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H5N1 Expenditures: Summary by Country

C

cartski

Advisory Board
Hi,

I've been asked to create a very brief summary of the resources currently devoted to H5N1 in terms of the percentage of a country's GDP, or percentage of the country's current national budget.

I believe I saw something like this for the US a while back, but much too detailed. Screen shots of the actual budget documents, I think.

I'm look for a small table: Country by % GDP devoted to any aspect related to H5N1.

Can anyone point me in the right direction?

J.
 
Re: H5N1 Expenditures: Summary by Country

Getting there....this is a table, but I don't know how to post it as such in this forum, from

http://www.fin.gc.ca/wp/2007-04e.html

on page 56. (once you get the free .pdf)

But note, for the US, also http://healthyamericans.org/reports/flurecession/FluRecession.pdf

which CIDRAP is quoting.

J.


Table 6.13: GDP Impacts of Pandemic Scenarios: Comparison of Studies
Study Scenario Characteristics Pandemic Year GDP Impacts
This study ? 1918 scenario ?
base case
1918 mortality (0.4 per cent) Canada: -0.4 to -0.9 per cent;
Similar impacts in other advanced
economies and in emerging
economies
This study ? 1918 scenario ?
with workplace-avoidance
absenteeism
1918 mortality (0.4 per cent) Canada: -0.4 to ?1.1 per cent;
Similar impacts in other advanced
economies and in emerging
economies
This study ? 1957 scenario 1957 mortality (0.04 per cent) Canada: -0.1 to -0.3; Similar
impacts in other advanced
economies and in emerging
economies
CBO (1) Mortality double that of 1918 U.S.: -5 per cent
CBO (2) 1957 mortality U.S.: - 1.5 per cent
Kennedy et al. (Australian
Treasury)
Mortality half that of 1918 Australia: -9.3 per cent
McKibbin and Sidorenko (1) Mortality roughly double that of
1918 in advanced economies
U.S.: -5.5; Canada: -5.7; Japan: -
15.8; Europe: -8.0; Singapore: -
21.7; Philippines: -37.8; LDCs: -
12.2
McKibbin and Sidorenko (2) 1918 mortality U.S.: -3.0; Canada: -3.1; Japan: -
8.36; Europe: -4.3; Singapore: -
11.2; Philippines: -19.3; LDCs: -
6.3
McKibbin and Sidorenko (3) 1957 mortality U.S.: -1.4; Canada: -1.5; Japan: -
3.3; Europe: -1.9; Singapore: -4.4;
Philippines: -7.3; LDCs: -2.4
McKibbin and Sidorenko (4) 1968 mortality U.S.: -0.6; Canada: -0.7; Japan: -
1.0; Europe: -0.7; Singapore: -0.9;
Philippines: -1.5; LDCs: -0.69
Bloom, Wit et al. (ADB) Mortality double that of 1957 Asia: -2.6 to -6.8
Jonung and R?ger (1) Same as CBO(1) E.U.: -1.6
 
Re: H5N1 Expenditures: Summary by Country

that's expected losses from a pandemic, I thought you meant
%of GDP spent for preparation

reformatting a bit...:

GDP: 1918-like, double as bad
Code: 
U.S.       : -3.0, -5.5; 
Canada     : -3.1, -5.7; 
Japan      : -8.4,-15.8; 
Europe     : -4.3, -8.0; 
Singapore  :-11.2,-21.7; 
Philippines:-19.3,-37.8; 
LDCs       : -6.3,-12.2

almost linear to the number of expected deaths
 
Re: H5N1 Expenditures: Summary by Country

You're right, gsgs, I got off topic.

The idea is to show how much countries are currently committing to preparing for a pandemic, in any manner. That info should buttress the argument "if other countries are taking the pandemic threat seriously (by committing large amount of $), we (smaller entities, sucha as companies) should too."

It would interesting, as another aside, to correlate current preparations, in terms of % GDP, with the expected impact.

J.
 
Re: H5N1 Expenditures: Summary by Country

Maplecroft has a country-list, somehow they should take that into
account, maybe they did such calculations.
 
Re: H5N1 Expenditures: Summary by Country

Not sure about Maplecroft. I only got risk maps from there.

WHO does have interestinng expenditure ratios on health:

Member State WHO
region
Health expenditure ratios
Total
expenditure
on health as
% of gross
domestic
producta
General
government
expenditure
on health as
% of total
expenditure
on healtha,b
Private
expenditure
on health as
% of total
expenditure
on healtha,b
General
government
expenditure
on health as
% of total
government
expenditurea
External
resources
for health as
% of total
expenditure
on healtha
Social security
expenditure
on health as
% of general
government
expenditure
on healtha
Out-of-pocket
expenditure
as % of
private
expenditure
on healtha


http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat2007.pdf at pp 65

This would be perfect, if it were narrowed to pandemic-related expenditures only.

There must be some think-tank that does these types of subject matter studies - $ devoted to heart attacks, breast cancer, diabetes, etc. I'll search PubMed.

J.
 
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