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CDC & White House Media Briefings on Swine Flu Epidemic

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

20 total confirmed cases in U.S.: 8 - NYC, 1 -OH, 2- KS, 2-TX, 7-CA

Only 1 has been hospitalized

Virus is identical to virus in Mexico & expect to see more severe cases as this outbreak continues

View this as a marathon - recommendations may change over time

"People should think about what they should do if this virus ramps up in their community - ie: if it's my child's school, what should I do?" They'll release more specific public health guidelines later today

25% of U.S Tamiflu stockpile (25% of 50 million courses) has been released to be deployed to states with outbreaks

Also, 7 million courses of Tamiflu have been given to the Dept of Defense for deployment with forces

May revisit the current travel recommendation re: Mexico
 
Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

25% is 12.5 million courses..56% released to Dept. of Defense?

25% of U.S Tamiflu stockpile (25% of 50 million courses) has been released to be deployed to states with outbreaks

Also, 7 million courses of Tamiflu have been given to the Dept of Defense for deployment with forces
 
Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Notes:

1) President Obama offers his sympathy to all those who are suffering with this outbreak.

2) President Obama is closely following the events and there are daily meetings to assess the situation and response.

3) The United States strongly supports Mexico in this event.

4) The administration is active in communication of the situation and surveillance of this disease event.

5) The United States is coordinating with WHO, PAHO, various states.

6) There is a strong Tri-National Team - United States, Canada, Mexico to address this situation.

7) HHS is in charge of surveillance and guidance.

8) CDC is in charge of identification, tracking, communication.

9) There are 20 confirmed cases in the U.S.

10) 8 cases in New York.

11) 1 case in Ohio.

12) 2 cases in Kansas.

13) 2 Cases in Texas.

14) 7 Cases in California.

15) All recovered.

16) Looks to be same strain as in Mexico.

17) CDC expects to see severe cases in the United States due to increased surveillance.

18) This disease will continue to spread.

19) The CDC is working with state and local governments.

20) The CDC is performing laboratory testing.

21) The CDC is assisting in the effort to establish local testing capability in Mexico.

22) The United States is releasing 25% of its anti-viral stockpile for use (total 50 million, 10 pills courses).

23) In addition, the DOD has 7 million courses.

24) USDA is monitoring food supply and everything "looks good".

25) Travelers entering the United States with symptoms will be isolated.

26) The United States State Department has not issued travel advisories.

27) Response needs to be a "shared responsibility" between government and individuals.

28) The incubation period is 24 - 48 hours.

29) Obama, nor anyone in his traveling party, on the recent Mexico trip, has experienced any flu symptoms.

30) Eating pork will not give someone swine flu.


Sharon Sanders
for FluTrackers.com
 
Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

At this point, any reference to 'vaccine' would necessarily have to be a vaccine that is not specific to the human swine flu currently being watched and therefore of unknown and questionable effectiveness.

It could be a generic pre-pandemic vaccine whose use is prompted by a "better-than-nothing" situation and whose supply is limited.

We'll have to wait and see exactly what they intend to do.
 
Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

25% is 12.5 million courses..56% released to Dept. of Defense?

I understood the Dept. of Defense release is in addition to the 25% release to the individual states.

I also understood these to be "courses" however reading a couple of news stores they say "doses" so my numbers MAY be inflated. I guess we'll have to wait for a press release to get the exact number.

Sorry for any confusion.
 
Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

I understood the Dept. of Defense release is in addition to the 25% release to the individual states.

I also understood these to be "courses" however reading a couple of news stores they say "doses" so my numbers MAY be inflated. I guess we'll have to wait for a press release to get the exact number.

Sorry for any confusion.


I also understood the DOD amount to be in addition to the national stockpile.
 
Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

no worries thebes, everything is changing quickly and many numbers are being thrown around. I just found the numbers to be interesting. And of course we would want front line individuals to be protected.

I understood the Dept. of Defense release is in addition to the 25% release to the individual states.

I also understood these to be "courses" however reading a couple of news stores they say "doses" so my numbers MAY be inflated. I guess we'll have to wait for a press release to get the exact number.

Sorry for any confusion.
 
Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

U.S. Declares Public Health Emergency in Wake of Swine Flu

U.S. Declares Public Health Emergency in Wake of Swine Flu

Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano said 25 percent of the stockpile for the swine flu anti-viral medication has been released as the U.S. declares a public health emergency.

FOXNews.com
Sunday, April 26, 20090
WASHINGTON --

The United States has activated an emergency plan to combat swine flu as the Obama administration announced measures Sunday to contain the sometimes deadly virus.


The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has identified the strain of flu and has developed anti-viral medications for distribution. A quarter of the stockpile is being released around the country in places where swine flu has been located or may be expected to spread, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano said in a briefing at the White House.

The U.S. stockpile is currently 50 million doses.

Travel advisories have not been issued by the State Department, Napolitano said, nor is the United States going to screen passengers on flights arriving from Mexico. She said funds have been freed up in case a larger response is needed.

Hand-washing, mask-wearing and other measures will help prevent the spread, Napolitano said. "If you are sick, stay home," Napolitano said, explaining how the public can help slow the spread. "Take all of those reasonable measures that will help us mitigate and contain" the illness.

People who are ill should not go on airplanes, to school or other places, added Dr. Richard Besser, the acting head of the CDC.

Besser said the United States is working with the World Health Organization, Canada and Mexico as well as other organizations to reduce the spread, which appears to have originated in Mexico and has resulted in up to 81 deaths there. The CDC has issued advice on its Web site on how to avoid the sickness and how to react if people think they are infected.

"Every outbreak is unique" and it's very hard to say how long it will be before it's contained. But Besser said since it's near the end of flu season right now, a decline would be likely.

However, he added, "We view this more as a marathon. We do think this will continue to spread but we are taking aggressive actions to minimize the impact on people's health."

"Even if this outbreak is a small one we can anticipate that we may have a subsequent of follow on outbreak in several months from now," Napolitano said.

John Brennan, assistant to the president for homeland security, said President Obama has offered his full support to the Mexican government and people. He said increased surveillance efforts have resulted in the identification of new cases over the last 24 hours. "Early identification is vitally important," Brennan said. "Communications have been robust and medical surveillance efforts are fully activated."

Brennan said early communications and quick response will be the key to combating an outbreak of the swine flu, which has had spread rapidly throughout the world. In the U.S., 20 cases of swine flu have been confirmed in California, New York, Texas, Ohio and Kansas.


Patients have ranged in age from 9 to over 50. Besser said that all the cases have resulted in recovery and one person remains hospitalized.


The incubation period for swine flu is 24-48 hours.


White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said despite reports Obama did not have a medical exam since it's been nine days since he left Mexico.

Gibbs said earlier Sunday that now is not the time to panic.

"We are increasing the monitoring and preparedness that we would need to have in place in order to deal with any sort of emergency, but it is of concern to the White House," Gibbs said on "Meet the Press."

As the briefing was occurring, Mexico City's mayor announced that two more people died overnight in the capital of swine flu, and three other deaths are suspected to have been caused by the new strain.

Marcelo Ebrard said 73 more people have been hospitalized with influenza and authorities are investigating how many of them may have been infected with swine flu.

The deadly swine flu strain in Mexico has sickened more than 1,324 since April 13. Israel, New Zealand, Spain and other nations have reported suspected isolated cases after citizens from those countries returned home from Mexico.

The Israeli Health Ministry said the biggest concern is a spread of the disease from person to person. "The main route of contamination would be from person to person and not from pigs. There is no swine flu in pigs in Israel. There are not many pigs in Israel," said Dr. Hagai Levin.

"You can not get the swine flu from eating pork," Napolitano said.

Swine flu is dangerous because it changes its form and takes on characteristics like bird flu, and there is no vaccination, said Dr. Isador Rosenfeld, a FOX News contributor.

"It's a melange of viruses packed into one," Rosenfeld said, adding that swine flu is usually a mild infection. He suggested staying away from crowded places where people are sneezing and coughing and washing hands. He said he's a bit confounded about why so many people in Mexico have died because swine flu does respond to Tamiflu and other anti-viral medicines.

"This thing is treatable," he said.
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<cite cite="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/first100days/2009/04/26/napolitano-cdc-hold-joint-news-conference-swine-flu/">U.S. Declares Public Health Emergency in Wake of Swine Flu - First 100 Days of Presidency - Politics FOXNews.com</cite>
 
Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Re: USA - White House Briefing On Swine Flu Today at 12:30 pm EDT - Video Stream Link

Prez was golfing so I guess there are no worries :rolleyes: Or was that supposed to be the impression :confused:
 
Re: CDC Media Briefings on Swine Flu Epidemic in Mexico & USA

Re: CDC Media Briefings on Swine Flu Epidemic in Mexico & USA

Thanks hawkeye -

This from today - hat tip Fla Medic
Sunday?s CDC Teleconference On Swine Flu



# 3054



I?ve just gotten off the conference line with the CDC, and once again Anne Schuchat, M.D., Interim Deputy Director for Science and Public Health Program, fielded a great many questions from the press.

Although the transcript, and audio for this conference will likely be posted later today, or tomorrow, I can relay at least some of the highlights.

Yesterday?s CDC conference is now available for you to listen to HERE.
Dr. Schuchat began with a brief opening statement where she stressed that the CDC was approaching this outbreak aggressively, and is concerned.

She confirmed 20 cases in 5 states, but expects those numbers to change.

One of the 20 confirmed cases is hospitalized, but most are reporting only mild symptoms.

That too, she fears, could change.

She warns we should expect a broader spectrum of disease, with significant variance in symptoms. While we have not seen any fatalities here in the US, there is an expectation that we certainly could going forward.

Outbreaks are unpredictable, and while the CDC will attempt to make forecasts, they won?t always be correct.

Recommendations will be `interim?, and subject to change as they find more cases and learn more about the virus.

There may be differences in recommendations between localities, and people need to pay attention to their local health authorities.

Dr. Schuchat then entertained questions from the press. She wasn?t able to answer all of them, of course. The investigation into the cases here in the U.S. and in Mexico are still underway, and many things simply aren?t known.

What she was able to tell us is that the CDC now has 12 samples from Mexico, and that there are teams of CDC scientists in Mexico ? working both with the WHO (World Health Organization) and as part of a Trilateral Response Team (Mexico-US-Canada) ? looking for answers.

The virus in Mexico `looks like? the one here in the US, but additional testing is ongoing.


When asked why the disease was different in Mexico, Dr. Schuchat said it was premature to assume that it is ? that there are too few cases here in the US to make that call.

It was asked whether previous exposure to other H1N1 viruses might provide some level of immunity?

The answer there is unknown, however cross reaction tests with the current seasonal flu shot were `pessimistic?, and the current shot is not thought to convey much, if any, immunity.

Dr. Schuchat stated that there is evidence of sustained chains of transmission, with Human-to-Human-to-Human infection.

Many questions were asked about vaccine production, and right now, there are more questions than answers. Any vaccine is months away, and that will depend ? in part ? on how well the virus grows in the lab.

Experts are trying to decide how to incorporate emergency vaccine production into the schedule this late into the seasonal flu vaccine production run. No decision has been made on how, or even if, a swine flu vaccine will be manufactured.

The symptoms of this virus, so far, are non-specific. They could fit just about any respiratory virus, making it difficult to diagnose. They generally include high fever, sore throat, muscle aches, nausea and occasionally diarrhea.

Individuals should be thinking ahead, planning on how they will deal with issues such as local school closures if they should be ordered. Parents may need to stay home with their kids, or make other arrangements for them.

People should be finding out how to get good local information from their community health department, government, and schools.

They need to stay informed.

Wash hands frequently to reduce the spread of the virus. Cover coughs and sneezes. Don't touch eyes & nose with potentially contaminated hands, and of course, stay home when Ill.

The CDC plans to hold frequent (probably daily) news conferences like this one for the foreseeable future.
 
Re: CDC Media Briefings on Swine Flu Epidemic in Mexico & USA

Re: CDC Media Briefings on Swine Flu Epidemic in Mexico & USA

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2009/04/swine-flu-warning-obama.html USA. National swine flu alert: Obama White House explains, advises; full text.

National swine flu alert: Obama White House explains, advises; full text

[Original text: LINK. EDITED.]

Homeland security Secretary Janet Napolitano

Full text of the White House emergency swine influenza briefing by Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano (above); John Brennan, assistant to the president for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism; Dr. Richard Besser, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; and Robert Gibbs, presidential press secretary:

MR. GIBBS: Good afternoon, guys. Thank you for taking some time out of your Sunday afternoon. We wanted to bring together many of the people that have the primary governmental responsibility in dealing with the situation and to discuss the government's capacity and capability to discuss the steps the government is taking to address this.

Three people we'll hear from today and then we'll take some questions: First, John Brennan, Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism; Dr. Richard Besser, the Acting Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Janet Napolitano, the Secretary of Homeland Security. So with that I'll turn it over to Mr. Brennan.

MR. BRENNAN: Thank you, Robert. And thank you, everyone, for coming here today. Obviously, President Obama is very concerned about the recent cases of swine flu that have been identified in the United States, as well as the outbreak in Mexico. The President's thoughts are with those who have been affected by this illness. He is monitoring the situation very closely and has supported a very active, progressive and coordinated response by his administration.

The President wants Americans to be fully informed of the situation, which is why we have convened this press briefing today. The vast majority of these cases have occurred in Mexico. Building on the close bilateral cooperation that President Obama advanced during his recent visit to Mexico, he has asked me to publicly convey his full support to President Calder?n, the Mexican government and the Mexican people in their efforts to contain the outbreak.

Both the U.S. and Mexican governments are taking steps to reduce the potential for further transmission. Our goal is simple: to communicate information quickly and clearly for our citizens, to rapidly address any new cases that emerge, and to have the capacity to effectively limit the spread.

At this point a top priority is to ensure that communication is robust and that medical surveillance efforts are fully activated. This will enable both the rapid identification and broad notification of any new cases that may occur in the U.S., as well as in Mexico.

We believe that our increased surveillance efforts have resulted in the identification of new cases over the last 24 hours. Early identification is vitally important to the overall effort. In the event that....

...additional cases or sites of infection occur within the United States we want to recognize them quickly and then respond rapidly with appropriate guidance for the public health community and the general public in the infected area.

We also want to ensure medical surveillance and testing and the provision of medications and medical supplies are distributed where necessary.

I would like to share with you some of the steps the administration has taken to ensure that information about this evolving event is flowing swiftly among federal, state and local partners, between U.S., Mexican, Canadian and other governments and with the World Health Organization.

First, the President is receiving regular updates and briefings on the situation. I updated the President earlier today. The President has reviewed our national capabilities to mitigate the effects of a broader outbreak in the United States and the steps we are taking to support state and local governments and their public health experts.

I am consulting closely with Secretary Napolitano, who is the principal federal official for domestic incident management with responsibility for spearheading our efforts. The Homeland Security Council has convened an interagency body of senior federal experts to facilitate coordination among the federal departments and agencies that have a role in recognizing, responding to, and communicating with domestic and international partners regarding health incidents that have the potential for significant impact to our nation's well-being.

This group has been conferencing daily to share updates and to identify actions we can take now to respond to developments in an accelerated and effective manner. The information and decisions of the group are reported daily to senior leaders in the federal government and throughout the White House. Additional reports are provided as new information of significance becomes available.

Mexico City citizens wearing mask against Swine Flu outbreaks

While the President and his administration are actively coordinating the overall government response, individual departments and agencies with specific responsibilities as well as unique expertise and experience in dealing with public health risks are leading key elements of the effort.

For example, the Department of Health and Human Services is responsible for the overall effort to coordinate disease surveillance, medical preparedness, and guidance to public health professionals in the event that further cases are detected.

The Departments -- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has responsibility for identifying and tracking the spread of the disease and for communicating health-related information to the government, media, and public. To this end, the CDC has held regular public briefings since Friday.

In a moment, Dr. Richard Besser, the Acting Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, will provide an update on the situation in the United States and Mexico, as well as where health professionals and the public can go for reliable information and guidance on swine influenza.

As I mentioned, Secretary Napolitano and the Department of Homeland Security have the overall lead for coordinating the federal response to an influence epidemic in the United States. The department is closely coordinating with Health and Human Services and CDC to monitor the situation.

After Dr. Besser speaks, you will hear from Secretary Napolitano, who will update you on the department's efforts to coordinate response preparations and actions to date. The Secretary also will describe actions that are underway to ensure communication of timely and accurate information at land borders and at ports of entry as well as to travelers who seek additional information.

Clearly we all have individual responsibility for dealing with this situation. We should all be practicing good hygienic practices, such as hand-washing on a regular basis; if you feel sick, it makes sense to stay home; and then also following the other practices that are common sense when we deal with an outbreak of flu every year. I would ask that you hold your questions until after Dr. Besser and Secretary Napolitano have finished their remarks.

