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A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

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  • #31
    Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

    We have to see how epidemic will grow in Hong Kong region before conclude that H1N1 with E627K is more pathogenic than without.

    I would like to remember that the pathogenicity determinants we have seen for H5N1 aren't present in novel H1N1 segments; it is also to note that the HA has not developed human-like receptors affinity through known mutations.

    In the coming weeks, Hong Kong will enter in the peak seasonal epidemic time, so we will see the rate of new infections, as well as hospitalization and death rate.

    Until now, there are not information by HK authorities about severe cases of novel influenza H1N1.

    Comment


    • #32
      Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

      Did I see the word reassortment above? And the 627 reference would be reflected back to:

      I suspect the swine H1N1 in the southern hemisphere will pick up E627K, either by acquiring a human PB2 via reassortment, or simply through recombination with seasonal flu.
      Thus, there will be a...
      On the contrary, the fact that all of the California sequences have a Lysine at position 627 of the PB2 segment is fantastic news. Years of research would suggest that the California virus does not...
      ......among many, many others from long periods ago advising, warning, educating.

      I am an avid FluTrackers follower and have been somewhat disconcerted with all the various messages that have been circulating on the site. It would seem that there is only one truth about this, and that truth is what we lay people need to know to prepare and especially to know what to really trust for managing our lives.

      So, do I understand that the majority has climbed onboard with Dr. Niman?

      Comment


      • #33
        Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

        Originally posted by Mamabird View Post
        I have located a number of Swine Flu sequences that have the unique combination in NA of V106I and D247N like that of A/Shanghai/71T and the swine isolates. Interestingly, they are are all, without exception, from Japan. We probably should keep a wary eye out for E627K in the Japan PB2 for all future sequences posted.
        Asian NA travel log

        gb|GQ253504.1| Influenza A virus (A/Shanghai/71T/2009(H1N1)) ... 38.2 0.18
        gb|GQ250162.1| Influenza A virus (A/Guangdong/03/2009(H1N1)) ... 38.2 0.18
        gb|GQ247727.1| Influenza A virus (A/Moscow/02/2009(H1N1)) seg... 38.2 0.18
        gb|GQ232087.1| Influenza A virus (A/Guangdong/02/2009(H1N1)) ... 38.2 0.18
        gb|GQ223436.1| Influenza A virus (A/Guangdong/05/2009(H1N1)) ... 38.2 0.18
        gb|CY041032.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/Laos/37/2008(H5N1... 38.2 0.18
        gb|CY041024.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/Laos/35/2008(H5N1... 38.2 0.18
        gb|CY041016.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/Laos/33/2008(H5N1... 38.2 0.18
        gb|CY041008.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/Laos/17/2008(H5N1... 38.2 0.18
        gb|CY040992.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/Laos/13/2008(H5N1... 38.2 0.18
        dbj|AB470662.1| Influenza A virus (A/duck/Hokkaido/257/2004(H... 38.2 0.18
        dbj|AB435523.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/Laos/1/2008(H5N1... 38.2 0.18
        gb|CY029537.1| Influenza A virus (A/Muscovy duck/Vietnam/1455... 38.2 0.18
        dbj|AB355931.1| Influenza A virus (A/duck/Hokkaido/Vac-3/2007... 38.2 0.18
        gb|DQ376699.1| Influenza A virus (A/duck/Taiwan/WB29/99(H6N1)... 38.2 0.18
        gb|DQ376698.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/Taiwan/165/99(H6N... 38.2 0.18

        Comment


        • #34
          Re: Shanghai virus back in 1990

          Originally posted by Nancy View Post
          In case any one else out there is asking themselves, "what's Shanghai virus?" as I was, here is an OLD (1990) NY Times article about it. If it is irrelevant, feel free to delete.

          I don't understand why, if Shanghai virus was a significant problem in the winter of 1989-1990, it wouldn't ALREADY have acquired the ability to spread easily during cold weather?? But you're saying this is new? And is Shanghai currently widespread? More than other strains of seasonal influenza? I'm confused.

          Here's the article I found:


          U.S. Health Agency Declares Flu EpidemicBy WILLIAM K. STEVENS
          Published: Friday, January 26, 1990

          Centers for Disease Control declared yesterday [January 25, 1990] that a nationwide influenza epidemic exists and that it is the most widespread outbreak of the disease since 1984-85.

          The flu, predominantly a strain called A-Shanghai, has been identified in every part of the country, and major outbreaks have been found in 35 states, epidemiologists at the centers say.

