Discussion: Huge drop in Ebola bodies across Liberian capital: Red Cross

[gsgs]

Re: Discussion: Huge drop in Ebola bodies across Liberian capital: Red Cross

but did secret burying suddenly increase a lot ?
The spiritual thing would have been the same weeks ago.

There is a decrease in weekly reported cases since mid-Sep,
but the number of contacts that are being traced is still
increasing.

So, are they reporting fewer cases or just intensified
contact-tracing ?
Since Oct.22 they now also report the number of cases
in their contact-tracing VHF-system.
This number is 56% higher than the reported cases from
Montserrado county. When did this difference build up ?
They must have the numbers, but don't show us.
They should better show the recent trend.

 

[blacknail]

Re: Discussion: Huge drop in Ebola bodies across Liberian capital: Red Cross

but did secret burying suddenly increase a lot ?

Sorry, I didn't have time earlier to post snippets from the article I reference above:

President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf decreed in August that the bodies of Ebola victims in the Monrovia area be cremated. The government brought in a crematorium and hired experts. The order came after people in neighbourhoods of the capital resisted the burial of hundreds of Ebola victims near their homes.

...

?For the last two months it has been difficult to sell even one casket a day,? said Titus Mulbah, an owner of the Talented Brothers Casket Centre. ?And this is all because all bodies now are considered Ebola bodies, as if other diseases are not killing people here.?

So it looks like the decree was given in August and then implemented once the crematorium arrived and it has been hard to sell caskets ever since which coincides with the official casualty numbers peaking in September.

 

[gsgs]

Re: Discussion: Huge drop in Ebola bodies across Liberian capital: Red Cross

the big peak was in week 37, ending 09/14, since then it is continuously declining each week
except some unclear reports of 160 excess cases in week 42 which presumably
(imo) occurred earlier

so, is there evidence for ever increasing underreported cases in Montserrado county
for the weeks 38-43 ?



119,0911,26,18,1,30,14,17,13,18, 6
120,0912, -, -,2,34,24,12, 4,32,26
...
130,0922,30,27,0,17,12, 5, 0,17, 7
...
140,1002, -, -,0,37,16,21,25,12, 8
...
148,1010,23,23,0,33,14,19,19,14,14
...no longer reported...



report#
date
calls received from dispatch
calls responded to
burials
cremations
male
female
buried from the ETUs
buries from communities
homes disinfected



btw. will someone help to type in the data from the pdf-reports
into computer-readable tables ?
(as is partly being done here: https://github.com/cmrivers/ebola
however they don't have all the tables