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Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

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  • #16
    Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

    I made a picture about H1,H3 cocirculation in China since 1997,
    but wait for the WHO-copyright response before I post it.

    The current situation looks similar to 1995/6 , when H1 also
    suddenly outcrowded H3 in China but then H3 returned
    nevertheless in 1996/7



    H3 was clearly dominant in China from 2002 until the summer-wave in 2005
    In 2003,2004 there was very little H1, even less than now.

    But it survived (where ?) and even became dominant in 2005/6.
    Is it because people became immune to H3 after the severe summer wave in 2005 ?

    Remember, Southern China (Hong Kong) usually has 2 waves per year,
    however the timings are not so clear as in USA,Europe.
    Remember also, that flu-waves are believed to usually start/emerge in SE-Asia.
    Flu usually doesn't survive summer in USA but rather is newly introduced the next season
    from Asia with the then dominating strains from there.

    ** is different(so far), of course.
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

    Comment


    • #17
      Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

      see update above
      -------------------


      this year:
      ------------
      Australia: 7 H3N2, 10 ****** from this year
      Indonesia: 82 H3N2, 3 ******
      Philippines: 0 H3N2, 52 ******
      Thailand: 18 H3N2 , 530 ******
      Sri Lanka: 12 H3N2 , 55 ******
      Singapore: 23 H3N2 , 620 ******

      Kenya: 6 H3N2 , 5 ******
      Madagascar: 0 H3N2 , 75 ******

      Japan week 14-15 only : 4 H3N2 , 8 ******
      China week 14-15 only : 23 H3N2 , 98 ******
      Thailand week 12-14 only : 8 H3N2 , 31 **
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

      Comment


      • #18
        Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

        update see above


        last 5 weeks , H1,H3,Mx
        --------------------
        Australia:0,4,4
        China:14,55,375
        Russia:56,62,62
        Indoneia:0,31,1
        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
        my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

        Comment


        • #19
          Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

          From: Pandemic Influenza (H1N1) 2009 Is Associated with Severe Disease in India http://www.plosone.org/article/info%...l.pone.0010540

          Confirmed cases
          Since the beginning of this pandemic, 11 May to 31 October 2009, a total of 607,117 persons presented themselves for screening to various health centers in Pune. Of these 34,917 persons were determined as suspected cases of ILI. From 1 August to 31 October, a total of 7,866 suspected cases were sampled for diagnosis of influenza etiology. Frequencies of pandemic H1N1 and seasonal-A cases were 17.8% and 16.3% respectively (Table 1). Due to heavy work load and priority for identification of pandemic H1N1, all the influenza-A positive cases were not sub-typed. A sub-set of 374 seasonal-A positive samples, selected randomly for testing, yielded 86 (23%) seasonal H1N1, and 288 (77%) H3N2 virus. In a subset of 399 cases, selected randomly, only 6 were positive for influenza-B virus.

          Name:  646fc5188d8d1d8dd54a7586047d2ce1.png
Views: 1
Size:  103.9 KB
          Twitter: @RonanKelly13
          The views expressed are mine alone and do not represent the views of my employer or any other person or organization.

          Comment


          • #20
            Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

            Code:
            2010,May,10,20:15 UTC
            (H1): 21 47 42 29 18 46 63 25 16 7 6 18 11 10 17 18 3 0 
            (H3): 83 65 80 51 53 61 49 64 71 47 40 57 69 60 53 46 11 6 
            (Mx): 4341 3547 2891 2075 1880 1561 1266 1278 1171 1061 868 772 713 514 402 286 77 2 
            (A ): 4779 4053 3361 2411 2218 1910 1596 1593 1474 1294 1111 962 911 674 535 391 108 8 
            (B ): 840 1209 1577 1543 1494 1278 795 1275 1315 1479 1657 1642 1676 1238 1048 476 447 8 
            %Mx(A): 97.6 96.9 95.9 96.2 96.3 93.5 91.8 93.4 93 95.1 94.9 91.1 89.9 88 85.1 81.7 84.6 25 
            %B: 14.9 22.9 31.9 39 40.2 40 33.2 44.4 47.1 53.3 59.8 63 64.7 64.7 66.2 54.9 80.5 50 
            