          ''We're in an epidemic,'' said Dr. Walter Gunn, a specialist in viral diseases at the centers, in Atlanta.

          Based on Death Reports

          The epidemic was declared on the basis of reports of deaths from 121 cities around the country. The proportion of deaths caused by influenza and pneumonia, a complication of the flu, was higher than expected for the second consecutive week, meeting the center's definition of an epidemic.

          Because there is a lag between the onset of the flu and death and because it takes a week or so to report the deaths, the figures actually reflect the incidence of flu in late December and early January, said Dr. Stephen Ostroff, another epidemiologist at the centers in Atlanta.

          Ordinarily, he said, the peak of the flu season comes in the middle to the end of February. This year, he said, ''the surge has come earlier, and we don't know whether it's going to subside early.''

          Immunization Still Effective

          Dr. Gunn urged flu immunization for people older than 65, those of any age who are in ill health ''and anyone who doesn't want to get the flu.''

          Symptoms include a sudden onset of fever, chills, sore throat, headache, muscle aches and pains, general malaise and a dry cough. Dr. Gunn said simple gastrointestinal upset, which seems to have afflicted many in the New York region recently, is probably caused by viruses or infections other than the flu unless the stomach distress is accompanied by other flu symptoms.

          When the flu kills people, epidemiologists say, it usually does so through pneumonia, which develops as a secondary infection. But it can also cause death through kidney failure and heart attacks, Dr. Gunn said.

          Britain Hit by Same Strain

          Dr. Gunn said A-Shanghai flu has been associated with more deaths and more instances of severe complications than other strains.

          The A-Shanghai virus has also been responsible for Britain's worst flu epidemic in 14 years. Much of Europe, including the Soviet Union, has also been affected. In Britain last month, the epidemic put so many people in the hospital that London hospitals had to cancel thousands of routine operations and accept only emergency admissions.

          In an average year in the United State, Dr. Gunn said, the flu plays a role in at least 20,000 deaths. ''This year we think it's going to be worse,'' he added. ''We don't know how much worse.''

          In the outbreak in the winter of 1984-85, 57,400 deaths were attributed to the flu or pneumonia.

          Linked to 7.6 Percent of Deaths

          Last week, 1,132, or 7.6 percent, of the 15,090 deaths reported to the disease control centers from the 121 cities were attributed to flu or pneumonia. The percentage a week earlier was identical. Usually, the figure is between 6 percent and 6.5 percent for those two weeks, Dr. Ostroff said. Not since the 1984-85 season has that usual level been exceeded by as much as it was in the last two weeks.

          The centers said that last week 18 states experienced flu outbreaks considered widespread, with outbreaks in counties accounting for more than half the state's population. Seventeen other states experienced regional outbreaks, with outbreaks in counties accounting for less than half the state population.

          The epidemic did not begin in any specific part of the country, Dr. Gunn said. Rather, he said, ''it has been all over the place right from the beginning and has kept enlarging.''

          The states reporting widespread outbreaks last week were Connecticut, New York, Massachusetts, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Missouri, South Dakota, Nebraska, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Texas, Montana, Idaho and Arizona.

          Those states reporting regional outbreaks were New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Iowa, Delaware, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Wyoming, Utah, Nevada, Alaska, Washington and New Mexico.

          Two other varieties of flu, A-Taiwan and Influenza B, have also been detected in limited outbreaks, the first in Alaska, Arizona, Massachusetts and Iowa, and the second in Virginia and Nebraska, Dr. Gunn said. The symptoms are similar to those of A-Shanghai.

          Map of the United States showing the influenza outbreaks by state (NYT)
          The virus described in the above article has nothing to do with the isolate being discussed on this thread (other than being isolated in Shanghai).

          Comment


          • #35
            Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

            Originally posted by gjs47 View Post
            Did I see the word reassortment above? And the 627 reference would be reflected back to:





            ......among many, many others from long periods ago advising, warning, educating.

            I am an avid FluTrackers follower and have been somewhat disconcerted with all the various messages that have been circulating on the site. It would seem that there is only one truth about this, and that truth is what we lay people need to know to prepare and especially to know what to really trust for managing our lives.

            So, do I understand that the majority has climbed onboard with Dr. Niman?
            The PB2 is not due to reassortment. It is closley related to the other swine sequences in humans and therefore did not pick a PB2 from a distantly related virus (like human H1N1 or some other mammalian flu with PB2 with E627K).