DR. BESSER: Thank you, Mr. Brennan. First, I want to say that our hearts go out to the people in Mexico and the people in the United States who've been impacted by this outbreak. People around the country and around the globe are concerned with this situation we're seeing, and we're concerned as well. As we look for cases of swine flu, we are seeing more cases of swine flu.

We expect to see more cases of swine flu. We're responding and we're responding aggressively to try and learn about this outbreak and to implement measures to control this outbreak.

Let me provide for you an update in terms of where we are today and what kinds of public health actions are being taken here as well as abroad. Today we can confirm that there are 20 cases of swine flu in the United States. We have five affected states: There are eight cases confirmed in New York City, there's one case confirmed in Ohio, two in Kansas, two in Texas, and seven in California.

And again, as we continue to look for cases, I expect that we're going to find them. We've ramped up our surveillance around the country to try and understand better what is the scope, what is the magnitude of this outbreak.

The good news -- all of the individuals in this country who have been identified as cases have recovered. Only one individual had to be hospitalized. But I expect as we continue to look for cases, we are going to see a broader spectrum of disease. What we know about this virus is it looks to be the same virus as is causing the situation in Mexico. And given the reports out of Mexico, I would expect that over time we're going to see more severe disease in this country.

There are some things that it's important people understand: Flu viruses are extremely unpredictable and variable; outbreaks of infectious disease are extremely unpredictable and variable. And so over time what we say about this and what we learn will change.

Expect changes in terms of the number of cases. We're going to try and give you consistent information and have it on our web site once a day, so that we don't get into the situation where you're hearing different numbers of cases throughout the day -- we're going to report that daily.

We expect that we're going to be changing our recommendations over time based on what we learn. And that's an important thing. You'll start to see different activities taking place in different parts of the country, depending on the local outbreak picture -- and that's good. You want people to respond based on what the situation is in their community, based on what situations are in particular countries.

Because of this speed in which things are progressing, you will at find -- at times find inconsistent information, and we're going to work really hard to make sure that that doesn't stay up for long. But as we're updating recommendations and they're going out through various sources, you may find some inconsistency and we will work to minimize that.

This is moving fast, but I want you to understand that we view this more as a marathon. We do think that this will continue to spread, but we are taking aggressive actions to minimize the impact on people's health.

It's important that people understand that there's a role for everyone to play when there's an outbreak going on. There are things that individuals do, there's things that families do, communities do to try and reduce the impact. At the individual level, it's important people understand how they can prevent respiratory infections. Very frequent hand-washing is something that we talk about time and time again and that is an effective way to reduce transmission of disease.

If you're sick, it's very important that people stay at home. If your children are sick, have a fever and flu-like illness, they shouldn't go to school. And if you're ill, you shouldn't get on an airplane or another public transport to travel. Those things are part of personal responsibility in trying to reduce the impact.

It's important that people think about what they would do if this outbreak ramps up in their community. We understand that in New York City there's a cluster of disease in a school and New York City has announced that they're not having those children come back to school on Monday, so that they can understand better about transmission in that school.

There's a similar situation in Texas. Those are very smart public health decisions. If there are other communities where we saw cases in a school, we would be recommending that they take those actions as well.

So it's time for people to be thinking -- forward-thinking about, well, if it were my child's school, what would I do, how would I be prepared for that kind of an event. We view the public as partners in the efforts to try and control what's going on.

There are a number of sources of information. I want people to know that the CDC web site -- www.cdc.gov -- has our latest information on swine flu. There's a link from there to very current information and there's a link there to a Spanish language site as well.

So let me talk about some of the public health actions that are going on. We are working very closely with state and local public health on the investigations going on around the country. We're providing both technical support on the epidemiology as well as support on the laboratory in terms of confirming cases.

We're also doing a lot of work with the World Health Organization, the Pan American Health Organization, and the governments of Mexico and Canada on this outbreak. There's a tri-national team that is working in Mexico to try and understand better the spread -- why are they seeing more severe disease in Mexico than we are here? That's a critical question.

We're working to assist Mexico in establishing more laboratory capacity in-country. That, again, is very important because when you can define someone as a truly confirmed case, what you understand about how they acquire disease takes on much more meaning.

We issued two days ago an outbreak notice on our web site regarding travel to Mexico. It indicated that if you are traveling to Mexico, that you look at that to see what precautions could you take as an individual to reduce the likelihood that you became ill. We're going to continue to evaluate the situation in Mexico, and if need be we will increase the warnings based on what the situation warrants.

Later today we're going to be putting out some additional community guidance so that public health officials will know what our general recommendations are should they see cases in schools or additional cases in their community.

And I think that the last thing I want to mention is that whenever we see a novel strain of influenza, we begin our work in the event that a vaccine needs to be manufactured. So we've created that seed stock, we've identified that virus, and discussions are underway so that should we decide to work on manufacturing a vaccine, we can work towards that goal very quickly.

Our support to the states and locals will continue. We provide epidemiologic support, laboratory support, and we provide them support in terms of their medications and other material that they need to work on this outbreak.So thank you very much, and I'll turn it over to the Secretary.

SECRETARY NAPOLITANO: Thanks, Dr. Besser. A number of things going on and the purpose of today, this briefing, is to give you the most current information about what is happening. And as has been mentioned before, this is a changing picture. And so we intend to conduct these types of briefings daily for a while so that, you know, it can help up communicate to the public what is happening and so that with knowledge people know what kind of issue we're dealing with.

The first thing I want to announce today is that the Department of Health and Human Services will declare today a public health emergency in the United States. That sounds more severe than really it is. This is standard operating procedure and allows us to free up federal, state, and local agencies and their resources for prevention and mitigation; it allows us to use medication and diagnostic tests that we might not otherwise be able to use, particularly on very young children; and it releases funds for the acquisition of additional antivirals.

So you'll see those declarations coming out today. And when I say "standard operating procedure," that's exactly what I mean. We issued similar declarations for the recent floods in Minnesota and North Dakota and for the inauguration.

Second, I want to give you some information about where we are with respect to antiviral drugs. These are the kinds of things you would take should you get sick with this strain of flu. We have 50 million treatment courses of antiviral drugs -- Tamiflu and Relenza -- in the strategic national stockpile. We are releasing 25 percent of those courses, making them available to all of the states, but particularly prioritizing the states where we already have confirmed incidents of the flu.

In addition, the Department of Defense has procured and strategically prepositioned 7 million treatment courses of Tamiflu.

The United States Department of Agriculture is heavily involved in monitoring and testing to ensure that there is no issue with our food supply, and everything looks fine. I want to underscore that you cannot get the swine flu from eating pork. So that's very important. And we're screening and testing livestock to monitor any developments there.

Next, in the Department of Homeland Security, we have a number of components with direct responsibility here. The CBP is inventorying for every duty station and every employee our resources, personal protective equipment, and so forth, to make sure that we have adequate supplies on hand at the borders themselves.

Secondly, we have implemented passive surveillance protocols to screen individuals who may arrive at our borders. All persons entering the United States from a location of human infection of swine flu will be processed through all appropriate CBP protocols. Right now those are passive.

That means that they're looking for people who -- and asking about, are you sick, have you been sick, and the like; and if so, then they can be referred over for further examination.

Travelers who do present with symptoms, if and when encountered, will be isolated per established rules. They will be provided both with personal protective equipment and we will continue to emphasize universal health measures like hand-washing and gloves. And if and when the situation develops all CBP sites can implement and we can deploy additional personnel to the borders.

In addition, at the TSA, many of the similar measures are being implemented there with respect to the protection of our TSA workers and also their experience with travelers. To date, the State Department has not issued official travel advisories for particularly Mexico, but again, as I said earlier, these situations are very fluid and so you need to keep up to date on that.

In addition to the CDC website, the Department of State has a website that will keep travelers posted on what the situation is not only with our neighboring countries, but with countries around the world.

As I said earlier, our intent is to update you daily on this situation so that you can know what is happening within the federal government. State and local governments obviously now are in the loop. State and local public health authorities obviously are working very hard and will be working hard, because as the doctor said, this will be a marathon, not a sprint, and even if this outbreak is a small one, we can anticipate that we may have a subsequent or follow-on outbreak several months later, which we will be prepared for.

And again, the government can't solve this alone. We need everybody in the United States to take some responsibility here. If you are sick, stay home. Wash your hands, take all of those reasonable measures; that will help us mitigate, contain how many people actually get sick in our country.Thank you.

MR. GIBBS: With that, let's take a few questions.

Q Thanks, Robert. Are there any U.S. clusters that suggest this is easily spread? Have we seen any pockets of suspected cases in the U.S. that suggest this could be on the scale of Mexico? And you say it's a marathon. How long is this marathon going to be?

DR. BESSER: Thanks for those questions. In terms of duration, my comment earlier about every outbreak is unique is really important to remember. And so it's very hard to say. There's one thing in our favor; we're nearing the end of the flu season, we're nearing the end of the season in which flu viruses tend to transmit very easily. And so we would expect to see a decline in cases, just like we're seeing a decline in cases of seasonal flu, at some point.

The issue of clusters is an important one, and New York City earlier talked about their school cluster, and that's important. Some of our early epidemiologic investigations are showing that contacts of people who have been diagnosed have a significant rate of respiratory infection -- not confirmed to be this; we only have one documented by viral isolate case in this country of person-to-person spread -- and that was an individual who had gone to Mexico and came back, and then there was a spouse who was diagnosed as well, and both are doing well.

Q Robert, how concerned are you about the potential for this outbreak to set back the hopeful economic recovery both here in the United States and globally? And secondly, what if anything are we meant to read into the fact the President Obama decided to go golfing today? Is this part of your effort to reassure Americans that there's no need to panic?

MR. GIBBS: I'm not sure I would draw a direct conclusion between the news today and the President's golf. (Laughter.) I think as Mr. Brennan said, the President has been updated regularly on this and we'll continue to do so as we will continue to regularly update you.

In terms of anything that is affected economically both here and worldwide, I think it's probably far too early to determine whether that will be a case or whether that will have some factor. We just want to ensure that people understand the steps that are being taken both here and throughout government to address the situation, as well as, as each of these speakers have said, understand the individual responsibilities that people have.

If you have questions, go to the CDC website at cdc.gov. And as the doctor mentioned, there's also a Spanish version of that site.

Q First to you, Robert. Why was it necessary to have the President checked this morning?

MR. GIBBS: The President hasn't been checked this morning.

Q Ms. Jarrett indicated today on a Sunday morning program that he had been.

MR. GIBBS: I will double-check. I don't know of any reason why he would have been.

Q And Dr. Besser --

MR. GIBBS: Let me expand that a little bit. I think these guys obviously have more medical degrees than I do, but the incubation period for this is a 24-48 hour incubation period. The doctors advised us that the President's health was never in any danger. We've been gone from Mexico for now more than nine days.

Q Dr. Besser, you mentioned seed stock for vaccines. What is the threshold that you have to meet before you consider developing that vaccine and deploying that vaccine?

DR. BESSER: There are a number of things that we look at going into the decision as to whether to make a vaccine. One is the severity of the strain, its sustainability in the community; do we anticipate that it's a virus that will be here next flu season -- so you want to prepare for that. Then there are issues in terms of production.

Currently manufacturers are working on seasonal flu vaccine for next season, which has three types of influenza virus -- or influenza antigen in it. We have to have discussions to determine could they add a fourth; would it require substituting or changing production in another way? All of those discussions are underway, so that if there's a decision to move in that direction we'd be ready.

Q I notice that you're not recommending that people, even if they're ill, become vaccinated. Has the President been vaccinated by Tamiflu or Relenza? And at what level does this have to get before we go from a public health emergency to a federal pandemic plan?

DR. BESSER: I wanted to clarify a couple things you said. Oseltamivir and zanamavir are not vaccines. Those are antiviral drugs that can be used to treat somebody who is ill.

One of the points I didn't make before is that if someone is ill with flu-like symptoms, in particular if they've traveled to an area that's been involved, they need to contact their doctor and determine what type testing and treatment is indicated.

At this point there is not a vaccine for this swine flu strain. It's a new strain of influenza. And so what we're talking about is whether it's warranted at this point to move toward manufacturing a vaccine.

Q Two questions. First, I want to know if the public health emergency declaration allows the federal government to invoke any kind of quarantine powers. And if so, how would that be used? And second, we've been hearing for years that we could have another 1918-like pandemic. So based on what you know right now, how likely is it that this could be a very, very severe outbreak?

SECRETARY NAPOLITANO: The public health declaration does not, in and of itself, convey quarantine authority. And most quarantine authority is held at the local and state level, and we're nowhere near that sort of a decision.

The decisions that have been made to date are the common-sense ones, the few places where we've had a U.S. outbreak, to close a school here, close a school there. But most quarantine authority is held at the state and local level. And this declaration does not, in and of itself, provide that.

DR. BESSER: The other part of your question had to do with 1918 and what we're seeing here. One of the very important issues that we're looking at is how severe is this outbreak that's taking place. What we're seeing in this country so far is not anywhere near the severity of what we're hearing about in Mexico, and we need to understand that.

It's also important to recognize that there have been enormous efforts going on around the country and around the world for pandemic preparedness and that our detection of this strain in the United States really came out as part of that.

There was work going on in San Diego in terms of developing a point of care test kit, something that could be used in doctors' offices, that detected a strain they couldn't identify, and that was identified in our laboratories as the swine flu strain.

And so that -- really some of the preparedness activities, the laboratory capability that we have now is not what it was five years ago, let alone in 1918. We understand a lot about how flu should be managed and treated.

Q And if I could just follow with one other question. Relenza and Tamiflu, how effective are they in treating this particular strain, if at all?

DR. BESSER: At this point, it's premature to talk about how effective they are. Those are some of the studies that we would want to undertake and assist Mexico in undertaking. We do know from seasonal flu that early treatment with antivirals can shorten the course of illness. But in terms of this situation, we know that the strain is susceptible, it's not resistant to those drugs.

It is resistant to other drugs, amantadine and rimantadine. But it's not resistant to oseltamivir and zanamavir, which are the drugs that we've been stockpiling.

SECRETARY NAPOLITANO: I just wanted to clarify -- on the declaration of emergency, I wish we could call it declaration of emergency preparedness, because that's really what it is in this context. It's similar to what we do, for example, when we know -- when a hurricane may be approaching a site, we will go ahead and issue an emergency declaration that allows us to preposition -- frees up money, resources to get pre-positioned, to get ready.

A hurricane may not actually hit a particular landfall, but it allows you to undertake a number of preparatory steps. And really that's what we're doing right now, the government. We're leaning forward, we're preparing in an environment where we really don't know ultimately what the size or seriousness of this outbreak is going to be.

Q Dr. Besser, you said we were likely to see more cases and the CDC's Dr. Ann Schuchat said yesterday, "We do not think we can contain the spread of this virus." What exactly does that mean?

DR. BESSER: In strategies for outbreak control there's a concept of containment where if you can detect it very quickly in one community, that you could swoop in and try and quench it and knock it out so it doesn't go further. We don't think that that's a possibility, but we do think that it's very possible to mitigate or reduce the impact of this infection around the country.

In terms of detection, what we're seeing in this country is mild disease -- things that would never have been detected if we weren't ramping up our surveillance. And so my comment there is that by our efforts of asking doctors to culture -- we are asking doctors when they see someone who has flu-like illness who has traveled to an affected region to do a culture -- take a swab in their nose and send it to the lab so we can see, is it influenza, is it this type. And I expect that as we do that we're going to find cases all -- in many different parts.

When I mentioned the states we're seeing cases in right now, they're not all contiguous. The travel patterns of people now are such that we would expect that we're going to see cases in more states.

Q If I could follow up on that, is it true that it took a week until after Mexico had invoked its own protective measures before the U.S. was notified of this? And is it a significant concern that HHS is in charge of this at a time when it doesn't have a Secretary?

DR. BESSER: In terms of detection and reporting, you know, the confirmation of swine flu from Mexico was shared with us immediately. There was great collaboration between Canada and Mexico on doing that testing. I'm in daily communication with their public health leadership and the collaborations have been absolutely superb. We share information about what we're seeing here and they're sharing information about what they're seeing in Canada and in Mexico.

Q They sent those tests to Canada rather than the U.S., apparently because of paperwork.

DR. BESSER: Well, we have -- there are quite a number of isolates that we've tested here from Mexico as well.

MR. GIBBS: In terms of a Secretary, I think these guys have given you a pretty good indication of the response mechanisms that are in place and that have been activated relating to this. So I think it's all hands on deck and we're doing fine. I would say we're hopeful that we have a new Secretary very shortly.

Yes, ma'am.

