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  • Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

    Link: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21141012/

    Updated: 2 hours, 33 minutes ago
    NEW YORK - The H5N1 bird flu virus has mutated to infect people more easily, although it still has not transformed into a pandemic strain, researchers said on Thursday.

    The changes are worrying, said Dr. Yoshihiro Kawaoka of the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

    "We have identified a specific change that could make bird flu grow in the upper respiratory tract of humans," said Kawaoka, who led the study.

    "The viruses that are circulating in Africa and Europe are the ones closest to becoming a human virus," Kawaoka said.

    Recent samples of virus taken from birds in Africa and Europe all carry the mutation, Kawaoka and colleagues report in the Public Library of Science journal PLoS Pathogens.

    "I don't like to scare the public, because they cannot do very much. But at the same time it is important to the scientific community to understand what is happening," Kawaoka said in a telephone interview.

    The H5N1 avian flu virus, which mostly infects birds, has since 2003 infected 329 people in 12 countries, killing 201 of them. It very rarely passes from one person to another, but if it acquires the ability to do so easily, it likely will cause a global epidemic.

    All flu viruses evolve constantly and scientists have some ideas about what mutations are needed to change a virus from one that infects birds easily to one more comfortable in humans.

    Birds usually have a body temperature of 106 degrees F, and humans are 98.6 degrees F usually. The human nose and throat, where flu viruses usually enter, is usually around 91.4 degrees F.

    "So usually the bird flu doesn't grow well in the nose or throat of humans," Kawaoka said. This particular mutation allows H5N1 to live well in the cooler temperatures of the human upper respiratory tract.

    H5N1 caused its first mass die-off among wild waterfowl in 2005 at Qinghai Lake in central China, where hundreds of thousands of migratory birds congregate.

    That strain of the virus was carried across Asia to Africa and Europe by migrating birds. Its descendants carry the mutation, Kawaoka said.

    "So the viruses circulating in Europe and Africa, they all have this mutation. So they are the ones that are closer to human-like flu," Kawaoka said.

    Luckily, they do not carry other mutations, he said.

    "Clearly there are more mutations that are needed. We don't know how many mutations are needed for them to become pandemic strains."

    Copyright 2007 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters.

  • #2
    Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

      so, it is mutating and the result is, that some mutation(s) is (are)
      better adapter to human hosts, while others are worse.

      And this is probably coincidentally since it doesn't target the humans,
      no chains of transmission,no selection in humans.
      Unless there is a mammalean reservoir

      What mutation they mean, is it secret ?
      [edit:presumably E627K in PB2, see the other thread]

      Can that mutation be implemented into the Indo-virus
      and tested in ferrets ?
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

          Originally posted by gsgs View Post
          so, it is mutating and the result is, that some mutation(s) is (are)
          better adapter to human hosts, while others are worse.

          And this is probably coincidentally since it doesn't target the humans,
          no chains of transmission,no selection in humans.
          Unless there is a mammalean reservoir

          What mutation they mean, is it secret ?
          [edit:presumably E627K in PB2, see the other thread]

          Can that mutation be implemented into the Indo-virus
          and tested in ferrets ?
          Please. This is NOT a coincidence.

          Qinghai H5N1 can be quite lethal, so the E627K keeps the level low, so the H5N1 is easily transported by birds and goes undetected in the dismal surveillance assays of conservation groups who keep insisting that Qinghai H5N1 in wild birds is a minor issue.

          H5N1 knows EXACTLY what it is doing, conservation groups and message board nonsense not withstanding.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

            i presume this isnt good news for us humans.....?.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

              Originally posted by vinny View Post
              i presume this isnt good news for us humans.....?.
              This isn't good, but it isn't news.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

                Commentary at

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

                  Commentary on Dr. Niman's commentary at:


                  Those of us who follow Recombinomics are a) not at all surprised, since Dr. Niman found this a year ago; and b) probably elated that someone else has confirmed his findings. If Dr. Niman had Kawaoka's $9 million facilities.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

                    Originally posted by scottmcpherson View Post
                    Commentary on Dr. Niman's commentary at:


                    Those of us who follow Recombinomics are a) not at all surprised, since Dr. Niman found this a year ago; and b) probably elated that someone else has confirmed his findings. If Dr. Niman had Kawaoka's $9 million facilities.....
                    Scott, if you are seriously interested in scholarly research related to this mutation and it affects on avian vs mammalian replication, you may wish to read results form the following study:

                    "Residue 627 of PB2 Is a Determinant of Cold Sensitivity in RNA Replication of Avian Influenza Viruses "

                    Received 25 September 2000/Accepted 21 February 2001



                    By the by, the above research was also confirmation of previous studies conducted in the early 1990s.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

                      Originally posted by Mamabird View Post

                      By the by, the above research was also confirmation of previous studies conducted in the early 1990s.

