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Discussion thread V - COVID-19 (new coronavirus)

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There are several mink sequences at GISAID now split between two distinct clades A2 and A6. This needs to be watched as Mink look like they are another potential host species which could cause recurrent SARS like epidemics in years to come.
 
How are they determining that farmers are catching this from the minks rather than the other way around? I couldn't translate the PDF posted elsewhere. It sounds like the disease is worse in minks, (increased mortality), but I saw no mention of serious illness in the farmers. Sounds like mink farmers will want to be very careful about getting their animals sick, just like zookeepers who work with big cats.
If anyone would want testing, it would be humans who work with susceptible species since humans can have very mild or no symptoms.
 
It appears that physical distancing rules can be used as a way to prevent all types of gatherings. Here is an example in Hong Kong where protests have been happening for about a year. This video shows the forced disbursement of a group in a mall who were chanting and singing. There is a ban on gatherings of more than 4 people despite Hong Kong's relative success in controlling COVID-19.

Hong Kong has had 1,066 COVID-19 cases and 3 deaths total.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I9c347l4X3c

Here is an example of how a gov sanctioned media in mainland China is characterizing the protests in Hong Kong:

"Hong Kong Supports National Security Legislation United Front" Signature Event

2020.05.24 20:43:27

On the morning of May 24, He Junyao, a member of the Legislative Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, attended the launching ceremony of "The United Front for National Security Legislation in Hong Kong".

http://slide.news.sina.com.cn/c/slid...58714.html#p=1
 
Zhong Shan, Minister of Commerce: Smart foreigners will not give up China's huge market

World Wide Web on May 26, 2020 03:22
42
  Original title: Minister of Commerce Zhong Shan: Smart Foreign Businessmen Will Not Abandon China ’s Huge Market

  [Global Times reporter Yu Yang] Minister of Commerce Zhong Shan came to the "Ministerial Passage" of the National People's Congress in 2020 after the second plenary session of the Third Session of the 13th National People's Congress on the 25th. In response to questions, he said that smart foreign investors will not give up China's huge market.

  After the outbreak, the global economy was severely affected, and the situation of China's foreign trade and foreign investment was severe.

Zhong Shan said on the 25th that stabilizing foreign trade and foreign investment is of great importance.
He said that from the perspective of foreign trade, the most important thing is to stabilize the main body of foreign trade. There are now more than 300,000 foreign trade entities nationwide, including private enterprises, state-owned enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises. Faced with the impact of the epidemic, these enterprises have encountered unprecedented difficulties. The Party Central Committee and the State Council help and support policies in finance, taxation, finance, insurance, industrial chain, and supply chain. From the perspective of foreign investment, one is to increase the amount of foreign investment, and the other is to stabilize the stock of foreign investment.


  Regarding the so-called doubts about China ’s export of medical materials, Zhong Shan stressed on the 25th that China has not imposed restrictions on the export of medical materials. “Since the outbreak of the global epidemic, China has exported a large amount of medical materials to 199 countries and regions. The epidemic has made important contributions. In addition, the Chinese government also attaches great importance to the quality of exported medical supplies, and has established a three-in-one medical supplies supervision system from commodity production to standard certification to port supervision. He said that the export of medical materials that had problems has been carried out by foreign companies in China for commercial purchases. The problem comes from two aspects. One is that Chinese enterprises have problems with standard certification and quality. China has taken measures to seriously investigate and punish them and prohibit them from exporting medical materials. The second is that foreign companies send non-medical supplies and non-medical materials into hospitals and even use them in clinics, which is very dangerous. After learning that some countries have discovered this problem, China has also investigated and punished such enterprises. "This responsibility is the importer's responsibility."

  Zhong Shan also said about the "imposition of tariffs on Australian barley", China is cautious and restrained in taking trade remedy measures. Since the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Australia, China has launched only one trade remedy investigation against Australia. During the same period, Australia initiated 100 trade remedy investigations against China. Since this year, Australia has launched three cases against China. He called on WTO members to unite against the epidemic and use trade remedies carefully under the current global epidemic.

https://news.sina.com.cn/c/2020-05-2...i5016409.shtml
 
Well...here is exactly what I mean about studies....

