage):6,7,3
    PandemicA(H1N1)1208,914,499
    Total:2163,2174,1660
    TotalA:1425,1114,623
    TotalB:738,1060,1037
    Total:7292,7027,5160
    Total:7400,7243,5687

    ------------------------------------

    so China has 62% flu-B and only 38% flu-A,
    and of these 38% flu-A 92% is **,7% is H3 and 1% is H1
    previous week: 52% flu-A , 94% **, 5% H3, 1% H1


    > © World Health Organization - FluNet, 2009. All rights reserved.

    what rights ? Is it public or not ?
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

      Centers for Disease Control, R.O.C.(Taiwan) reports for week 3:

      "During week 1–3, all (95% confidence interval 91%–100%) subtyped influenza A viruses being reported to Taiwan CDC through contracted laboratories during this period were pandemic (H1N1) 2009 viruses. (No Influenza B weeks 1-3 detected)

      Taiwan CDC has antigenically characterized 134 human influenza viruses [1 influenza A (H1), 23 influenza A (H3), 7 influenza B, 103 pandemic (H1N1) 2009] since June 1, 2009.

      None of the influenza seasonal A (H1) viruses tested was related to the influenza A (H1N1) component of the 2009–10 influenza vaccine (A/Brisbane/59/2007). Three (13%) of the influenza A (H3N2)viruses tested were related to the A (H3N2) vaccine component (A/Brisbane/10/2007). Four (57%) of the influenza B viruses tested belonged to the B/Victoria lineage and were related to the B component of the 2009–10 influenza vaccine(B/Brisbane/60/2008). All(100%)of the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 viruses tested were related to the A/California/07/2009 vaccine component."
      http://flu.cdc.gov.tw/public/Data/012614154871.pdf

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

        the world picture
        http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/images/ma.../int012910.gif
        was just upated.
        China's flu-A is almost back to normal, they get a flu-B wave now.
        ~5% H3N2, ~1% H1N1
        You can see how flu-A waves provide shortterm (some months) immunity
        against other flu-A but not flu-B


        Taiwan has lots of H3N2, 18% (183 promille) of all subtyped flu-A !


        I will keep editing the first post in this thread, it's also sticky now.
        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
        my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

          vaccination apparantly doesn't provide this kind of shortterm immunity
          against all flu-A, which lets waves end and even suppresses
          other flu-A (but not flu-B) towards the end of the wave.

          Is this why the flu-vax works so good in theory but bad in practice ?
          It prevents people from acquiring this (stronger) shortterm immunity in a wave,
          a good proportion of which happens asymptomatically

          Is it just T-cell immunity ? which -as I understand-
          -other than the vax- mainly (only?)
          works locally, in the affected cells


          so, one strategy against a virulent H5-pandemic could be to start
          a mild counter-pandemic with a designed virus.
          For that we need to create good pandemic flu-viruses (like ******)
          which likely will be able to outcrowd a H5N1 pandemic virus
          or a new H9N2 pandemic virus or such with 1918-like virulence.
          Will we faster create mild pandemic viruses in the lab (and keep
          it safe ) than nature can create virulent pandemic viruses ?
          I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
          my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
            my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

              strong decline of H3-isolates in China in week 4 !
              see updated post #1


              H3N2 seems to die

              the next vaccine will presumably be bivalent Mx(Cancun),B(Victoria)




              http://apps.who.int/globalatlas/auto...unet_login.asp





              H3N2 may survive in swine and then jump to humans again in some years
              one more reasons to increase swine surveillance
              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
              my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                33 old H1N1s and 15 H3N2s coming in from Russia !
                I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                  Thanks you Gsgs and Missouriwatcher for keeping track of this.
                  "May the long time sun
                  Shine upon you,
                  All love surround you,
                  And the pure light within you
                  Guide your way on."

                  "Where your talents and the needs of the world cross, lies your calling."
                  Aristotle

                  “In a gentle way, you can shake the world.”
                  Mohandas Gandhi

                  Be the light that is within.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                    China charts:
                    http://www.cnic.org.cn/eng/show.php?contentid=330

                    2 weeks late

                    .pdfs with more info are 5 weeks late:
                    http://www.cnic.org.cn/uploadfile/20...8084130976.pdf


                    Northern China and Southern China look similar

                    same for Russia ... (Siberia) or Mongolia ?


                    Hong Kong: http://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/ssfm_11_03_10.pdf
                    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                    my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                      Taiwan CDC week ending Mar11:

                      http://www.cdc.gov.tw/lp.asp?ctNode=...BaseDSD=7&mp=5

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                        bump

                        see update above

                        ****** as percent of all flu-A is up again to 96% in week 10 !
                        but no Russian update for week 10 nyet

                        China:
                        (H1):10,9,9,10,6,6,3,4,2,0
                        (H3):62,47,53,24,32,18,12,23,14,3
                        (Mx):1218,927,638,459,299,180,71,97,158,131
                        Russia:
                        (H1):7,21,26,14,12,33,55,16,10,0
                        (H3):3,6,10,9,4,15,5,11,9,0
                        (Mx):151,207,185,94,101,81,49,41,18,0

                        however, flu-wave usually start in China, SE-Asia usually "decides" what
                        strains are dominant the next season.
                        And China has 97.7% ****** in week 10 ! (besides flu-B)


                        -------------edit---------
                        Australia: H1: 0,0,0 H3:1,2,1 Mx:2,1,0

                        hmm, will they get H3N2 this coming season ?
                        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                        my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                          http://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/ssfm_18_03_10.pdf

                          http://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/2010...ol6_week11.pdf

                          http://www.chp.gov.hk/en/index.html

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                            China H1:10,9,9,10,6,6,3,5,3,5,6,3,4
                            China H3:62,47,53,24,32,18,12,25,20,23,14,13,18
                            China Mx:1218,927,638,459,299,180,71,102,189,209,159,153 ,89
                            China B :744,1087,1423,1456,1415,1093,677,1029,1060,1317,1 496,1335,978

                            Australia reports some H3, almost as much as Mx, but levels are still low
                            I read about ~140 tested flu-A in Australia, ~40 Mx
                            but only ~2 in average reported per week by flunet
                            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                            my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                              apparantly WHO claims for copyright on flunet-data,
                              counts of tested isolates submitted by the countries.


                              > © World Health Organization - FluNet, 2009. All rights reserved.


                              so, am I allowed to post these tables and graphs ?
                              Can I download all the flunet-data and convert them to
                              computer-readable format and upload it, so anyone
                              can easily make statistics and graphs based on them
                              or would WHO like to prevent that (why ?)

                              I'll ask them
                              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                              my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                              Comment

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