            2010,05,16,14:30,UTC 
            (H1): 21 47 42 29 18 46 63 25 18 7 7 18 13 12 19 19 5 8
            (H3): 84 66 80 52 53 62 52 64 71 48 40 57 71 62 55 59 22 19
            (Mx): 4387 3553 2913 2071 1889 1568 1267 1287 1177 1065 869 773 721 519 415 314 137 114
            (A ): 4828 4062 3388 2410 2227 1918 1604 1604 1484 1301 1114 963 928 687 556 459 194 151
            (B ): 841 1211 1578 1545 1495 1278 795 1275 1317 1479 1660 1643 1680 1238 1055 1054 883 543
            %Mx(A): 97.6 96.9 95.9 96.2 96.3 93.5 91.6 93.5 92.9 95 94.8 91.1 89.5 87.5 84.8 80.1 83.5 80.8
            %B: 14.8 22.9 31.7 39 40.1 39.9 33.1 44.2 47 53.2 59.8 63 64.4 64.3 65.4 69.6 81.9 78.2

            Australia,week 17: H3:4 , Mx:1
            China,weeks 15-17 , H1:2 , H3:10 , Mx : 98
            Russia,weeks 15-17 , H1:34 , H3:38 , Mx:8
            India,week 15-17 , H1:0 H3:0 Mx:102


            Code:
            2010,05,24,11:00 UTC
            (H1): 21 47 42 29 18 46 63 25 18 7 7 18 13 12 19 19 5 8 5
            (H3): 84 66 80 52 53 62 52 64 71 48 40 57 71 62 61 59 22 19 10
            (Mx): 4387 3556 2913 2072 1891 1568 1268 1288 1177 1066 869 773 721 520 428 315 138 119 82
            (A ): 4828 4065 3388 2411 2229 1918 1605 1605 1485 1302 1114 963 928 688 579 460 195 155 107
            (B ): 841 1211 1578 1545 1495 1278 795 1275 1317 1479 1660 1643 1680 1239 1057 1059 890 550 216
            %Mx(A): 97.6 96.9 95.9 96.2 96.3 93.5 91.6 93.5 92.9 95 94.8 91.1 89.5 87.5 84.2 80.1 83.6 81.5 84.5
            %B: 14.8 22.9 31.7 39 40.1 39.9 33.1 44.2 47 53.1 59.8 63 64.4 64.2 64.6 69.7 82 78 66.8
            %Mx(A) is stable above 80% now. Minimum was at 80% in week 16



            2010,06,12,13:30,UTC

            Code:
            (H1): 21 48 42 29 18 46 63 25 18 7 7 18 13 12 20 19 5 13 14 8 8 8
            (H3): 84 66 80 55 55 63 54 65 72 52 40 59 73 58 69 61 26 25 27 32 16 16
            (Mx): 5185 3986 3148 2198 1969 1652 1322 1393 1200 1134 905 803 746 540 448 327 155 169 148 105 72 43
            (A ): 5655 4507 3640 2558 2347 2025 1564 1710 1518 1393 1100 1008 971 704 606 478 229 237 229 180 118 91
            (B ): 844 1212 1578 1548 1497 1280 795 1275 1320 1483 1676 1658 1691 1252 1071 1076 950 700 524 415 316 239
            %Mx(A): 98 97.2 96.2 96.3 96.4 93.8 91.8 93.9 93 95 95 91.2 89.6 88.5 83.4 80.3 83.3 81.6 78.3 72.4 75 64.1
            %B: 12.9 21.1 30.2 37.7 38.9 38.7 33.7 42.7 46.5 51.5 60.3 62.1 63.5 64 63.8 69.2 80.5 74.7 69.5 69.7 72.8 72.4



            last 5 weeks , H1,H3,Mx,B
            Australia: 0,8,5,2
            China:34,35,172,1541
            India:0,0,122,47
            Iran:0,0,0,24
            Russia:15,6,2,245
            Thailand:0,11,12,7
            Last edited by gsgs; June 12th, 2010, 08:46 AM. Reason: update
            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
            my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