Q Secretary Napolitano, I believe Japan and South Korea have both now announced that they're going to begin testing on passengers coming in from the U.S. Why is the U.S. not doing that with passengers coming in from Mexico? And then also, do you have any indications -- I know it's still very early yet -- but any indications that perhaps this might have been caused by bioterrorism, this new strain of flu?

SECRETARY NAPOLITANO: I'll let John answer the second part. With respect to that, we're doing, as I said, passive surveillance now. Right now we don't think the facts warrant a more active testing or screening of passengers coming in from Mexico, although obviously we are letting air carriers and our employees at the gates on those flights make sure that they are asking people if they're sick; and if they're sick, that they shouldn't board the plane -- you know, that sort of thing, passively.

But again, this is a changing dynamic that we may increase or decrease that as the facts change over the next 24, 48, 72 hours.

DR. BESSER: Yes, the question about the strain that we're seeing here, we analyzed that strain and are continuing to do further analysis of that strain and we expect to see the emergence of new flu strains.

That's something that we are continually watching for to ensure that we're ready should a strain emerge that there's not immunity and protection in the community for it. This strain is not unlike other new strains that have emerged. It's an assortment -- it's got genetic components from a number of sources, including human, swine, and avian sources. And that's something that you see with new strains.

And so there's nothing that we have seen in our work that would suggest anything but a naturally occurring event.

Q But from a security perspective, nothing to rule it out either -- the possibility of bioterrorism?

MR. BRENNAN: We are looking at all different aspects here, but as the doctor said, there is no evidence whatsoever that we have seen. But clearly, in order to make sure that we're doing everything possible, we're looking at all potential explanations here -- but no evidence whatsoever on the bioterrorism --

Q How do the -- Madam Secretary, how do the stocks of effective antivirals today compare to previous outbreaks -- SARS, for example? And will DOD stocks be available for the public, or are those just for DOD?

SECRETARY NAPOLITANO: Right now the DOD stocks I believe are for the DOD personnel, but I'll have to confirm that for you later. I believe that to be the case. We have 50 million courses that are in the national stockpile.

As I said, we're freeing up a quarter of those for use by the states, in addition to whatever state stockpiles they have, should they need it. Priority will go to the states that have confirmed outbreaks of disease. And I don't have the history on how that compares to what we had on hand for SARS.

DR. BESSER: The strategic national stockpile has considerable assets for treating flu. In addition to the antivirals, there's the supplies should we see hospitalizations that would warrant support. SARS is a different picture in that there were -- there was not a medication that people could take to treat it, and so this is a very different situation.

And as part of our planning for a large outbreak this pre-deployment of availability is a leaning-forward step. We know that many states aren't seeing any cases, but it was our belief that having things there ahead of time was the way to go, rather than waiting until it got to a point where people were asking.

Q Secretary Napolitano, you mentioned the quarantine power and, you know, that's really a state and local issue. What additional authority does the President have, what other powers does he have to contain this, to mitigate it, whatever. What else can he do?

SECRETARY NAPOLITANO: I don't want to give you a legal brief on that right now, but that's --

Q Perhaps later? (Laughter.)

SECRETARY NAPOLITANO: Yes, exactly. (Laughter.) We want to make sure that it's very precisely explained to you and to the public. So perhaps we could brief that to you later on this week.

Q But there are additional things? You guys are confident that -- measures that you can take, beyond a declaration of emergency -- things that you can do at the federal level?

SECRETARY NAPOLITANO: Yes.

Q Okay. And Robert, actually, can you follow up on that eco question, on the eco trade. I just want to be clear, you're not at all studying this, measuring what sort of effect this could have economically -- you're just not at that level yet?

MR. GIBBS: I'll check with NEC. I don't know of anything related to that at this point, but we can certainly check.Yes, ma'am.

Q What haven't you banned U.S. travel to Mexico and why haven't you changed the U.S. alert level in the face of this -- unless the declaration of public health emergency is doing that?

DR. BESSER: I can comment. We have at CDC posted an outbreak notification regarding Mexico, and we're continuing to watch the situation there and evaluate. And should it be warranted, we would make a change in that regard.

In terms of the stages and phases of pre-pandemic situations, the real important take-away is that we have an outbreak of a new infectious disease that we're approaching aggressively. And it matters much less what you call it.

Those things are designed to trigger actions, but we trigger our actions based on what we're seeing here in-country as well as what we see around the globe. And given that this new strain is something we're experiencing here on the ground, we're being very aggressive and addressing that based on what we're seeing in each community.

Q What has been discovered so far about why people in Mexico have died, but not elsewhere?

DR. BESSER: That's an unanswered question. We have folks on the ground and we haven't been able to find an answer for that. There are a number of different hypotheses and I'm hoping that we'll be able to shed some light on that as these teams get more established and continue their studies.

Q For Dr. Besser, is there evidence of ongoing transmission in Mexico, or are the cases being picked up there ones that happened in the last couple of weeks and are over? Or are there new chains of transmission being generated?

DR. BESSER: Again, I don't want to comment on the situation on the ground in Mexico. I've not heard that it is stopping. Their overall flu surveillance is only showing a small increase from what they would see annually, which, again, makes it difficult to use some of the surveillance tools to measure the impact of a new strain when you're in the midst of another flu season.

Q Just to follow up on what the President -- for you, Robert -- what the President -- did you say that he has not been treated with any kind of --

MR. GIBBS: I said yesterday that he had not been. I will recheck with the doctor. Again, based on the incubation period, neither he, nor anybody that he traveled with, nor anybody in the press corps that I'm aware of would have exhibited any symptoms that would have caused any heightened awareness.

Q But the doctor didn't check him out --

MR. GIBBS: No. Again, in the absence of symptoms -- I think this probably goes without saying, too -- in the absence of symptoms, you shouldn't go get tested. That's going to crowd any sort of either public health or private health infrastructure.

If you are sick or you do have symptoms, then you should take precautions. But there's not reason to believe that his -- or anybody that traveled with him -- health was in any sort of jeopardy.

Q Just to follow up on the HHS question. Apparently, HHS --- CDC, Surgeon General assured there are no --

MR. GIBBS: I thought he was doing a pretty good job. (Laughter.)

Q But it raises a political question about how movement there has been stalled because of HHS. I mean, do you have -- has the President expressed concern about the fact that you don't have a team in place there, or at the --

MR. GIBBS: No, because -- I want to be very clear here. There is a team in place. The team is -- part of it is standing behind me, and part of it is working as we speak to identify exactly what the doctor and others have talked about. I think this notion somehow that if there's not currently a Secretary, that there's not the function that needs to take place in order to prepare for this either this or any other situation is just simply not the case. Thanks, guys. ###
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Re: CDC & White House Media Briefings on Swine Flu Epidemic

CDC Teleconference press briefing

Press Briefing Transcripts

CDC Media Availability on Human Swine Influenza Cases

April 27, 2009, 1 p.m. EST

  • Audio recording (MP3)
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Press Briefing Transcripts
 
Re: CDC & White House Media Briefings on Swine Flu Epidemic

CDC Press Briefing Transcripts April 27, 2009

Press Briefing Transcripts

CDC Media Availability on Human Swine Influenza Cases

April 27, 2009, 1 p.m. EST


THANK YOU, THIS IS GLENN NOWAK.
I′M DIRECTOR OF MEDIA RELATIONS AT THE CENTERS FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION, AND WE WELCOME YOU TODAY ON THE BRIEFING FOR THE SWINE INFLUENZA. DR. BESSER IS ACTING DIRECTOR OF THE CENTERS FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION. HE′S GOING TO PROVIDE AN UPDATE ON THE CASES AS WELL AS WHERE WE STAND IN TERMS OF PUBLIC HEALTH AND CDC ACTION. FOR THOSE OF YOU IN THE ROOM, WHEN WE TAKE QUESTIONS FROM THE FLOOR I WOULD ASK THAT YOU WAIT UNTIL WE GET THE MICROPHONE TO YOU. WE WILL TAKE QUESTIONS FROM THOSE PRESENT AND ALSO THE PHONE.I WILL TURN THE CONFERENCE OVER TO DR. RICHARD BESSER.

>> THANK YOU VERY MUCH AND GOOD AFTERNOON.
I KNOW THERE′S A LOT OF CONCERN AROUND THE COUNTRY ABOUT THIS SITUATION HERE AROUND SWINE FLU AND THE SITUATION GOING ON IN MEXICO. I HOPE THIS AFTERNOON TO SHARE WITH YOU THE CURRENT STATUS OF OUR INVESTIGATIONS AND THE WORK THAT′S GOING ON BOTH HERE AND AROUND THE WORLD TO UNDERSTAND THIS BETTER AND TO CONTROL THIS OUTBREAK OF SWINE FLU. THIS SITUATION IS EVOLVING VERY QUICKLY. IT′S CHANGING QUICKLY AND SO YOU WILL CONTINUE TO HEAR INFORMATION THAT SEEMS IN CONFLICT. YOU WILL SEE NUMBERS IN ONE PLACE THAT MAY BE DIFFERENT FROM ANOTHER. TODAY I′LL GIVE YOU THE NUMBERS AS WE HAVE THEM, BUT ASK YOU TO FOCUS A LITTLE LESS ON THE SPECIFIC NUMBERS AND MORE WHAT IT TELLS US. WHAT WE LEARN FROM THE NUMBERS IS HOW DISEASE MAY BE SPREADING AND WHERE IT′S NOT SPREADING. IT TELLS US SOMETHING ABOUT TRANSMISSION AND I′LL SHARE THAT INFORMATION WITH YOU.WE CONTINUE TO APPROACH THIS INVESTIGATION AND OUR CONTROL EFFORTS AGGRESSIVELY. THAT′S BECAUSE YOU DON′T KNOW GOING INTO AN OUTBREAK WHAT IT WILL LOOK LIKE IN THE END, AND WE WANT TO BE AGGRESSIVE. WE WANT TO TAKE BOLD ACTION TO MINIMIZE THE IMPACT ON PEOPLE′S HEALTH FROM THIS INFECTION.

WHERE ARE WE TODAY IN TERMS OF CASES?
WE ARE OFFICIALLY REPORTING 40 CONFIRMED CASES IN THE UNITED STATES IN FIVE STATES. THESE ARE THE SAME STATES THAT WE REPORTED YESTERDAY. NEW YORK, OHIO, KANSAS, TEXAS AND CALIFORNIA. THE ONLY CHANGE IN CONFIRMED CASES FROM YESTERDAY IS 20 ADDITIONAL CASES IN NEW YORK CITY AND THESE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SAME SCHOOL OUTBREAK THAT WE TALKED ABOUT YESTERDAY AND REALLY REPRESENT ADDITIONAL TESTING IN THAT GROUP, NOT AN ONGOING SPREAD OF THAT CLUSTER. OF THE 40 CASES, WE ARE ONLY AWARE OF ONE INDIVIDUAL WHO IS HOSPITALIZED AND ALL PEOPLE WHO HAVE BEEN INFECTED AND WERE SICK HAVE RECOVERED. THE MEDIAN AGE IS 16 YEARS WITH A RANGE IN AGE OF 7 TO 54 YEARS AND AS I′VE BEEN TRYING TO STRESS, AS WE CONTINUE TO LOOK I EXPECT THAT WE WILL SEE CASES IN OTHER PARTS OF THE COUNTRY, AND I WILL FULLY EXPECT THAT WE′LL SEE A BROADER RANGE IN TERMS OF THE SEVERITY OF INFECTION. THANKFULLY, SO FAR WE HAVE NOT SEEN SEVERE DISEASE IN THIS COUNTRY AS HAS BEEN REPORTED IN MEXICO. SO FAR, CDC HAS CONFIRMED 26 CASES IN MEXICO, BUT, CLEARLY, FROM THE REPORTS COMING OUT OF MEXICO THIS IS A SMALL FRACTION OF WHAT THEY′RE SEEING. THESE ARE THE NUMBER OF CASES THAT WE HAVE CONFIRMED HERE IN OUR LABORATORY. I WANT TO TALK ABOUT SOME OF THE PUBLIC HEALTH ACTIONS THAT CDC HAS TAKEN AND THAT STATE AND LOCAL PUBLIC HEALTH ARE TAKING AND THAT THE GLOBAL COMMUNITY IS TAKING. WE CONTINUE TO WORK WITH STATE AND LOCAL PUBLIC HEALTH TO INVESTIGATE AND UNDERSTAND WHAT′S GOING ON. WE′RE CONTINUING TO PROVIDE SUPPORT IN THE LABORATORY TESTING THAT′S TAKING PLACE AND AS WE INVESTIGATE WE′LL CONTINUE TO LEARN MORE ABOUT HOW THIS DISEASE AND HOW THIS INFECTION IS TRANSMITTED AND HOW IT CAN BE PREVENTED AND CONTROLLED. WE′RE WORKING WITH THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION. WE′RE WORKING WITH THE PAN-AMERICAN HEALTH ORGANIZATION AND WORKING AS PART OF A TRI-NATIONAL TEAM THAT′S ON THE GROUND IN MEXICO TRYING TO INVESTIGATE AND UNDERSTAND THE DISEASE TRANSMISSION THERE. WE HAVE FOLKS ON THE GROUND AND WE WILL BE SENDING ADDITIONAL PERSONNEL TO THE GROUND TO UNDERSTAND THIS -- THIS OUTBREAK. YESTERDAY THE DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES DECLARED A PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY. THIS IS IN RECOGNITION THAT THIS IS A SERIOUS EVENT AND WE′RE TAKING IT SERIOUSLY AND ACTING AGGRESSIVELY, BUT WHAT IT ALSO DOES IS IT GIVES US ADDITIONAL AUTHORITY. IT ALLOWS US TO MOVE PRODUCTS AND DISPENSE DRUGS IN A WAY THAT WE COULDN′T BEFORE AND STREAMLINED THE PROCESS BY WHICH THE GOVERNMENT WORKS AND SO IT′S PRIMARILY A REFLECTION OF THAT. IT′S SOMETHING THAT WE DO WHENEVER WE FEEL THAT WE WANT TO HAVE THE ABILITY TO MOVE QUICKLY AND SWIFTLY. WE WILL BE DISTRIBUTING YELLOW CARDS AT PORTS OF ENTRY. THESE WILL PROVIDE INFORMATION ON SWINE FLU SO THAT PEOPLE COMING INTO THE UNITED STATES WILL HAVE INFORMATION ABOUT THIS OUTBREAK AND WHAT TO DO IF THEY BECOME SICK AND WHAT THINGS THEY CAN DO IN THE LIKELIHOOD THAT THEY DO BECOME SICK. LATER TODAY WE WILL BE RELEASING A NEW TRAVEL ADVISORY FOR MEXICO. THIS IS OUT OF THE ABUNDANCE OF CAUTION AND WE WILL BE RECOMMENDING THAT NON-ESSENTIAL TRAVEL TO MEXICO BE AVOIDED. WE′LL ALSO BE INCLUDING IN THERE STEPS PEOPLE CAN TAKE SHOULD THEY NEED TO TRAVEL TO MEXICO DURING THIS TIME. AGAIN, THIS IS OUT OF AN ABUNDANCE OF CAUTION AS WE LEARN MORE. YOU CAN LOOK TO SEE OUR TRAVEL RECOMMENDATIONS REFLECT THAT. YESTERDAY WE ANNOUNCED THE RELEASE OF MATERIAL FROM OUR STRATEGIC NATIONAL STOCKPILE. THIS IS A STOCKPILE OF MEDICATIONS AND OTHER SUPPLIES THAT CAN BE VERY HELPFUL IN MANAGING AN OUTBREAK AND AGAIN, AS A FORWARD-LEANING MOVE WE RELEASED 25% OF THE STATE′S ALLOCATION OF THE STOCKPILE. THIS IS 11 MILLION COURSES OF ANTIVIRAL DRUGS. THESE ARE EN ROUTE TO AFFECTED STATES OF CALIFORNIA, NEW YORK AND TEXAS AS WELL AS OTHER STATES AROUND THE COUNTRY. YESTERDAY WE ISSUED ON OUR WEBSITE AND WE′VE SENT OUT NEW GUIDANCE, REFINED GUIDANCE ON WHAT COMMUNITIES CAN DO WHEN THEY HAVE A CASE OF SWINE FLU IN THEIR COMMUNITY. THIS PROVIDES GUIDANCE ON WHAT PEOPLE WHO HAVE THAT INFECTION SHOULD DO AND CLEARLY THAT′S STAY HOME. DON′T GO OUT IN THE COMMUNITY DURING THE PERIOD OF YOUR INFECTION WHICH IS ABOUT SEVEN DAYS, BUT YOU SHOULD STAY HOME UNTIL AT LEAST ONE DAY PAST YOUR SYMPTOM PERIOD. IF YOU DO GO OUT, IT PROVIDES GUIDANCE INTO HOW YOU CAN INTERACT SAFELY IN THE COMMUNITY. IT PROVIDES RECOMMENDATIONS IN TERMS OF CONTACT, AVOIDING CROWDED PLACES AND TRYING TO STAY HOME AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. IT TALKS ABOUT THE CLOSURE OF A SCHOOL OR DISMISSAL OF STUDENTS AT A TIME WHEN THERE′S AN IDENTIFIED CASE IN THE SCHOOL. AGAIN, THIS IS OUT OF AN ABUNDANCE OF WHERE THERE′S BEEN ADDITIONAL TRANSMISSION AND IT TALKS ABOUT OTHER GATHERINGS. WE KNOW THAT IN SOME COMMUNITIES WHERE THERE′S BEEN A CASE, THEY′VE CANCELED SCHOOL FUNCTIONS RELATED TO THAT AFFECTED SCHOOL. WE THINK THAT MAKES SENSE. ALL OF THESE GUIDELINES NEED TO BE TAILORED BASED ON THE LOCAL SITUATION AND WE EXPECT TO SEE AND IT′S APPROPRIATE TO SEE DIFFERENT APPLICATION OF THESE GUIDANCES IN DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE COUNTRY.

