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WHO May Adjust Flu System to Account for Severity

Re: W.H.O. Plans to Rewrite Its Rules for Declaring a Pandemic

Re: W.H.O. Plans to Rewrite Its Rules for Declaring a Pandemic

Niman, that?s a great commentary ! :applause:

AlaskaDenise, thank You for posting it (,?otherwise I could have missed it).: :tiphat:

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/05260901/WHO_Phase_Daze.html

Quote (originally posted by Niman):
"The WHO position and phase 5 designation continues to focus efforts away from the real problem of community spread, and hopeless programs focused on international travelers. (...)
These denials of cases, or cases in the community, allow the virus to silently spread and evolve. (...)
When the new variants are identified, they will have established a strong foothold and will spread rapidly, once again avoiding belated containment efforts. The establishment will speed the spread, which will also impact vaccine efforts, because the identification of the emergent strain will happen well after the spread has accelerated.
Thus, the efforts of WHO to deny phase 6, and misplaced surveillance efforts which target international travel, will accelerate the emergence of variants, which will increase the likelihood that containment and vaccine efforts will fail"​

In my opinion, health officials, politicians, reporters and laymen are mixing different kinds of threats. Up to now, this novel Influenza A obviously seems to cause "mild" illness to individuals, at least in the majority of cases. So, they don?t recognize , why there could be a problem with this Virus. They even know its name, ?Influenza?. Doesn?t it sound familiar ? It?s just the "flu" and the kids get it, so it seems to be a kind of children?s disease, isn?t it ?

But do they really know the peril of this combatant ?

It is dangerous, because it?s NEW and there is no immunity. And it is dangerous, because it?s INFLUENZA (the one with all the trouble of antigenic drift and shift ?, hiding and feinting). And it is dangerous, because it?s SPREADING on and on and ALL AROUND THE WORLD.

Beware, if this Virus (or an assortant variant) would become a killer like SARS and Antivirals wont work no longer and vaccination efforts also would fail (the wrong vaccine, too late, not enough, too expensive and so on). I don?t blame politicians, reporters and laymen, but who else than WHO knows the facts ?

Quote (posted by Florida1):
" May 26, 2009 (CIDRAP News) ? In response to concerns from various governments about the possible effects of declaring a full-scale influenza pandemic, the World Health Organization (WHO) will call on outside experts to consider whether to revise the agency's definitions of pandemic alert phases, a WHO official announced today."​

What?s the purpose now to call on outside experts to consider whether to revise the agency?s definitions of pandemic alert phases ?

Here?s my proposal for a new definition of a level 6-pandemic: WHO may be enabled to consider level 6 -pandemic in case of sustained creature-to-creature transmission outside Earth throughout the Universe, including alien species? AND if there are less than two human beings left (man and woman) outside WHO. :mad:
 
Re: W.H.O. Plans to Rewrite Its Rules for Declaring a Pandemic

Re: W.H.O. Plans to Rewrite Its Rules for Declaring a Pandemic

OK, here's the answer. A pandemic, in simple terms, is the spread of an infectious disease to large areas of the world (I understand flu has a few more qualifications, but in a basic sense that is what it is). So, we have now pretty much met the definition. As far as how severity goes, that can vary to some degree, so why can't nations adapt this and use it as a means of how to communicate the severity to their citizens.

Yes, it can still be abused. Governments can fudge the numbers, but at least we can maybe divorce some of the science from politics.
 
Re: WHO May Adjust Flu System to Account for Severity

It seems to me that it would make sense to have two levels instead of one.

One level could indicate the spread of the disease and the other could reflect the overal risk or how lethal the disease is at the time.

Using a system like that, we would probably be at spread level alert 6 and risk level alert 3 or less.
 
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