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Juan Héctor Begnis, (JB) chairs the Social action and Public health Committee in the
Lower House of Congress said:
> suspension of classes is an 'isolated measure' while many others should be taken nation wide.
> estimates that the number of cases of H1N1 A can be close to 20,000.
> we know that the number of hospitalized infected only represent 10 percent of the total cases,
> hence we can estimate that there are roughly 20,000 cases in the streets.
that makes a CFR of 0.5%, similar to estimated early Mexico, which led to the
comparison with 1957 (Ferguson et.al)
however in New York we had an estimated 500000 cases and only 50 deaths for a CFR of only 0.01%
Argentinian CFR would be 50 times higher
>> BAH: It's been said that the anti viral drug -oseltamivir- will hit the market today
>> and anyone could buy it?
> Yes, and I'm totally against it.
> ...We just bought 2,000,000 treatments to be added to an existent stock of 500,000 and we are
> planning to buy more
> ...This pandemic will not end by 2009
> People must be aware that the old recipe of washing hands, always with the use of soap or
> alcohol hand gel, several times a day, reduces on an 80 percent the chances of contagion.
I wonder where he got that number from. I haven't seen it before.
Earlier reports said influenza only survives 5min on hands, but this was not confirmed
in a more recent study. How effective hand-washing is for influenza is not well studied,
I don't know how he gets the 80%.
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in one of the French threads here they mention 100000 cases and ~2800 hospitalizations
Re: Argentina - 2800 cases - 60 dead -
2.800 cases were confirmed by laboratories, while the ministry for Health advances
the figure of 100.000 contaminated people, but cured.
Lower House of Congress said:
> suspension of classes is an 'isolated measure' while many others should be taken nation wide.
> estimates that the number of cases of H1N1 A can be close to 20,000.
> we know that the number of hospitalized infected only represent 10 percent of the total cases,
> hence we can estimate that there are roughly 20,000 cases in the streets.
that makes a CFR of 0.5%, similar to estimated early Mexico, which led to the
comparison with 1957 (Ferguson et.al)
however in New York we had an estimated 500000 cases and only 50 deaths for a CFR of only 0.01%
Argentinian CFR would be 50 times higher
>> BAH: It's been said that the anti viral drug -oseltamivir- will hit the market today
>> and anyone could buy it?
> Yes, and I'm totally against it.
> ...We just bought 2,000,000 treatments to be added to an existent stock of 500,000 and we are
> planning to buy more
> ...This pandemic will not end by 2009
> People must be aware that the old recipe of washing hands, always with the use of soap or
> alcohol hand gel, several times a day, reduces on an 80 percent the chances of contagion.
I wonder where he got that number from. I haven't seen it before.
Earlier reports said influenza only survives 5min on hands, but this was not confirmed
in a more recent study. How effective hand-washing is for influenza is not well studied,
I don't know how he gets the 80%.
----------------------------------------
in one of the French threads here they mention 100000 cases and ~2800 hospitalizations
Re: Argentina - 2800 cases - 60 dead -
2.800 cases were confirmed by laboratories, while the ministry for Health advances
the figure of 100.000 contaminated people, but cured.