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Egypt H5N1 Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 - May 19, 2009

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Commonground - I did not see your added comment until after I pushed the reply button.

There have been 12 WHO and Egypt officially confirmed cases in 2009.
 
15 *‬billion farm losses *.. ‬and the emergence of new hotbeds of *‬level
Nasser Fayad wrote *‬Hosni Attia, Amir Sarraf *: ‬*‬hospital fevers Damanhour on the detention of four cases *‬suspected bird flu patients *. Receive ‬*‬*‬General Magdi Abu Amar lake notice of the Director of the security of the hospital *‬*‬girl detained Egyptian Midhat *?‬ 3 *‬years *? ‬fork of the village and Bdinmhor a decent slave Hijazi *?‬ 40 *‬*year ?‬ from the village of Kafr Dawar Kafr Salim and Mr. Mohamed planet *? ‬42 *‬years *?‬ Aloavadip Center of Damanhour and Nadia Massoud Abdel Halim *? ‬40 *‬years *?‬ of Homs Abu Zarqa *. ‬The medical campaign to vaccinate domestic birds, and four samples for laboratory analysis *‬clearing houses and their neighbors *. Hospital, was arrested yesterday ‬*‬*‬diets in Qena happy Rizq *?‬ 28 *‬years *? ‬solar modules from the village and the girl child Khulud Zaghloul *?‬ 4 *‬years *? ‬from the village on suspicion of probation *‬got sick after the emergence of symptoms by *. ‬samples were taken from the case and sent to labs central Cairo *. ‬The sources accused the Federation of Poultry Producers *‬disaster and the government of ignoring the dependence on *‬*‬reports are not true, collapsed on the status of bird breeding areas, both domestic or farm *. Criticized for excluding sources ‬*‬Union representatives to attend the meeting of the Supreme Committee for Avian flu and the sources estimated the value of the losses during the four months limits b *?‬ 15 *? ‬billion pounds, made the emergence of a active in the new provinces *‬*‬Upper marine and wounded bird flu *?‬ sharp *? ‬*‬governorates in Upper Egypt, especially in *‬*‬Sohag, Qena and Wadi *‬Natrun and injuries increased for the first time in Alexandria *‬province over the past few weeks *. ‬and veterinary medical sources told ?the *? ‬all vaccines for avian influenza has become non-* ‬*?‬ effective *? ‬focused because of the virus and there are currently *‬*‬Antisera of new infections *. ‬doctors warned of the danger of over *‬injury to the pigs, ducks, geese and pigeons, and confirmed that the animals and birds, a good carrier of the disease without being infected or *‬showing disease *. ‬It is also able to reduce *‬*‬infection in the body and alteration of the virus due to internal interactions b ?tissue *?. ‬sources confirmed Federation *‬poultry producers, said the government was still studying since *‬3 *‬-year plan to compensate the loss of educators *. Learned ‬*?‬ delegation *? ‬Union poultry producers will *‬*‬*‬convene an urgent *‬within hours to discuss the disaster *. ‬

http://66.102.7.132/translate_c?hl=...=17625&usg=ALkJrhh4SnMJpxF2889zY0GZqwpPDRgzSg
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

I think a thread that is focused on CONFIRMED human cases would be useful. This thread is a day old, and already filled with suspect cases (which are virtually never confirmed in Egypt), poultry cases (which are being confused with human cases), political commentaries (which have little hard data and are usually filled with inaccurate statements , such as the claim that there are 65 confirmed cases), and summaries, which are inaccurate representations of all of the above.

Confirmed cases are detailed by WHO in situation updates, as well as SAIDR.

The hard data for this season is as follows.

There have been 13 human cases.

The only fatal case was in December.

In 2009 there have been 12 cases.

Of the 12 cases in 2009, 10 are toddlers (between the ages of 1 1/2 and 2 1/2 - there are no 3 year old cases).

There was also one adult (38F) and one child (6M).

In 2009 none have died and only three remain in the hospital (which are almost certainly the 3 most recent cases).

The most recent case (6M) was in critical condition when diagnosed and treated. One local report indicates he is now stable and improving.

