UK: 607 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

[tetano]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Mother of swine flu victim Lana now reveals she may have lost her unborn baby to the virus

The grieving mother of three-year-old swine flu victim Lana Ameen revealed today she has lost her unborn baby, possibly to the same virus.

Gemma Ameen, 28, was ten weeks pregnant when her daughter Lana died within 48 hours of developing symptoms of swine flu in December.

Following Lana's death, former health care assistant Gemma and her doctor husband Zana, 34, released a harrowing picture of their daughter's final moments as they launched a campaign to petition the government to change policies on vaccination against the H1N1 virus.
Now the family have been dealt another blow after 16-weeks pregnant Mrs Ameen, who says she was refused the vaccination herself until after Lana's cause of death was confirmed, was told her baby had died in the womb at 13 weeks.

Mrs Ameen and her husband believe that the baby's death - which came just weeks after Lana's - may have been caused or contributed to by the swine flu virus.
Doctors are now carrying out tests to establish the cause of death.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...als-lost-unborn-baby-virus.html#ixzz1Fp3WV0je

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Nine Sussex people die after contracting swine flu

Nine people have died while suffering from swine flu.

The victims, including a child, all died in Sussex hospitals during the most recent outbreak of the illness.

Four of the people died at the Royal Sussex Hospital in Brighton, one at the Princess Royal in Haywards Heath, three at the Conquest Hospital in St Leonards and one at Eastbourne District General Hospital.

Nobody died at hospitals under Western Sussex Hospitals NHS Trust?s care, although a 16-week-old baby suffered from the illness at St Richard?s Hospital in Chichester.

The figures were disclosed after The Argus submitted a request under the Freedom of Information Act.

http://www.theargus.co.uk/news/8894089.Nine_Sussex_people_die_after_contracting_swine_flu/

 

[gsgs]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

http://www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/Product.asp?vlnk=15096

weekly provisional figures on deaths registered in England and Wales

total deaths 2011, weeks 47,..,52,1,...,8:
9473,9220,11193,10880,11484,9689,12644,13133,11438,10555,10235,10019,9757,9433

average last 5 years: EWM=27110
9856,9898,10175,10454,10925,8825,12166,12540,11711,11032,10675,10442,10587,10558

-383,-678,+1018,+426,+559,+864,+478,+593,-273,-477,-440,-423,-830,-1125

weeks 49-08 12weeks out of 17.3 : +370

so, in total an average year, but with early mortality. This could be due to H1N1
which peaked in week 52 in England and was almost over in week 4
but usually you would expect a delay of >2weeks for the death-numbers








excess winter mortality:
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=10805

http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Expodata/Spreadsheets/D7090.csv

"Excess winter mortality1, England and Wales2, 1950/1951 to 2009/20103",
,
Winter,EWM
1950/1951,"106,400"
1951/1952,"44,950"
1952/1953,"82,670"
1953/1954,"47,180"
1954/1955,"64,670"
1955/1956,"67,560"
1956/1957,"29,080"
1957/1958,"57,780"
1958/1959,"77,920"
1959/1960,"41,060"
1960/1961,"68,880"
1961/1962,"68,820"
1962/1963,"89,600"
1963/1964,"49,510"
1964/1965,"41,730"
1965/1966,"57,120"
1966/1967,"25,990"
1967/1968,"70,260"
1968/1969,"50,630"
1969/1970,"67,790"
1970/1971,"34,110"
1971/1972,"46,270"
1972/1973,"46,630"
1973/1974,"34,710"
1974/1975,"31,920"
1975/1976,"58,100"
1976/1977,"34,590"
1977/1978,"41,240"
1978/1979,"48,490"
1979/1980,"30,120"
1980/1981,"32,900"
1981/1982,"42,380"
1982/1983,"42,820"
1983/1984,"30,240"
1984/1985,"47,380"
1985/1986,"49,330"
1986/1987,"26,370"
1987/1988,"32,970"
1988/1989,"21,160"
1989/1990,"47,200"
1990/1991,"37,940"
1991/1992,"34,850"
1992/1993,"25,650"
1993/1994,"25,900"
1994/1995,"27,290"
1995/1996,"40,190"
1996/1997,"47,690"
1997/1998,"22,900"
1998/1999,"46,840"
1999/2000,"48,440"
2000/2001,"24,840"
2001/2002,"27,230"
2002/2003,"23,970"
2003/2004,"23,450"
2004/2005,"31,640"
2005/2006,"25,270"
2006/2007,"23,740"
2007/2008,"24,690"
2008/2009,"36,450"
2009/2010,"25,400"
,
"1 Excess winter mortality (EWM) is defined by the Office for National Statistics as the difference between the number of deaths during the four winter months (December to March) and the average number of deaths during the preceding autumn (August to November) and the following summer (April to July). Figures for the latest winter are provisional and are rounded to the nearest 100, figures for all other winters are final and are rounded to the nearest 10.",,,,,,,,
2 Deaths in England and Wales include deaths of non-residents.,,,,,,,,
3 EWM figures are based on deaths occurring in each period.,,,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,



http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Expodata/Spreadsheets/D7089.csv