The CDC says the overall case fatality rate for COVID-19 in symptomatic people is .4% link

Before I read the CDC report I had a "feeling" the CFR has been about .7-1.0% in all people who have contracted COVID-19. Not based on any science - just looking at the reams of data from different countries.

A bunch of experts think the CDC number of .4% is too low:
"Four out of seven experts consulted earlier by the Center for Public Integrity found the CDC's death rate estimates from April too low. The revised figures remain too optimistic, Harvard epidemiologist William Hanage said.

"If you're taking these numbers to be your guide, they're obviously lowball estimates," he said.

The fatality rates in the document "are certainly at the very low end" of those that scientists think possible, agreed Joseph Lewnard, an epidemiologist at the University of California, Berkeley. 'Greater clarity on the scientific basis for these estimates is urgently needed.'" link



Very conflicting information - all of them experts.
 
We have a few questions about hydroxychloroquine to the email.

Please read as many studies as you can. We have some posted in our library here.

We do not offer any medical advice about this or any other drug. Please consult your medical practitioner.
 
Warning,

if Russia starts to communicate, the level of communication of the actors, will have to be very high. This is the country where I had to live. It is a country which had an original management of the PPA file. This management has strengthened its food production capacities.

It is the country, which has respected small producers, by the will of its political authority on the one hand and on the other hand it is the country, which considering its breeding of non-domestic animals, can produce much more than many others.

Considering the behavior, of spoiled children of American veterinarians, if Russian veterinarians are authorized, to teach them a real lesson, with the declared complicity or not of the Chinese, it will be something ...

I also say that, because some people might want to help them, given the behavior of English people who are starting to tire many people ...


Attention,

si la Russie se met ? communiquer, le niveau de la communication des acteurs, va devoir ?tre tr?s haut. C'est le pays ou je devais vivre. C'est un pays qui a eu une gestion originale du dossier PPA. Cette gestion a renforc? ses capacit?s de production alimentaire.

C'est le pays, qui a respect? les petits producteurs, de par la volont? de son autorit? politique d'une part et d'autre part c'est le pays, qui vu ses ?levages d'animaux non domestiques , peut produire bien plus que bien des autres.

Vu le comportement, d'enfants g?t?s des v?t?rinaires am?ricains, si les v?t?rinaires russes sont autoris?s, ? leur donner une vraie le?on, avec la complicit? d?clar? ou pas des chinois, cela va ?tre quelque chose...

Je dis aussi cela, car certains, pourraient avoir envie de les aider, vu le comportement des anglais qui commencent ? fatiguer bien des personnes...
 
Compl?ment,
quand on ?voque que les russes peuvent, ou vont bouger, il se passe ceci:

https://www.plateforme-esa.fr/sites/...e_Covid_V2.pdf

Si la fiert? des russes, en particulier de leurs femmes, est l?gendaire, il n'y a pas que les russes qui peuvent ?tre fier...

C'est tr?s loin, d'?tre le reflet du su ( publi?) , ? ce stade, mais, par rapport ? il y a tr?s peu, c'est enfin, dans la bonne direction...


Ce serait bien que les am?ricains fassent enfin leur part, car s'il est difficile de lancer certaines structures, quand, elles se mettent ? , ce n'est jamais pour rien.
L? l'on va enfin avancer. Et les chinois seront pr?sent, comme il se doit. Cela, je n'en ai jamais dout? ...
 
Considering the behavior, of spoiled children of American veterinarians, if Russian veterinarians are authorized, to teach them a real lesson, with the declared complicity or not of the Chinese, it will be something ...

Now I think I understand Brexit.
 
I think Russia and China are both net importers of food which means they can not feed their own people with their own overall food production unless, of course, they ration. I believe this includes animal proteins.
 
Jihee Junn | Staff Writer

A week ago, New Zealand launched its official contact tracing app to help in the fight against Covid-19. How does it compare to some of those overseas?
https://thespinoff.co.nz/tech/27-05-...und-the-world/

Gert has posted these threads today:

French contact-tracing app approved by lawmakers, to launch this weekend

India said its coronavirus contact-tracing app is perfect... adds bug bounty and open-sources it anyway

Switzerland is the first to use Apple-Google coronavirus contact tracing technology


I think these apps may be a gross violation of personal privacy rights.
 
