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Liberia - Ebola: 10 212 confirmed cases, 4 573 deaths (WHO, April 22, 2015)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

----------included 2014/12/18---------------------
210: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 210 Dec 11th 2014.pdf
+211: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 211 Dec 12th 2014.pdf
212: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 212 Dec 13th 2014.pdf
+213: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 213 Dec 14th 2014.pdf
214: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 214 Dec 15th 2014.pdf
215: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 215 Dec 16th 2014.pdf
216: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 216 Dec 17th 2014.pdf
217: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 217 Dec 18th 2014.pdf
218: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 218 Dec 19th 2014.pdf
219: http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...reps on Liberia/SITRep 219 Dec 20th 2014.pdf







----------------------------------------------------------------

3 updates:

•Situation Report on the EBOLA Virus disease epidemic in Liberia as of March to 29 October, 2014. | Posted on Oct 29, 2014
•Situation Report on the EBOLA Virus disease epidemic in Liberia as of March to 28 October, 2014. | Posted on Oct 28, 2014
•Situation Report on the EBOLA Virus disease epidemic in Liberia as of March to 27 October, 2014. | Posted on Oct 27, 2014


http://www.mohsw.gov.lr/content_display.php?sub=report2

http://www.mohsw.gov.lr/documents/SITRep 167 Oct 29th 2014.pdf
http://www.mohsw.gov.lr/documents/SITRep 166 Oct 28th 2014.pdf
http://www.mohsw.gov.lr/documents/SITRep 165 Oct 27th 2014 (1).pdf


my charts are being updated ... (old method, estimates for week 44)
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=228449
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

From the Oct 29 report h/t gsgs;

Liberia Ebola Daily Sitrep
no. 167
Ministry of Health and Social Welfare
29 October 2014
http://www.mohsw.gov.lr/documents/SITRep 167 Oct 29th 2014.pdf

Lib.png
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

The total number of deaths increases by over 400 between the 10/25 report here http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=220644&page=8 and the 10/29 report above. They have either re-evaluated some of the 600 deaths they subtracted about a week ago, or more than 100 new deaths are being reported each day.
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

I compiled cumulative deaths by County from the three latest reports in the old format (before the total dropped by 633) and three of the latest reports. I highlighted in yellow where the most significant decreases are recorded. Based on the data, it doesn't appear that the increase in cumulative cases from 2,104 on 10/24 to 2,609 on 10/29 was the result of adding previously deleted cases back into the totals because they are distributed differently (most notably in Bong County, Lofa County and Nimba County). Therefore, it appears that the average number of deaths is still increasing overall in Liberia, albeit not exponentially.

Liberia.png
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,535 clinical cases, 2,413 deaths as of October 27, 2014 (WHO Oct 29)

maybe they are adding deaths from the county-reports
into the VHF-system.
Or deaths from the hospitals, hospital-transfers

We saw these irregularities in Sierra Leone - they usually
have way too few deaths, then suddenly there was a big increase ...

case-counts are more reliable than death-counts
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,525 clinical cases, 2,697 deaths as of October 31, 2014 (MOH Oct 31)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,525 clinical cases, 2,697 deaths as of October 31, 2014 (MOH Oct 31)

EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP
SITUATION REPORT
5 NOVEMBER 2014
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/137510/1/roadmapsitrep_5Nov14_eng.pdf?ua=1
...
To Oct 31st;

Ebola 1.png
...
LIBERIA
There appears to be some evidence of a decline at the national level in Liberia, although new case numbers
remain high in parts of the country. While Liberia did not report any confirmed cases in its situation reports in the
past week, it reported 89 probable cases. The Montserrado area, which includes the capital of Monrovia,
accounted for 50 probable cases in the past week (figure 2). This continuing intensity of transmission emphasizes
the need to continue efforts to contain the spread of disease in the capital.

Transmission also persists in the district of Margibi, which reported 24 probable cases in the past week. Other
districts reporting probable cases in the past week are Sinoe (4), Grand Bassa and Grand Cape Mount (3 each),
and Bong and Nimba (2 each). However, in further evidence that the incidence is flattening in some districts, Lofa
did not report a single case in the past week. The district has shown a gradual decline in incidence in the past six
weeks. More data, including an analysis of laboratory data, are needed to examine more thoroughly the situation
in Liberia. Data for the country are missing for 1 and 2 November.
...
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,525 clinical cases, 2,697 deaths as of October 31, 2014 (MOH Oct 31)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,525 clinical cases, 2,697 deaths as of October 31, 2014 (MOH Oct 31)

I think the titles in the columns are shifted, with fatalities standing at 2766. I don't know what the column on the right is.
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,822 clinical cases, 2,836 deaths as of November 8, 2014 (MOH Nov 8)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,822 clinical cases, 2,836 deaths as of November 8, 2014 (MOH Nov 8)

EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP
SITUATION REPORT
12 NOVEMBER 2014
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/141468/1/roadmapsitrep_12Nov2014_eng.pdf?ua=1
...
Ebola 1.png
...
LIBERIA
Weekly case numbers fell in Liberia from mid-September to the end of October. This decline has since stabilized,
and a reversal of this trend is possible. Liberia reported 97 confirmed and probable cases in the week to 8
November.

Efforts to control the disease remain critical, particularly in the capital of Monrovia (figure 2). The Montserrado
district, which includes Monrovia, accounted for 44 of the new confirmed and probable cases reported in that
week.

Case incidence is declining in the neighbouring district of Marigibi, but high transmission persists. Other areas of
high transmission include Bomi and Bong. Lofa, however, has experienced a consistent decline in new weekly
cases.

