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Discussion thread: USA - Texas: H1N1pdm09 December 17, 2013+

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  • #16
    Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

    reassortment was my idea, because it just happens at a time when there
    is so much normal flu around. Coincidence ?
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

    Comment


    • #17
      Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

      It would be a possible scenario, but the healthy relatives?

      Comment


      • #18
        Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

        I find 2 Conroe Regional Medical Centers on the map. One is in Conroe and the other is in Huntsville. They are north and south of a very large area of a state park, national forest and other recreational areas.

        Do we know which hospital they were admitted to?
        The salvage of human life ought to be placed above barter and exchange ~ Louis Harris, 1918

        Comment


        • #19
          Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

          The latest on the news thread here:

          USA - Texas: Public Health department confirmed unidentified illness - 4 died out of 8 hospitalized including 2 "very sick" in Montgomery county - more tests pending

          Comment


          • #20
            Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

            Originally posted by mixin View Post
            I find 2 Conroe Regional Medical Centers on the map. One is in Conroe and the other is in Huntsville. They are north and south of a very large area of a state park, national forest and other recreational areas.

            Do we know which hospital they were admitted to?
            I'm pretty sure the medical center is in Conroe, mixin, from the media location references.

            Here's another question I have for the Montgomery Health Department:

            Has E. coli been ruled out? One patient got sick at Thanksgiving and that is a notorious time for food-borne illness outbreaks.
            _____________________________________________

            Ask Congress to Investigate COVID Origins and Government Response to Pandemic.

            i love myself. the quietest. simplest. most powerful. revolution ever. ---- nayyirah waheed

            "...there’s an obvious contest that’s happening between different sectors of the colonial ruling class in this country. And they would, if they could, lump us into their beef, their struggle." ---- Omali Yeshitela, African People’s Socialist Party

            (My posts are not intended as advice or professional assessments of any kind.)
            Never forget Excalibur.

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

              Originally posted by Emily View Post
              I'm pretty sure the medical center is in Conroe, mixin, from the media location references.

              Here's another question I have for the Montgomery Health Department:

              Has E. coli been ruled out? One patient got sick at Thanksgiving and that is a notorious time for food-borne illness outbreaks.
              The symptoms don't really match E. coli. E. coli doesn't really cause pneumonia.

              The fact that it now appears there is no contact between the patients (and no HCW are ill) seems to me to rule out severe contagious illnesses such as MERS, plague, etc. That leaves two possibilities:

              1. These are the most severe cases of a much wider illness, possibly even seasonal flu.

              2. This illness is not spreading H2H, but rather something only these few individuals came in contact with.

              At this point, given the high ILI levels in the area, I am leaning toward the first option.

              Comment


              • #22
                Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                The symptoms don't really match E. coli. E. coli doesn't really cause pneumonia.
                http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11864280
                Clin Microbiol Infect. 1998 Feb;4(12):717-723.
                Community-acquired pneumonia due to Escherichia coli.
                Marrie TJ, Fine MJ, Obrosky DS, Coley C, Singer DE, Kapoor WN.

                http://www.washington.edu/news/2013/...istant-e-coli/
                December 18, 2013
                Single bacterial super-clone behind world epidemic of drug-resistant E. coli
                Michael McCarthy

                UW Health Sciences and UW Medicine

                Posted under: Health and Medicine, News Releases, Research, Science

                Virulent, drug-resistant forms of E. coli that have recently spread around the world emerged from a single strain of the bacteria ? not many different strains, as has been widely supposed. This is the finding of a study reported today, Dec. 17, in mBio. The strain causes millions of urinary, kidney and bloodstream infections a year. It could have a far greater clinical and economic impact than any other strain of bacteria, including the so-called MRSA superbug.

                Read the mBio scientific paper....
                Salmonella can cause pneumonia outbreaks, too.

                http://archinte.jamanetwork.com/arti...ticleid=553137
                PNEUMONIA ASSOCIATED WITH ACUTE SALMONELLOSISReport of a Case of Salmonella Bronchopneumonia and Fourteen Cases of Interstitial Pneumonia
                ALFRED P. INGEGNO, M.D.; JOHN B. D'ALBORA, M.D.; JOHN N. EDSON, M.D.; PETER J. GIANQUINTO, M.D.
                Arch Intern Med (Chic). 1948;81(4):476-484. doi:10.1001/archinte.1948.00220220047003.
                _____________________________________________

                Ask Congress to Investigate COVID Origins and Government Response to Pandemic.

                i love myself. the quietest. simplest. most powerful. revolution ever. ---- nayyirah waheed

                "...there’s an obvious contest that’s happening between different sectors of the colonial ruling class in this country. And they would, if they could, lump us into their beef, their struggle." ---- Omali Yeshitela, African People’s Socialist Party

                (My posts are not intended as advice or professional assessments of any kind.)
                Never forget Excalibur.