That report is the only new piece of information on confirmed cases on this thread (other than a confirmation that he had pneumonia, which was assumed because he was on a ventilator and in critical condition when confirmed).
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Thanks Dr Niman
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

<table style="border-collapse: collapse; text-align: left; direction: ltr;" id="autonumber2" border="0" bordercolor="#111111" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" width="640"><tbody><tr><td align="center" valign="middle">Magic solution to counter bird flu <!--heade--> </td></tr><tr><td>
[FONT=arial (arabic)][/FONT]
حرب شرسة بكل المقاييس تلك التي تخوضها مصر بكل أجهزتها الصحية والبيطرية والبيئية ضد فيروس أنفلونزا الطيور من الإسكندرية حتي أسوان ومن مطروح حتي رفح‏..‏ حرب قتالية تهاجم البؤر المصابة بالمرض وحرب دفاعية تشارك فيها مختلف هيئات ووزارات الدولة بالاضافة الي الهيئات الصحية العالمية وفي مقدمتها النمرو ومنظمة الصحة العالمية والمعمل البريطاني وفرق الترصد الوبائي والتي كانت مهمتها الاكتشاف المبكر للمرض للحد من الوفيات وهو ماتحقق بالفعل في سرعة تشخيص‏11‏ حالة خلال الشهور الثلاثة الأولي من العام الحالي تم شفاؤها جميعا دون حدوث وفيات وحول هذه الحرب لابد ان نؤكد عدة حقائق مهمة هي‏:‏​
By all accounts a fierce war being waged by those of Egypt with all its health, environmental and veterinary against avian influenza virus of Alexandria Aswan and even put up so the Rafah .. war combat outposts attacked and infected a defensive war in which the various bodies and ministries of the State in addition to the bodies in the forefront of global health example, the World Health Organization and the British laboratory and epidemiological surveillance teams, which had the mission of the early detection of the disease to reduce the mortality Mathakq which is already in the speed of diagnosis of 11 cases during the first three months of this year, all were cured without any deaths on the war and must confirm that a number of important facts are:
‏​
*‏ أن خبراء المنظمات العالمية شهدوا في أكثر من محفل من المحافل العلمية العالمية بأن التجربة المصرية في التعامل مع هذا الفيروس القاتل تجربة فريدة ومميزة يجب أن تدرس‏.‏​
* Global organizations, experts testified in more than one forum, the scientific world that the Egyptian experience in dealing with this deadly virus, a unique and distinctive experience must be studied.
‏​
*‏ أن كل الأجهزة التزمت خلال حربها الشرسة مع أنفلونزا الطيورمنذ بداية المواجهة في فبراير‏2006‏ حيث تطرح كل المعلومات والبيانات والحالات التي تم اكتشافها والاشتباه فيها علي الجماهير من خلال وسائل الاعلام المقروءة والمسموعة والمرئية‏,‏ أولا بأول كما يتم ابلاغها أيضا وفي نفس الوقت إلي منظمة الصحة العالمية‏.‏​
* That all agencies have committed themselves during the fierce fight with the flu Taiormund the beginning of the confrontation in February 2006 as put all the information and data and cases that have been discovered and where the suspect to the public through the print media and broadcast, will also be kept informed at the same time, the World Health Organization.
‏​
*‏ أن هناك خطة محكمة ومتكاملة تتضمن برنامجا واضحا لكل أجهزة الدولة في حالة حدوث وباء لاقدر الله كذلك هناك برامج تدريبية وتجارب محاكاة يتم اجراؤها بمعرفة لجنة ادارة الازمات وتم تجريبها في بعض المحافظات مثل المنوفية والغربية والشرقية والقليوبية تتضمن كيفية التعامل مع الوضع في مختلف جوانبه‏.‏​
* There is a plan to the Court and includes a program of integrated and clear of all organs of the State in the event of a pandemic as well as God forbid there are training programs and simulation testing is conducted by the Crisis Management Committee has been piloted in some provinces, such as Monoufia, West and East Qalubia include how to deal with the situation in various aspects .
‏​
*‏ أن تقارير منظمة الصحة العالمية تؤكد ان مصر سجلت اعلي معدلات الشفاء في العالم وكذلك أكبر معدلات الحساسية لتشخيص حالات الاصابة بشكل مبكر وسرعة اعطاء العقار المضاد للمرض مما اسهم ويسهم في الحد من الوفيات‏.‏​
* The World Health Organization reports confirmed that Egypt recorded the highest cure rates in the world, as well as greater levels of sensitivity for the diagnosis of early cases and the pace of giving anti-HIV drug, which shares and contribute to the reduction of mortality.

