• FluTrackers.com Inc. does not provide medical advice. Information on this web site is collected from various internet resources, and the FluTrackers board of directors makes no warranty to the safety, efficacy, correctness or completeness of the information posted on this site by any author or poster. The information collated here is for instructional and/or discussion purposes only and is NOT intended to diagnose or treat any disease, illness, or other medical condition. Every individual reader or poster should seek advice from their personal physician/healthcare practitioner before considering or using any interventions that are discussed on this website. By continuing to access this website you agree to consult your personal physican before using any interventions posted on this website, and you agree to hold harmless FluTrackers.com Inc., the board of directors, the members, and all authors and posters for any effects from use of any medication, supplement, vitamin or other substance, device, intervention, etc. mentioned in posts on this website, or other internet venues referenced in posts on this website.
  • We are not asking for any donations. Do not donate to any entity who says they are raising funds for us.

WHO declares first 21st century flu pandemic

Laidback Al

Well-known member
GENEVA (Reuters) ? The World Health Organization declared the first flu pandemic of the 21st century on Thursday, Sweden's health ministry said.
The health ministry said the United Nations agency was raising its pandemic flu alert to the top phase 6 on a six-point scale, indicating the first influenza pandemic since 1968 is under way.
"Today... the Minister for Elderly Care and Public Health Maria Larsson has called a press conference following a decision by the WHO to raise the pandemic level to six for the influenza A H1N1 virus," the ministry said in a statement.
WHO Director-General Dr Margaret Chan was due to give a news conference on the influenza (A) H1N1 pandemic at 1600 GMT, following a meeting of the WHO's emergency committee of flu experts, and WHO spokesmen declined to comment before that.
The move will trigger heightened health measures in the WHO's 193 member states as authorities brace for the worldwide spread of the virus that has so far caused mainly mild illness.
The move to phase 6 reflects the fact that the disease, widely known as swine flu, was spreading geographically, but not necessarily indicate how virulent it is.
"Phase 6, if we call a phase 6, doesn't mean anything concerning severity, it is concerning geographic spread ... Pandemic means global, but it doesn't have any connotation of severity or mildness," WHO spokesman Gregory Hartl said.
"In fact, what we are seeing with this virus so far is overwhelmingly to date mild disease. So we would think that this event is really a moderate event for the time being, because the numbers are high but the disease is overwhelmingly mild," he told Reuters Television before the committee meeting.
David Heymann, a former top WHO official now chairing Britain's Health Protection Agency, said that countries had tried to contain the virus through measures including school closures during the previous phase 5. This has extended the precious time needed to prepare for a full-blown pandemic.
"During phase 5, the government and people in the U.K. have had the time to prepare for a pandemic -- this has hopefully decreased any surprise and concern that might be associated with a WHO announcement of phase 6, if one is made," he told Reuters.
As it spreads in humans, science cannot predict what course the virus will take, the disease it causes and the age groups infected, Heymann said. "The severity of that disease, the effectiveness of antiviral drugs and the stability of the virus must all be watched closely," he added.
A pandemic could cause enormous disruption to business as workers stay home because they are sick or to look after family members and authorities restrict gatherings of large numbers of people or movement of people or goods.
World markets shrugged off the possibility of a pandemic, as investors focused on possible global economic recovery.
AUSTRALIA LIKELY TRIGGER
Widespread transmission of the virus in Victoria, Australia, signaling that it is entrenched in another region besides North America, was likely to be the trigger for moving to phase 6.
Five people have been admitted to intensive care in Australia and more than 1,000 cases confirmed following widespread testing in the state.
"We have tested 5,500 people in the last two weeks, that is more people than we test in our whole influenza season," said Victorian state premier John Brumby.
One health source, who declined to be named, said the experts were also expected to recommend finishing production currently under way of seasonal flu vaccine for the northern hemisphere next winter.
"They might say finish seasonal vaccine and say begin pandemic vaccine as soon as it is feasible," he said.
Drugmakers have obtained the new influenza A (H1N1) seed virus in the past two weeks, enabling them to begin the production process by growing the virus in eggs.
Company officials said on Wednesday that they were on track to have a vaccine against the new strain ready for the northern hemisphere autumn.
Seasonal flu each year kills up to half a million people, mainly elderly, and causes severe illness in millions, so a premature switch in vaccine production to cope with the new strain could put many people at risk.
The new strain can be treated by antiviral drugs oseltamivir, the generic name of Roche Holding's Tamiflu tablets, and Relenza, a spray made by GlaxoSmithKline.
The strain, which emerged in April in Mexico and the United States, has spread widely in nations including Australia, Britain, Chile and Japan.
Authorities in Germany have confirmed 30 cases of H1N1 at a school in the industrial Rhineland city of Duesseldorf, the most concentrated outbreak of the virus so far in Europe's biggest economy.
There have been 27,737 infections reported in 74 countries to date, including 141 deaths, according to the WHO's latest tally of laboratory confirmed cases, but the real number of people with the disease is likely to run into at least hundreds of thousands, as mild cases may not have been detected.
A survey by New York City's health department showed that 6.9 percent of the city's population of over 8 million had experienced "flu-like illness" -- which could include other diseases -- in the first three weeks of May.
"The findings don't tell us exactly how many New Yorkers have had H1N1 influenza," said New York City Health Commissioner Dr Thomas Farley in a statement. "But they suggest it has been widespread, and mild in most affected people."
(For more Reuters swine flu coverage, please go to:
http://www.reuters.com/news/globalcoverage/swineflu )
(For WHO information on swine flu, go to:
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/en/index.html )
(Additional reporting by Anne Richardson and Vincent Fribault in Geneva, Mia Shanley in Stockholm, Dave Graham in Berlin and Michael Perry in Sydney; Editing by Jonathan Lynn and Charles Dick)
 
Re: WHO declares first 21st century flu pandemic

via email -


Swine Flu Fans First Pandemic Since 1968, WHO Says (Update1)
2009-06-11 16:11:45.698 GMT


(Adds Chan comments starting in fourth paragraph.)

