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1918 pandemic army-camps

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  • 1918 pandemic army-camps

    here is a good statistics with tables:

    (shall I post the whole article here ?)

    when you reported sick on a day with many other reports, then you were
    less likely to develope pneumonia and die.
    This is explained however by admission from several
    organizations of the camp seriatim and they were hit differently hard.

    Still to me it seems to show that organizations with more cases have fewer
    fatalities (?!?)

    correlation coefficients are:
    corr=-0.46 #admissions - %who get pneumonia
    corr=-0.20 #admissions - % who die
    corr=+0.38 %who get pneumonia - % who die

    I ran 100000 Monte Carlo tries for the first corr. and only 1/700 of them showed a smaller corr.
    Last edited by gsgs; June 8, 2007, 09:17 AM.
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: ILI-charts: