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Eurosurv. Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020
Per 45 paesi / territori africani che hanno gi? segnalato casi COVID-19 prima del 23 marzo 2020, stimiamo le date di segnalazione di 1.000 e 10.000 casi. Supponendo che le prime tendenze epidemiche senza interventi, entro la fine di aprile 2020, tutti e 45 avrebbero probabilmente superato i 1.000 casi confermati, con la maggior parte superiore a 10.000 poche settimane dopo.
For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10,000 a few weeks later.
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