A ce stade les d?clarations animales n'ont aucun rapport avec le volume des animaux sensibles d?tenus par les uns et les autres. Les USA ont bien des animaux domestiques et 275 ?levages d?clar?s, ? ce stade, sain. Ceci fait sourire bien du monde ...
https://furcommission.com/mink-farming-2/

Il est fait quoi pour qu'ils le restent ? Il y a un plan de pr?vention en place, ou chacun fait, comme ? NY, ce qu'il veut ?

Concernant les rapports entre ?tats, aller voir les discussions entre Canada et Usa pour la gestion de la peste porcine africaine, chez les animaux sauvages. Il a ?t? discut? des plans de pr?vention. Cela m'a donn? l'impression que l'on parlait de la fronti?re entre les deux Cor?es...


Vous avez une id?e du nombre d'?levage russe, d'animaux ? fourrure ? il y a le vison, mais il me semble qu'il y en a bien d'autres, exemple Nyctereutes procyonoides, etc . C'est tr?s grand la Russie et on y fait bien des choses. On y d?tient et ?l?ve aussi, bien des rongeurs ...

Par ce lien regardez la localisation du cas du chat :
https://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/w...443&newlang=fr

Moi, cela m'a fait sourire.


En d?but de crise, des fronti?res ont ?t? ferm?es, mais il faut bien les ouvrir en appliquant des r?ges accept?es par toutes les parties. Ces r?gles ne portent pas que sur les humains, il y a aussi tout le reste, dont le commerce des animaux de laboratoire plus ou moins humanis?s, par exemple. Il y a eu le temps de la surprise, le temps des r?unions, il faut maintenant des d?cisions.

Si, a ce stade, ils commencent ? communiquer, ce n'est pas par hasard, de mon point de vue.
 
compl?ment,

concernant les v?t?rinaires am?ricains: pour aider ? valider l'usage d'un test, certes, il y eu des publications, concernant des animaux de compagnie et de zoos, mais ensuite, officiellement, plus rien. Mais le test a ?t? vendu en bien des lieux ... Il n'a pas ?t? utilis? des tests dans les ?levages am?ricains, potentiellement concern?s depuis ?

Il a ?t? ?voqu? le vison, en voici, un exemple:


Tiger King sur Netflix : plus de tigres captifs aux Etats-Unis que libres dans la nature

Ils seraient environ 2.000 tigres d?tenus dans des installations l?gales, autoris?es par le d?partement am?ricain de l'Agriculture. Et selon le WWF, seulement 6% de la population am?ricaine de tigres en captivit? r?siderait dans des zoos et d'autres installations accr?dit?es par l'Association of Zoos and Aquariums, qui favorise les programmes de conservation des esp?ces menac?es et d'?ducation du public.

https://www.sciencesetavenir.fr/anim...aux-usa_144077

Le silence concerne, non seulement, les animaux de "compagnie" mais aussi les animaux de production et des animaux de jeux. Il y a pourtant x animaux qui passent les fronti?res. Usuellement, on ?voque le pigeon, un sujet tr?s compliqu?, vu la somme des enjeux ...

Coronavirus : les oiseaux seraient-ils en cause ?

https://infodujour.fr/societe/30440-...t-ils-en-cause

Le confinement emp?che des comportements pas tr?s normaux, donc le nourrissage des animaux "saprophytes" sont moins nourris

CORONAVIRUS : DES MILLIONS D'OISEAUX VONT MOURIR DANS LES VILLES !
https://www.hectorkitchen.com/report...eaux-en-danger


C'est, aussi , un sujet important car un pigeon cela peut valoir des sous :

Record mondial : un pigeon voyageur vendu 1,25 million d'euros en Belgique
https://www.europe1.fr/insolite/reco...lgique-3875987

Si les m?decins ne s'occupent que des humains, en v?t?rinaire, c'est toujours plus compliqu?, car pour r?-ouvrir les fronti?res, il faut une position partag?e sur bien des sujets, pour produire les documents... Ceci impose que des fonctionnaires de tous les pays se causent et franchement, c'est pas n?cessaire de le faire en ?tant disgracieux, car c'est contre-productif... Et comme les politiques leur imposent souvent de faire vite, pour faciliter le commerce, des r?unions, il y en a eu beaucoup, mais comme ils sont astreint, au droit de r?serve, ce sont des personnes discr?tes ...