وحتي تتكامل هذه المنظومة التي أشادت بها كل الأوساط الطبية والوقائية في العالم فإن هناك عدة اجراءات مهمة يجب ان تتخذ فورا نذكر منها‏.‏​
Even the integrated system, which hailed by the medical profession and safeguard the world, there are several important measures must be taken immediately recall them.
‏​
*‏ استمرار الحرب علي اسواق الطيور العشوائية والتي يمكن ان تشكل بؤرا جديدة او مستمرة لظهور المرض‏.‏​
* Continuation of the war on bird markets and slums, which could pose a continuing or new hotbeds for the emergence of the disease.

استمرار اتخاذ الاجراءات الحاسمة للحد من تهريب الدواجن بين المحافظات‏.‏​
Continued to take decisive action to curb the smuggling of poultry between governorates.
‏​
*‏ زيادة عدد المجازر الآلية الأمنة لاستيعاب معظم الانتاج المصري الداجني‏.‏​
* Increase the number of massacres safe mechanism to absorb most of the Egyptian poultry production.
‏​
*‏ القضاء الكامل علي العشش العشوائية فوق المنازل والمنازل الريفية وهنا يكمن الحل السحري للمشكلة بشرط صرف تعويضات مناسبة لاصحاب هذه العشش تحفزهم للابلاغ عنها ماداموا سيحصلون علي التعويضات المناسبة‏.‏​
* The complete elimination of nests above the slums and rural homes, houses, and here lies the magic solution to the problem, provided an appropriate compensation of the holders of the nests were motivated to report, so long as they receive the appropriate compensation.
‏​
*‏ في النهاية يجب ان نكون علي ثقة في كل الاجراءات التي تتخذها الدولة لمحاصرة المرض والقضاء عليه وان نمد ايدينا لايدي المسئولين بالمعونة وتنفيذ التعليمات والارشادات الصحية التي تقي الفرد والاسرة والمجتمع من هذا الفيروس القاتل‏.‏​
* In the end, we must be confident in all the measures taken by the State to besiege and eliminate the disease and extend our hands to the hands of officials and aid the implementation of the instructions and guidance to prevent the individual health, family and community from this deadly virus.​
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

<TABLE style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; DIRECTION: ltr" class=contentpaneopen><TBODY><TR><TD class=contentheading width="100%">The source of the Federation of poultry producers: the emergence of avian flu disease ?rat? provinces of Lower Egypt </TD><TD class=buttonheading width="100%" align=right> </TD><TD class=buttonheading width="100%" align=right> </TD><TD class=buttonheading width="100%" align=right> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; DIRECTION: ltr" class=contentpaneopen><TBODY><TR><TD class=createdate vAlign=top colSpan=2>
10/04/2009​
10/04/2009 </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=2>


Infection of mice infected real disaster, because they strengthen the likelihood of transmission to humans

:​
Nasser Mustafa wrote:​



تبExchange of the Union of Poultry Producers and the government charges on the reasons for the outbreak of bird flu, the source confirmed that the meeting of the European Higher Committee, headed by Dr. ?Ahmed Nazif? yesterday devoid of any representation of the European Union although the official to defend the rights of poultry farmers.​



.​
The source pointed out that injuries have expanded in the poultry farms and the losses amounted to billions of pounds, in response, Dr. ?Magdi Radi? a spokesman for the Council of Ministers that the injuries on farms so far.​



The Poultry Producers Association held an emergency meeting next week to discuss the implications of the face of the spread of infections, and increased cases of human infections.




The source said the Federation of poultry producers is that the cause of the disaster in the emergence of new types of HIV viruses ?mutated? does not fit with the current vaccination sera futile.​



.​
He added that the sources of the injuries spread to all provinces, including the provinces of Upper Egypt, and warned of the spread of infections in mammals, close to the human such as ducks and geese and pigs.​



.​
The source admitted to the emergence of avian influenza on the provinces of Lower Egypt, mice, and confirmed that the injury is not a real disaster for poultry, but the infection to humans.