By Jason Gale
June 11 (Bloomberg) -- Swine flu, causing mostly mild
disease outbreaks on four continents, prompted the World Health
Organization to declare the first influenza pandemic since 1968.
Margaret Chan, the WHO?s director-general, moved the alert
to the top of the agency?s six-stage pandemic scale today on
evidence the virus is spreading in communities outside the
Americas. The new H1N1 flu strain has taken root in Australia,
Chile, the U.K. and Spain since its discovery in Mexico and the
U.S. in April.
The pandemic declaration confirms the fourth time in the
last century a new influenza strain has swept across the globe.
It?s the third time since April 27 that Geneva-based WHO has
raised the alert level over swine flu, which has turned up in
more than 70 nations as far removed as Iceland, New Zealand and
the Bahamas. The move doesn?t mean there will be more deaths or
severe cases, Chan said.
?We are seeing a moderate pandemic,? Chan told reporters
on a conference call before making the announcement. ?We are
satisfied that this virus is spreading to a number of countries
and it is not stoppable.?
Drugmakers will be finishing their production of seasonal
influenza vaccine for the Northern Hemisphere winter in coming
weeks, Chan said.
?We would advise them, as soon as they finish their
seasonal vaccine production, quickly prepare to make commercial-
scale pandemic vaccine,? she said.

Response Plans

WHO urged countries not to implement pandemic response
plans designed for a more severe threat after government leaders
said last month that moving to phase 6 may spur some countries
to restrict travel, ban public events and adopt other measures
that aren?t needed for mild flu, worsening the deepest economic
slump since the Great Depression.
?Some political leaders worry about some unwarranted
overreaction and some are also concerned that, because of the
mildness of the disease, people will say ?so what?s the big deal
about pandemic??? she said. ?The balance between overreaction
or complacency is another issue that?s of great concern.?
The United Nations health agency doesn?t advise border
closures or restrictions on travel and trade, Chan said.
WHO is watching for any sign the disease is worsening as
the germ circulates during the Southern Hemisphere?s flu season,
creating opportunities for its genes to mutate or combine with
those of other viruses, including the H5N1 bird flu strain
that?s lethal in three of every five reported cases. The new
virus has genes from other strains that have sickened humans,
pigs and birds.

Biggest Concern

?The tendency to move into complacency is our biggest
concern because we need to continue to monitor this virus,
follow its track and not allow it to come back in the second
wave to give us more trouble,? Chan said.
A study in the May 11 edition of the journal Science found
that 4 of every 1,000 people infected with the bug in Mexico by
late April died, and the WHO said the virus ?appears to be more
contagious? than seasonal flu, which kills 250,000 to 500,000
people each year.
?We are dealing with a new disease,? Chan said. ?We are
dealing with a lot of unknowns. It is understandable that
certain communities may have overreaction, may have high levels
of anxiety.?
More than 28,000 cases of swine flu have been confirmed,
including at least 144 deaths, WHO said today. Unlike seasonal
flu, which causes the most death and disease among the ?frail
elderly,? Chan said the new bug is preferentially targeting the
young and causing potentially fatal complications in otherwise
healthy people aged 30 to 50, pregnant women and those with
asthma, diabetes and obesity.
Most of the patient data has been collected in more
developed countries and it?s not yet known what impact the
disease will have on countries with weaker health systems
burdened by HIV, tuberculosis and malaria, WHO said.

Unexpected Outbreak

A pandemic is an unexpected outbreak of a new contagious
disease that spreads from person to person across multiple
borders. In such cases, almost no one has natural immunity.
WHO raised its alert to phase 4 on April 27 and to phase 5
on April 29, and said a move to the highest level was imminent.
Three main human flu strains -- H3N2, another H1N1 variant
and type-B -- circulate and infect as many as 5 million people a
year in seasonal epidemics, according to the WHO. Most seasonal
flu patients experience two to seven days of illness and recover
without medical treatment.
Three pandemics have occurred in the last century: the
Spanish flu in 1918, the Asian flu in 1957, and the Hong Kong
flu in 1968. The 1918 pandemic killed an estimated 40 million to
50 million people worldwide and is considered one of the
deadliest diseases in human history, according to WHO. The
Science study estimates the new H1N1 virus is as severe as the
1957 Asian flu, which caused about 2 million deaths.

Death Toll

The death toll from a pandemic depends on the number of
people infected, the virulence of the bug, the vulnerability of
affected populations, and the effectiveness of preventive
measures, according to WHO. Hundreds of millions of people may
catch swine flu, according to WHO.
The three pandemics of the 20th century encircled the globe
in six to nine months, even when most international travel was
by ship, WHO said. A flu virus could spread more rapidly now
because of air travel, reaching all continents in less than
three months, the agency said.
Authorities advised hand washing, hygiene and staying home
if sick as the most effective ways to control the outbreak.
 
Re: WHO declares first 21st century flu pandemic

It is also the first time that 2 novel viruses are on pandemic alert.

Swine H1N1 at 6

and H5N1 at 3
 
Re: WHO declares first 21st century flu pandemic

It is also the first time that 2 novel viruses are on pandemic alert.

Swine H1N1 at 6

and H5N1 at 3

Not really. Other viruses have been at 3 (such as H7N7 in the Netherlands and H7N3 in Canada) while H5N1 was at 3.

It is the first time we've had a 6 and a 3 though.
 
Back
Top Bottom