            Some will propose that this is yet another "random mutation" and the match of adjacent sequences with the H7N7 from the dead vet, or the Hong Kong outbreak in 1997 is a yet another "coincidence".

            Comment


            • #36
              Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

              Originally posted by Mamabird View Post
              The Shanghai virus has acquired an important characteristic that may affect pathogenicity of Swine Flu.

              A/Shanghai/71T/2009, sample acquired on May 31, has Lysine at position 627 of the PB2 segment.

              Bears watching, but this is definitely not pleasant news.
              Thank you Mamabird. Can you tell me when this sample was available to the public for viewing? Was it on May 31st?

              Comment


              • #37
                Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                Originally posted by Commonground View Post
                Thank you Mamabird. Can you tell me when this sample was available to the public for viewing? Was it on May 31st?
                Posted to GenBank about a week ago:

                June 11, 2009, 56 submitted by JCVI; 16 by Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center Affiliated to Fudan University, China

                Comment


                • #38
                  Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                  </PRE>LOCUS GQ253501 2280 bp cRNA linear VRL 11-JUN-2009
                  DEFINITION Influenza A virus (A/Shanghai/71T/2009(H1N1)) segment 1 polymerase
                  PB2 (PB2) gene, complete cds.
                  ACCESSION GQ253501
                  VERSION GQ253501.1 GI:239813009
                  DBLINK Project:37813
                  KEYWORDS .
                  SOURCE Influenza A virus (A/Shanghai/71T/2009(H1N1))
                  ORGANISM Influenza A virus (A/Shanghai/71T/2009(H1N1))
                  Viruses; ssRNA negative-strand viruses; Orthomyxoviridae;
                  Influenzavirus A.
                  REFERENCE 1 (bases 1 to 2280)
                  AUTHORS Hu,Y., Song,Z., Tian,D., He,J., Zhou,Z., Zhang,X., Guan,W., Yin,K.,
                  Wu,M., Chen,Z., Zhang,X., Lu,H., Zhang,Z. and Yuan,Z.
                  TITLE Genetic Characterization of Swine-Origin 2009 A (H1N1) Influenza
                  Viruses Isolated in Shanghai
                  JOURNAL Unpublished
                  REFERENCE 2 (bases 1 to 2280)
                  AUTHORS Hu,Y., Song,Z., Tian,D., He,J., Zhou,Z., Zhang,X., Guan,W., Yin,K.,
                  Wu,M., Chen,Z., Zhang,X., Lu,H., Zhang,Z. and Yuan,Z.
                  TITLE Direct Submission
                  JOURNAL Submitted (10-JUN-2009) Research Unit, Shanghai Public Health
                  Clinical Center Affiliated to Fudan University, Caolang Road 2901,
                  Shanghai 201508, China
                  COMMENT GenBank Accession Numbers GQ253497-GQ253504 represent sequences
                  from the 8 segments of Influenza A virus
                  (A/Shanghai/71T/2009(H1N1)).