...
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,878 clinical cases, 2,812 deaths as of November 10, 2014 (WHO Nov 15)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,878 clinical cases, 2,812 deaths as of November 10, 2014 (WHO Nov 15)

we have no reports from Liberia since 12 days
The webpage gives again that bandwidth error

Can't WHO do the reporting ? Just require access to their VHF-database
And do some independent monitoring

The regions should put their regular email reports on some webpage
so we can add the numbers by ourselves, when the national
data center goes silent

They should say what the problem is


the state of emergency declared on Aug06 was ended on Nov13

-----------edit 2014/11/20--------------
hah, using WHO's new numbers below as keywords, I found it here:
http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...treps on Liberia/SITRep 184 Nov 15th 2014.pdf

http://www.lr.undp.org links to it

the old site still has the bandwidth error
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,878 clinical cases, 2,812 deaths as of November 10, 2014 (WHO Nov 15)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 6,878 clinical cases, 2,812 deaths as of November 10, 2014 (WHO Nov 15)

Ebola response roadmap - Situation report
19 November 2014
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/144032/1/roadmapsitrep_19Nov14_eng.pdf?ua=1
...
LIBERIA
Case incidence appears to have stabilized over the past 4 weeks, after declining from mid-September until mid-October. A total of 80 probable cases were reported in the week to 15 November. Nationally, on average, between 10 and 20 laboratory-confirmed cases are being reported each day; the trend over time in the number of laboratory-confirmed cases reported each week has mirrored the trend shown in figure 2, with a decline followed by a levelling off in the past 4 weeks. With 46 newly reported probable cases, the Montserrado district, which includes the capital Monrovia, accounts for over half of all cases reported in Liberia during the past week. Bong (12 cases), Grand Bassa (2 cases), Grand Cape Mount (6 cases), Rivercess (13 cases) and Sinoe (1 case) are the only other districts to report a case during the past week. The district of Lofa, in the north of the country and on the border with Guinea, reported no cases for the third consecutive week.
...
Ebola 1.png
 
Re: Liberia - Ebola: 7,069 clinical cases, 2,964 deaths as of November 15, 2014 (WHO Nov 19)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 7,069 clinical cases, 2,964 deaths as of November 15, 2014 (WHO Nov 19)

the report #184 is linked here:
http://www.lr.undp.org

#183:
http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...treps on Liberia/SITRep 183 Nov 14th 2014.pdf

#184
http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/...treps on Liberia/SITRep 184 Nov 15th 2014.pdf

I had no luck with the others


they show the number of cases by the old (non-VHF) system in a chart,
but only the national total, not by region.
It looks stable, but not really declining.

Unfortunately they no longer give cumulative counts for the
regions with the old method, so it's hard to estimate the missing reports

They now also give red points for the number of PCR-tests



weekly cases, last 4 weeks :
old:231,278,295,282e
VHF:227e,234,297,247e

it's not clear whether the laboratory confirmed cases
have to be added to this or are already included


------------edit------------------

#182: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...4-00-54/MoH_5F00_SITRep-182-Nov-13th-2014.pdf

#181: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...3/MoH_5F00_SITRep-181-Nov-12th-2014-final.pdf

#186: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...bola-SITREP-_2300_186-_2800_17NOV14_2900_.pdf

#185: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...bola-SITREP-_2300_185-_2800_16NOV14_2900_.pdf

#179: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...0-00-00-13-97-74/SITRep-179-Nov-10th-2014.pdf

#178: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...00-00-00-13-97-73/SITRep-178-Nov-9th-2014.pdf

#180: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...H_5F00_SITRep-180-Nov-11th-2014-completed.pdf

#174: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...00-00-00-13-95-86/SITRep-174-Nov-5th-2014.pdf

#170: https://community.apan.org/cfs-file...00-00-00-13-95-26/SITRep-170-Nov-1st-2014.pdf

I still haven't:
#164
#153
#152
#144
#132
#117
#107
#098






Ebola Response Network - APAN Lite
https://lite.apan.org/Group/Index/2906?pageSize=16
‎Im Cache
13 Nov 2014 ... Support to the USG relief efforts for the ebola virus disease (EVD) ... Tony Reis
added the file SITRep 179 Nov 10th 2014.pdf to CIV-MIL ... Tony Reis added the
file Liberian State of Emergency (President's Speech) - 13 NOV ...

https://lite.apan.org/Group/Index/2906?pageSize=16


so, the reports are all available, just not at MOH . I don't know yet where lite.apan.org
got them from.
 

Attachments

  • li184.gif
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Re: Liberia - Ebola: 7,168 clinical cases, 3,016 deaths as of November 22, 2014 (MOH Nov 22)

Re: Liberia - Ebola: 7,168 clinical cases, 3,016 deaths as of November 22, 2014 (MOH Nov 22)

Ebola response roadmap - Situation report
26 November 2014
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/144498/1/roadmapsitrep_26Nov2014_eng.pdf?ua=1
...
LIBERIA
Case incidence has stabilized over the past 5 weeks, after declining from mid-September until mid-October. A total of 67 confirmed cases were reported in the week to 23 November.

The district of Montserrado, which includes the capital Monrovia, reported 40 confirmed cases: 60% of all cases reported in Liberia in the week to 23 November. Bomi (2 cases), Bong (10 cases), Grand Bassa (1 case), Grand Cape Mount (12 cases), and Margibi (2 cases) are the only other districts to report a case during the same period.

The district of Lofa, in the north of the country and on the border with Guinea and Sierra Leone, reported no cases for the fourth consecutive week.

Ebola 1.png
 
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