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The other thread was loading more and more slowly, so I thought I'd start a new thread with Week 1. Missouri appeared to have peaked, but ILI has spiked again.
Re: 2012-13 Selected Flu Indicator Charts Week 1 - current
I think care must be taken with rates apparently turning down after an apparent "peak" in Week 52. Note this from the current CDC Flu Report: "The increase observed in week 52 may be attributed in part to a reduced number of routine health care visits during the end of year holidays, which has been observed in previous seasons"
We shall see what the stats for this week show. Google (as I posted in another thread) doesn't "believe" the CDC reported national surge/drop (but then I don't think the CDC does either considering their "disclaimer" i quoted). If Google Flu Trends has it right the reported US national ILI rate will jump back up in Friday's report.
Re: 2012-13 Selected Flu Indicator Charts Week 1 - current
Although some states appear to be post peak, others that have been hit hard showed a decreasing trend over the past two weeks only to have ILI increase again in Week 3. We shouldn't let our guard down because ILI is an early indicator and fatalities trail by as much as 4 to 6 weeks.
Re: 2012-13 Selected Flu Indicator Charts Week 1 - current
Here are more ILI charts from Week 3, including ILI outbreaks in schools in Minnesota, which has risen sharply as overall ILI in the state is decreasing significantly.