                  Swine influenza A (H1N1) virus isolated during human swine flu
                  outbreak of 2009.
                  FEATURES Location/Qualifiers
                  source 1..2280
                  /organism="Influenza A virus (A/Shanghai/71T/2009(H1N1))"
                  /mol_type="viral cRNA"
                  /strain="A/Shanghai/71T/2009"
                  /serotype="H1N1"
                  /host="Homo sapiens"
                  /db_xref="taxon:651578"
                  /segment="1"
                  /country="China"
                  /collection_date="31-May-2009"
                  /note="lineage: swl"
                  gene 1..2280
                  /gene="PB2"
                  CDS 1..2280
                  /gene="PB2"
                  /codon_start=1
                  /product="polymerase PB2"
                  /protein_id="ACS27790.1"
                  /db_xref="GI:239813010"
                  /translation="MERIKELRDLMSQSRTREILTKTTVDHMAIIKKYTSG RQEKNPA
                  LRMKWMMAMRYPITADKRIMDMIPERNEQGQTLWSKTNDAGSDRVMVSPL AVTWWNRN
                  GPTTSTVHYPKVYKTYFEKVERLKHGTFGPVHFRNQVKIRRRVDTNPGHA DLSAKEAQ
                  DVIMEVVFPNEVGARILTSESQLAITKEKKEELQDCKIAPLMVAYMLERE LVRKTRFL
                  PVAGGTGSVYIEVLHLTQGTCWEQMYTPGGEVRNDDVDQSLIIAARNIVR RAAVSADP
                  LASLLEMCHSTQIGGVRMVDILRQNPTEEQAVDICKAAIGLRISSSFSFG GFTFKRTS
                  GSSVKKEEEVLTGNLQTLKIRVHEGYEEFTMVGRRATAILRKATRRLIQL IVSGRDEQ
                  SIAEAIIVAMVFSQEDCMIKAVRGDLNFVNRANQRLNPMHQLLRHFQKDA KVLFQNWG
                  IESIDNVMGMIGILPDMTPSTEMSLRGIRVSKMGVDEYSSTERVVVSIDR FLRVRDQR
                  GNVLLSPEEVSETQGTEKLTITYSSSMMWEINGPESVLVNTYQWIIRNWE IVKIQWSQ
                  DPTMLYNKMEFEPFQSLVPKATRSRYSGFVRTLFQQMRDVLGTFDTVQII KLLPFAAA
                  PPKQSRMQFSSLTVNVRGSGLRILVRGNSPVFNYNKATKRLTVLGKDAGA LTENPNEG
                  TSGVESAVLRGFLILGKENKKYGPALSINELSNLAKGEKANVLIGQGDVV LVMKRKRD
                  SSILTDSQTATKRIRMAIN"
                  ORIGIN
                  1 atggagagaa taaaagaact gagagatcta atgtcgcagt cccgcactcg cgagatactc
                  61 actaagacca ctgtggacca tatggccata atcaaaaagt acacatcagg aaggcaagag
                  121 aagaaccccg cactcagaat gaagtggatg atggcaatga gatacccaat tacagcagac
                  181 aagagaataa tggacatgat tccagagagg aatgaacaag gacaaaccct ctggagcaaa
                  241 acaaacgatg ctggatcaga ccgagtgatg gtatcacctc tggccgtaac atggtggaat
                  301 aggaatggcc caacaacaag tacagttcat taccctaagg tatataaaac ttatttcgaa
                  361 aaggtcgaaa ggttgaaaca tggtaccttc ggccctgtcc acttcagaaa tcaagttaaa
                  421 ataaggagga gagttgatac aaaccctggc catgcagatc tcagtgccaa ggaggcacag
                  481 gatgtgatta tggaagttgt tttcccaaat gaagtggggg caagaatact gacatcagag
                  541 tcacagctgg caataacaaa agagaagaaa gaagagctcc aggattgtaa aattgctccc
                  601 ttgatggtgg cgtacatgct agaaagagaa ttggtccgta aaacaaggtt tctcccagta
                  661 gccggcggaa caggcagtgt ttatattgaa gtgttgcact taacccaagg gacgtgctgg
                  721 gagcagatgt acactccagg aggagaagtg agaaatgatg atgttgacca aagtttgatt
                  781 atcgctgcta gaaacatagt aagaagagca gcagtgtcag cagacccatt agcatctctc
                  841 ttggaaatgt gccacagcac acagattgga ggagtaagga tggtggacat ccttagacag
                  901 aatccaactg aggaacaagc cgtagacata tgcaaggcag caatagggtt gaggattagc
                  961 tcatctttca gttttggtgg gttcactttc aaaaggacaa gcggatcatc agtcaagaaa
                  1021 gaagaagaag tgctaacggg caacctccaa acactgaaaa taagagtaca tgaagggtat
                  1081 gaagaattca caatggttgg gagaagagca acagctattc tcagaaaggc aaccaggaga
                  1141 ttgatccagt tgatagtaag cgggagagac gagcagtcaa ttgctgaggc aataattgtg
                  1201 gccatggtat tctcacaaga ggattgcatg atcaaggcag ttaggggcga tctgaacttt
                  1261 gtcaataggg caaaccagcg actgaacccc atgcaccaac tcttgaggca tttccaaaaa
                  1321 gatgcaaaag tgcttttcca gaactgggga attgaatcca tcgacaatgt gatgggaatg
                  1381 atcggaatac tgcccgacat gaccccaagc acggagatgt cgctgagagg gataagagtc
                  1441 agcaaaatgg gagtagatga atactccagc acggagagag tggtagtgag tattgaccga
                  1501 tttttaaggg ttagagatca aagagggaac gtactattgt ctcccgaaga agtcagtgaa
                  1561 acgcaaggaa ctgagaagtt gacaataact tattcgtcat caatgatgtg ggagatcaat
                  1621 ggccctgagt cagtgctagt caacacttat caatggataa tcaggaactg ggaaattgtg
                  1681 aaaattcaat ggtcacaaga tcccacaatg ttatacaaca aaatggaatt tgaaccattt
                  1741 cagtctcttg tccctaaggc aaccagaagc cggtacagtg gattcgtaag gacactgttc
                  1801 cagcaaatgc gggatgtgct tgggacattt gacactgtcc aaataataaa acttctcccc
                  1861 tttgctgctg ctccaccaaa acagagtagg atgcaatttt cctcattgac tgtgaatgtg
                  1921 agaggatcag ggttgaggat actggtaaga ggcaattctc cagtattcaa ttacaacaag
                  1981 gcaaccaaac gacttacagt tcttggaaag gatgcaggtg cattgactga aaatccaaat
                  2041 gaaggcacat ctggggtgga gtctgctgtc ctgagaggat ttctcatttt gggcaaagaa
                  2101 aacaagaaat atggcccagc attaagcatc aatgaactga gcaatcttgc aaaaggagag
                  2161 aaagctaatg tgctaattgg gcaaggggac gtagtgttgg taatgaaacg aaaacgggac
                  2221 tctagcatac ttactgacag ccagacagcg accaaaagaa ttcggatggc catcaattag

