US Fatality Tracking Chart

[wotan]

This chart is tracking the number of deaths in the US, the number of (announced) deaths in people with underlying conditions, and the percentage of deaths in people who are otherwise healthy. The data is tracked both daily and YTD. The scale on the left is both raw number and percentage, the legend differentiates between them.

Approximately 43% of deaths in the US were in people with no announced underlying condition.

I don't know why the daily % deaths in healthy individuals dips below 0%.

The spreadsheet that was used to generate the chart:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=roZ1oOE1QjVE-1BJnkRV5Jw

 

[JimO]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

That's a sobering chart.

 

[The Mountains Voice]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Approximately 43% of deaths in the US were in people with no announced underlying condition.

Considering the fact that the definition of "underlying condition" has been rewritten to cover a very broad scope - this is sobering indeed. I'm not seeing any plateau as some talk about. That's a Really good piece of work Wotan. What are you using for data? All Official numbers?

 

[wotan]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Considering the fact that the definition of "underlying condition" has been rewritten to cover a very broad scope - this is sobering indeed. I'm not seeing any plateau as some talk about. That's a Really good piece of work Wotan. What are you using for data? All Official numbers?

I populated it from another Google Spreadsheet that was posted in appleblosom's thread tracking deaths, and I am using that thread to update it. I considered someone to be healthy if there was no mention of an underlying condition, or if the underlying condition was disputed. Basically, I used a very broad definition of underlying condition on the assumption that if they can find anything to report they will. Also, many times there is no death date given. I generally back dated those 2-4 days. Other people may use the same data and come up with slightly different numbers but the trend should be the same.

 

[prepdeb]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Great chart wotan! :applause:

 

[Shannon Bennett]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Wotan, I think there is a problem with your adding the yellow line data. The daily deaths without underlying conditions line appears to wildly skewed. If 43% of the deaths were from no underlying conditions then 57% of the deaths did include underlying conditions. That line then should actually be higher over all than the without underlying conditions.

 

[wotan]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Wotan, I think there is a problem with your adding the yellow line data. The daily deaths without underlying conditions line appears to wildly skewed. If 43% of the deaths were from no underlying conditions then 57% of the deaths did include underlying conditions. That line then should actually be higher over all than the without underlying conditions.

Google docs isn't very sophisticated yet. I couldn't find another way (yet) to get all of the most important data points and the labels. I'm not tracking the % with underlying conditions, just the raw number, so comparing with % without underlying conditions to the number with underlying conditions will not add up to 100.

 

[wotan]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Chart updated:

I now show ~48% of US deaths had no underlying conditions.

 

[WTB]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Hi
Good graph!
Did you try to graph it by CDC week?
I think it will demostrated that thing are just strating...


WTB

 

[wotan]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Hi
Good graph!
Did you try to graph it by CDC week?
I think it will demostrated that thing are just strating...


WTB

You mean deaths in week 21, week 22, etc? No, I didn't try that. I am simply tracking (as closely as possible) the date of death when that is known, or making an estimate if we only have a report date. Hence my disclaimer that others may come up with slightly different numbers but the trend should be the same.

 

[Skatman]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Has anyone else noticed that the number of deaths in the U.S. have been doubling every week? Anyone know does this compares to death rate increases suring flu season?

 

[The Mountains Voice]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

I now show ~48% of US deaths had no underlying conditions.

The CDC Press Conference just issued a statement estimating the number to be 25% with no underlying conditions.

 

[wotan]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

My chart hit 30% on the 10th, but, so deaths are not reported for a couple of weeks and I didn't do any revision tracking, so I don't know what it looked like before the large number of reports that have come out over the last 10 or so days that may have changed graph. Because of poor quality (or non-existant) reporting my chart and underlying spreadsheet are both updated as time goes on and revised, since next week we will learn someone died on 6/4 somewhere in the country.
How many confirmed deaths do they have now? I'm showing 146.

 

[JimO]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

How many confirmed deaths do they have now? I'm showing 146.

I also have 146. Today's CDC update shows 127. Just like last week, they are behind by about half the new cases.

 

[wotan]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

I also have 146. Today's CDC update shows 127. Just like last week, they are behind by about half the new cases.

Granted they could have access to information we don't have, but I'm using what information has actually been released to us, and they aren't providing data to back up their statements, so, feel free to draw your own conclusions.

 

[wotan]

Re: US Fatality Tracking Chart

Bump.

With the latest updates my tracking chart indicates that half of US deaths from swine flu have been in peope with no (announced) underlying conditions.