.​
The source pointed out that the poultry producers union made offers to solve the spread of infections, and to compensate the affected material, to encourage their commitment to the instructions of the government, but the government rejected the principle of compensation.​



</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>:tiphat:http://translate.google.com/transla...id=18442&Itemid=37&sl=ar&tl=en&history_state0=​
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Thanks everyone for the posts!

I think that we need to keep track of the suspected cases whether they are confirmed, or not. It gives us an idea of the general situation, locally, in Egypt.

Henry - If you would like to start a new Egyptian Confirmed Human Cases Only thread, go ahead.

But I feel this thread is fine. It is a reflection of what is going on in Egypt. There is confusion there. Lots of suspected cases. A few confirmed. Lots of poultry infected with H5N1. Random car searches. Roof top breeding. Quickly arranged meetings to discuss the latest developments. Lots of tamiflu dispensed....

:magnify:
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Suspected cases of bird flu infection Rawash
السبت، 11 أبريل 2009 - 10:43​
Saturday, April 11, 2009 - 10:43
s8200878520.jpg
أنفلونزا الطيور خطر يهدد المواطنين المصريين​
Avian influenza is a threat to Egyptian citizens
قنا - هند المغربى​
Qena - India, Morocco
احتجزت مستشفى حميات قنا، حالتين للاشتباه فى إصابتهما بمرض أنفلونزا الطيور، حيث دخلت كل من سعيدة رزق بيومى، (28 سنة) ربه منزل بالحجيرات، وخلود نصر زغلول (4 سنوات)، المستشفى فى حالة إعياء شديد، وتعانيان من ارتفاع فى درجة الحرارة، وسعال شديد، وأعراض مشابهة لمرض أنفلونزا الطيور، وتبين أنهما مخالطتين لطيور مصابة، نفق عدد منها الفتره الماضية.​
Detained hospital fevers Qena, two cases of suspected bird flu virus, which entered both happy Rizq Bayoumi, (28 years) Bahadjirat housewife and Khulud El Nasr (4 years), the hospital in case of extremely weak and suffering from high temperature, and severe cough, and symptoms similar to bird flu, they Mkhalttin found to infected birds, a number of them died the last period

وتم أخذ عينات منهما وإرسالها للمعامل المركزية للتأكد من إصابتهما بالمرض من عدمه.​
Two samples were taken and sent to central laboratories to ensure they got sick or not. :tiphat:http://74.125.91.132/translate_c?hl=en&langpair=ar%7Cen&u=http://www.youm7.com/News.asp%3FNewsID%3D87870%26SecID%3D97%26IssueID%3D53&prev=/translate_s%3Fhl%3Den%26q%3Dbird%2Bflu%2Bapril%2B11%2B2009%26sl%3Den%26tl%3Dar&usg=ALkJrhhUgOQcJ86EKYYSrOJI0QLpVPjmTA

The story comes out in red and is not my doing..:tiphat:​
 
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Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

ok the headline said 2009 and the story says 2008 and 2009

Health: the death of 5.36% of the infected bird flu in Egypt .. و701 حالة اشتباه منذ بداية 2008
And 701 suspected case since the beginning of 2008
11/04/2009 11/04/2009

Dr. «Amr Qandil» Head of Central Department for Preventive Affairs, Ministry of Health that the total of suspected cases of bird flu disease among citizens reached 701 cases since the beginning of 2009 the current, while the total number of cases of suspected bird flu since the disease appeared in Egypt in February 2006 about 6443 case.

The «Qandil» that the proportion of deaths from the disease in Egypt, a total of 63 cases diagnosed by an estimated 5.36% compared with 23 deaths by an estimated 5.63% of the cases the infected around the world, pointing to the presence of 23 males and 40 infection among females in the province, 19 of the total 28 provinces in Egypt.




In a related context, Dr. «Sami Taha» Member of the Board of Veterinary Medical Association and spokesman for «Veterinarians Without Borders» The bird flu has become endemic in the present in Egypt, it has become the world's first in terms of the number of casualties during the 2009 injury by 12.

