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Swine Flu Can Not Be Contained - May Move to Stage 5 - WHO (OMS)

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  • Swine Flu Can Not Be Contained - May Move to Stage 5 - WHO (OMS)

    via email -

    Swine-Flu Warning Level Raised as Virus Crosses Continents
    2009-04-27 23:14:41.336 GMT


    (For related stories, see {EXT3 <GO>})

    By Tom Randall
    April 28 (Bloomberg) -- The World Health Organization,
    acknowledging the growing threat of swine flu, raised its global
    pandemic alert, saying the disease is no longer containable.

    The alarm is at its highest level since the warning system
    was adopted in 2005. The emphasis for health officials worldwide
    should be treating patients and strengthening preparations for
    outbreaks, said Keiji Fukuda, assistant director-general for
    health security and environment. The Geneva-based WHO isn?t
    recommending travel restrictions.

    Swine flu cases in the U.S. doubled to 40, and Mexico?s
    toll of flu-related deaths reached 149. Fears among global
    health officials about other outbreaks spurred an emergency
    meeting of the WHO. U.S. officials yesterday recommended that
    nonessential travel to Mexico be avoided, the European Union has
    told travelers to avoid outbreak areas, and Australia, Japan,
    Singapore and South Korea are screening air passengers.

    The increased threat level ?signifies that we have taken a
    step closer? to pandemic, Fukuda said in a conference call with
    reporters yesterday. ?It is also possible that as the situation
    evolves over the next few days we could move into Stage 5.?


    A pandemic is an unexpected outbreak of disease that
    spreads from person to person across borders. Pandemics occur
    when a new influenza A-type virus, to which almost no one has
    natural immunity, emerges and spreads internationally.

    Not Inevitable

    The raised level indicates health officials need to prepare
    for a pandemic, though it?s not inevitable,
    Fukuda said. This is
    the first time pandemic risk has risen above level 3 on the
    WHO?s six-step alert system since the United Nations agency
    adopted the current scale in 2005.

    Production of influenza vaccine for seasonal outbreaks,
    which U.S. health officials have said is ineffective against the
    new flu, should continue, Fukuda said. WHO is working with
    partners to prepare for a swine-flu vaccine, and would help
    produce such a vaccine if the outbreak becomes a pandemic, he
    said.

    ?You don?t know going into an outbreak what it will look
    like in the end,? said Richard Besser, the acting head of the
    U.S. Centers for Disease and Prevention. ?I wouldn?t rest on
    the fact that we have only seen cases in this country that are
    less severe. I would expect that the spectrum of disease will
    expand.?

    No Vaccine

    ?We don?t think that any of the existing vaccines are
    effective,? Besser said.

    Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano said 25
    percent of ?courses of treatments? of drugs, known as
    antivirals, were being released from U.S. stockpiles. In all,
    there are 50 million courses, she said. Among those are Tamiflu,
    sold by Swiss drugmaker Roche Holding AG, and Relenza, from
    London-based GlaxoSmithKline Plc.

    There are enough stockpiles of Tamiflu around the world to
    meet current demand, said Roche spokesman Terrence Hurley. Roche
    has the capacity to manufacture, over one year, enough courses
    of treatment for 400 million people, Hurley said in a telephone
    interview. A fifth of those treatments would be made in the U.S.

    The WHO has told Roche that it appears Tamiflu would work
    against this strain of the virus, Hurley said.

    Glaxo has increased production of its antiviral Relenza and
    is in contact with the WHO and CDC, said spokeswoman Sarah
    Alspach.

    Heightened Concern

    President Barack Obama said yesterday the emergence and
    spread of swine flu in the U.S. merits heightened concern ?but
    it?s not a cause for alarm.? He declared a public emergency
    after 40 U.S. cases were confirmed in California, Kansas, New
    York, Ohio and Texas, according to the CDC.

    The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services issued an
    emergency declaration as a ?precautionary tool? to free
    resources to monitor and respond to the spread of the virus,
    Obama said yesterday in a speech to the National Academy of
    Sciences in Washington.

    New York City has 28 confirmed cases of swine flu, all from
    St. Francis Preparatory School in Queens, Mayor Michael
    Bloomberg said yesterday at a news conference. All the cases
    were mild and as many as 100 may ultimately be found at the
    school, the mayor said.

    The number of confirmed cases in Mexico is 26, said WHO
    spokesman Gregory Hartl yesterday on a conference call. Testing
    has been limited, and U.S. and international experts are being
    sent to help track the disease, WHO and CDC said. Mexico Health
    Minister Jose Cordova said as many as 149 people may have died
    in Mexico from an outbreak of swine flu, though the cause of the
    deaths hasn?t been confirmed.

    International Response

    Eight people in Canada contracted swine flu, Chan said. New
    Zealand officials said as many as 13 students who recently
    visited Mexico may have swine flu.

    Travel restrictions are unnecessary and based on political,
    not medical considerations, said Margaret Chan, World Health
    Organization chief.

    ?By definition, pandemic influenza will move around the
    world,? Chan said in the call yesterday. ?Does that mean we
    are going to close every country? Does that mean we are going to
    bring the world?s economy to a standstill?

    ?We know from past experience that transmission of
    influenza or the spread of new influenza disease would not be
    stopped by closing borders and would not be stopped by
    restricting movement of people or goods,? Chan said.

    Potential Shutdown

    The Mexican government requested that bars, movie theaters
    and churches be closed in Mexico City. It also extended its
    school closure to May 6 and may shut down more activities,
    Mexico?s Cordova said.

    Swine flu results in symptoms similar to regular human
    influenza such as fever, lethargy and cough, and may also cause
    nausea, vomiting and diarrhea, according to the CDC. Swine-flu
    viruses aren?t transmitted by food, and eating properly handled
    and cooked pork and pork products is safe, according to the CDC.
    There?s no evidence the disease is spread by exposure to ?pork
    or pigs,? WHO?s Fukada said.

    Scientists are trying to determine why the virus has been
    more severe in Mexico. In the U.S. only one person has required
    hospitalization, said Besser of the CDC.
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