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More than 50 Long-term effects of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis -preprint

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  • More than 50 Long-term effects of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis -preprint

    medRxiv preprint
    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.27.21250617;
    this version posted January 30, 2021.

    Sandra Lopez-Leon MD, PhD1,*, Talia Wegman-Ostrosky MD, PhD2, Carol Perelman, BSc3, Rosalinda Sepulveda MD PhD 4, Paulina A Rebolledo, MD, MSc5,6, Angelica Cuapio MD, Dr. Med7, Sonia Villapol, PhD8,9,*

    ABSTRACT

    COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV-2, can involve sequelae and other medical complications that last weeks to months after initial recovery, which has come to be called Long-COVID or COVID long-haulers. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to identify studies assessing long- term effects of COVID-19 and estimates the prevalence of each symptom, sign, or laboratory parameter of patients at a post-COVID-19 stage. LitCOVID (PubMed and Medline) and Embase were searched by two independent researchers. All articles with original data for detecting long- term COVID-19 published before 1st of January 2021 and with a minimum of 100 patients were included. For effects reported in two or more studies, meta-analyses using a random-effects model were performed using the MetaXL software to estimate the pooled prevalence with 95% CI. Heterogeneity was assessed using I2 statistics. This systematic review followed Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviewers and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) guidelines, although the study protocol was not registered. A total of 18,251 publications were identified, of which 15 met the inclusion criteria. The prevalence of 55 long-term effects was estimated, 21 meta-analyses were performed, and 47,910 patients were included. The follow-up time ranged from 14 to 110 days post-viral infection. The age of the study participants ranged between 17 and 87 years. It was estimated that 80% (95% CI 65-92) of the patients that were infected with SARS-CoV-2 developed one or more long-term symptoms. The five most common symptoms were fatigue (58%), headache (44%), attention disorder (27%), hair loss (25%), and dyspnea (24%). All meta-analyses showed medium (n=2) to high heterogeneity (n=13). In order to have a better understanding, future studies need to stratify by sex, age, previous comorbidities, severity of COVID-19 (ranging from asymptomatic to severe), and duration of each symptom. From the clinical perspective, multi- disciplinary teams are crucial to developing preventive measures, rehabilitation techniques, and clinical management strategies with whole-patient perspectives designed to address long COVID- 19 care.
    ...


    Figure 2. Long-term effects of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The meta-analysis of the studies included an estimate for one symptom or more reported that 80% of the patients with COVID-19 have long-term symptoms. Abbreviations: C-reactive protein (CRP), computed tomography (CT), Interleukin-6 (IL-6), N-terminal (NT)-pro hormone BNP (NT-proBNP), Obsessive Compulsive Disorder (OCD), Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD)


  • #2
    Am I correct in thinking that these figures show 85% of people suffering some long term effects - including 4% developing Type 1 diabetes, 3% suffering a stroke, 1% developing myocarditis and 1% suffering renal failure. A second tsunami.
    "The only security we have is our ability to adapt."

    Comment


    • #3
      It's time to use the right word : syndemic

      Comment


      • GardenSpider
        GardenSpider commented
        Editing a comment
        I had to look this up! For others who may be similarly bewildered by this term: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syndemic

        A syndemic or synergistic epidemic is the aggregation of two or more concurrent or sequential epidemics or disease clusters in a population with biological interactions, which exacerbate the prognosis and burden of disease. The term was developed by Merrill Singer in the mid-1990s. Syndemics develop under health disparity, caused by poverty, stress, or structural violence and are studied by epidemiologists and medical anthropologists concerned with public health, community health and the effects of social conditions on health.

        The syndemic approach departs from the biomedical approach to diseases to diagnostically isolate, study, and treat diseases as distinct entities separate from other diseases and independent of social contexts
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