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Warning bird flu may decimate workforce

Sally Furniss

Well-known member
Warning bird flu may decimate workforce

May 16, 2006 - 1:54PM

A bird flu pandemic could sideline up to 40 per cent of the Australian workforce and businesses must prepare for an outbreak, an infection specialist has warned.

Alan McLean said the threat of a bird flu outbreak was real and bosses should be prepared for massive staff shortages that could grind essential services to a halt.

Mr McLean, manager of clinical quality and safety with the South Australian Ambulance Service, is speaking at a Safety in Action conference in Melbourne.

He said employers, particularly of smaller companies, underestimated the effect a bird flu pandemic would have on their businesses.

"A pandemic will affect everyone and not just when they're at work, and there's a need for the business community to be prepared," he said.

"If you look at some of the Australian (bird flu) planning, it's saying that businesses could expect to lose up to 40 per cent of their staff in a pandemic.

"There's also the other complicating factor of people staying home from work to look after family members who are sick."

Mr McLean said Australia was closer to a pandemic now than at any time in the past 35 years.

If a bird flu outbreak hit, the nation faced staff shortages for up to three months that could close schools and public transport and interfere with the delivery of food and other essential services," he said.

"You can do without some things for a few weeks ... but how would we go if there was no rubbish collection for eight weeks? We wouldn't consider that an essential service except in the context of a nationwide pandemic."

To protect their business from the effect of a pandemic, employers must develop business continuity plans with provisions for 40 per cent absenteeism, Mr McLean said.

Education was vital and bosses must encourage staff to stay at home if they feel unwell and enforce basic hygiene standards - including washing hands and coughing etiquette - to prevent the virus spreading, he said.

"I think we're going to struggle during a pandemic anyway, but the struggle would be much less if businesses were prepared," Mr McLean said.
http://www.theage.com.au/news/Natio...imate-workforce/2006/05/16/1147545310018.html
 
Re: Warning bird flu may decimate workforce

BIRD FLU 'TO KILLl 40,000'
June 27, 2006, by David Uren (The Australian)

A bird flu epidemic would kill 40,000 people in Australia, even if it were only a fraction of the severity of the outbreak that ravaged the world in 1919.

Modelling on the effect of an epidemic of bird flu, conducted by the federal Government's economic adviser ABARE, shows the Australian economy would shrink by 6.8 per cent.

Healthy adults aged 19 to 45 were among the hardest hit by the 1919 flu epidemic, which struck randomly, without regard to geography, climate or economic development.

But the Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics says good health infrastructure and services could reduce the death rates.

Australia and other developed countries could lose 0.2 per cent of their total population, while 1.4 per cent of the population of developing countries would die.

ABARE estimates bird flu would kill 280 million people around the world. If the outbreak were as severe as the 1919 epidemic, between 180 million and 360 million would die.

Australia's proximity to Asia means its economy would suffer more severely than that of the US or Europe. ABARE estimates the Chinese economy would contract by 8.7 per cent, while the ASEAN economies would shrink by 7.1 per cent.

Even if Australia were successful in keeping bird flu out of the country, it would suffer a 3per cent fall in its economy as other nations were hit.

Source: http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,19601203-23289,00.html
 
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