Treyfish
Moderator
Into the unknown: Crack WHO team journeys deep into the Congo to identify mystery killer
Their urgent mission is to find out what is killing swathes of people in one of the most remote parts of the world
Paul Nuki. Maeve Cullinan. Arthur Scott-Geddes. Sarah Newey
06 December 2024 6:17pm GMT
Early tomorrow morning, four stripped-down Toyota Land Cruisers carrying a team of nine doctors, epidemiologists and other outbreak specialists will set off on a 508 mile drive across the Congo in a bid to identify a mystery illness that appears to be killing at will.
The journey will be both arduous and dangerous. The zone in which 394 people are reported to have been sickened by a possible new Disease X – with up to 74 dead – is one of the most remote on earth.
There are no paved roads to Panzi, the small village of tin-roofed shacks surrounded by thick rainforest which is thought to be ground zero for the outbreak, and their progress will be slowed by heavy seasonal rains and the threat of attacks from local militia groups.
Instead, they will have to travel along the rutted dirt tracks that wind south-east from the capital, Kinshasa, through the rough terrain of Kwango province, which takes its name from a river that has long been a target for illegal diamond mining.
The team has been scrambled by the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Health Emergencies directorate run by the veteran epidemiologist and former trauma surgeon Dr Michael Ryan....
Dr Ryan’s unit confirmed it was tracking an “undiagnosed disease in a remote area” of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) on Thursday.
“As of December 4, the Panzi health zone in Kwango Province in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has recorded 394 cases and 30 deaths (Case Fatality Rate: 7 per cent) from a so far undiagnosed illness,” it said in a statement...
The WHO team will join a local rapid response unit which set off towards Panzi on Thursday evening.
The two groups include epidemiologists, clinicians, laboratory technicians, infection prevention and control experts, and risk communication specialists.
They are carrying essential medicines, diagnostic and sample collection kits to help rapidly analyse and determine the cause of the illness.
.....
“This is exactly the way that the pandemic first arose in Wuhan,” said Prof James Wood, an expert in infection dynamics and control of diseases at Cambridge. “[Then] we were hearing of a number of cases of unexplained pneumonia.”
But while a new Disease X (a novel pathogen like Covid that we have no existing vaccine for) is the worst case scenario, it is not the most likely.
The WHO was keen to stress on Friday that the remoteness of the region made the possibility that the culprit was a known and treatable disease all the more likely.
“This is a remote area with limited laboratory and other health capacity (there is no laboratory in the region), so it’s possible that it’s an existing pathogen that hasn’t yet been diagnosed.
“This is an undiagnosed disease rather than an unknown [one] at this time,” it said.
....
It is also possible the deaths have been caused – not by a pathogen – but a mass poisoning of some sort, either man made or natural.
...
Yet many are still braced for the worst, with Hong Kong and Thailand already introducing border checks to screen passengers from the Congo for the disease.
“We’re waiting and monitoring very closely,” said Dr Jason Kindrachuk, associate professor in Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases at the University of Manitoba, Canada.
“The big piece we’re trying to find out is what the underlying agent causing this is … It seems to be respiratory, and there seems to be a very high morbidity and mortality amongst women and children.”
Even if the pathogen is new and difficult to defend against, the location of the outbreak may ultimately work in our favour.
While Wuhan was connected to the rest of the world by a major international air hub, Panzi is about as distant from the modern world as it is possible to get. The authorities in DRC are also well practised at fighting new outbreaks.
“The DRC is an old hand at doing this kind of [work]... they’ve faced mpox, they’ve faced Ebola, they’ve faced Covid, they’ve faced measles – there’s a huge amount of expertise on the ground with emergency infectious disease response,” said Dr Kindarchuk.
“Unquestionably, they’re in the best position possible to be able to ID this as quickly as possible”.
All we can have to do is wait until they get there – and report back.
:tiphat:
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-...ystery-disease-outbreak-drc-congo-africa-who/
Their urgent mission is to find out what is killing swathes of people in one of the most remote parts of the world
Paul Nuki. Maeve Cullinan. Arthur Scott-Geddes. Sarah Newey
06 December 2024 6:17pm GMT
Early tomorrow morning, four stripped-down Toyota Land Cruisers carrying a team of nine doctors, epidemiologists and other outbreak specialists will set off on a 508 mile drive across the Congo in a bid to identify a mystery illness that appears to be killing at will.
The journey will be both arduous and dangerous. The zone in which 394 people are reported to have been sickened by a possible new Disease X – with up to 74 dead – is one of the most remote on earth.
There are no paved roads to Panzi, the small village of tin-roofed shacks surrounded by thick rainforest which is thought to be ground zero for the outbreak, and their progress will be slowed by heavy seasonal rains and the threat of attacks from local militia groups.
Instead, they will have to travel along the rutted dirt tracks that wind south-east from the capital, Kinshasa, through the rough terrain of Kwango province, which takes its name from a river that has long been a target for illegal diamond mining.
The team has been scrambled by the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Health Emergencies directorate run by the veteran epidemiologist and former trauma surgeon Dr Michael Ryan....
Dr Ryan’s unit confirmed it was tracking an “undiagnosed disease in a remote area” of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) on Thursday.
“As of December 4, the Panzi health zone in Kwango Province in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has recorded 394 cases and 30 deaths (Case Fatality Rate: 7 per cent) from a so far undiagnosed illness,” it said in a statement...
The WHO team will join a local rapid response unit which set off towards Panzi on Thursday evening.
The two groups include epidemiologists, clinicians, laboratory technicians, infection prevention and control experts, and risk communication specialists.
They are carrying essential medicines, diagnostic and sample collection kits to help rapidly analyse and determine the cause of the illness.
.....
“This is exactly the way that the pandemic first arose in Wuhan,” said Prof James Wood, an expert in infection dynamics and control of diseases at Cambridge. “[Then] we were hearing of a number of cases of unexplained pneumonia.”
But while a new Disease X (a novel pathogen like Covid that we have no existing vaccine for) is the worst case scenario, it is not the most likely.
The WHO was keen to stress on Friday that the remoteness of the region made the possibility that the culprit was a known and treatable disease all the more likely.
“This is a remote area with limited laboratory and other health capacity (there is no laboratory in the region), so it’s possible that it’s an existing pathogen that hasn’t yet been diagnosed.
“This is an undiagnosed disease rather than an unknown [one] at this time,” it said.
....
It is also possible the deaths have been caused – not by a pathogen – but a mass poisoning of some sort, either man made or natural.
...
Yet many are still braced for the worst, with Hong Kong and Thailand already introducing border checks to screen passengers from the Congo for the disease.
“We’re waiting and monitoring very closely,” said Dr Jason Kindrachuk, associate professor in Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases at the University of Manitoba, Canada.
“The big piece we’re trying to find out is what the underlying agent causing this is … It seems to be respiratory, and there seems to be a very high morbidity and mortality amongst women and children.”
Even if the pathogen is new and difficult to defend against, the location of the outbreak may ultimately work in our favour.
While Wuhan was connected to the rest of the world by a major international air hub, Panzi is about as distant from the modern world as it is possible to get. The authorities in DRC are also well practised at fighting new outbreaks.
“The DRC is an old hand at doing this kind of [work]... they’ve faced mpox, they’ve faced Ebola, they’ve faced Covid, they’ve faced measles – there’s a huge amount of expertise on the ground with emergency infectious disease response,” said Dr Kindarchuk.
“Unquestionably, they’re in the best position possible to be able to ID this as quickly as possible”.
All we can have to do is wait until they get there – and report back.
:tiphat:
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-...ystery-disease-outbreak-drc-congo-africa-who/