Concernant les publications, dites scientifiques, donc du m?lange science et politique, qui a toujours exist?:

Pr. Raoult - "... a pris position pour l'hydroxychloroquine, la r?ponse de Lancet est politique !"


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1toAVH8A01U
 
"It is easier to sequence the virus, study its proteins, look for antibodies in the host etc. Researchers typically do what is easy to do rather than what is scientifically more relevant. Since one cannot measure a change in virulence easily, nobody will even talk about any hypothesis related to it. This is what I call “evidence bias” in science."
...

"Virulence management strategies should become an integral part of public health planning. This is not the last time that a new virus arises. This will keep on happening. Understanding of evolutionary dynamics is certainly required to manage public health."



I totally agree, if those who study virulence do it as it should be ...

Organizing the implementation of this collective immunity strategy in a manner that respects societal actors, that is the real challenge. For that, we must first form the politiques, and there, obviously, there is a very big project.

If, in addition, we can do it, while avoiding, to undermine the animal production units of production, even local (bamboo rat), that would be good.


Isn't that the real One Health? I say that because to say that this concept must be highlighted is a good objective, still must we agree on its objectives and its management?
 
"Virulence management strategies should become an integral part of public health planning. This is not the last time that a new virus arises. This will keep on happening. Understanding of evolutionary dynamics is certainly required to manage public health."
I am not sure what 'virulence management strategies' are but wild life sampling to understand the evolutionary dynamics of a microbial pathogen, in its native host species, is essential if we are not to be continually blind sided by zoonotic emergence, unfortunately it is time consuming and expensive.
 
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JJackson
sorry, i didn't respect the rules: these two sentences come from this text:

"It is easier to sequence the virus, study its proteins, look for antibodies in the host etc. Researchers typically do what is easy to do rather than what is scientifically more relevant. Since one cannot measure a change in virulence easily, nobody will even talk about any hypothesis related to it. This is what I call “evidence bias” in science."
...

"Virulence management strategies should become an integral part of public health planning. This is not the last time that a new virus arises. This will keep on happening. Understanding of evolutionary dynamics is certainly required to manage public health."

Covid 19: We need neither vaccine nor herd immunity

https://milindwatve.home.blog/

I also share his recommendation: read his other productions
 
complement,

therefore the best recommendation, to have a return to school (and not that), normal in September, is to impose a generalized summer camp operation, by large age group, to initiate a good collective immunity of the populations of young people , while controlling, the contamination of sensitive populations, at an acceptable rate for the medical structures in place.

Obviously, we are far from getting a glimpse of this, which means that the level of societal preparation (which includes policies), for this kind of agent, was zero: well done to the medical system ...
Why Portugal's Covid-19 test rate is more than double almost every other nation

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-...ovid-19-test-rate-double-almost-every-nation/
On 05/28/2020 at 5:32 p.m., carlier789 wrote:
>
> hello,
>
> following the correct remark:
>
> https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum...ssion-thread-v-covid-19-new-coronavirus/page6
> Today, 09:20 AM
> Milind Watve for me is a very interesting scientist, thinker and writer. His latest blog:
>
> Covid 19: We need neither vaccine nor herd immunity
> https://milindwatve.home.blog/2020/05/27/covid-19-we-need-neither-vaccine-nor-herd-immunity/
> which suggests that good policies are those who have known or will know how to implement the necessary collective immunity, in a manner respectful of their constituents ... The first of the difficulties, it seems to me first to have the good doctors for that. I'm not sure we're at the forefront, and the facts show it elsewhere ...
> And as it was advised to read the other texts, by this author, what I did, here is my look.
>
> In the context of a disease: type 2 diabetes, it will take how long at WHO to scientifically assess all the strategies implemented, including the young hydric advocated by the Russians for a long time and in works in German hospitals, scientifically?
>
>
> This type of work could allow, if the results confirm, my impressions, to introduce the young hydric into public health strategies ...
>
> I say that, because we have been bathing with drugs etc for years, which has a significant cost, for results frankly. As the French medical profession seems, just after having started to dare to look at the homeopathy dossier in a less captivating way, to ask questions about its future, it is perhaps necessary that the good studies are finally initiated ...
 
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