                Comment


                • #23
                  Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                  I think we still know very little about this event.

                  It appears these are the concrete facts as of this time:

                  1) 8 people were hospitalized in this event. 4 are dead.

                  2) 1 alive person tested positive for H1N1pdm09 after initially testing negative previous to this afternoon. There is no information about any co-morbidities, co-infections, or vaccine status in regard to this patient.

                  3) 2 alive persons tested negative at least twice for some collection of flu strains.

                  4) The flu re-test results are still pending for 1 alive person.

                  5) There is very little information provided about the 4 deceased persons. There is a reference that none of these people had been vaccinated with this year's seasonal flu vaccine.

                  6) There are no patient histories or epidemiological data available/confirmed from any government source. Onset, hospitalization, death dates are missing.

                  7) All patients tested negative at least once for novel coronavirus.


                  From the currently available information it is impossible to draw any firm conclusions about this event.



                  Sources:

                  Montgomery County Public Health, Conroe, Texas. 19,849 次赞 · 65 人在谈论 · 23 人来过. The home of clinical services, disease investigation, and public health preparedness and response for Montgomery County,...


                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                    they said "positive for H1N1" but they didn't say what segments
                    they tested, presumably just the HA.
                    And they didn't say where they tested, did they do lung-samples ?

                    We know D225G preferrably goes into the lungs and there might be
                    fewer viruses in the upper tract after some days/weeks.

                    They should know about D225G from PCR meanwhile, would they
                    have mentioned it, if it was found ?

                    Anyway, CDC is on it now, we should know it in a few days.

                    And there is no spreading

                    All the deaths were male, what sex were the other 4 ?
                    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                      Extremely ridiculous information management from local and state health authorities at least.

                      I do not attempt to wonder if this is an Alabama cluster replica, where unneeded alarm was sounded after a series of 'regular' respiratory infections, complicated by other common bacteria.

                      What is the point for these outbreak of alarm?

                      Or, if there is a point at all.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                        I missed Alabama ...
                        but here we have 4 deaths, 4 critical, flu tests negative
                        then one H1N1, all unrelated
                        2 negative for all flus
                        sounds like D225G


                        middle age
                        4:0 male deaths


                        Alabama was this from May ?



                        >KF648129,A/Texas/13/2013,2013/07/21,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648085,A/Nevada/06/2013,2013/07/23,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648120,A/Nevada/06/2013,2013/07/23,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648080,A/North Carolina/08/2013,2013/07/24,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648032,A/Delaware/09/2013,2013/08/02,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648118,A/Wisconsin/12/2013,2013/08/04,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648128,A/Wisconsin/12/2013,2013/08/04,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648169,A/California/24/2013,2013/08/08,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648170,A/Indiana/22/2013,2013/08/13,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        >KF648172,A/Texas/15/2013,2013/08/15,USA,H1N1,Human,4
                        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                        my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                          Let us not forget that the H1N1 virus-09 remains a pandemic virus and, like his predecessors, can cause new waves up to 5 years at a distance of the first one (see the lesson of 1957), keeping the characteristic to cause mortality in the younger age groups

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                              Originally posted by Giuseppe Michieli View Post
                              Extremely ridiculous information management from local and state health authorities at least.

                              I do not attempt to wonder if this is an Alabama cluster replica, where unneeded alarm was sounded after a series of 'regular' respiratory infections, complicated by other common bacteria.

                              What is the point for these outbreak of alarm?

                              Or, if there is a point at all.
                              It certainly could be an Alabama rerun, with other common pathogens being detected in other patients in the next couple days.

                              Alternatively, it could just be an H1N1 outbreak, with several more cases being confirmed by more careful testing.

                              Or it could be something else, such as a Legionella outbreak in the hospital (at least one of the fatalties appears to have taken ill in the hospital after heart surgery), and the one H1N1 case could be a background detection or a co-infection.

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Re: Discussion thread: USA - Texas: Unknown ILI flu type illness December 17, 2013

                                Find out how you can track and monitor flu activity in Texas through Influenza (Flu) Surveillance Data. Explore reports of flu activity in Texas and the US.


                                Click image for larger version

Name:	Texas Pediatric Mortality table week 39 2013.jpg
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                                Note: 1 Pediatric death with un-subtyped influenza virus reported in September

                                The first round of H1N1pdm09 was significant for the pediatric population as well - three times as many deaths during that flu season compared to past seasons.

                                I am encouraging all of my friends and family to get vaccinated. There isn't much time before the rest of the U.S. begins to see high influenza rates and it can take up to two weeks (or longer for children) for the vaccination to be most effective.

                                Comment

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