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                    Originally posted by Commonground View Post
                    Thank you Mamabird. Can you tell me when this sample was available to the public for viewing? Was it on May 31st?
                    Submitted (10-JUN-2009) Research Unit, Shanghai Public Health
                    Clinical Center Affiliated to Fudan University, Caolang Road 2901,
                    Shanghai 201508, China
                    AUTHORS Hu,Y., Song,Z., Tian,D., He,J., Zhou,Z., Zhang,X., Guan,W., Yin,K.,
                    Wu,M., Chen,Z., Zhang,X., Lu,H., Zhang,Z. and Yuan,Z.

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                      Originally posted by ironorehopper View Post
                      In the coming weeks, Hong Kong will enter in the peak seasonal epidemic time, so we will see the rate of new infections, as well as hospitalization and death rate.
                      Did you mean 'novel epidemic'? HK is in the northern hemisphere & their seasonal flu activity is surely over....

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                        E627K in swine, etc (including Canadian swine and 1976 swine flu)

                        gb|GQ229321.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Hong Kong/554/2003(... 38.2 0.18
                        gb|GQ229297.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Hong Kong/NS1659/20... 38.2 0.18
                        gb|GQ253501.1| Influenza A virus (A/Shanghai/71T/2009(H1N1)) ... 38.2 0.18
                        gb|DQ139325.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Zhejiang/1/2004(H1N... 38.2 0.18
                        gb|GQ229289.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Hong Kong/8512/2001... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|GQ229281.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Hong Kong/103/1993(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY039998.1| Influenza A Virus (A/New Jersey/8/1976(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY039932.1| Influenza A Virus (A/swine/Indiana/1726/1988(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY039924.1| Influenza A Virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/1915/1988... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|FJ789824.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Shanghai/2/2005(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|FJ789830.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Shanghai/3/2005(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|EU502892.2| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Shanghai/1/2005(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY036870.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/107/1977(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY036806.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/30954/197... 34.2 2.8
                        dbj|AB434413.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Saitama/1996(H1N2)... 34.2 2.8
                        dbj|AB434405.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ehime/1/1980(H1N2)... 34.2 2.8
                        dbj|AB434397.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Niigata/1/1977(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        dbj|AB434389.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Hokkaido/2/1981(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|FJ357111.1| Influenza A virus (A/turkey/NC/17026/1988(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY035077.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Memphis/1/1990(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|EU743158.1| Influenza A virus (A/turkey/IA/10271-3/1990(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|EU743166.1| Influenza A virus (A/turkey/IA/21089-3/1992(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|EU743181.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/NY/21665-73/1998(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY032936.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/109/1977(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|EU735793.1| Influenza A virus (A/turkey/NC/19762/1988(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|EU735801.1| Influenza A virus (A/chicken/PA/35154/1991(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|EU742643.1| Influenza A virus (A/turkey/KS/4880/1980(H1N1)... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY032220.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/1/1961(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY030742.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/9/1978(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY028787.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/California/T9001707... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY028795.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/1/1986(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY028442.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/7/1978(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY028434.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/4/1978(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY028186.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/3/1978(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY028178.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/2/1987(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY027514.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/2/1985(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY027530.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/8/1978(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY027522.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/5/1978(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY027162.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/24297/1991(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY027314.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/2/1978(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY027306.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/118/1977(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026498.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/112/1977(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026490.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/106/1977(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026482.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/105/1977(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026474.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/100/1977(H1N1)... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026466.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/10/1976(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026458.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/6/1981(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026450.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/3/1981(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026442.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/2/1981(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026426.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/23/1976(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026306.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/2/1966(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026298.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/1/1967(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026290.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/1/1957(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY026146.1| Influenza A virus (A/Wisconsin/301/1976(H1N1))... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY025212.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/37/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY025017.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Kansas/3024/1987(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY025064.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/48/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY024932.1| Influenza A virus (A/Ohio/3559/1988(H1N1)) seg... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY025009.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Arizona/148/1977(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY025001.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/663/1980(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY024993.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/10/1978(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY024985.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/88/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY024977.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/87/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY024969.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/86/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY024961.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/84/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY025068.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/96/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY024940.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Minnesota/24/1975(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022977.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/31483/1988(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY023001.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/629/1980(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022985.