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2020 Was Especially Deadly. Covid Wasn’t the Only Culprit.

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  • 2020 Was Especially Deadly. Covid Wasn’t the Only Culprit.

    Source: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...er-causes.html

    2020 Was Especially Deadly. Covid Wasn’t the Only Culprit.
    By Denise LuDec. 13, 2020

    The year 2020 has been abnormal for mortalities. At least 356,000 more people in the United States have died than usual since the coronavirus pandemic took hold in the country in the spring. But not all of these deaths have been directly linked to Covid-19.

    More than a quarter of deaths above normal have been from other causes, including diabetes, Alzheimer’s disease, high blood pressure and pneumonia, according to a New York Times analysis of estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

    Some of these additional deaths may actually have been due to Covid-19, but they could have been undiagnosed or misattributed to other causes.

    Many of them are most likely indirectly related to the virus and caused by disruptions from the pandemic, including strains on health care systems, inadequate access to supplies like ventilators or people avoiding hospitals for fear of exposure to the coronavirus.
    40,000 extra deaths from diabetes, Alzheimer’s, high blood pressure and pneumonia

    Research has shown that people with underlying health conditions such as diabetes, high blood pressure and heart disease are particularly vulnerable to severe illness and death if they contract Covid-19.

    In several states, deaths attributed to diabetes are at least 20 percent above normal this year...

  • #2
    so, calculate the excess deaths during a covid wave. Calculate the excess deaths in places and times when there is almost no covid.
    We are used to do this with influenza. Unusual excess deaths unrelated to covid would surprise me, there are no
    big fluctuations within just one year

    https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Weekly-Cou...uses/muzy-jte6

    I estimate 400000 more deaths in 2020 in USA than in 2019
    40000 would be the normal expected increase

    Code:
    [FONT=Arial][SIZE=10px]2453229, 2774641 ,04,All Cause
    2234697, 2550736 ,05,Natural Cause
    32960, 33776 ,06,Septicemia (A40-A41)
    518136, 512577 ,07,Malignant neoplasms (C00-C97)
    75070, 84086 ,08,Diabetes mellitus (E10-E14)
    103200, 111955 ,09,Alzheimer disease (G30)
    42979, 46919 ,10,Influenza and pneumonia (J09-J18)
    135074, 130283 ,11,Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40-J47)
    37774, 38305 ,12,Other diseases of respiratory system (J00-J06,J30-J39,J67,J70-J98)
    44132, 44405 ,13,Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis (N00-N07,N17-N19,N25-N27)
    27040, 52927 ,14,Symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified (R00-R99)
    565959, 582547 ,15,Diseases of heart (I00-I09,I11,I13,I20-I51)
    128206, 134272 ,16,Cerebrovascular diseases (I60-I69)
    0, 236985 ,17,COVID-19 (U071, Multiple Cause of Death)
    0, 216748 ,18,COVID-19 (U071, Underlying Cause of Death)
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------
    2019, 2020 , weeks 1-45[/SIZE][/FONT]
    Last edited by gsgs; December 14, 2020, 01:30 AM.
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

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    • #3
      bump this

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