The «Taha» to be excluded from the supervision of veterinarians on the farm and participate in the immunization against the disease and the daily supervision of the Ministry of Health without the others to make immunization difficult to control the disease, which threatens Pthor the disease at any time, and here are the actual disaster.

. The «Taha»: the process of the disease mutation is expected at any time, especially given that the State has not taken any position on the elimination of the pig farms, which is one of the most important factor in the spread of the disease in the world despite the fact that their locations are known. :tiphat:

http://74.125.91.132/translate_c?hl=en&ie=UTF-8&sl=ar&tl=en&u=http://dostor.org/ar/content/view/19701/1/&prev=_t&usg=ALkJrhg_KzNN9Avd53IJe3S7aOyoj17gSg
_________________
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Egypt makes me crazy:surrender:

The ?Taha?: the process of the disease mutation is expected at any time, especially given that the State has not taken any position on the elimination of the pig farms, which is one of the most important factor in the spread of the disease in the world despite the fact that their locations are known.
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Egypt makes me crazy:surrender:

The «Taha»: the process of the disease mutation is expected at any time, especially given that the State has not taken any position on the elimination of the pig farms, which is one of the most important factor in the spread of the disease in the world despite the fact that their locations are known.


The state has been moving pig farms out of populated areas for some time.

Pigs in Egypt Moved Out of Residential Areas

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=64317


Egypt - Pigs to be moved from 5 provinces to farm in Helwan

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=96849
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Maybe not enuff, fast enuff?
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

I have no idea. One large pig farm to consolidate relocation from other farms is due to open on May 15th.

From 2nd article linked above:

"..Studies that the pig farms of the most important causes for the transfer of bird flu..."


 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

THIS ONE SAYS NO MICE INFECTED..

Vice-President of ?poultry producers? Demands to ban breeding of birds in areas ?affected? influenza

4-11-2009

Asked Dr. Mohamed El-Shafei, Vice Chairman of the Federation of Poultry Producers, a member of the International Federation of poultry, the execution of all birds, the ban on poultry in areas where repeated cases of infection from bird flu, taking all veterinary procedures and safety precautions before resuming these vital areas of activity, as determined by the these authorities.

Al-Shafei said ?Egyptian today?, that this procedure aims to control the disease, and to prevent any complacency by the educators or veterinary services through the identification of long-term ban in the areas of education and rehabilitation before resuming activity again in the area of poultry, including interest Assembly to preserve the public health and the development of the poultry sector.

He must be areas where the incidence of repeated under control for a long time until it is completely free to make sure of bird flu, noting that the control is not confined to the affected areas and spots, but also extends to the Chamber in the surrounding areas determined by the veterinary services in accordance with the strategy to combat the disease.

He stressed the need for prompt compensation for small farmers, rural education and fair value, according to market prices, to help speed up the reporting on the existence of cases in rural areas to prevent the spread of the disease and its spread.

He pointed to the importance of El-Shafei of the State to ensure the application of bio-safety rules in places of education or rural poultry farms and that there should be transparency in the declaration on the incidence of, and with a zero-tolerance offenders.

. He stressed the importance of the State to develop a plan to solve the urgent problem of the presence of pigs near the residential areas as it is, especially in the case of a mutation of the virus, which is a significant risk to human health in case of transmission from one person to another, and becoming an epidemic, calling for the need to search for a way out of this The problem is that we are living in terror since 2005.

He ruled out that there are scientific indicators confirm the transmission of the virus from birds to mice, confirming that it was not a scientifically proven infection of mice with influenza virus.

:tiphat: http://74.125.91.132/translate_c?hl=en&sl=ar&tl=en&u=http://www.almasry-alyoum.com/article2.aspx%3FArticleID%3D206608&usg=ALkJrhiChPsdLSS-Aayg2UisWdtsrqoD4Q
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

The Ministry of Health:
The bird flu deaths in Egypt less than a world-class 30% b
ا Positive infections in humans have focused only province in the 19


The woman and the Minister of Health that the rate of deaths from bird flu in Egypt is less than the global ratio of about 30%. Where the figure was 36.5% in Egypt, while the world 63.5% .. مHe pointed out that the number of deaths so far had been 23 cases since the outbreak of the disease in .2005 he said. Rahman Shaheen Media Advisor to the Minister of Health in his remarks "for the evening" to the chest hospitals and associations received 6443 suspected case of bird flu has been given the drug Tamiflu in case of illness, after the emergence of symptoms similar to bird flu.
He pointed out that the total number of casualties so far reached 63 to 37% of them corresponded to the situation of recovering and 3 cases were still under treatment, including two children and a child Balqlliopip the lake in addition to the 23 event of the death.
He pointed out that among the infected cases, 23 cases of male children and 40 cases of female and most of these 19 cases appeared in the province of only a Monoufia 7 cases, Fayoum and Qena Qalubia 6 cases each, and 5 cases of the West and queens and 3 cases of Cairo, Aswan and Dakahlia, Kafr El-Sheikh and two each of the Beni Suef, Assiut, Sohag, Damietta and East Lake, 3 cases and one case each of Alexandria and Suez, and October 6.
Added that the preservation of which has not registered any cases of HIV-positive are the Giza, Luxor, Ismailia, Port Said, Matrouh, New Valley and the Red Sea and the North and South Sinai and the payment .. He pointed out that the epidemiological surveillance of the disease in humans are being regularly receive more than 50 suspected cases per day in the provinces are dealing with the treatment before the analysis.

He pointed out that decisions were taken during the meeting stressing the Higher Committee for bird flu two days ago, the most important follow-up vaccination of domestic birds and the provision of vaccines and vaccines needed to protect the contacts of patients in the poultry farms and the disposal of culled and dead birds and clean the affected spots in addition to the continuation of the decision to ban the transport of live poultry between governorates. . The Committee requested the activation of the Law on the Prevention of birds breeding in cities in order to prevent environmental pollution as well as to study the establishment of a compensation fund for farmers affected by the virus.
قال د. D said.
Shaheen, there was no truth to reports that the bird flu virus of any child injury hole in the lung, but if it be due to birth defect in children. م He pointed out that this disease does not need to create confusion among the citizens and the media should contribute to better show the true picture in all the provinces.
Warned of random houses in affirming that all the injuries that have occurred from bird flu, including 60 cases and 3 cases of household farms, and now in danger of the home :tiphat:

http://tinyurl.com/dhd383
_________________
 
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Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

In Japan they are attemping to prevent the spread of H7 bird flu influenza to nearby poultry farms by spraying calcium hydroxide. Seems they are concerned about mice too:


Shigeru Shimizu, CEO of the poultry farm (52) "Prevention of infection in mice and hydrated lime can be expected. To strict measures to prevent infection from wild birds and humans," he said.


http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=218445&postcount=27
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

11/4/2009

‬ Conflict on the government's bird flu crisis

Nazeef * ‬ requested reports from * ‬ 5 * ‬ ministries on the spread of infections * ‬ * .. ‬ health and reduction in mortality rate
*! ‬
Nasser wrote Fayyad * ‬ Sana Mustafa Ahmed Zayat *: ‬ conflicting positions Thursday on the government's bird flu crisis *. In ‬ * ‬ * ‬ which time it requested Dr. Ahmed Nazif, Prime Minister, urgent reports from * ‬ 5 * ‬ ministries on the prevalence of infection
* ‬, *

‬ confirmed Rahman Shahin, official spokesman * ‬ of the Ministry of Health, the mortality rate is the disease in Egypt are less * ‬ than the global average

*. ‬ He * ‬ Shaheen to the mortality rate was * ‬ 36 *. ‬ 5% * ‬ only against * ‬ 63 *. ‬ 5% * ‬ * ‬ at the level of world * ‬ *. ‬ retreated Dr. Magdi Radi * ‬ * ‬ * ‬ spokesman for his Cabinet, which * ‬ * ‬ statement after the cabinet meeting, which * ‬ * ‬ denied the existence of injuries to farm * ‬, * ‬ admitted after Thursday's meeting, the emergence of hotbeds of injuries * Many provinces ‬ * ‬ (I believe the "hotbeds" reference is poultry outbreaks - Fla1)

and Dr. Hatem el-Gabali * ‬ Minister of Health * ‬ that the total number of suspected cases of the disease since the outbreak of the disease in * ‬ 2006 * ‬ reached * ‬ 6443 * ‬ case of, * ‬ * ‬ reached the number of casualties * ‬ 63 * ‬ cases died, including * ‬ * ‬ 23 * ‬ case of *.