I -- I ALWAYS LIKE TO MAKE THE POINT THAT CONTROL OF AN OUTBREAK OF INFECTIOUS DISEASE IS A SHARED RESPONSIBILITY AND THERE ARE THINGS THAT INDIVIDUALS NEED TO DO AND THERE ARE THINGS THAT COMMUNITIES NEED TO DO AND THERE ARE THINGS THAT THE GOVERNMENT NEEDS TO DO AND IT′S IMPORTANT THAT INDIVIDUALS REALIZE THEY HAVE A KEY ROLE TO PLAY IN REDUCING THEIR OWN LIKELIHOOD OF GETTING INFECTED. THOSE ARE THE TYPICAL GUIDELINES FOR RESPIRATORY INFECTION. FREQUENT HAND WASHING IF YOU DON′T HAVE ACCESS TO SOAP AND WATER AND ALCOHOL GEL AND COVERING YOUR COUGH OR YOUR SNEEZE, THAT′S VERY IMPORTANT. IF YOU′RE SICK, AND IF YOU HAVE A FEVER AND YOU′RE SICK OR YOUR CHILDREN ARE SICK, DON′T GO TO WORK AND DON′T GO TO SCHOOL. THAT CAN HELP REDUCE THE LIKELIHOOD THAT YOU WILL SHARE THAT INFECTION, BUT IT′S ALSO TIME FOR PEOPLE TO BE THINKING ABOUT, WHAT WOULD I DO IF MY CHILD′S SCHOOL WERE CLOSED? WHAT WOULD I DO FOR CHILD CARE? WOULD I BE ABLE TO WORK FROM HOME? IT′S TIME TO THINK ABOUT THAT SO THAT YOU′RE READY IN THE EVENT THAT THERE WERE A CASE IN YOUR CHILD′S SCHOOL. IT′S TIME FOR BUSINESSES TO REVIEW THEIR PLANS AND THINK ABOUT WHAT WOULD I DO IF SOME OF MY WORKERS COULDN′T COME TO WORK? HOW WOULD MY BUSINESS FUNCTION? THINK ABOUT THAT. THERE′S BEEN TREMENDOUS PLANNING THAT′S BEEN GOING ON AROUND THE COUNTRY OVER THE PAST NUMBER OF YEARS. IT′S TIME FOR PEOPLE TO REVIEW THOSE PLANS AND THINK ABOUT WHAT THEY WOULD DO.IT′S TIME FOR SCHOOLS AND FAITH-BASED ORGANIZATIONS TO THINK ABOUT AS WELL, WHAT WOULD I DO IF THERE WERE AN ONGOING OUTBREAK IN MY COMMUNITY. HOPEFULLY THIS OUTBREAK WOULD NOT PROGRESS, BUT LEANING FORWARD AND THINKING ABOUT WHAT YOU WOULD DO IS ONE OF THE MOST IMPORTANT THINGS INDIVIDUALS AND COMMUNITIES CAN UNDERTAKE RIGHT NOW. IT MATTERS LESS WHAT WE CALL THIS THAN WHAT ACTIONS WE TAKE, AND WE ARE ACTING AGGRESSIVELY BASED ON WHAT WE KNOW TODAY AND WHETHER THE TERM CHANGES, THAT′S NOT GOING TO CHANGE OUR APPROACH TO THAT SITUATION AND THAT′S A VERY IMPORTANT POINT. WE TRIGGER OUR ACTIONS BASED ON WHAT′S GOING ON IN THE COMMUNITY AND NOT BASED ON WHAT LABEL IS PUT ON A PARTICULAR OUTBREAK. THERE′S NO SINGLE ACTION THAT WILL CONTROL AN OUTBREAK, BUT THE COMBINED ACTIONS THAT WE ARE PROPOSING AND THEY′RE BEING UNDERTAKEN AROUND THE COUNTRY WILL HELP TO STEM THE TIDE OF ANY INFECTIOUS DISEASE OUTBREAK AND THIS ONE IN PARTICULAR. I WANT TO REITERATE THAT EVERYONE HAS A RESPONSIBILITY AND IT′S BEEN ABSOLUTELY INCREDIBLE TO SEE PEOPLE AROUND THE COUNTRY STANDING UP AND TAKING RESPONSIBILITY AND DOING THE THINGS THAT THEY NEED TO DO TO HELP REDUCE THE IMPACT OF THIS OUTBREAK.

I WANT TO RECOGNIZE THAT MUCH IS UNKNOWN.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO GIVE YOUR INFORMATION AS WE KNOW IT AND PROVIDE AS MANY OPPORTUNITIES AS POSSIBLE FOR YOUR QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED. AND LASTLY, I REALLY WANT TO RECOGNIZE THE INCREDIBLE WORK BEING DONE BY THE MEDICAL PROVIDER COMMUNITY AND THE PUBLIC HEALTH COMMUNITY. THESE PERIODS OF UNCERTAINTY WHERE WE′RE WORKING WITH VERY LIMITED KNOWLEDGE, AND VERY LIMITED INFORMATION ARE VERY DIFFICULT AND PEOPLE ARE DOING AN OUTSTANDING JOB ACROSS THE COUNTRY, TRYING TO UNDERSTAND THIS. SO, THANK YOU AND I′D BE HAPPY TO TAKE YOUR QUESTIONS.

>> THANK YOU.

>> WE′LL GO AROUND THE ROOM AND THEN WE′LL GO TO THE PHONES.

>> DR. BESSER, FOX NEWS. IS THE CDC WORKING ON A VACCINE SPECIFICALLY FOR THIS NEW SUBTYPE OF SWINE FLU OR ARE EXISTING VACCINES EFFECTIVE SO FAR?

WE DON′T THINK THAT ANY OF THE EXISTING VACCINES ARE EFFECTIVE AND WHENEVER WE SEE A NEW STRAIN OF INFLUENZA WE LOOK TO CREATE WHAT′S CALLED THE FEED STOCK AND THAT′S THE STOCK OF THE VIRUS THAT WOULD BE USED IN THE EVENT WE DECIDE TO MAKE A VACCINE. THERE ARE DISCUSSIONS ONGOING ABOUT WHETHER TO MAKE A VACCINE AND WHETHER THAT SHOULD BE UNDERTAKEN. IT′S NOT AN EASY DECISION. IT WOULD INVOLVE LOOKING AT WHAT VACCINE IS NEEDED FOR NEXT YEAR′S FLU SEASON. WHETHER THIS IS A STRAIN THAT WE WANT TO LOOK TO INCLUDE AND THERE ARE TRADEOFFS THERE, BUT THOSE DISCUSSIONS ARE UNDER WAY SO THAT IF WE DECIDE TO MANUFACTURE A VACCINE WE′D BE READY TO START THAT PROCESS.

>> WSB TELEVISION IN ATLANTA. SO FAR THE ILLNESS IS MORE SEVERE IN MEXICO AND LESS SEVERE AMONGTHE CASES HERE.IS THAT OPTIMISTIC TO YOU?DO YOU THINK THAT -- THAT PATTERN OR IS IT TOO EARLY TO TELL?

>> THAT IS A CRITICAL QUESTION, WHAT WE NEED TO KNOW IS WHY WE′RE SEEING A DIFFERENT DISEASE SPECTRUM IN MEXICO THAN WE′RE SEEING HERE. I WOULDN′T BE OVERLY REASSURED BY THAT.THERE ARE MANY REASONS THAT COULD EXPLAIN THAT AND AS WE GATHER INFORMATION, WE HOPE TO SORT THAT OUT, BUT I WOULDN′T -- I WOULDN′T REST ON THE FACT THAT WE HAVE ONLY SEEN CASES IN THIS COUNTRY THAT ARE LESS SEVERE.AS WE CONTINUE TO LOOK I EXPECT THAT WE WILL SEE ADDITIONAL CASES AND I EXPECT THAT THE SPECTRUM OF DISEASE WILL EXPAND.

>> I WAS TOLD THAT SOME GOVERNMENT AGENCIES IN NEIGHBORING STATE, ALABAMA, THAT WORKERS ARE BEING ORDERED TO WEAR MASKS AT WORK.IN A WORKPLACE WHERE THERE HAS BEEN NO ACTIVE SIGN OF DISEASE ISTHAT RECOMMENDED AT THIS POINT?

>> I′M NOT AWARE OF ANY STATES UNDERTAKING THAT.IN TERMS OF OUR RECOMMENDATIONS WE WOULD NOT RECOMMEND THAT PEOPLE GENERALLY WEAR MASKS IN THEIR WORKPLACE AS A PRECAUTIONARY MEASURE. AS A DOCTOR AND AS A PARENT THE ISSUE OF MASKS COME UP AND PEOPLE SAY WOW? SHOULD I WEAR MASKS?IS THAT GOING TO PROTECT ME. ANYTHING THAT YOU CAN DO TO PREVENT INFECTION ARE CRITICALLY IMPORTANT. MASKS, THE EVIDENCE OF THEIR VALUE OUTSIDE OF HEALTHCARE SETTINGS AND OUTSIDE OF SETTINGS WHERE YOU ARE COMING DIRECT FACE-TO-FACE WITH SOMEONE WHO HAS AN INFECTIOUS DISEASE, THE EVIDENCE THERE IS NOT VERY STRONG. I KNOW SOME PEOPLE FEEL MORE COMFORTABLE HAVING A MASK AND THERE ARE CERTAIN CIRCUMSTANCES WHERE THAT MAY BE OF VALUE, BUT I WOULD RATHER PEOPLE REALLY FOCUS HAND WASHING, NOT GIVING THAT LITTLE KISS OF GREETING WHEN YOU′RE MEETING SOMEBODY RIGHT NOW. DOING THOSE SORTS OF THINGS AND COVERING YOUR COUGH AND YOUR SNEEZE AND THEN IF YOU FEEL MORE COMFORTABLE WITH A MASK, IF YOU′RE IN A COMMUNITY OR SETTING WHERE THERE′S ONGOING DISEASE TRANSMISSION AND THEN YOU CAN THINK ABOUT THAT, BUT THE OTHER THINGS WHERE THERE IS THAT EVIDENCE ARE THE THINGS WE′RE REALLY TRYING TO PUSH.

ON THE PHONE?

OKAY.

>> DANIEL STEINBERG WITH CBS NEWS.WHERE IS THE CDC AND OTHER HEALTH ORGANIZATIONS WHERE ARE THEY IN TRACKING THE ORIGIN, PERHAPS PIG FARMS AND OTHER CASES?

>> WE ARE UNDERTAKING WORK WITH THE USDA ON THAT FACT AND THE ISSUE OF WHERE DID THIS COME FROM?IT REMINDS ME OF AN IMPORTANT POINT.SOME PEOPLE WORRY ABOUT PORK PRODUCTS BECAUSE WE CALL THIS THE SWINE FLU.YOU CAN′T GET THIS FROM EATING PORK.COOK YOUR PORK APPROPRIATELY SO THAT YOU DON′T GET OTHER INFECTIOUS DISEASES, BUT INFLUENZA IS NOT TRANSMITTED BY EATING PORK OR PORK PRODUCTS.THEY ARE SAFE.WHAT WE DO AS WE INVESTIGATE THE CASES WE LOOK FOR ANY CONNECTIONS AND SEE IF ANY OF THE INDIVIDUALS WHO HAVE BEEN SICK HAVE BEEN EXPOSED TO PIGS OR SWINE AND WE′RE NOT FINDING THAT LINKAGE HERE.I KNOW THAT IN THE INVESTIGATIONS IN MEXICO THEY′LL BE LOOKING ASWELL TO SEE IS THERE ANY CONNECTION?CAN WE UNDERSTAND HOW THIS MAY HAVE FIRST STARTED?

I WILL TAKE I QUESTION FROM THE PHONE.

>> AGAIN ON THE PHONE LINES IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO ASK A QUESTION, PLEASE PRESS STAR ONE.

OUR FIRST QUESTION COMES FROM BETSY McKAY, WALL STREET JOURNAL.

>> HI, DR. BESSER.THANK YOU.I HAVE A COUPLE OF QUESTIONS.AS YOU PROBABLY KNOW, W.H.O. HAS A PANEL MEETING RIGHT NOW WHETHER TO RAISE THE PANDEMIC LEVEL ALERT.SO I′M WONDERING IF THAT DOES HAPPEN AND IF IT′S RAISED TO LEVEL FOUR OR FIVE, WHAT SPECIFIC ACTIONS WOULD THAT TRIGGER HERE IN THE UNITED STATES? THE SECOND QUESTION I WANTED TO ASK WAS YOU′VE TALKED ABOUT HOW MUCH BETTER PREPARED WE ARE SINCE SARS AND DEFINITELY A LOT OF MONEY HAS GONE INTO PREPAREDNESS, BUT YOU FACE A COUPLE OF LIMITING FACTORS RIGHT NOW. ONE IS THAT THE AGE HASN′T BEEN CONFIRMED AND SECONDLY, STATE AND LOCAL HEALTH DEPARTMENTS ARE FACING A REAL FUNDING CRUNCH IN THE RECESSION AND I′M WONDERING IF YOU CAN ADDRESS THOSE TWO.WHAT DO YOU NEED TO MORE EFFECTIVELY DO YOUR JOB AND ARE THOSE LIMITING YOU?

>> YOUR FIRST QUESTION ABOUT W.H.O., THE EXPERT COMMITTEE IS MEETING TODAY TO LOOK AT THE CURRENT SITUATION AND SEE WHETHER ANY CHANGES NEED TO BE MADE IN TERMS OF PHASES.THAT GOES ON A COMMENT I MADE EARLIER ABOUT IT, IT DOESN′T REALLY MATTER FROM OUR PERSPECTIVE WHAT YOU CALL THIS.OUR ACTIONS ARE BASED ON WHAT′S TAKING PLACE IN OUR COUNTRY AND IN OUR COMMUNITIES.IT MAY HAVE MORE RELEVANCE TO A COUNTRY THAT HAS YET TO SEE CASES IN TERMS OF WHAT THEY WOULD START TO DO.HERE, WE ARE ACTING AGGRESSIVELY AND WHETHER THEY GO FROM PHASE THREE TO A PHASE 4 WOULD NOT CHANGE ANYTHING THAT WE ARE CURRENTLY DOING.IN TERMS OF PUBLIC HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE WHETHER YOU′RE LOOKING AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL OR STATE OR LOCAL LEVEL, IT′S CRITICAL TO OUR SUCCESS IN RECOGNIZING OUTBREAKS AND BEING ABLE TO RESPOND TO OUTBREAKS.THE LACK OF A SECRETARY OF HEALTH HAS WANT IN ANY WAY LED TO DIMINISHED ACTIVITY IN OUR DEPARTMENT APPROACHING THIS PROBLEM. WE HAVE AN OUTSTANDING DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES THAT IS AGGRESSIVELY ADDRESSING THIS ISSUE.WE LOOK FORWARD TO HAVING LEADERSHIP IN POSITIONS, BUT THAT HASN′T IMPACTED OUR ABILITY TO RESPOND.

