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Vet Res. 2016 Nov 4;47(1):109.
Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015.
Vergne T1, Fourni? G2, Markovich MP3, Ypma RJ4, Katz R3, Shkoda I5, Lublin A5, Perk S3, Pfeiffer DU2.
Author information
Abstract
The transmission tree of the Israeli 2015 epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) was modelled by combining the spatio-temporal distribution of the outbreaks and the genetic distance between virus isolates. The most likely successions of transmission events were determined and transmission parameters were estimated. It was found that the median infectious pressure exerted at 1 km was 1.59 times (95% CI 1.04, 6.01) and 3.54 times (95% CI 1.09, 131.75) higher than that exerted at 2 and 5 km, respectively, and that three farms were responsible for all seven transmission events.
PMID: 27814754 PMCID: PMC5096331 DOI: 10.1186/s13567-016-0393-2
[PubMed - in process]
Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015.
Vergne T1, Fourni? G2, Markovich MP3, Ypma RJ4, Katz R3, Shkoda I5, Lublin A5, Perk S3, Pfeiffer DU2.
Author information
Abstract
The transmission tree of the Israeli 2015 epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) was modelled by combining the spatio-temporal distribution of the outbreaks and the genetic distance between virus isolates. The most likely successions of transmission events were determined and transmission parameters were estimated. It was found that the median infectious pressure exerted at 1 km was 1.59 times (95% CI 1.04, 6.01) and 3.54 times (95% CI 1.09, 131.75) higher than that exerted at 2 and 5 km, respectively, and that three farms were responsible for all seven transmission events.
PMID: 27814754 PMCID: PMC5096331 DOI: 10.1186/s13567-016-0393-2
[PubMed - in process]