‬ The Aswan Health Department officials suspected infection * ‬ * ‬ 7 * ‬ of the maintenance during the last period and the emergence of two things in Aswan
* ‬ *. ‬ asked Major General Mostafa * ‬ Mr. Aswan Governor tighten control on * ‬ areas where migratory birds, islands, the Nile and natural reserves and to secure the entrances and exits to maintain

http://www.alwafd.org/details.aspx?nid=17675
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

The Ministry of Health:
The bird flu deaths in Egypt less than a world-class 30% b
ا Positive infections in humans have focused only province in the 19


He pointed out that the epidemiological surveillance of the disease in humans are being regularly receive more than 50 suspected cases per day in the provinces are dealing with the treatment before the analysis.



http://tinyurl.com/dhd383
_________________
The above statement may help readers understand the reason why the two cases in Beheira represent toddler to toddler transmission of H5N1.

The samples tested from patients in Egypt are from patients with symptoms and claimed exposure to dead or dying poultry. As seen by the above statement, the testing of these patients is almost always negative.

However, samples from one toddler from Behiera who developed symptoms March 27 was positive. That was followed by another toddler from Beihera who developed symptoms four days later on March 1. Not only were both of the cases from Bethera, but they were from the same small district in Beheira and in fact were from next door neighbors. In addition, the next door neighbors were cousins.

Thus, there is little doubt that the two cases were connected, either through a common source (dead or dying poultry that was claimed, but no H5N1 in poultry anywhere near the cluster has been reported, even though there was aggressive canvassing of the area), or through toddler to toddler transmission.

If there was H5N1 in poultry, the distinction between a common source (both toddlers playing with poultry) or T2T (the toddler with symptoms on March 27 infecting his cousin who lives next door and developed symptoms April 1) is determined by disease onset dates (since the sequences are likely to be the same regardless of source for the second toddler).

These two possibilities are viewed with regard to the time gap between disease onset dates.

A common source produces a very small time gap, because the range in incubation times is small (2-4 days) and therefore common source infections produce symptom on the same day, or within a day or two.

T2T produces a time gap because the index case is more contagious after symptoms develop, so the incubation time produces a time gap between symptoms in the index case and symptoms in the cousin he infected, as demonstrated by the 4 day gap.

This gap in disease onset dates is common among H5N1 clusters. When the transmission is H2H2H, the consecutive gaps limit the amount of hand waving and ad hoc arguments. The sequences from patients from H2H2H clusters do not have distinctive genetic changes not found is H2H clusters, and ad hoc arguments trying to explain away gaps were unlikely when used in 2004 and the dozens of clusters since. The characteristic time gap is found again and again, and the hand waving/ad hoc arguments are nothing more than hopes and dreams with no scientific basis.
 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

"...President Hosni Mubarak held a ministerial meeting during the day to review the government and community efforts to combat avian flu, and control the spread among children, and women's education by the household.

Presents Dr. Ahmed Nazif, the Prime Minister, the Ministers of Agriculture, and Health and environmental reports to the president during the meeting on the measures that have been taken to vaccinate domestic birds in rural areas free of charge, and the provision of vaccines, and the temporary closure of the farms which show the injury, and the prohibition of domestic cities, and stiffen penalties against offenders .
It also includes monitors veterinary procedures with the police forces in ambushes to catch live birds, which are transferred between the provinces, 1500 and the appointment of a veterinarian, and the immediate removal of the nest on the roofs of houses,..."


http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=218544#post218544

 
Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

Re: Egypt Human Suspected/Confirmed Cases April 9, 2009 +

The Ministry of Health:
The bird flu deaths in Egypt less than a world-class 30% b
ا Positive infections in humans have focused only province in the 19