>> YOU ASKED A QUESTION ABOUT STATE AND LOCAL PUBLIC HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE AND I HAVE TO BE HONEST ON THAT THE ECONOMIC REALITIES THAT BEEN VERY HARD ON STATE AND LOCAL PUBLIC HEALTH. WE AS A NATION RELY ON PUBLIC HEALTH PERSONNEL AT THE STATE AND LOCAL LEVELS TO IDENTIFY THESE OUTBREAKS AND IDENTIFY THEM QUICKLY AND BE ABLE TO RESPOND AND WE HAVE AN OUTSTANDING PUBLIC HEALTH SYSTEM, BUT IT IS IN A TOUGH SITUATION.WE HEAR ABOUT TENS OF THOUSANDS OF STATE PUBLIC HEALTH WORKERS WHO ARE GOING TO BE LOSING THEIR JOBS BECAUSE OF STATE BUDGETS AND IT IS VERY IMPORTANT THAT WE LOOK AT THAT AND WE LOOK AT THAT RESOURCE BECAUSE THIS OUTBREAK WAS IDENTIFIED BECAUSE OF A LOT OF THE WORK GOING ON AROUND PREPAREDNESS.MEXICO, YES, HAD BEEN HAVING AN OUTBREAK OF FLU, BUT THE FIRST CASE OF SWINE FLU WAS IDENTIFIED IN SAN DIEGO AS PART OF A STUDY THAT WAS PART OF PREPAREDNESS, TO TRY AND DEVELOP NEW TEST KITS THAT DOCTORS CAN USE IN THEIR OFFICE.THAT KIND OF INVESTMENT IN PREPAREDNESS IS WHAT LED TO THIS. AS WE′RE LOOKING NOW AT HOW ARE WE -- HOW ARE WE SUPPORTING STATES, ONE OF THE THINGS WE′RE DOING IS WE′RE HELPING STATES SUPPORT THEMES AND SO WE′RE SENDING TEST KITS TO STATES SO THAT STATES WILL BE ABLE TO DO THEIR OWN TESTING TO DETERMINE DO THEY HAVE THIS ISOLATED FLU? WE′RE NOT SENDING IT TO ALL STATES AT FIRST.WE′RE ROLLING THIS OUT, BUT THAT INFRASTRUCTURE, THAT ABILITY AND THE LABORATORY NETWORK THAT′S BEEN BUILT OVER THE PAST DECADE IS ONE OF THE BACKBONES THAT WE COUNT ON TO BE ABLE TO IDENTIFY AND CONTROL OUTBREAKS.

ANOTHER QUESTION FROM THE PHONE?

>> THANK YOU.
OUR NEXT QUESTION DOLLARS JOANNE SOUTH EARNER, NATIONAL PUBLIC RADIO.

PLEASE GO AHEAD.

>> HI AND THANKS.HAS ANYONE HAD A CHANCE TO LOOK BACK, YOU MENTIONED SAN DIEGO, HAS ANYONE LOOKED FURTHER BACK TO FIGURE OUT WHETHER THE SARS WAS AROUND WEEKS AND MONTHS AGO IN THIS COUNTRY?

>> THAT′S A GOOD QUESTION AND WE HAD NOT SEEN THIS VIRUS IN THIS COUNTRY.IN ADDITION, WE′VE BEEN ASSISTING THE MEXICAN GOVERNMENT IN LOOKING AT THE STRAINS OF FLU THAT THEY′VE SEEN THROUGH THEIR SEASON AND IN LOOKING AT THE ANALYSIS FROM THAT, THIS WAS NOT SOMETHING THAT THEY WERE SEEING CIRCULATING THERE.WE KNOW AT LEAST UNTIL MARCH AND THE ANALYSES OF THE LATER STRAINS I DON′T THINK HAS BEEN COMPLETED, BUT WE ARE TRYING TO UNDERSTAND WHERE IT FIRST AROSE AND WHERE IT MAY HAVE FIRST AROSE AND WHAT THAT MAY TELL US ABOUT WHERE IT CAME FROM AND HOW IT CAN BE CONTROLLED.

>> THANK YOU.

OUR NEXT QUESTION COMES FROM HELEN GRANWELL, THE CANADIAN PRESS.

>> HI, THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR TAKING MY QUESTION. DR. BESSER, YESTERDAY YOU SAID SO FAR IN THE UNITED STATES, I THINK YOU SAID, ANYWAY, THERE′S ONLY BEEN ONE CASE WHERE KNOWN HUMAN-TO HUMAN TRANSMISSION OCCURRED.I′M WONDER WHETHER YOU TELL US WHETHER THAT′S STILL THE CASE OR IF YOU′RE SEEING GENERATIONS OF SPREAD AND I WOULD HAVE A FOLLOW-UP IF I COULD, PLEASE.

>> WE ONLY HAVE ONE CASE OF DOCUMENTED BY VIRAL TESTING PERSON TO-PERSON SPREAD, BUT I WOULDN′T BE REASSURED BY THAT.WE′RE SEEING SIGNIFICANT RATES OF RESPIRATORY INFECTION AMONG CONTACTS, AND I WOULD EXPECT THAT SOME OF THOSE INDIVIDUALS WILLEND UP TESTING POSITIVE FOR THE SWINE FLU VIRUS.SO, YEAH.THANKS FOR THAT QUESTION.I DON′T WANT THAT TO BE TOO REASSURING.THIS VIRUS IS ACTING LIKE A FLU VIRUS AND FLU VIRUS IS SPREAD FROM PERSON TO PERSON.

>> GREAT.

THE OTHER QUESTION I WANTED TO ASK YOU ABOUT HOW YOU STRIKE A BALANCE TO HAVE A MEASURED RESPONSE BECAUSE OBVIOUSLY THERE′S BEEN TONS OF PLANNING DONE IN THE PAST FEW YEARS IN RESPONSE TO THE THREAT OF H1, BUT THOSE RESOURCES ARE EXPENSIVE TO PUT TOGETHER AND THEY ARE PRECIOUS AND I WOULD IMAGINE THAT YOU MIGHT NOT WANT TO BLOW THROUGH A WHOLE BUNCH OF THE STOCKPILED ANTIVIRALS, FOR INSTANCE, AT THIS POINT BECAUSE WHO KNOWS HOW THIS VIRUS IS GOING TO CONTINUE TO BEHAVE IN THE FUTURE OR HOW H5 WILL CONTINUE TO BEHAVE IN THE FUTURE.HOW DO YOU STRIKE THE BALANCE?

>> THAT′S A GREAT QUESTION.EVERY OUTBREAK IS UNIQUE.EVERY NEW STRAIN OF VIRUS IS UNIQUE AND UNTIL THE OUTBREAK HAS PROGRESSED YOU DON′T KNOW WHAT IT′S GOING TO DO AND SO IT′S A MATTER OF MAKING DECISIONS WITH INCOMPLETE INFORMATION AND SO IF YOU LOOK AT SOME OF THE DECISIONS WE′VE MADE, THE DECISION ABOUT PROVIDING ANTIVIRALS AND MATERIAL TO PEOPLE AROUND THE COUNTRY, WE ARE SENDING FOR 25%.WE′RE NOT SENDING FOR THE ENTIRE STOCKPILE AND WE′RE SENDING OUT SUPPLIES SO THAT IN THE EVENT THIS WERE TO BECOME SOMETHING MORE SERIOUS, THE HEALTH DEPARTMENT AND DOCTORS WOULD HAVE WHAT THEY NEEDED TO TAKE CARE OF PEOPLE.AS INFORMATION CHANGES, OUR LEVEL OF RESPONSE CAN CHANGE. IF WE WERE TO START TO SEE A MUCH MORE SEVERE COURSE OF ILLNESS IN THE COUNTRY, WE MIGHT RECOMMEND DIFFERENT CONTROL MEASURES AND COMMUNITIES THAN WE′RE CURRENTLY DOING.RIGHT NOW WE′RE AT THE RIGHT LEVEL IN TERMS OF WHAT WE′RE RECOMMENDING FOR RESPONSE BASED ON WHAT WE KNOW.

A QUESTION HERE IN THE AUDIENCE.

>> WHAT ARE THE SIGNS THAT SWINE FLU IS IN METRO ATLANTA.

>> I THINK AS WE CONTINUE TO LOOK FOR CASES OF SWINE FLU WE′LL FIND THEM.THE RECOMMENDATIONS WE HAVE IN TERMS OF INDIVIDUALS, KNOWING WHAT THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS ARE.IF YOU HAVE FEVER AND FLU-LIKE ILLNESS YOU SHOULD TALK TO YOUR DOCTOR. YOUR DOCTOR CAN TALK TO YOU ABOUT WHETHER TESTING IS -- OR TREATMENT IS APPROPRIATE.IN PARTICULAR, IF YOU HAVE -- IF YOU TRAVELED TO MEXICO AND YOU HAVE THOSE SYMPTOMS WE SHOULD SEE YOUR DOCTOR BECAUSE THAT′S AN AREA WHERE WE KNOW TRANSMISSION IS OCCURRING.I DON′T KNOW THE ODDS OF SOMEBODY IN ATLANTA HAS THIS INFECTION, BUT IT′S IMPORTANT THAT PEOPLE IN ATLANTA AND PEOPLE IN DALLAS AND PEOPLE IN PHILADELPHIA AND PEOPLE IN SMALL TOWNS KNOW ABOUT THIS, THAT THEY PAY ATTENTION AND THAT THEY UNDERSTAND THAT THEY HAVE A RESPONSIBILITY HERE IN TERMS OF PROTECTING THEMSELVES AND ALSO KNOWING WHAT THE SIGNS ARE AND WHAT THEY SHOULD DO IF THEY′RE ILL.

ANOTHER QUESTION IN THE ROOM?

>> MATT GUPMAN, ABC NEWS.YOU MENTIONED THE LAST 20 WERE ALL FROM THE SAME SCHOOL IN NEW YORK. WHAT DOES THAT TELL US ABOUT THE SPREAD OF THE VIRUS?IS THAT SPREADING?

>> IT REALLY DOESN′T TELL US VERY MUCH.THE ADDITIONAL CASES FROM NEW YORK REPRESENT ADDITIONAL TESTING, NOT ONGOING TRANSMISSION AND SO IT DOESN′T TELL US VERY MUCH. WE′RE CONTINUING TO LOOK AROUND THE COUNTRY.HEALTH OFFICIALS AROUND THE COUNTRY ARE LOOKING AND DOING TESTING. SO, YOU KNOW, THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT WE HAVEN′T IDENTIFIED IT IN ADDITIONAL STATES, BUT I WOULDN′T PUT TOO MUCH ON THAT.OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO, WE′LL KNOW A LOT MORE ABOUT DISEASE TRANSMISSION AND HOW THIS WILL GO.

>> WE′LL TAKE A QUESTION FROM THE PHONE.

>> OUR NEXT QUESTION COMES FROM ELIZABETH WEISS, USA TODAY.

>> HI, THANKS FOR TAKING MY CALL.ON THE FLU CALL EARLIER TODAY THEY SAID THAT THE CDC HAS ALREADY BEEN ABLE TO CULTURE THE WILD TYPE VIRUS AND YOU GUYS WERE ALREADY INCUBATING IT IN EGGS WHICH IS THE FIRST STEP TOWARD THE CREATION OF A VACCINE.I JUST WANTED TO CONFIRM THAT IS THE CASE.

>> I THINK THAT′S WHAT I WAS DESCRIBING BEFORE IN TERMS OF GROWING A SEED STOCK FOR MANUFACTURING.THAT′S A MORE TECHNICAL DESCRIPTION OF WHAT I LAID OUT.

>> THANK YOU.

OUR NEXT QUESTION COMES FROM MIKE STOBY, ASSOCIATED PRESS.

>> HI.THANK YOU FOR TAKING THE CALL.TWO QUESTIONS, ACTUALLY.THE FIRST ONE HAS TO DO WITH SYMPTOMS.DOCTOR, INITIALLY THE CDC DESCRIBED RESPIRATORY ILLNESSES IN CONFIRMED U.S. CASES, BUT IN THESE NEW YORK ONES IT SOUNDS LIKE IT′S MORE OF A STOMACH PROBLEM, GASTROINTESTINAL.ARE THERE DIFFERENT SETS OF SYMPTOMS OR IS EVERYONE EXPERIENCINGRESPIRATORY AND I HAVE A FOLLOW-UP QUESTION.

>> THAT′S A GOOD QUESTION.THE PRIMARY SYMPTOMS THAT WE HEAR ABOUT OF FEVER, COUGH, RESPIRATORY SYMPTOMS ARE STILL ONES PEOPLE NEED TO LOOK FOR. WE DO KNOW THAT THERE ARE INDIVIDUALS WHO HAVE HAD GASTROINTESTINAL SYMPTOMS OF DIARRHEA AND VOMITINGAND SO IF YOU HAVE THOSE SYMPTOMS IT DOESN′T RULE OUT THE FACT THAT THIS COULD BE SWINE FLU.SOME OF THE CASES HAVE REPORTED THAT, AND I CAN -- WE CAN GET BACK AT A FUTURE BRIEF IN TERMS OF WHAT PROPORTION OF THE CASES. THE MORE THE CASES ARE INVESTIGATING THE BETTER SENSE YOU′LL HAVE OF THE FULL SPECTRUM OF DISEASE HERE IN THE UNITED STATES AS WELL AS WHAT WE′RE HEARING FROM MEXICO.

>> MY SECOND QUESTION HAD TO DO WITH INFECTIOUSNESS.DO WE HAVE ANY INFORMATION YET ON WHETHER THESE ARE LARGE DROPLETS THAT ONLY SPREAD ABOUT FIVE FEET OUT OR SMALL DROPLETS THAT FILL A ROOM FROM TEN FEET OUT IN THE SUPER SPREAD TYPE SITUATION?

>> IT′S TOO EARLY TO BE ABLE TO ADDRESS THAT QUESTION?

>> THANK YOU.

>> OUR NEXT QUESTION?

>> KEN MILES WITH THE ATLANTA JOURNAL CONSTITUTION.

ARE STATE AND LOCAL HEALTH AGENCY REQUESTING GUIDANCE IN DEALING WITH THIS AND WHAT ARE THEY BEING TOLD?

>> WE ARE WORKING VERY CLOSELY WITH STATE AND LOCAL PUBLIC HEALTH. IN SOME OF THE STATES WE HAVE TEAMS ON THE GROUND ASSISTING INCALIFORNIA AND TEXAS.WE HAVE A LOT OF GUIDANCE POSTED ON OUR WEBSITE IN TERMS OF WHAT PEOPLE SHOULD LOOK FOR, IN TERMS OF SIGNS AND SYMPTOM, WHAT DOCTORS SHOULD LOOK FOR AND HOW TESTING SHOULD BE DONE.WE HAVE INFORMATION ON INFECTION CONTROL PRACTICES THAT SHOULD BE APPLIED IN HEALTH CARE SETTINGS AND WE RECENTLY YESTERDAY POSTED THE GUIDANCE ON WHAT COMMUNITIES SHOULD DO IF THERE′S A CASE IN YOUR COMMUNITY.WE WILL CONTINUE TO POST GUIDANCE AND EXPAND ON THAT AS THIS GOES FORWARD.

A QUESTION FROM THE PHONE.

>> THANK YOU, OUR NEXT QUESTION COMES FROM ROB STEIN, WASHINGTON POST.

>> HI, THANKS VERY MUCH FOR DOING THIS.

>> I HAD A COUPLE OF QUESTIONS.ONE WAS OVER THE TOTAL 40 CASES, WHAT IS THE TOTAL NUMBER OF HOSPITALIZATIONS SO FAR AND DO YOU HAVE -- NEW YORK IS REPORTING 17 PROBABLE CASES.DO YOU HAVE A TOTAL, A TALLY OF PROBABLE CASES THAT ARE PENDING IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE LAST QUESTION WAS I WAS JUST WONDERING WHAT YOU THOUGHT ABOUT THE COMMENTS FROM THE EU HEALTH MINISTER TODAY ABOUT NOT TRAVELING TO THE UNITED STATES.

>> IN THE UNITED STATES OF THE 40 CASES THAT ARE CONFIRMEDTHERE′S BEEN ONE HOSPITALIZATION.IN NEW YORK CITY, I DON′T HAVE A NUMBER OF PROBABLE CASES, BUT PROBABLE CASE NEY GENERAL, WE HAVE A DEFINITION ON THE WEBSITE SO THAT WOULD BE SOMEONE THAT HAD COMPATIBLE SYMPTOMS WITH AN EPIDEMIOLOGIC LENGTH FOR WHICH THERE′S BEEN TESTING DONE AND IT′S NOT CONFIRMED.IN TERMS OF REPORTED COMMENTS FROM THE EU ABOUT TRAVEL TO THE UNITED STATES, BASED ON THE SITUATION IN THE UNITED STATES RIGHT NOW I THINK IT IS QUITE PREMATURE TO PUT TRAVEL RESTRICTIONS ON PEOPLE COMING TO THE UNITED STATES.WE HAVE 20 CASES OF SWINE FLU.WE′RE DOING ACTIVE SURVEILLANCE.SO FAR WE′VE SEEN ONE HOSPITALIZATION.AS THE SITUATION CHANGES, THEN THAT NEEDS TO BE EVALUATED BY INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES AND DIFFERENT COUNTRIES WILL TAKE A DIFFERENT APPROACH AND HAVE A DIFFERENT LEVEL OF CONCERN, BUT FROM WHAT WE KNOW TODAY I THINK IT′S PREMATURE ON PUTTING A TRAVEL RESTRICTION ON PEOPLE COMING TO THE UNITED STATES.

