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Updated: Modeling of Ebola Progression/International Spread (Vespignani)

Ray

Well-known member
"We have developed in the past week a modeling approach aimed at assessing the progression of the epidemic in West Africa and its international spread under the assumption that the EVD outbreak continues to evolve at the current pace.

Our results have been published in PLOS Currents Outbreaks. However, our modeling work has been motivated by the need for a rapid assessment of the EVD outbreak trends and the obtained results may change as more information becomes available from the EVD affected region and more refined sensitivity analysis can be implemented computationally. For this reason, the paper on PLOS Current Outbreaks shall be considered as a live paper that is constantly updated with new data, projections and analysis."

http://www.mobs-lab.org/ebola.html#PhotoSwipe1411560216669
 
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