The woman and the Minister of Health that the rate of deaths from bird flu in Egypt is less than the global ratio of about 30%. Where the figure was 36.5% in Egypt, while the world 63.5% .. مHe pointed out that the number of deaths so far had been 23 cases since the outbreak of the disease in .2005 he said. Rahman Shaheen Media Advisor to the Minister of Health in his remarks "for the evening" to the chest hospitals and associations received 6443 suspected case of bird flu has been given the drug Tamiflu in case of illness, after the emergence of symptoms similar to bird flu.
He pointed out that the total number of casualties so far reached 63 to 37% of them corresponded to the situation of recovering and 3 cases were still under treatment, including two children and a child Balqlliopip the lake in addition to the 23 event of the death.
He pointed out that among the infected cases, 23 cases of male children and 40 cases of female and most of these 19 cases appeared in the province of only a Monoufia 7 cases, Fayoum and Qena Qalubia 6 cases each, and 5 cases of the West and queens and 3 cases of Cairo, Aswan and Dakahlia, Kafr El-Sheikh and two each of the Beni Suef, Assiut, Sohag, Damietta and East Lake, 3 cases and one case each of Alexandria and Suez, and October 6.
Added that the preservation of which has not registered any cases of HIV-positive are the Giza, Luxor, Ismailia, Port Said, Matrouh, New Valley and the Red Sea and the North and South Sinai and the payment .. He pointed out that the epidemiological surveillance of the disease in humans are being regularly receive more than 50 suspected cases per day in the provinces are dealing with the treatment before the analysis.

He pointed out that decisions were taken during the meeting stressing the Higher Committee for bird flu two days ago, the most important follow-up vaccination of domestic birds and the provision of vaccines and vaccines needed to protect the contacts of patients in the poultry farms and the disposal of culled and dead birds and clean the affected spots in addition to the continuation of the decision to ban the transport of live poultry between governorates. . The Committee requested the activation of the Law on the Prevention of birds breeding in cities in order to prevent environmental pollution as well as to study the establishment of a compensation fund for farmers affected by the virus.
قال د. D said.
Shaheen, there was no truth to reports that the bird flu virus of any child injury hole in the lung, but if it be due to birth defect in children. م He pointed out that this disease does not need to create confusion among the citizens and the media should contribute to better show the true picture in all the provinces.
Warned of random houses in affirming that all the injuries that have occurred from bird flu, including 60 cases and 3 cases of household farms, and now in danger of the home :tiphat:

http://tinyurl.com/dhd383
_________________


A 2nd source with the same information:


Health: the death of 5.36% of the infected bird flu in Egypt .. And 701 suspected case since the beginning of 2008 <table class="contentpaneopen" style="text-align: left; direction: ltr;"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" class="createdate" valign="top">
11/04/2009​
11/04/2009 </td></tr><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top">
6.jpg
كتب- طارق عبد العزيز- وصالح رمضان​
Books - Tariq Abdul-Aziz - Saleh Ramadan​
أكد الدكتور ?عمرو قنديل? ــ رئيس الإدارة المركزية للشئون الوقائية بوزارة الصحة ــ أن إجمالي حالات الاشتباه بالإصابة بمرض إنفلونزا الطيور بين المواطنين بلغ 701 حالة منذ بداية عام 2009 الجاري، فيما بلغ إجمالي عدد الحالات المشتبه في إصابتها بالمرض منذ ظهوره في مصر فبراير 2006 نحو 6443 حالة.​

Dr. ?Amr Qandil? Head of Central Department for Preventive Affairs, Ministry of Health that the total of suspected cases of bird flu disease among citizens reached 701 cases since the beginning of 2009 the current, while the total number of cases of suspected bird flu since the disease appeared in Egypt in February 2006 about 6443 case.

وأوضح ?قنديل? أن نسبة الوفيات بالمرض في مصر من إجمالي الحالات الــ 63 التي تأكدت إصابتها تقدر بــ 5،36% بواقع 23 حالة مقارنة بنسبة وفيات تقدر بــ 5،63% من الحالات المصابة حول العالم، مشيراً إلي وجود 23 حالة من الذكور و40 إصابة بين الإناث في 19 محافظة من إجمالي 28 محافظة في مصر.​

The ?Qandil? that the proportion of deaths from the disease in Egypt, a total of 63 cases diagnosed by an estimated 5.36% compared with 23 deaths by an estimated 5.63% of the cases the infected around the world, pointing to the presence of 23 males and 40 infection among females in the province, 19 of the total 28 provinces in Egypt.


http://dostor.org/ar/index.php?option=com_frontpage&Itemid=1


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