>> THANK YOU.

OUR NEXT QUESTION COMES FROM MAGGIE FOX, REUTERS.

>> THE CDC IS GETTING EITHER BETTER OR WORSE?

>> AS WE LOOK AROUND WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MORE CASES AND IT′S REALLY OVER TIME WE′LL BE ABLE TO SEE MORE ABOUT THAT.IN TERMS OF GETTING BETTER, WE WOULD LOVE TO SEE IN MEXICO THAT THE NUMBER OF CASES IS GOING DOWN AND THAT PEOPLE ARE RECOVERING, AND THAT WOULD BE A WONDERFUL THING TO SEE.IF WE SEE NUMBERS OF CASES GOING UP, THAT′S NOT SOMETHING WE′D LIKE TO SEE.IT′S HARD TO KNOW WHAT THE COURSE OF AN OUTBREAK IS GOING TO LOOK LIKE UNTIL YOU′RE MUCH FURTHER INTO IT.ANOTHER THING THAT′S IMPORTANT TO NOTE IS THAT WE′RE NEARING THE END OF FLU SEASON AND OFTEN IN OUTBREAKS OF INFLUENZA YOU′LL SEE A DECLINE IN THE NUMBER OF CASES BECAUSE IT′S THE END OF FLU SEASON AND WE CAN′T REST TOO COMFORTABLY ON THAT BECAUSE SOMETIMES IT COMES BACK AGAIN IN THE FALL WHEN FLU SEASON COMES BACK. SO WE′LL BE WATCHING CLOSELY TO SEE THE NUMBER OF CASES AND THE SEVERITY OF CASES AND AGE GROUP OF CASES AND THAT SORT OF THING.

TWO MORE QUESTIONS FROM THE PHONE.

>> THANK YOU.

OUR NEXT QUESTION COMES FROM MAGGIE FOX, REUTERS. PLEASE GO AHEAD.

>> WANTED TO ASK WHAT STRESS CONTINUES TO BE ON PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY.I KNOW UNDER PRESIDENT BUSH THAT WAS THE FOCUS. WILL CDC CONTINUE TO RECOMMEND THAT FOCUS NOW?

>> I THINK THAT THERE′S RESPONSIBILITY AT MANY LEVELS, BUT IT IS SO IMPORTANT TO START AT THE LEVEL OF INDIVIDUAL RESPONSIBILITY FOR HEALTH.WHETHER YOU′RE TALKING ABOUT THE IMPORTANCE OF EATING RIGHT AND EXERCISING FOR PREVENTION OF CHRONIC DISEASE OR WASHING YOUR HANDS, COVERING A ROUGH AND NOT GOING AROUND OTHER PEOPLE WHEN YOU′RE SICK FOR INFECTIOUS DISEASE, IT STARTS WITH PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY, BUT IT DOESN′T END THERE.THERE ARE SO MANY THINGS THAT TAKE PLACE AT THE COMMUNITY LEVEL AND AT THE GOVERNMENTAL LEVEL THAT ARE SO IMPORTANT IN TERMS OF CONTROLLING AN OUTBREAK OF INFECTIOUS DISEASE.

>> THANK YOU.

OUR NEXT QUESTION COMES FROM ELIZABETH LANDAU, CNN.

>> HI, THANKS FOR TAKING MY QUESTION.FIRST OF ALL, AT THE BEGINNING YOU SAID YOU SHOULDN′T EVEN, LIKE, GIVE A LITTLE KISS OF GREETING.IS THAT ONLY IN AFFECTED AREAS AND IS THAT FOR EVERYONE AND SECONDLY, THERE′S BEEN A WATER SHORTAGE IN MEXICO CITY. COULD THAT POSSIBLY HAVE ANYTHING TO DO WITH IT?

>> WOULD YOU MIND REPEATING THE FIRST QUESTION? I MISSED THAT.

>> OH, SORRY.WHEN YOU WERE TALKING ABOUT PRECAUTIONS SUCH AS, YOU KNOW, COVERING YOUR COUGH AND WANT --YOU KNOW, DON′T EVEN GIVE PEOPLE -- YOU KNOW, A KISS OF GREETING. IS THAT ONLY AFFECTED AREAS OR FOR EVERYONE.

>> I THINK COVERING YOUR COUGH IS SOMETHING YOU SHOULD ALWAYS DO. IT′S VERY -- IT′S AN APPROPRIATE WAY TO REDUCE THE LIKELIHOOD OF TRANSMISSION OF AN INFECTIOUS DISEASE.IN TERMS OF HOW YOU GREET SOMEBODY, IF YOU′RE IN AN INFECTED AREA OR IF YOU HAVE THE SWINE FLU IT′S PROBABLY BEST NOT TO -- TO NOT GIVE A KISS, BUT WE′RE NOT RECOMMENDING AN END OF AFFECTION DURING THE PERIOD.IT′S A PERIOD OF TIME WHEN WE NEED A LITTLE MORE AFFECTION, BUT DOING IT IN A WAY THAT ISN′T GOING TO TRANSMIT A RESPIRATORY DISEASE WOULD BE A CDC APPROACH.

>> ONE LAST QUESTION FROM THE ROOM.

>> YOU TALKED A LITTLE BIT ON FRIDAY ABOUT, YOU KNOW, IF IT WAS STRIKING HEALTHIER, YOUNGER PEOPLE AND NOT SOMETHING THAT WE SEE WITH SEASONAL FLU.HAVE YOUR PEOPLE LEARNED ANYTHING ON THE GROUND ABOUT WHAT′S HAPPENING FROM AND WHY IT SEEMS TO BE HITTING HARD, YOUNGER PEOPLE?

>> WE′RE JUST STARTING TO GET SOME INFORMATION THERE AND SO IT′S A LITTLE EARLY TO SAY, BUT THAT′S AN IMPORTANT THING THAT WE′LL LOOK AT BECAUSE THE AGE DISTRIBUTION CAN BE USEFUL WHEN YOU′RE LOOKING AT AN EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASE, IN TELLING YOU SOMETHING ABOUT WHETHER CERTAIN PARTS OF THE POPULATION WOULD HAVE BUILT-IN IMMUNITY AND WHETHER THE AGENT IS CAUSING PROBLEMS BY ITSELF OR HOW THE HOST IS RESPONDING.IT′S TOO EARLY TO SAY ANYTHING THAT′S GOING ON IN MEXICO. THANKS VERY MUCH.

>> THANK YOU ALL FOR ATTENDING TODAY′S PRESS BRIEFING. WE′LL PROBABLY BE BACK HERE AGAIN TOMORROW. THANK YOU.
End
####
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
-
<cite cite="http://www.cdc.gov/media/transcripts/2009/t090427.htm">CDC Press Briefing Transcripts April 27, 2009</cite>
 
White House memo on swine flu

White House memo on swine flu

The White House issued the following "Update on the H1 N1 Influenza and Suggested Protective Measures" to anyone who had traveled on President Obama's trip to Mexico:

The White House Medical Unit has been in regular contact with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) regarding any possible or confirmed cases in the Washington Metropolitan area. We have learned that an individual who traveled to Mexico City to support the U.S. delegation that accompanied the President to Mexico City came down with flu-like symptoms associated with his work in Mexico. Three members of the individual?s family tested positive for Type A influenza, and tests are currently underway to determine if they contracted the 2009 H1N1 influenza strain. Individual family members suffered mild to moderate symptoms and received no medication and were not hospitalized. There have been no known instances of anyone working at the White House complex who has tested positive for a flu strain in the past month. We are providing this information so that you are aware of the CDC guidance that has been provided to the general public and the federal workforce.

As you may already be aware, the CDC has confirmed 91 cases of H1N1 Flu outbreak in the United States. Twenty states, including one in the National Capital Region, have probable or confirmed cases. Within the United States, the CDC expects the number of cases to increase, and illness severity may also increase. Unlike seasonal influenza, the H1N1 influenza virus currently circulating cannot be prevented through vaccination. Fortunately, individual members of the Executive Office of the President can protect themselves and their co-workers through simple actions that reduce virus transmission and assist public health authorities.

Influenza is transmitted through respiratory droplets that travel between 3 to 6 feet when an affected individual coughs or sneezes. In addition, the influenza virus may survive approximately 2 hours when affected individuals wipe their hands on surfaces such as doorknobs or tables. Limiting influenza exposure within the buildings at the White House Complex will allow normal operations to continue even if the world-wide influenza outbreak becomes more widespread.

Acute respiratory symptoms that are normally considered minor take on added importance in the setting of a novel influenza virus outbreak. If you experience a new cough, runny nose, congestion, sore throat, body aches, or fever, stay home and see a physician before returning to work. The physician will diagnose and treat your condition. If you have influenza, antiviral medication can shorten the course of the illness.

In addition, the physician will take a sample and send it to the local health department to determine if you have the new H1N1 virus. This information is critical for public health officials who can evaluate close contacts of H1N1 cases. Any individual diagnosed with influenza should not return to work for one week to avoid transmitting the virus to co-workers.

Because of their population density, workplaces are susceptible to the spread of illness, so it is always good to take common health precautions. Employees who are not sick should wash their hands frequently with soap and/or gel sanitizers. They should avoid close contact with individuals exhibiting acute respiratory symptoms. If a household member becomes infected with the new H1N1 virus, guidance for home care is available at http://www.cdc.gov/swineflu/guidance_homecare.htm.

EOP staff members experiencing symptoms, or are susceptible to infection, or are needing to care for sick family members are encouraged to take leave. Please consult with your component administrative supervisor regarding this capability. Further, the Office of Personnel Management has guidelines for staff and supervisors during a pandemic health crisis. http://www.opm.gov/pandemic/agency/index.asp

Please also consult with your component administrative supervisor regarding the potential for tele-working capabilities.

Additional general information on the H1N1 virus is also available on the CDC website.

Further information will be provided as this situation develops.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0409/21941.html
 
CDC Telebriefing May 11, 2009, 1 p.m. ET

CDC Telebriefing May 11, 2009, 1 p.m. ET

http://www.cdc.gov/media/transcripts/2009/t090511.htm
CDC Telebriefing on Investigation of Human Cases of H1N1 Flu
May 11, 2009, 1 p.m. ET

Audio recording (MPEG)


Dave Daigle: This is Dave Daigle from CDC Media Relations. Dr. Anne Schuchat from respiratory diseases will update us on the novel H1N1 outbreak.

Anne Schuchat: Good afternoon. You know, I think this issue has been fading a little bit from the media, and I want to give you a sense of where we're at here at CDC. At CDC we're working on transitioning from identifying and understanding initial cases to a comprehensive longer term perspective.

There's much to be done moving forward with an eye towards what will happen in the southern hemisphere and preparing for the fall here in the northern hemisphere. Currently, there are 116 CDC staff deployed in the field supporting outbreak response activities. Many of those efforts involve field investigations that are designed to strengthen our knowledge about how well this new virus is spreading, who is most at risk for illness, how effective prevention measures are, antiviral treatment and so forth.

We're trying to build a strong foundation for understanding the spread of the virus by establishing lab diagnostic capability nationwide and throughout the world. As of today, all of the states have diagnostic test kits. 11 are confirming their own specimens and eight additional states will soon be confirming their own specimens. We've also shipped diagnostic test kits around the world and labs in most countries in the world will have them soon.

As we mentioned, the vaccine development process is under way with the very first step involved in vaccine planning being preparation of a candidate virus, a virus that can be a candidate for vaccine development. CDC has sent five different virus isolates to eight different labs around the world and those laboratories will help us identify which would be best developed into a vaccine.
We've issued a number of interim guidelines and we're at the point in the response where we are actively reviewing the guidance we've issued in light of what we've been learning to see whether changes or amendments to guidance will be appropriate.

The scientific community is also continuing efforts to understand the origin of the virus and to track changes in the virus that may occur over time as we go forward. Our laboratory here at CDC is receiving about 300 to 400 specimens a day and for the priority specimens, we're able to provide results in less than 24 hours. Some specimens from late April still do await confirmation, but we understand now that few of the states continue to have significant backlogs. We believe we're being able to work cooperatively with the state to assure that processing goes forward. Soon some states may reach a point where it may become impossible to count individual cases and at that point they'll be transitioning to reporting systems that we use for seasonal influenza where we don't actually count individual cases.

At CDC we'll continue to update the individual case counts for as long as possible, but we're also beginning to share with you our surveillance systems that we use for seasonal flu so that we can get a sense—or communicate a sense of the trends over time. As you know, we've been updating our website at 11:00 a.m. each day with a new case count. I want to mention that today we're doing a correction on the website because of a little bit of an error so that today's numbers there are 3300 probable and confirmed cases in the District of Columbia. That's actually a little bit lower than previously because we've been able to rule out some of the probable cases. The confirmed case count is 2600in 43 states in the District of Columbia. The most recent onset is May 5th and there are three known fatalities here in the United States with 94 confirmed cases that required hospitalization so far as we know as of today. Our hospitalizations and cases continue to occur in younger persons, the median age of cases is 15 years and 62% of the confirmed cases are under 18. Of course, the WHO are updating their numbers and as of this morning they're reporting 6,094 confirmed cases with the first confirmed case in China being reported.

I want to put the confirmed and suspect case information into context. As we've been saying, these actual numbers need to really be interpreted with caution. They tell us for sure that this virus is circulating throughout the United States and it is likely that it's found in every state even though we don't have confirmations in every single state so far. The numbers tell us that more people have become ill and more are likely to become ill, but we continue to see that most people who are becoming ill with this virus tend to recover in a way that's similar to what we see with seasonal flu; some fatalities, some hospitalizations, but the vast majority recovering from their illness. Another note of caution is that many states did not report over the weekend and so we expect there to be a big jump in cases tomorrow. That doesn't mean that there was a big jump in the onset of cases, but these are the cases that are getting officially reported or confirmed. We do think the numbers we're telling you are underestimates of how many people are actually infected.

There's less need for the diagnostic testing as we've understood more and more about this virus, just as in seasonal influenza. The vast majority of people don't actually get a laboratory confirmation. So putting the numbers in context, the numbers that each state is confirming is affected by the number of people who go in for testing and the processes and policies that the states use in confirming those test results as well as the stability of what's really going in terms of disease trend. On our website and going forward, we're going to be sharing with you a way to track the novel influenza a virus activity consistent with the way we track seasonal flu, using our FluView system. This is available on our web site today, and it will show week by week what's going on. As of the May 8th FluView, we did find that a number of people visiting their doctors or healthcare providers with influenza-like illness is higher than expected in the U.S. for this time of year. You'll be able to see an increase or uptick in that statistic on the grass on the FluView. We also have data that shows that seasonal influenza viruses are continuing to circulate in the U.S., but this novel H1N1 virus as well as the unsubtypable viruses now do account for a significant number of the viruses we're detecting. It's about 40% of the past week's viruses that were this H1N1 virus, but we do see many strains that are other, regular seasonal flu viruses.

I think there's a perception out there that we're winding down, that we're in a lull. It's a time when we really need to guard against complacency as we move into a new normal. We than this virus is present in our communities and it's actively circulating and we don't know what will happen come the fall. New theories are being offered in many areas and it's going to be important for science to move forward and evaluate those theories and just remember that we're-- we really think it's important to remain vigilant for what this new virus will do in our population in the southern hemisphere as well as in the U.S. this fall and we're taking impressive steps to have good information to moving policies going forward. I'd like to take questions at this point.

Dave Daigle: Thank you. First question, please. Operator.

Operator: Our first question is from Maggie Fox of Reuters. Your line is open. You may go ahead.

Maggie Fox: Hi, Dr. Schuchat, I know it's just come out, but have you seen the new report in Science from the W.H.O. collaborative group looking at the genetics of the new H1N1?

Anne Schuchat: Actually, I don't think I've actually seen the full report. Is this - I think we're part of that report here at CDC. Right? Yeah. I think my comment would be that the scientific community has been aggressively moving to understand this new virus and it's been a good collaboration across the W.H.O. collaborating laboratories. I haven't read the final paper, but I was aware it was going to be coming out.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Maggie. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Elizabeth Weise, USA Today, your line is open.

Elizabeth Weise: Thanks for taking my question. I have two quick questions. The first one is looking at that Science Express paper they seem to-- they are certainly leaving open a door that there may be a residual immunity among older people because of potential previous exposures to H1N1.

