Pandemic threat-level market indicators

[gsgs]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

Lane Financial seems to have second market quotes, but their
chart only showed 1 quote per 3 months.

[Binkerbear]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

Novavax (NVAX) was up over 7 % today on no news. BCRX was up over 2 %.

[doe22]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

Novavax up ~ 7% today as well. Yesterday the announced they would release their results on Nov 14. Given that these companies like to have something to pump the price at any results it could be (a) people anticipating some goodish news in the results (b) something good will be announced and someone got wind? Look at Sinovac in the recent months.

Generally the larger companies are down. Pharma is being hit by the democrats success. The smaller bioflu are up.

Gold is down. generally quite a lot of noise from the democrats victory.

[doe22]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

most bioflu stocks down today with the pharma stocks. Democrats pharma effect lives on. Day 2 the smaller stocks get it

GILEAD SCIENCES Down 2.78%
MEDIMMUNE INC Down 2.49%
BIOCRYST PHARM INC Down 4.59%
BAXTER INTL INC Down 1.37%
SINOVAC BIOTECH LTD Down 2.19%BIO
BIO RAD LABS CL A Down 2.61%
TEVA PHARM INDS AD Down 3.23%
BARR PHARMA INC Down 3.23%
AVI BIOPHARMA INC Down 4.90%
VIRAGEN INC Down 3.57%
PEREGRINE PHARMA INC Down 2.64%
NOVAVAX INC Down 3.29%
VICAL INC Down 1.99%

Did any bioflu go up?

[Binkerbear]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

Novavax (NVAX) is up 10 % today on no news. There is rumor of a buyout. If the buyer is someone like Gilead or GSK then that may be significant. In my very limited understanding, GSK and others can create vaccines but NVAX has the technology to mass produce them.

[doe22]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

Could we be for another big pharma swallows biotech like id-biomedica?? and GSK last year (or chiron and novartis).

[doe22]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

My limited understanding was that Solvay, Baxter, Crucell are playing in the get away from chicken eggs game (probably using a different method)

[Binkerbear]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

Sorry Doe, I don't follow the science and couldn't understand it if I did ! I thought that NVAX was the leader in getting away from the chicken egg thing but I guess others are doing it too. I only watch these stocks (and others) to hopefully get an idea of the pandemic's timetable. Were a couple of these stocks to show up as actively traded on CNBC's ticker, that would be my major clue. When the Indonesian situation looked ominous (late last year ?), NVAX and BCRX were actively traded.
OTOH, my financial prepping would involve shorting (or buying puts) on almost everything and buying only symbol GLD ...but we've rehashed that enough in the gold thread.

[doe22]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

They are vehicles on government fear of pandemic being turned into orders for vax. However I suspect they may all plummet immediately before pandemia (nationalization threat or its too late). However they are the early indicator of fear. The other two legs are gold and airlines. When these plummet after a rise, gold rises (probably?) and airlines crash then that a big signal (but then again what do I know).

[gsgs]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

can someone please get the actual quotes for mortality bonds ?

[gsgs]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

I try to include the chart of the bird flu index here,
I hope it works :

[img]http://www.trendmacro.com/charts/birdFluIndex.gif[/img]


it's a clear upward-trend since August, but it's parallel to the Biotech index,
though steeper, so it's not clear whether it is bird-flu related.

[Binkerbear]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

They are vehicles on government fear of pandemic being turned into orders for vax. However I suspect they may all plummet immediately before pandemia (nationalization threat or its too late). However they are the early indicator of fear. The other two legs are gold and airlines. When these plummet after a rise, gold rises (probably?) and airlines crash then that a big signal (but then again what do I know).

I agree completely. Please stay active and post what you observe.

[hawkeye]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

GR: Where are you? Kitco has the USD INDEX at 85.17

[Laidback Al]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

GR: Where are you? Kitco has the USD INDEX at 85.17

Maybe out buying more gold?

[hawkeye]

Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators

lol. yes, perhaps.