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  • Sharp rise in dengue cases, 713 fresh cases

    Just to give you an idea the numbers 12 days ago on Oct 6 where 2900 cases with 40 deaths. Today it is 6423 cases with 116 dead.

    http://www.zeenews.com/znnew/article...330178&sid=NAT

    <table align="justify" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="429"><tbody><tr><td class="ld"> Sharp rise in dengue cases, 713 fresh cases </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="15">
    </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="kicker"> New Delhi, Oct 18: Dengue cases across the country registered a sharp rise with reports of 713 more patients afflicted with the disease even as seven persons succumbed to the viral fever taking the death toll to 116.

    While 6,423 persons were afflicted with dengue country-wide, Delhi, with 1,731 patients, had the dubious distinction of registering the maximum number of cases.

    Maharashtra witnessed a spurt in the number of fresh cases which more than doubled overnight from 240 yesterday to 580 today, according to the national vector borne disease control programme.

    Twenty-two people have died due to dengue in Maharashtra.

    With the death of Bareilly-based Rohit Sharma, who was rushed to the AIIMS in a critical condition yesterday and who died within an hour of reaching hospital, the death toll in the national capital has touched 40. The government has confirmed 31 deaths in Delhi.

    Ninety-four patients suffering from the mosquito-borne disease were admitted to various hospitals in the capital, including 27 at the AIIMS, as the number of dengue patients in the capital rose to 1731. In Delhi, 94 fresh cases were reported.

    While three deaths were reported from Andhra Pradesh, one death each were confirmed in Delhi, Harayana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh. These deaths have taken the nationwide death toll to 116.

    Kerala reported 794 cases, while four have died due to the viral disease, while in Rajasthan 781 people have been afflicted with the disease and 11 deaths have been reported.

    Bureau Report
    </td></tr></tbody></table>
    Last edited by MHSC; October 18, 2006, 02:52 PM.
    "We are in this breathing space before it happens. We do not know how long that breathing space is going to be. But, if we are not all organizing ourselves to get ready and to take action to prepare for a pandemic, then we are squandering an opportunity for our human security"- Dr. David Nabarro

  • #2
    Re: Sharp rise in dengue cases, 713 fresh cases

    Sleeping 3 to a bed in the hospitals.


    MHSC


    The dengue patient


    I shall call her Madhu, but her name is not really important. For her experience is one that is only too common, except perhaps that it has had a better outcome than many others.

    Madhu works as a maid in a home in South Delhi, an economic migrant drawn to the city to earn some money for herself and her family back in the village. She was lucky: she found a place to stay with reasonable employers. When she fell ill, her employers paid for her to consult a series of private doctors recommended by friends and neighbours.

    It was just as well that they did, because the doctors she consulted all charged quite high rates even though their clientele was typically quite poor, and insisted on a range of expensive tests - scans, X-rays and the like - before coming to any diagnosis. So in a matter of three weeks, the private medical treatment had cost Madhu several thousands of rupees.

    Yet this succession of doctors was somehow unable, notwithstanding these tests and the many pills and injections which they inflicted upon poor Madhu, to deal with the actual illness, which in fact was a severe urinary infection. So Madhu was already in a weakened state when she experienced very high fever.

    This fever too was dealt with by a local private doctor in the simplest possible way - through an injection which lowered the fever without addressing the cause. Yet the latest fever, and symptoms that accompanied it, turned out to be caused by dengue, the mosquito-borne viral disease that has assumed epidemic proportions in Delhi.

    By the time this was finally diagnosed correctly, Madhu's condition was extremely serious because her blood platelet count had fallen to critical levels and she was in urgent need of hospitalisation. But even this is not straightforward in Delhi. The richest city in India in terms of per capita income has only a handful of hospitals that are equipped to do the necessary blood platelet transfusions, and these hospitals were already either filled to overflowing or ruinously expensive.

    The two government-run hospitals with the required facilities both already had more patients than beds, and one of them was reeling under its own local dengue epidemic. So at first it seemed that she could not even be admitted to a hospital despite being in this critical condition. Once again, though, Madhu was ''lucky'': her employers knew someone important who knew someone more important, which is how most things are managed in this city.

    After some string-pulling, Madhu was finally admitted to the Emergency ward of one of these government hospitals. She had to share a bed with two others in a ward bursting at the seams with three times the people it could formally hold, all in varying degrees of distress or criticality. The ward was in utter chaos, with the already basic facilities being completely overstretched, new patients arriving every few minutes and periodic crises to be handled only by a small group of utterly overworked doctors and nurses. Naturally, there was little possibility of ''normal'' hospital procedures in such circumstances, or of individual care for any one patient.

    In spite of the dreadful conditions, Madhu was treated, and is now recovering, so her story is about survival. But there were (and continue to be) many others who were less lucky: those who came in too late, those who could not even get into the hospital, those who never got diagnosed properly despite going to doctors, those who could not even afford to go to the doctors in the first place.

    For all those who are currently obsessed with the emergence of India as the new kid on the block of potential economic superpowers, exposure to the conditions in most of our government hospitals should be made compulsory, as an important antidote. It is immediately apparent in any of these places that the problem is not one of ''poor management'' as is often assumed about publicly run institutions.