              16 ****** and only 2 H3N2 in Australia in week 26 !

              seems that ****** is taking over now, after H3N2 and ******
              were almost balanced until week 25



              =======================================
              edit 2013-02-02

              China pic for the archive, how H3 and B survived the pandemic

              Attached Files
              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
              my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

              Comment


              • #22
                Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                You may find interest in this article. Guatemala.

                http://www.prensalibre.com/noticias/...293370695.html

                Spanish to English translation

                06/07/1910 - 1:09 National

                Health serves 452 000 cases of infection, the national network of hospitals and health centers have responded to more than 452 000 hours 655 new cases of acute respiratory infections, the National Epidemiology Center (NEC) provides up in registers.
                BY CLAUDIA MENDEZ VILLASEÑOR


                According to information from the CNE, only during the week of 7 to 13 March this year there were 52 000 442 new cases of infections, including bronchitis, pneumonia, pharyngitis, laryngitis and influenza-like illness, so far in 2010.

                In San José del Golfo, remains the highest cumulative rate of patients, with 22 000 965 to date.

                In 2009, during the same period there had been 20 000 498, according to the CNE.

                Reported Roosevelt Hospital, last June, increasing 36 thousand patients, 412 more than in May when 624 were reported.

                The San Juan de Dios, meanwhile, 965, in June.

                Other records

                The CNE also reported 445 suspected cases of influenza viruses (including H1N1 five, two human-H3-seasonal and 12 of a new virus).

                Comment


                • #23
                  Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                  I can't access

                  http://gamapserver.who.int/GlobalAtl....asp?act=login


                  xttp://gamapserver.who.int/GlobalAtlas/include/function/doAutoLogin.asp?act=login
                  I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                  my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                    Seems to be a problem with the WHO map server.

                    I can not access http://gamapserver.who.int/maplibrar...influenza.aspx
                    http://novel-infectious-diseases.blogspot.com/

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                      I can get to that page now, but when I click on "Data query",
                      then I get another page as usual and I don't know how to select
                      the items from there


                      is someone registered there ? how to register ?
                      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                      my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                        gs,
                        At your link, when I click "data query" the page that comes up lists communicable diseases, human resources for health, etc.

                        If I click "Influenza virus monitoring", it takes me to a page that gives an option for "summary".. but the summary page is empty. Apparently they aren't monitoring flu right now?

                        Now, if I go to Malaria and click "summary", it gives me all the info from the groups: "Reported Malaria, Intervention coverage, Service Delivery".

                        If I just want "reported malaria", click it and choose what catagories I want, then "add to selected indicators". Then another page gives me the geographical choices. I select "all countries", "latest available data", then "view data" and it brings up the list I asked for.

                        I can't get IE to cooperate today so I'm not sure if using that browser will give different results.
                        The salvage of human life ought to be placed above barter and exchange ~ Louis Harris, 1918

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                          yes, it was different some days ago.
                          You should get a page where you can select the different flu-types,
                          I can't see how to get this now.
                          I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                          my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                            This is your other link; it gives "data query, interactive maps and map library". The "data query" shows: H1, H3, Pandemic H1N1, H5, etc

                            http://gamapserver.who.int/GlobalAtlas/home.asp
                            The salvage of human life ought to be placed above barter and exchange ~ Louis Harris, 1918

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                              hmm, not for me. Not until some days ago.

                              I also tried firefox ...

                              choose H1,H3,pandemic H1,total A,total B
                              and mark the fiel above them
                              click "go" (the left go, not the right)
                              then chose all countries
                              then show data

                              that gives ~10 pages to be stored in one file


                              I'll try with another connection
                              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                              my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                                Now I can't get that link to bring up the flu info like it did yesterday. Maybe they're working on the site? I don't remember "Dynamic HIV Epifact sheet report" being listed yesterday; but maybe I just didn't notice it.

                                I'm using Opera and IE.
                                The salvage of human life ought to be placed above barter and exchange ~ Louis Harris, 1918

                                Comment

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