And my second question is I was out of the flu bubble this weekend and actually talking to regular people again and what I kept hearing from people is didn't they overreact and didn't they overreact, and I'm wondering how different has the response to this outbreak been? How much of this is because it's happening in real time or is that actually different from SARS or from Avian Influenza? I'm trying to get a sense of how this outbreak has been different from previous ones and how that has changed the way that we've reacted.

Anne Schuchat: The question of residual immunity is a very important one and one that we would love to nail down because an important proportion of the population may not be at risk for this new virus. We don't have definitive information and there are a number of studies that are trying to get at that, and the laboratory studies and the epidemiologic studies. As you know, we do have reported cases as old as I think 81 years of age at this point. So we know that or actually now it's up to 86 years of age in terms of our confirmed cases. So we know that it's possible for laboratory confirmed disease to occur in seniors, but I think that issue has been an important one from the beginning.

The question of overreacting is legitimate. What I would say is that some things have changed since the 2003 SARS epidemic and an important one out of the international health regulations. With this global cooperation and the IHR, we are committed as a global community to report and share information promptly on public health events of international concern. Here in the U.S. our government has invested quite a few resources in strengthening our preparedness in pandemic influenza and those resources helped us have stronger surveillance systems and new laboratory tests that helped us detect the problem in the U.S. more rapidly than I think we would have otherwise. So what I would say is that we don't want to have widespread international circulation of a new virus and find out about it months or years later. By rapid detection, we can get a leg up on prevention through things like vaccine production, should that be necessary. So I do think the global community is strengthened through the IHR and through the lessons learned from SARS and here in the U.S. we're greatly strengthened from our investments in our preparedness enterprise.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Elizabeth. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Mike Stobbe, the Associated Press. Your line is open.

Mike Stobbe: Hi, thanks for taking the call. Doctor, first of all, earlier you said the unsubtypable now account for 40% of the past week's viruses. When you said past week you mean the week that just ended, the seven-day period, and then I have another one.

Anne Schuchat: Yeah. On the FluView, you'll see the influenza-like illness graphic and I believe it's the week of-- which week is that? Sorry. I think it's week 17 which is--which has the uptick.

Mike Stobbe: Last week?

Anne Schuchat: I will check on which day. We'll follow-up for you on that. I thought it was the week of the 8th and the graphic doesn't say that. I'll have to double check. Basically, we're seeing an increase on the illness and the sentinel providers and we don't have today's data yet and the data that's shared in the increase. As I said, maybe I haven't said it today, there's a lag between the^-- when a case occurs when a person seeks medical care, when a laboratory test is carried out and when it is collected. Our epidemic curves do have a lag. It may look like cases are going down, but that primarily is because of this delay and between this illness occurs and when we know about it for sure. We haven't seen a drop in cases here in the U.S. and that is something we're looking toward in the future.

Dave Daigle: Mike, you had a second part?

Mike Stobbe: Yes, sir, thanks. The Science article that was referenced earlier, the authors estimated that between 6,000 and 232,000 infections has occurred in Mexico as of April 30th. They tried to give an actual feel of the impact going in Mexico. Do you have a good ballpark estimate? You've been listing confirmed and probable. How many infections do we really think are out there in the United States right now?

Anne Schuchat: I think the cases that we're confirming are the tip of the iceberg here. We have really focused in many of the states in confirming the more serious cases, making sure that cases sought medical attention who had more severe illness, trying to avoid really clogging up the outpatient clinics or the emergency rooms. We know with seasonal influenza that there's a range between needing to stay home a few days because of high fever and muscle aches and cough to really severe illness requiring hospitalization. So I believe that the numbers we're reporting are a minority of the actual infections that are occurring in the country, but the way that we're tracking this we will be able to look at increases and peak and decreases. It's very important that we track the actual virus in a subset of patients and that's what our ilinet or sentinel providers will be doing, putting into context how much of what we're seeing that's the new virus versus the seasonal flu strain. That will be really important in the fall when seasonal flu is likely to be increasing. Differentiating this new virus from the regular flu strains will be very important. It's also something that will be a priority in the southern hemisphere to understand whether this new virus is taking hold or just fizzling out and whether the new virus is changing its characteristics, becoming resistant to the antiviral drugs or even changing it’s antigenic and immunologic properties, so if a vaccine were directed against it, that would need to be adjusted.

Dave Daigle: Thanks, Mike. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is Allen Miranda from Excelsior. Your line is open.

Alan Miranda: Hi, ma'am. Thank you for taking my question, and I would like to follow up on that-- on that topic about the backlog. You mentioned that these number of cases might just be the tip of the iceberg, but do you believe there are also deaths that have not been reported up to this point?

Anne Schuchat: You know, that's a good question. Certainly many deaths occur without a specific diagnosis or a specific idea logic diagnosis. With seasonal influenza we do believe there are many deaths that are linked with influenza that present as cardiac problems or respiratory problems and one of our regular seasonal influenza tracking systems looks at pneumonia and influenza mortality. We're looking at that week by week and we don't see an increase in that over the expected baseline. That's one of the systems that we'll be tracking going forward that will help us know whether anew virus such as this one is having a substantial impact beyond what we're testing with the virologic study, for instance in the 1918 major pandemic, you will see a change in the pneumonia and influenza mortality surveillance above baseline and we're not seeing that change right now. So there may be some deaths that have occurred attributed to this virus that never got a specific diagnosis, but I don't believe so far here in the U.S. we have so many of them that they are of public health concern.

Dave Daigle: Thanks, Allen. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Fred Mogul, WNYC. Your line is open.

Fred Mogul: Yes, hello, Dr. Schuchat. It's a perennial in general question, but concern in a way, perhaps highlighted by the recent outbreak of H1N1 which is to say doctors prescribing, you know, antibiotics much of the year and in this case, antivirals and big rushes reported on pharmacies for Tamiflu. The CDC has been issuing guidelines and for many, many years has been trying to discourage this kind of behavior among physicians. I just wonder what you can say about past and current campaigns on that front.

Anne Schuchat: You know, appropriate use of antibiotics and antiviral drugs is important. We want the medicines that we have to work when we need them and overuse or abuse of these medicines can contribute to resistance developing in some of the microbes. With the antiviral drugs that have been developed for influenza, the focus right now is on use and treatment and our guidance for this interim time, the H1N1 interim guidance focuses on treatment in persons who are presenting with severe illness or people with underlying medical conditions who might be at risk for a worst time for influenza, so, yes, we do think these are wonderful drugs to use appropriately, but the inappropriate use can contribute to resistance and to them not working when we really need them to.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Fred. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is Betsy McKay, Wall Street Journal. Your line is open.

Betsy McKay: Thank you very much. Dr. Schuchat, a couple of questions. You mentioned one of the things you'll be watching for is whether this fizzles out. We've certainly seen viruses fizzle out in the past. I wonder if you could talk a little bit about what that could mean? If it fizzles out in the southern hemisphere, does that mean it is unlikely to emerge in the fall and so forth. My second question was two congressmen—Georgia congressmen who are both physicians said recently they don't believe H1N1 vaccine would be a worthwhile expense for taxpayers. Do you believe a vaccine would be worthwhile?

Anne Schuchat: Thank you. The issue of the southern hemisphere is very important, but it's also important to remember that influenza viruses are unpredictable and so while I think that finding trends in the southern hemisphere can decrease the uncertain they we have in the northern hemisphere in the fall, we will still number a situation where some uncertainty persists, so I think the focus is on reducing uncertainty, but recognizing that influenza can be unpredictable.

The issue of worthwhile investments going forward is a very important one at a time when our budget is constrained. For several years we've been chairing our pandemic preparedness planning and looking at worst case and best case scenarios understanding the economic impact as well as the health and social impact that a true pandemic could have. It's true that we have a novel virus circulating in the United States and in some other countries as well that we don't have general population immunity that can cause a range of illness from mild to severe, at this point similar to seasonal influenza. The ultimate impact that that virus could have going forward is less easy to predict. I think the ideas of investigating the initial steps, investing development which need to betaken months in advance of actually getting a vaccine are very prudent at this point as we do for any new influenza virus, and I think that the debate about the appropriateness in investments is one that will go forward.

Dave Daigle: Thanks very much. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Robert Bazell, NBC news. Your line is open.

Robert Bazell: Hi, thank you very much. Maybe I missed something over the weekend, but you mentioned a third death. Is that new information and if it is new information can you tell us as much as you can? What state, age, underlying medical condition and that sort of thing? Thank you.

Anne Schuchat: There have been three deaths in the United States associated with this outbreak. Two of them occurred Texas and the third occurred Washington State. For details about the case in Washington State which was reported over the weekend, I would encourage you to contact the Washington State Health Department.

Dave Daigle: Thanks, Bob. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Megha Satynanbrayana from the Detroit Free Press. Your line is open.

Megha Satynanbrayana: Hi. I wonder if there is any thought on whether states should increase the number of sentinel sites they use in the fall to track the extra work in tracking two groups of virus?

Anne Schuchat: You know, the surveillance systems going forward are a focus of our attention. One aspect that we're focusing on is increasing the viral testing that occurs in our sentinel provider sites. We do have a very large number of sentinel sites that have been participating over the last few years and we've expanded the number of sentinels in the last few years based on the investments in the pandemic preparedness in recognition that we needed a good, geographic representation. These are active discussions in conjunction with public health authorities in local and state areas, really honing in on what are the best ways to track this virus in the context of seasonal flu. As you'll see on the FluView site, we have several different systems that provide complimentary information including clinical characteristics, frequency and onset in the community and of course, the virologic circumstances.

Dave Daigle: Thanks very much. I am told that's our last question. So we will send out both a media advisory and we'll e-mail folks for distribution on the next update. Thanks again.

End

####

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
 
CDC Telebriefing 05-15

CDC Telebriefing 05-15

http://www.cdc.gov/media/transcripts/2009/t090515.htm

CDC Telebriefing on Investigation of Human Cases of H1N1 Flu
May 15, 2009, 1:30 p.m. ET

Audio recording (MPEG)

Operator: Welcome, and thank you all for standing by. At this time, I would like to remind parties that your lines are on a listen-only mode until the question and answer session, at which time you can press star one to ask a question. Today's call is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time. I will now turn the meeting over to Glen Nowak. Thank you, sir, you may begin.

Dave Daigle: Actually this is Dave Daigle, Deputy Director of Media Relations. Today we're going to have Dr. Dan Jernigan, who is the deputy director for the CDC's influenza physician, to update us on the H1N1 virus that's circulating. Dr. Jernigan will provide a short statement and take questions.

Dan Jernigan: Thanks a lot. The H1N1 virus continues to circulate in the United States and people continue to be ill and to be hospitalized. Today we had our fourth death reported from Maricopa county in Arizona. There are 22 U.S. states that are reporting widespread or regional influenza activity, which is something that we would not expect at this time. There are, again, more deaths and hospitalizations that we're monitoring. There is increased amount of flu-like illness in New York City, in schools and in Houston in schools as a result of many children becoming sick with influenza-like illness that we presume will be the H1N1 virus. There are at least, in terms of our case counts, over 4,700 probable and confirmed cases in the United States.

That number is one that we're continuing to follow. We will continue to get those numbers from the states that report to us, but the numbers are becoming less important as we move through the increasing numbers of cases. And so we are monitoring the influenza through other surveillance systems that the CDC and state health departments maintain. What we're seeing is there is geographic variation in H1N1 flu activity, and that is the activity appears to be highest in the Pacific Northwest and in southwest and in other areas of the country. So we expect, just as with seasonal flu, that the flu will appear in different places. It will come, it will go, so we're trying to monitor that. But overall, we're seeing increased activity.

There are four known fatalities, like I mentioned. There are 173 hospitalizations that have been reported to CDC so far. Most of the cases that we have, again, remain among younger people in the ages of 5 to 24 years old. But unlike seasonal flu, we're still seeing relatively few cases in older individuals, and that may be just a matter of time until the virus is capable of getting to those populations, or maybe that it is a reflection of a different that this particular virus has in the populations that are affected.

Internationally, the world health organization is reporting over 7,500 confirmed cases in 34 countries. We worked -- we're continuing to work very closely with our southern hemisphere partners to monitor influenza activity as we expect that it will increase over the next months during their flu season in the southern hemisphere. In Mexico there continues to be disease. It is just as in the United States, appearing in different places at different times. Some areas being more significantly affected than others.

The estimates of the number of confirmed and probable cases in the United States are probably not the best indicator of transmission at this point because of the effect of testing, that is early on, a lot of tests were done but now the amount of testing is more targeted. And so they likely are underestimates of the actual number of people infected. And so we do know that in some places there are reporting thousands of suspect cases, and so as we know more, especially as we know more from the field teams that are doing household surveys and so forth, we will be able to have better estimates of the numbers of cases that we estimate are actually caused by influenza, the outpatient kind of illness.

There has been some discussion about the virus mutating. We're working very closely with W.H.O., with other countries and academics and other collaborating centers around the globe to look at these viruses, to look at the gene sequences in them. And so far, we're not seeing significant evidence of any mutation towards more virulence in the U.S. However, we're continuing to look at these things, trying to see whether or not there are different kinds of illness that is caused by them. But at this point, nothing that we are able to say about any change that has occurred in the virus.

In terms of CDC's response, we have more than 100 CDC staff that are in the field. Also in terms of helping to detect the H1N1 virus around the globe, we are working with the world health organization to distribute test kits. We distributed to 95 laboratories in all 50 states in the U.S. and to 237 laboratories in 107 countries. And we hope that having those very sensitive tests out around the globe, we will be able to get a good sense early on about where the virus is occurring. At this point, we're not seeing the seriousness of illness that was initially reported in Mexico in the United States, but this certainly does not mean that the outbreak is over. The H1N1 virus is not going away. We know that the outbreak is not localized but is spreading and appears to be expanding throughout the United States.

So, this is an ongoing public health threat and continued vigilance and action is needed. And for the upcoming fall flu season, it is critically important for everyone now to be prepared and to follow with us and if you have illness, to see your doctor. If you're sick, stay home. Use those appropriate hygiene that we have described and follow with us on our website regarding the numbers of cases, the amount of illness and the guidance that's being developed at CDC.gov.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Dr. Jernigan. Operator, at this time, we will take the first question.

Operator: The first question is from Robert Lowes, MedScape Medical News. Your line is open.

Robert Lowes: Thank you, Dr. Jernigan. Now, The New York Times reported that a researcher investigating cases in Mexico found that one-third of the hospitalized patients from this flu did not have fever, which is odd in his view because that is typically a symptom of seasonal flu, and one-third of the patients he looked at didn't have that symptom. Is that also something that you have discovered in the United States? And if so, what does that say about the virus and screening for it?

Dan Jernigan: Well, the report indicated that a number of people did not have fever. That is into the what we have seen so far in the United States. Of those that are hospitalized, all of those that we have been following have had fever except for those who might not be expected to have it, those older individuals might not have it, and some that are severely ill may not be able to mount a fever. But as a significant symptom or sign that is associated with this particular virus, we are not seeing the absence of fever as a prominent component.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Robert. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Rob Stein, Washington Post. Your line is open.

Rob Stein: Yeah, Hi, thank you very much for taking my question. I had a couple of questions. First was, do you have any more information about the -- the latest death in Arizona? And where the other three were just to remind us. And also, I had a question about vaccine. There was an announcement today that one of the manufacturers was planning to proceed with an agument vaccine. I was wondering if that was something that the United States would be -- would be able to -- be interest the in using if they do ahead with that.

Dan Jernigan: Your first question regarding deaths, I would refer you to the Maricopa county and Arizona state health departments for further information on that. They have put out some press releases and have some information on their web. The other sites that deaths have occurred, there are two in Texas and one in Washington state so far. In terms of the agument vaccines, that is something in other countries they have used them for seasonal influenza. There were early on some trials of vaccines for the Avian influenza prevented sax seen but in the United States, it's not something that has been approved for use by the FDA but we look forward to seeing how well that vaccine works and the potential for its use here.

Dave Daigle: Thank you. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Donald McNeil, The New York Times. Your line is up.

Donald McNeil: Hi, Dr. Jernigan. There's a growing gap between the usefulness of that 4,714 confirmed and probable cases and the actual number of cases around the country. I know the teams aren't all in yet but do you have any sort of estimate at all about how many cases we're talking about across the country? Is it 10,000, 20,000, 30,000? Any sense at all of what the real number is like?

Dan Jernigan: Yeah, I agree with you regarding the utility of the numeric figure for influenza. And for that reason, we don't enumerate the numbers of individual cases each year in the United States. Somewhere between 7 percent to 10 percent of the U.S. population each year gets influenza, which is maybe 21 million to 30 million people a year. And so with the amount of activity that we're seeing now, it's a little hard to make an estimate about what that means in terms of the total number of people with flu out in the community. But if we had to make an estimate, I would say that the amount of activity we're seeing with our influenza-like illness network is probably upwards of maybe 100,000, but that's something we will have a much better estimate of once we get the information back from the field teams that are collecting that data.