    On the contrary, it is really a miracle how the doctors, nurses and other staff of these hospitals manage to deal with the torrent of cases that they are exposed to on a daily basis. The real problem in all of these places is one of complete shortage - of medical professionals, of other staff, of rooms, of beds, of equipment, of medicine, of everything. Government health facilities that were set up to cater to a few lakh citizens are now having to deal with a reference population of several million, and they are deprived of crucial facilities and adequate numbers of health workers.

    So it is not surprising that the care is inadequate or the conditions are poor; what is surprising is how, despite, these truly appalling circumstances, the basic health care and even the more complicated care, are still delivered regularly in government hospitals. But obviously, for any improvement in these unacceptable conditions, there must be a much larger infusion of public funds to provide all the things that are now in such short supply, from physical infrastructure to human resources.

    The abysmal conditions of health care in our country - both public and private - are often ignored by the elite, which has seceded into its own privileged world of five star hospitals financed through expensive medical insurance. And even among those with a stronger sense of reality, it is often assumed that the real health gap is the rural-urban one, especially since even public expenditure on health disproportionately favours urban areas.

    Yet the poor - and the not-so-poor - in urban India are also very badly served by this system, which lets them down on so many counts even while forcing them to pay larger shares of their own income on health care. There are public failures in terms of inadequate investment and inefficient regulation. The parlous state and sheer difficulty of access of government hospitals forces even the poor to turn to private practitioners.

    But in private care especially for the poor, there is a proliferation of poorly trained or even completely spurious practitioners, who somehow have to recoup the large investments they have made on their own medical education, by fleecing patients. So there is often an unholy nexus between such doctors, the testing labs and the agents for medical firms who peddle the more expensive medicines. The more glamorous hospitals with better facilities, that are all supposed to provide some proportion of free care to the poor, have proved to be remarkably adept at evading this legal requirement. So poor people rarely, if ever, get access to them.

    But even the government hospitals are hard to get into. Furthermore, they are hugely demanding of time, which is one of the most expensive things even for the poor. Outpatient visits typically require at least a half day's or even a full day's leave because of the long queues involved. Inpatient care is even more demanding of the time of the patient's family.

    Since the government hospitals are so short-staffed, they function according to a system whereby nursing is relegated to the bare minimum. So each patient must have an attendant at all times, not only to do some of the things that nurses do in hospitals elsewhere in the world, but also inform the ward nurses of the patient's condition, buy medicines whenever necessary, and so on.

    This means that even in poor families for whom daily wages are the main source of income, a family member - typically an earning member - will be forced to spend the entire time at hospital with the patient. Usually there is next to no provision for the needs of the attendant, who will have to sleep on the floor of the general ward and find food and other necessities somehow. The sight of patients' attendants and families stretched out on the floor of hospital corridors, with their hampers of food and basic clothing, is now so common for us that we barely notice it. But it would be unthinkable in most parts of the world, include in most of Asia.

    Somewhere we have lost our bearings, as a society, since we allow this appalling health system to continue and even get worse. If we do not address this most basic of social issues, the chances are dim of us getting anything else right.

    Source: Macro Scan More

    http://southasia.oneworld.net/article/view/141050/1/
    "We are in this breathing space before it happens. We do not know how long that breathing space is going to be. But, if we are not all organizing ourselves to get ready and to take action to prepare for a pandemic, then we are squandering an opportunity for our human security"- Dr. David Nabarro

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Sharp rise in dengue cases, 713 fresh cases

      116/6423 = 1.8% CFR, or thereabouts.

      That's 1918 strength at best.

      India experiences dengue. It kills lots of folks. Let's not ignore this historical, annual fact.

      Indonesia experiences 40-75% CFR. That's a heads up.

      This dengue is occurring at the correct time and in the correct location, and in spite of 6423 cases, it's not geometric in its expansion.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Sharp rise in dengue cases, 713 fresh cases

        lets hope it doesn't become geometric.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Sharp rise in dengue cases, 713 fresh cases

          You are correct GR.


          India totals - so far these figures are all within norms for the total dengue figures for the year.
          Are they normal for this time period of the year? Does anyone know?

          _____Case_Death_ % Cases increase

          Oct 6 (2900) (40) 1.3%
          Oct 7 (3331) (49) 1.4% increase of 431
          Oct 9 (3613) (50) 1.3% increase of 282
          Oct 10 (3613) (55) 1.5% increase of 0
          Oct 11 (3803) (55) 1.4% increase of 190
          Oct 12 (4253) (86) 2.0% increase of 450
          Oct 13 (4737) (97) 2.0% increase of 484
          Oct 14 (4875) (99) 2.0% increase of 138
          Oct 15 (5036) (96) 1.9% increase of 161
          Oct 16 (5418) (103) 1.9% increase of 382
          Oct 17 (5710) (103) 1.8% increase of 292
          Oct 18 (6423) (116) 1.8% increase of 713
          Last edited by MHSC; October 18, 2006, 03:18 PM.
          "We are in this breathing space before it happens. We do not know how long that breathing space is going to be. But, if we are not all organizing ourselves to get ready and to take action to prepare for a pandemic, then we are squandering an opportunity for our human security"- Dr. David Nabarro

          Comment

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