"Adrian" becomes hurricane in the Mexican Pacific

[Tonka]

http://www.hoytamaulipas.net/notas/35188/Se-forma-Adrian-la-primera-tormenta-frente-a-Acapulco.html

Spanish to English translation

Forms "Adrian", the first storm off Acapulco
This storm was dubbed the "Adrian". The system remains poised to continue to intensify in the next 24 to 48 hours
By: Marco Esquivel

07/06/2011 | Updated at 22:28 h

The National Weather Service today announced the formation of the first tropical storm of the hurricane season 2011, intensified after a depression in the Mexican Pacific off the coast of Acapulco.

This storm was dubbed the "Adrian". The system remains poised to continue to intensify in the next 24 to 48 hours.

According to the report, the phenomenon was located at 22:00 (03 GMT on day 8) to about 570 miles south of Acapulco, Guerrero, and has a current offset to the west-northwest at 6 mph.

Moderate rain is expected in Guerrero and Oaxaca.

Currently "Adrian" maintains maximum sustained winds of 75 hm / h and gusts of 95 km / h.

Detached cloud bands of tropical storm "Adrian" move on and off the coast of Oaxaca and Guerrero.

[Tonka]

Re: Forms "Adrian", the first storm off Acapulco

http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/771066.html

Spanish to English translation

Colima, on alert for tropical depression

Civil Defense shelters 220 remains ready to assist 29 000 people in the event of a contingency
COLIMA, COL. | Tuesday, June 7, 2011
Alfredo Quiles / Correspondent | The Universal
14:55


Given the reports received from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center ( NHC ) of the United States, on the formation of the first tropical depression in the Mexican Pacific, the State System of Civil Protection said "will remain vigilant and constantly monitor movement of this phenomenon that threatens to become Hurricane Adrian ,the first hurricane of the season.

According to information from the CNH, the system is located less than 590 miles south of Acapulco, Guerrero , and has maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hour.

The naval authorities have predicted a strengthening in the next 24 hours to become Hurricane Adrian.

According to the latest report, the tropical depression moved slowly in a northwesterly direction at a speed of six kilometers per hour and is expected to keep that scene in the next 24 to 48 hours.

At the risk exists that a tropical storm could hit the coast of Colima state or territory, the municipal Civil Protection Unit of Manzanillo, Colima, revealed that it expected to intensify tropical depression "1-E" in the next 12 hours.

He warned that there are possibilities of generating heavy rain and high waves on the coast of Colima, so caution is advised to navigation in the area and maintains surveillance.

In Manzanillo is expected to mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain likely in the mountains of Colima, with rough seas and high waves (up to 3 meters), and therefore recommends that the swimmers of Manzanillo beaches extreme caution by breaking the strong effect waves on the coast and the formation of rip currents.

Meanwhile, the State Civil Protection coordinator, Ricardo Urs?a, announced that they have ready the 220 shelters in the state to protect people in the rainy season, if necessary.

He insisted that the population is ready for this season's storms and hurricanes, as in civil protection.

He said that the shelters are ready for any contingency, most of them are schools, while the DIF and the Department of Defense will be responsible for the preparation and distribution of food.

He stressed that in the coastal area is where major problems are forecast, he added

[Tonka]

Re: Forms "Adrian", the first storm off Acapulco

Source:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep201101.disc.html


Tropical Storm Adrian Discussion Number 5
Statement as of 8:00 am PDT on June 08, 2011

satellite images indicate that Adrian continues to strengthen...with
a well-defined large curved band wrapping more than three-quarters
of the way around the center. Satellite intensity estimates were 55
kt from both TAFB and SAB at 1200 UTC...but since that time the
convective band has gained curvature and cloud tops have cooled near
the center. Therefore...the initial intensity is set at 60 kt.

A 1059 UTC SSMI pass showed what might be the beginning of a banded
eye feature. In addition...this pass and recent visible images
suggest that the center has jogged northward over the last several
hours...and the latest 12-hour initial motion estimate is 340/5.
Although the storm has changed its heading over the past 6 hours or
so...the overall track forecast philosophy is unchanged. A general
slow northwestward or north-northwestward motion is forecast for
the next 12 to 24 hours. Beyond that time...a turn to the
west-northwest with a slight increase in forward speed is
anticipated as a mid-level ridge strengthens to the north of the
tropical cyclone. The official forecast has been adjusted to the
right...or north...mainly due to the initial motion and position.
This puts the official forecast closer to...but still to the left
of...the multi-model consensus.

Additional intensification appears very likely as Adrian still lies
over about 30c waters and in a very low wind shear environment. In
fact...the SHIPS rapid intensification index shows about a 70
percent chance of rapid intensification in the next 24 hours. Given
the expected continued favorable environment for strengthening...
the official forecast has once again been nudged upward and shows
Adrian intensifying rapidly for the first 24 hours and then more
slowly through 48 hours. After 72 hours...Adrian will be moving
over increasingly cooler water and into a more stable atmosphere
which should induce weakening.

Due to the northward adjustment in the track forecast...a tropical
storm watch has been issued for a portion of the Mexican coast.

Forecast positions and Max winds

init 08/1500z 12.9n 100.8w 60 kt 70 mph
12h 09/0000z 13.5n 101.4w 70 kt 80 mph
24h 09/1200z 14.2n 102.4w 85 kt 100 mph
36h 10/0000z 14.9n 103.4w 90 kt 105 mph
48h 10/1200z 15.5n 104.6w 95 kt 110 mph
72h 11/1200z 16.5n 106.3w 95 kt 110 mph
96h 12/1200z 17.5n 108.0w 75 kt 85 mph
120h 13/1200z 18.5n 110.5w 60 kt 70 mph

$$
forecaster cangialosi/Brennan

[Tonka]

Re: Forms "Adrian", the first storm off Acapulco

http://spanish.peopledaily.com.cn/31614/7405167.html

Spanish to English translation

"Adrian" becomes hurricane in the Mexican Pacific
The storm "Adrian" today became the first hurricane of the season in the Mexican Pacific, reported the National Hurricane Center U.S..

In a statement, the agency said: "Adrian" is located about 425 kilometers southwest of the Mexican port of Acapulco, with maximum sustained winds of 120 kilometers per hour and moving northwest at 15 kilometers per hour.

"Adrian" was a category one hurricane, the lowest level of intensity scale five-step Saffir-Simpson.

According to the agency, the cloud bands reach the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Guerrero.

Latin American country authorities predict that the hurricane season this year, 17 tropical cyclones form each of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans.

Some 14 natural phenomena could impact Mexico at different scales (depression, tropical storm or hurricane). (Xinhua)

[Tonka]

Re: "Adrian" becomes hurricane in the Mexican Pacific

http://www.noticiasnet.mx/portal/principal/50520-activa-adrian-alerta-azul-para-oaxaca

Spanish to English translation

Activate "Adrian" blue alert for Oaxaca
Posted by IFLOR on June 9, 2011 - 4:19. Home Natural disasters Oaxaca
Oaxaca, Oax .- The General Coordination of Civil Protection of the Interior Ministry activated the blue alert to Oaxaca and four other state institutions, the strengthening of "Adrian", which until yesterday was the tropical storm category.

According to the forecast of the National Water Commission (Conagua) during the early hours of Thursday, "Adrian" may have reached hurricane status and become a Category 2.

Segob alert, which is the first hurricane of the 2011 hurricane season was expanded to Colima, Michoacan, Guerrero, Oaxaca and Chiapas.

In the alert entity is for Puerto Escondido, Huatulco and Salina Cruz by high waves. And rain in the Mixteca, Sierra South and possibly Central Valleys.

As the measurement of Early Warning System for Tropical Cyclones (SIAT-CT), the blue alert involves minimal danger to the population of these states, it is not expected to make landfall.

Nevertheless it could cause effects caused by rainfall.

Until yesterday, according to weather reports Conagua, tropical storm had winds of 110 kilometers per hour with gusts of 140 kilometers per hour.

In the next hours could reach 130 and winds gusting up to 160 kilometers per hour.

The forecast for the next three days is that the system reaches Category 2, but can not rule out the probability that it could recurve from Guerrero to Jalisco or Baja California.

High-risk scenarios for the population, are rain in coastal areas in the states on alert and increased blue waves for the coastline.

Hence the importance of maintaining the alert for small craft.

Forecasting in the Pacific.

6 hurricanes tropical storm.

5 Category 1 and 2 (moderate)

2.4 and 3 category 5 (severe to severe)

[Tonka]

Re: "Adrian" becomes hurricane in the Mexican Pacific

http://www.milenio.com/cdb/doc/noticias2011/df55e89453636982d32a8401da390f19

Spanish to English translation

Warning issued in Guerrero, Michoac?n and Oaxaca for the purpose of "Adrian"
STATES ? JUNE 9, 2011 - 8:06 A.M. - NOTIMEX
The system, which will continue to escalate and is situated in a strong hazard rating, is located 460 kilometers south-southwest of Zihuatanejo, Guerrero, and moving west-northwest at 18 kilometers per hour.

Mexico City ? The National Weather Service (NWS) issued a warning to the general population, as well as shipping in the coastal areas of Michoacan, Guerrero and Oaxaca by rain, wind and heavy surf caused by Hurricane "Adrian" .

He noted that the system will continue to escalate and is situated in a strong hazard rating, is located 460 kilometers south-southwest of Zihuatanejo, Guerrero, and moving west-northwest at 18 kilometers per hour.

He explained that winds with tropical storm intensity extending to 130 km and the swell of four meters expands up to 220 miles from its center, while the cloud bands that reach clear to Michoacan, Guerrero and Oaxaca.

In his report at 7:30 am, issued an early warning for scattered moderate rains in these entities and isolated storms in hilly areas.

The agency predicted that by 13:00 pm, "Adrian" is located at 475 kilometers south-southwest of Zihuatanejo as a hurricane category II, with a shift toward the west-northwest with maximum sustained winds of 165 kph and gusts of 205 kilometers per hour.

[Tonka]

Re: "Adrian" becomes hurricane in the Mexican Pacific

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep201101.public.html

Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 8:00 am PDT on June 09, 2011

...Adrian becomes a major hurricane with 115 mph winds well off the
Pacific coast of Mexico...


summary of 800 am PDT...1500 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...14.2n 104.1w
about 440 mi...710 km SSE of Cabo Corrientes Mexico
maximum sustained winds...115 mph...185 km/h
present movement...WNW or 285 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/h
minimum central pressure...960 mb...28.35 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
summary of watches and warnings in effect...

none.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am PDT...1500 UTC...the eye of major Hurricane Adrian was
located near latitude 14.2 north...longitude 104.1 west. Adrian is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/h...and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next two
days...keeping the hurricane away from the coast of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph...185
km/h...with higher gusts. Adrian is a category three hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Some additional
strengthening could occur today or Friday...but a gradual weakening
should begin thereafter.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles...45 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80
miles...130 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb...28.35 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
surf...swells generated by Adrian will continue to affect a portion
of the southwestern coast of Mexico today through at least early
this weekend. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and
rip currents.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[Tonka]

Re: "Adrian" becomes hurricane in the Mexican Pacific

http://www.t21.com.mx/news/news_display.php?story_id=14412

Hurricane Adrian reaches Cat. 4 Status

Resulting in heavy rains, with thunderstorms, strong winds, severe gusts and large waves off the coast of the states of Colima, Jalisco, Michoacan, and Guerrero.
Reports say the hurricane will remain at this status for the next 12 hrs. until it shifts west out into the Mexican Pacific.

So far Mexican ports remain open. However, Maritime and Port Authorities recommend caution with navigation in general as well as with fishing, sports, tourism and for the coastal population to take precautions for the effects of Hurricane Adrian.

The coastal regions on alert are, Acapulco, Zihuatanejo, Pie de la Cuesta, Puerto Marquez, Punta Maldonado, Guerrero, Lazaro Cardenas,
Manzanillo, Puerto Vallarta, Barra de Navidad, Chapala, San Blas, Nuevo Vallarta, Mazatlan, Sinaloa, San Jose Cabo, Cabo San Lucas and La Paz, BCS.