Dave Daigle: Thanks, Don. Next question, please, operator?

Operator: The next is from Helen Branswell, The Canadian Press. Your line is up.

Helen Branswell: Hi, thank you very much for taking my question. I was just looking at flu watch for this week, or FluView, excuse me. And it's really kind of interesting to see there seems to be quite a spike in activity not just for the new H1N1 but for a bunch of different types of flu. Is that an artifact of the fact that more testing is being done now than woo normally be done this time of the year, or is something weird going on?

Dan Jernigan: I can with great certainty say that that is a reflection of the amount of testing that's going on. For those of you that follow this kind of thing, if you're looking at the curves, you will see that there's a nice bell shape to our season from last year -- from this past season, rather. And that significant increase at the end of the season, that significant increase is a reflection of this profound amount of testing that has gone on in the last few weeks. The interesting thing, as you point out is that when we start testing everyone that looks like they have flu, we find a number of them that do have flu and what we're find is only about half of those have the h 1 -- the new h1 virus. The others have the circulating seasonal kinds of viruses. And so what that means is that there is even at this end of the usual season, the regular season, a fair amount of regular viruses that are circulating in addition to these from h1. But I think the important message is that we would be expecting to see the season to be slowing down or almost completely stopped from the kinds of surveillance systems that we normally monitor. But what we're seeing is that there are some areas that actually have reports of the amounts of respiratory disease that are coming into their clinics that are equivalent to peak influenza season, and so that's an indicator to us that there's something going on with the amount of influenza disease out there. But in terms of us enumerating that, we're not able to do that at this point.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Helen. Next question, operator.

Operator: The next is from John Cohen, Science Magazine. Your line is open.

John Cohen: Hi. Thanks for taking my call. I wanted to clarify something Helen just asked and also ask a question about vaccines. There's a report that several European countries have secured purchase with Glaxo of H1N1 novel, H1N1 for next year. If the U.S. makes that decision, who makes that? Is that an HHS decision? Is that a CDC decision? Who actually makes it? And is there a time line cutoff date when the decision will be made? The other question -- I can wait until you answer the first one. Thanks.

Dan Jernigan: Yeah, I think vaccine decisions are made through an inner agency group within the federal government, predominantly through HHS. So that inner agency group is actively engaged right now and they are working through these issues and the key decisions are likely to be made soon regarding the U.S. plans.

Dave Daigle: The time line?

Dan Jernigan: The time line, I don't have a time which that is but it's as soon as possible. There are a number of factors that you know about manufacturing and so forth that require these decisions to be made very quickly.

Dave Daigle: John, what was your question about the FluView?

Dave Daigle: He had a second question.

Dan Jernigan: Yes.

Dave Daigle: Operator, I think we might have lost John.

John Cohen: I'm here.

Dan Jernigan: Excellent.

John Cohen: I'm here.

Dave Daigle: John, did you have a second question about FluView?

John Cohen: I did. You're saying there's increased activity from normal surveillance but it's confusing given that there's so much more surveillance, how do you factor out whether it's the increased surveillance that's leading to this abnormal activity when 50 percent of what you're seeing is seasonal flu?

Dan Jernigan: Right. I think it's a difference between the types of surveillance systems. So one of them is the -- what we call viral logic surveillance. It's where we actually collect the viruses and enumerate them, characterize them, et cetera. And so that's one that is completely dependent upon people sending in specimens where they can be appropriated tested and characterized. And that's where you see that tremendous increase at the end of this season. The other is an influenza illness network of 4,500 clinicians and other providers that tell us how many people are coming into their clinics for all causes and also tell us how many of those people are coming in with fever and influenza-like illness symptoms. And so that one is going to be less affected by media and by other factors and is not one that we stimulate through any kind of public health activity but would be in part, perhaps, reflective of some media interest. But even in the time that the interest has waned, we see that those folks are still coming in. And what we also see is that those upticks in certain regions are consistent with anecdotal reports and other reports we get of school closures and of increased illness in communities.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, John. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from David Brown, Washington Post. Your line is open.

David Brown: Yes, Hi, thanks. There's a report that there is a -- yet another new H1N1 virus that has been found in the states of Durango, Zack teakous and halisco in Mexico that is distinct from both this -- this swine H1N1 and the seasonal Brisbane H1N1. Have you heard of this? And can you tell us anything about this?

Dan Jernigan: We've heard of some reports about that, but I have not had any direct information about the specifics of that case. So there's ongoing dialogue between us and the folks that are in Mexico and so as we know more about that, we will be able to let people know.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, David. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Stacey Singer, Palm Beach Post. Your line is open.

Stacey Singer: Hi. Thanks for taking my call. My question is in the serious cases where we're seeing hospitalizations in this country and in Mexico and the deaths as well, has the site of the storm frequently play a role in the deaths? What are people dying of when they're trying?

Dan Jernigan: The issue of side akind storm is one that clearly influenza has been associated with in the past. We have reason to believe that could be a part of the cause here. The numbers of individuals that have died that we actually have appropriate tissues and enough information to study is still pretty small. We have seen that some individuals do appear to have what looks like viral pneumonia. So that is a direct infection of the lower respiratory track by the flu virus. And so as we learn more, I think we'll be able to say if there are unique features about the H1N1, but what we are seeing so far are the kinds of outcomes that have been previously described for influenza, but that's something that we are very interested in and we want to learn more about.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Stacey. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Michelle Merrill, Hospital Employee Health. Your line is open.

Michelle Merrill: Thank you very much. I had a couple of questions. One is, do you have any idea as to how many health care workers have been infected either in the community which could pose a threat to patients in the hospital, or due to occupational exposure? And I also have a second question about your respiratory protection guidance. While that guidance has remained the same, state and local health departments around the country have differing guidance. And I'm just wondering what you think about that situation in which, you know, does that create a confusion because depending on where you live, you have different guidance about the level of respiratory protection.

Dan Jernigan: Right. I think there are a number of issues that have to be taken into account. And you're very aware of all of them regarding protection of the workers and the ability to -- to do your work given all of the protective equipment and other requirements for worker protection. At this point there have been no changes to the guidance that's on our website. The discussions that we're having are with NIOSH and OSHA and with others to try to identify what is the most appropriately based science guidance to offer protection in this setting.

In terms of the numbers, your question was also about the variation in guidance. When the guidances are written, in general, of course, they are all interim guidance at this point but those guidances are intended to have or offer some flex ability so that some localities based on the context can make some decisions. And so for various guidance on our web, we allow for there to be some flexibility so that states can take into account the unique activities and the unique amount of disease in those activities -- in those jurisdictions and come up with the appropriate guidance. In terms of the numbers of confirmed or probable health care personnel, there are 56 confirmed or probable that we know of in 20 states. And that represents about 1.4 percent of all currently reported cases. In terms of where they're their exposures occurred and whether or not they traveled to someplace or had exposures elsewhere and brought it into the health care setting, those are things that you our investigative teams are now working through. Because we think that's very important information that we want to help to inform decision-making but the numbers of case that's we have that we can ask those questions of may be too small for us to get some of the important questions answered at this time.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Michelle. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Kate Trainor, aghp. Your line is open.

Kate Trainor: Hi. Thank you for taking my question. I know the CDC has said you're going to be looking very closely at the southern hemisphere for what develops down there. So I was wondering if you can tell us what specific signs you might be looking for that SEVERE disease might or might not be coming this way in the fall. And sort of on the other side of that, how do you weigh that information against the fact that the harder you look, the more stuff you're going to find, kind of similar to what's going on here as far as finding both the seasonal and new H1N1 flu in the northern hemisphere?

Dan Jernigan: Over the last few years, the CDC and other public health agencies have been working with folks notice southern hemisphere and in tropical areas to try to characterize with the baseline what the amount of influenza is through their seasons. For many countries in the southern hemisphere, their seasons are just now starting and will peak in the next month to two. So we want to be able to work there to identify a couple of things in particular. We want to look at severity and we want to look at the spread of infection. So there are different ways to do that. We work with the laboratories down there to characterize the viruses that are circulating. That will tell us if virus that's we have chosen for a vaccine are still good or the right ones that are likely to come back. It will also tell us if there's changes in the virus and also if there's development of antiviral resistance. The next thing we would want to look at is people who are admitted for SEVERE acute respiratory illness, so there are protocols and process that's have been worked out over the last few years that will be implemented through our partners in this regions to try to characterize that. And then finally there are estimates of the amount of influenza-like illness in the community, that we welcome working with them as well.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Kate. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Kafi Drexel, New York 1. Your line is open.

Kafi Drexel: Hi, how are you? Earlier today in New York City's press conference regarding the latest cluster of H1N1 at an intermediate school here, the question was posed kind of by, why has this been happening in schools? And our outgoing health commissioner himself commented that it's a little surprising to them because they usually don't see this in a regular flu season where there are situations where 20 or 30 kids at a time come in with high fever on a single day. Also, it doesn't seem like this is impacting as many older adults as usual at this point. So do you have any further insight as to why some of these clusters may be happening more in school environments? Are you looking at whether or not H1N1 is acting differently in younger people? And then also, regarding the vaccine, if you could talk a little bit more specifically on where the CDC is as far as what's happening with that and what the thinking is as far as going ahead and developing that for fall. Looking ahead.

Dan Jernigan: Yes. I think you're pointing out an important feature of influenza, and that is that younger people are often more affected. If we look at who gets influenza each year, the predominance, if you want to call it reservoir of influenza is in the school-aged children' so, therefore, schools are where a younger place can congregate and share their influenza viruses amongst themselves and that often then allows for other folks to become infected as well. For this particular H1N1, it's following along seasonal flu in that sense. But when we look at the blood of people who have -- that we have collected over the past few years, we're able to see that the older you are, the more likely you might have some evidence that you could respond somewhat to the H1N1 novel virus that's circulating. And so what that suggests to us is that not only are skids as usual affected more, there is a chance that they may be completely naive or immune, not have any immunity to the virus. So that suggests that we want to do something to make sure that we protect them. And so while in the usual season, we may not close schools. Now it may make sense to do that. My understanding is in New York City these school closures have occurred because of the staffing issues and the number of peoples affected, and I believe that was their decision. In terms of the vaccine, as you know, there's many steps involved with producing a flu sax seen. Vaccine. And we're working with under HHS agencies and vaccine manufacturers to go through those steps as fast as possible.

Dave Daigle: Thank you. Next question, please, operator.

Operator: The next is from Donald McNeil, The New York Times. Your line is open.

Don McNeil: Hi. Thank you for taking a second one. I wanted to ask about infection control in schools. We're seeing pictures now in New York City of the custodians wiping down door handles and washing the schools but if the schools are being closed for a week and the virus dies in 48 hours, that seems like a cosmetic exercise and I'm wondering -- I don't notice any infection guidelines, infection control guidelines for school on the CDC website or any other. I wonder if you have suggestions or plans for schools and what they would be and what do you do when the students come back into the school so you don't get a resurgence?

Dan Jernigan: In terms of environmental infection control issues, there are different guidances that are not on the H1N1 influenza swine -- excuse me -- site. However, those guidances are on our infection control site and can be found there. But in particular here, the closing of the schools is in addition to allow for time so that transmission among those folks who are not in school can either burn out or get -- have an opportunity to not be spread within the school environment. In terms of the specific guidance for infection control in schools, we do not have that on our website, but there are places on the CDC website that get out issues of environmental cleaning.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Don. Next question, please, operator.


Operator: The next is from Helen Branswell, The Canadian Press. Your line is open.

Helen Branswell: Hi. Thanks for coming back to me as well. Dan, I'm clear about your answer to me and to John Cohen about the amount of activity that's going on now. Do you think that there is more activity than would be normally seen at this time of year, or is it just more testing is being done? Is something weird going on? Is there an interplay of these viruses?

Dan Jernigan: I think the simple answer is yes, we think there is more activity. We are seeing it anecdotally, we are seeing it in our surveillance systems and we have a novel virus that has emerged for which there is no immunity in the fair amount of the population. So everything at this point suggests that there is ongoing activity and we're seeing that in other countries as well, in this western hemisphere.

Dave Daigle: Thank you, Helen. I have just been handed a late breaker, so we will have Dr. Cetron make a short announcement.

Marty Cetron: I just wanted to indicate that later today, CDC would likely be posting a downgrade to the travel warning that is currently up regarding Mexico, which is at a level four alert that suggests folks defer not essential travel to Mexico. That will be downgraded to a travel precaution. And this will focus on providing particular precautionary advice to those individuals who are at high risk for complications of influenza. As Dr. Jernigan has probably already discussed in his brief, very high proportion of our hospitalizations are occurring among those who have underlying health conditions that put them at risk for complications, and our travel precaution will be particularly providing advice to those individuals regarding seeing their physician and getting specific advice on the feasibility and reasonableness for them. Bust the overall travel alert will be lowered from a warning to a precaution in that regard. And this information that we expect will be on the -- on the CDC website later, by the end of the day today.

Dave Daigle: Dr. Martin Cetron, is the Director of the Global Migration and Quarantine Division. We do not plan a briefing right now pending any major developments for Saturday and Sunday. I want to thank everybody for joining us. Thanks very much. Good-bye.

End
 
Re: CDC Telebriefing 05-15

Re: CDC Telebriefing 05-15

I got a small chuckle that the CDC transcript writer didn't know what to do with cytakine storm & wrote it down as "site of the storm" and "side akind storm".
:lol:
 
Re: CDC Telebriefing 05-15

Re: CDC Telebriefing 05-15

Probably machine transcription. Those are typical kinds of errors. Also "sax seen" for vaccine. A person wouldn't have been likely to make that mistake.
 
CDC Press Conference May 15: "Probably" 100,000 have Flu Like Illness in USA

CDC Press Conference May 15: "Probably" 100,000 have Flu Like Illness in USA

Highlights of the CDC May 15 press conference:

The CDC roughly estimates that over 100,000 in the USA currently have the flu:

if we had to make an estimate, I would say that the amount of activity we're seeing with our influenza-like illness network is probably upwards of maybe 100,000, but that's something we will have a much better estimate of once we get the information back from the field teams that are collecting that data.

Commenting on the New York Times report that many novel H1N1 patients in Mexico did not have fever, the CDC said that US victims almost always have fever:

as a significant symptom or sign that is associated with this particular virus, we are not seeing the absence of fever as a prominent component

The CDCs reports say that the regular flu is infecting many more patients than normal this time of year. The CDC says that is not really happening, but we are noticing more cases because there is so much interest in the new flu that more flu cases of all types are being reported.

I can with great certainty say that that is a reflection of the amount of testing that's going on.

Half the flu cases being tested have the new flu, and half have regular, seasonal flu.

when we start testing everyone that looks like they have flu, we find a number of them that do have flu and what we're find is only about half of those have the h 1 -- the new h1 virus. The others have the circulating seasonal kinds of viruses.

Some areas of the country have as many patients visiting doctors for flu as is normal at the peak of the flu season:

what we're seeing is that there are some areas that actually have reports of the amounts of respiratory disease that are coming into their clinics that are equivalent to peak influenza season, and so that's an indicator to us that there's something going on with the amount of influenza disease out there.

Cytokine storms and viral pneumonia may be causes of some of the deaths:

We have reason to believe that [cytokine storms] could be a part of the cause here. The numbers of individuals that have died that we actually have appropriate tissues and enough information to study is still pretty small. We have seen that some individuals do appear to have what looks like viral pneumonia. So that is a direct infection of the lower respiratory track by the flu virus.

According to blood tests, the older one is, the more likely to have some immunity to the new H1N1 flu virus, while children may not have any immunity at all:

when we look at the blood of people who have -- that we have collected over the past few years, we're able to see that the older you are, the more likely you might have some evidence that you could respond somewhat to the H1N1 novel virus that's circulating. And so what that suggests to us is that not only are kids as usual affected more, there is a chance that they may be completely naive or [not] immune, not have any immunity to the virus

CDC press conference May 15
 
CDC: No evidence of mutation

CDC: No evidence of mutation

I forgot to add the CDC's quote about mutation:

There has been some discussion about the [new H1N1] virus mutating. We're working very closely with W.H.O., with other countries and academics and other collaborating centers around the globe to look at these viruses, to look at the gene sequences in them. And so far, we're not seeing significant evidence of any mutation towards more virulence in the U.S. However, we're continuing to look at these things, trying to see whether or not there are different kinds of illness that is caused by them. But at this point, nothing that we are able to say about any change that has occurred in the virus.
 
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