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/1/1981(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022961.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/1/1977(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022324.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/1/1985(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022332.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/3/1985(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022340.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/17672/1988(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022436.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/1915/1988... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022476.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Kansas/3228/1987(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022484.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Maryland/23239/1991... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022468.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/8/1980(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022460.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/661/1980(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022452.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/641/1980(... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022444.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/2/1970(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022428.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/11/1980(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022420.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Wisconsin/1/1971(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022412.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/11/1978(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022404.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/1/1975(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022396.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/7/1981(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022388.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/4/1981(H1N1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022380.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Nebraska/123/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022372.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Minnesota/5892-7/19... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022364.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Minnesota/27/1976(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022356.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Kentucky/1/1976(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022348.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Illinois/1/1975(H1N... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022308.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/82/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022292.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/65/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022276.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/10/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022148.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/64/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022140.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/49/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022132.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/31/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022124.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/21/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022116.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/19/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022108.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/4/1976(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022068.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/19/1976(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022076.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Iowa/1/1976(H1N1)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022060.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/17/1976(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022052.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/15/1976(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022044.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/7/1976(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY022036.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/3/1976(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY017306.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/701/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY013326.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/676/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY013318.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/660/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY012935.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/699/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY012527.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/700/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY012511.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/678/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY012503.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/668/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY011847.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/687/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY011559.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/674/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY011543.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/671/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY011519.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/662/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY011375.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/703/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY011327.1| Influenza A virus (A/New York/692/1995(H3N2)) ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY009923.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/25/1977(H... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|DQ280245.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/11112/04(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|DQ280237.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/23866/04(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|DQ280229.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/48235/04(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|DQ280205.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/55383/04(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|DQ280197.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Alberta/56626/03(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|DQ280189.1| Influenza A virus (A/swine/Ontario/57561/03(H1... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|CY002279.1| Influenza A virus (A/Memphis/24/95(H3N2)) segm... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|AF037413.1|AF037413 Influenza A virus H3N2 A/Tochigi/44/95... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|U71133.1|IAU71133 Influenza A virus H3N2 A/Akita/1/95 PB2 ... 34.2 2.8
                        gb|M73513.1|FLAH1N1P2A Influenza A virus (A/swine/Tennessee/2... 34.2 2.8

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                          Originally posted by hornblower View Post
                          Did you mean 'novel epidemic'? HK is in the northern hemisphere & their seasonal flu activity is surely over....
                          Hong Kong has two annual flu peaks: one during the winter (december to february, march) and one in the mid of summer (July, August).

                          This pattern could be common to other region with a similar climate or geographic location (ie: tropical regions)

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                            Originally posted by hornblower View Post
                            Did you mean 'novel epidemic'? HK is in the northern hemisphere & their seasonal flu activity is surely over....
                            HK usually has 2 seasonal waves per season
                            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                            my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                              2007 Airport passenger traffic:

                              Shanghai Pudong International Airport, 28,920,432
                              Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport, 22,632,962

                              That's over 60 million opportunities for the flu to hitch a ride to elsewhere.

                              .
                              "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

                              Comment


                              • #45
                                Re: A/Shanghai/71T/2009 acquired E627K

                                It took only 46 days (since 1st diagnosed atypical pneumonia in Oaxaca) to acquire this change, although we should assume there were earlier undiagnosed cases.

                                Amazing.

                                .
                                "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

                                Comment

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