                      So why was the current paper done? What does it add to our knowledge? What are the implications of this research, in practical terms?

                      J.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

                        To Mamabird:
                        Thank you for the link! Appreciated.

                        To Cartski:
                        Recall this is the same researcher who just got spanked recently for wanting to monkey with Ebola (sorry, no pun intended) in a level 2 biofacility at UW-M. Even though what he wanted to work on was essentially inactive Ebola, the Feds still paled at his request.

                        Maybe they felt that they needed some good press. As Dr. Niman said: It is not good, but it is not news. Dr. Richard Webby told me,
                        "But, the PB2 627 residue has been implicated for many years in flu virulence (and even temperature of replication)." So its presence in H5N1 is of concern. Just not news to FT posters!

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

                          Originally posted by cartski View Post
                          So why was the current paper done? What does it add to our knowledge? What are the implications of this research, in practical terms?

                          J.
                          J, in my view, the research was very well done and thorough. It confirms previous research. In other words, by the fact that the previous experiments were more or less repeatable, the new research validates our understanding of the importance of Lysine at position 627 of the PB2 gene segment. This research also focuses on the H5N1 virus, a hot topic primarily for its high pathogenicity in domestic poultry and mammals.

                          Unfortunately, the Reuters news release, including statements by the researchers themselves in interviews, led folks to believe that this was a new discovery and a signal event in the evolution of H5N1. Although the acquistion of the Lysine is clearly important, it is certainly not new. Many folks have been tracking its progress across Eurasia and Africa as migratory birds, and perhaps others, have carried the Qinghai strain to unsuspecting farmers and local human inhabitants.

                          I would end by saying that the researchers reach the correct conclusion in their paper, which is that if we begin to see other human like mutations becoming fixed in these H5, H7 and H9 viruses, in conjunction with E627K, then we need to sit up straight in our chairs and take notice of potential mischief in the near term. All eleven proteins of the Influenza A virus have some highly conserved human markers like this one in PB2. No one really knows how many such changes would be required to make these avian viruses more easily transmittable to and between us humans.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

                            Originally posted by niman View Post
                            Commentary

                            E627K Increases H5N1 Replication at Lower Temperatures

                            Recombinomics Commentary
                            October 5, 2007

                            Birds usually have a body temperature of 106 degrees F, and humans are 98.6 degrees F usually. The human nose and throat, where flu viruses usually enter, is usually around 91.4 degrees F.

                            "So usually the bird flu doesn't grow well in the nose or throat of humans," Kawaoka said. This particular mutation allows H5N1 to live well in the cooler temperatures of the human upper respiratory tract.

                            H5N1 caused its first mass die-off among wild waterfowl in 2005 at Qinghai Lake in central China, where hundreds of thousands of migratory birds congregate.

                            That strain of the virus was carried across Asia to Africa and Europe by migrating birds. Its descendants carry the mutation, Kawaoka said.

                            "So the viruses circulating in Europe and Africa, they all have this mutation. So they are the ones that are closer to human-like flu," Kawaoka said.

                            Luckily, they do not carry other mutations, he said.

                            The above comments on the paper describing PB2 E627K replication in experimental mice and cells highlight the effect of the change on the ability of the Qinghai strain to replicate at lower temperatures.

                            The detection of E627K in dead wild birds at Qinghai Lake in May, 2005 signaled a major change in the global spread of H5N1. At the time ?Asian? H5N1 had not been reported in any country west of China. The massive die-off at Qinghai Lake signaled the movement of H5N1 in long range migratory birds and the strain of a major geographical expansion.

                            The data on the temperature dependence of E627K also explains why many surveillance programs fail to detect Qinghai H5N1 in live wild birds, including locations where H5N1 is readily detected in dead or dying wild birds. The body temperature of live wild birds keeps the levels of the virus low, below the detection levels of these assays. Dead and dying birds have a lower body temperature, allowing levels of the virus to rise.

                            Although the effect of E627K on viral replication has been know since 2001, this fact has been ignored in the surveillance programs that focus on live birds. Instead of measuring H5N1 antibody levels, which are more stable and reliable, these groups test thousands of birds and then use the false negatives to issue assurances and denials of the transport and transmission of H5N1 by wild birds.

                            Consequently, the alarming expansion of Qinghai H5N1 has largely happened below the radar of these surveillance, which remains a cause for concern, as have changes in the receptor binding domain in Qinghai isolates from fatal human cases, including V223I, S227N, and M230I.


                            .
                            "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Bird flu mutating to infect people more easily

                              The body temperature of live wild birds keeps the levels of the virus low, below the detection levels of these assays


                              Are you saying that the PB2/627K mutation mandates that the virus may ONLY replicate at human temperatures?

                              I had thought it merely expanded the range of possibilities.

                              .
                              "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

                              Comment

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