WHO: Ebola response roadmap update (September 8, 2014)

Pathfinder · Sep 9, 2014

WHO: EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP UPDATE
8 September 2014

Following the roadmap structure, country reports fall into three categories: those with widespread and intense transmission (Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone); and those with an initial case or cases, or with localized transmission (Nigeria, Senegal)1

1. COUNTRIES WITH WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE TRANSMISSION

As of 6 September 2014 2, 4269 (probable, confirmed and suspected) cases and 2288 deaths have been reported in the current outbreak of Ebola virus disease by the Ministries of Health of Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone3

The increase in cases continues to accelerate in countries with widespread and intense transmission: Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.
...

http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/132834/1/roadmapupdate8sept14_eng.pdf

franzpick · Sep 9, 2014

Re: WHO: Ebola response roadmap update (September 8, 2014)

WHO has for a 2nd time unnecessarily omitted 1 day of Liberia data, in this case Sep. 6, the day with 70 new cases, the highest Liberian daily case increase so far recorded:

WHO 9-9: "For Liberia, information is as of 5 September 2014." - (SEE Note 2):

http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/132834/1/roadmapupdate8sept14_eng.pdf

Liberian MOHsw has had the Sep. 6 data available since Sep. 6. SEE Suspected, Probable and Confirmed cases of 39, 25 and 6 (70):

http://www.mohsw.gov.lr/documents/Liberia Ebola SitRep 114 Sept 6, 2014.pdf

Corrected 3 country new case totals for WHO's 6 day Sep. 6 data should be 4269 plus 70 = 4339 cases, up 654 from the previous 3685, which indicates a 109 new case/day average for WHO's Sep. 1-6 data, and a doubling period for WHO's corrected 4339 case total of 40 days.

I'll follow up and see what WHO adds back in their next report to "adjust" for today's omission of Liberia's 70 new cases in their 9-6 data.

Is there a reason for WHO's continued irregular and incomplete reporting?

MHSC · Sep 9, 2014

Re: WHO: Ebola response roadmap update (September 8, 2014)

I wasn't aware this was happening. I have to go back and check my numbers. Thanks for the heads up!

Laidback Al · Sep 9, 2014

Re: WHO: Ebola response roadmap update (September 8, 2014)

Is there a reason for WHO's continued irregular and incomplete reporting?

There is nothing sinister about the differential reporting dates for case counts by the World Health Organization (WHO). WHO is dependent on receiving official reports from its member states and may have different reporting periods for different countries. For example, in the Disease Outbreak News on June 18, 2014, WHO notes that the Ebola case reporting periods varied for each country. For Guinea the reporting period was June 14-16, for Sierra Leone it was June 15-17, and for Liberia it was June 11-16, 2014.

In this crisis we should be thankful that WHO is taking the time to clearly distinguish the reporting periods in their cumulative summaries.
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WHO: Ebola response roadmap update (September 8, 2014)

Pathfinder

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franzpick

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MHSC

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Laidback Al

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