7 bad seasons were followed by a season with 0.91 times the average EWM of the last 5 years
7 mild seasons were followed by a season with 0.93 times the average EWM of the last 5 years

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

since week 49 to 2 we have 4000 more deaths probably related to H1N1.
In the latest weeks low mortality is probably due to the end of the epidemics and to elderly spared by the new virus.

 

[gsgs]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

it's the elderly who die.
Also the winterly excess-deaths or this season : excess deaths
in weeks 49-02 - still the elderly who dominate that statistics
and thus "mark" the flu-wave by their deaths.

If this isn't caused by H1N1 directly then by some common factor
(whether ? air-pollution ? nutrition ?)
wich however was different (earlier) this season

 

[gsgs]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

http://magictour.free.fr/engwea9.JPG


a day with low temperature and humidity may start the wave
once the wave is running, it's hard to stop it by weather.

Another day with low temperature and humidity may
delay/extend the late wave by 1-2 weeks

 

[Vibrant62]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

The mortality stats by age group will be most revealing

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Rock musician with a mohican was left to die from swine flu after 'medics assumed he was a junkie'


The distraught mother of a rock musician who died from swine flu, today said medics repeatedly ignored his pleas for help due to his punk hairstyle.

Peter Williamson, 27, who sported a mohican, was refused the high priority Tamiflu vaccine and denied treatment four times over the course of a week.

One nurse sent him home saying: 'Do you realise we do have sick people in this hospital?'

An ambulanceman called to his home asked his mother if Peter had taken drugs - then said he didn't need to go to hospital.

Peter's condition deteriorated and he was left so weak that he had to use a mobility scooter to go food shopping with his mother.

He was found dead by his mother at his flat in Walkden, Greater Manchester - only a week after his request plea for help.

Tests confirmed he had bronchopneumonia and the swine flu Influenza A virus H1N1.

An inquest coroner recorded a verdict of death by natural causes although a pathologist said the death could have been avoided if Peter had early treatment.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/a...-son-medics-assumed-junkie.html#ixzz1GgixfmTR

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Missing my swine flu jab nearly killed me... and my unborn baby

Martyn Escott can hardly take his eyes off his wife as she cradles their tiny son in her arms and whispers tenderly: ?He?s a miracle.?

It is hard to believe that less than four months ago, this mild-mannered and devoted family man watched helplessly in a hospital as Gemma and Jacob both appeared on the brink of death.

The mother became the centre of national attention when she was diagnosed with H1N1 ? commonly known as swine flu ? on Boxing Day last year. Then six months pregnant, it seemed, for days, that a double tragedy was inevitable.

...

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/a...nearly-killed--unborn-baby.html#ixzz1Jl4kMQY7

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 523 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Hospital swine flu death toll twice as high as feared

Twenty-seven people died in Greater Manchester?s hospitals after contracting swine flu this winter, we can reveal today.

New figures show the number of fatalities in the region was more than double the death toll previously released.

In January, bosses at NHS North West banned Greater Manchester health trusts from providing information on deaths from flu ? including the H1N1 virus. They said the data may have been incomplete and therefore difficult to interpret ? so they only wanted national figures released.

MPs and patient groups criticised health bosses for a lack of transparency.

Previously, we reported the number of deaths of people diagnosed with swine flu in Greater Manchester was at least 12.

But the new figures, obtained by the M.E.N. using Freedom Of Information laws, reveal the total number to have died in the region?s hospitals between November 2010 and February 2011 was actually 27.

The highest number of deaths was at North Manchester General, where seven adults died after contracting the H1N1 strain.

..

http://menmedia.co.uk/manchestereve...-swine-flu-death-toll-twice-as-high-as-feared

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Tragic swine flu coma mum dies



Leanne Gunnell, 22, was misdiagnosed twice after falling ill last November.

When doctors eventually discovered she had swine flu she had already suffered serious lung damage and they were forced to take the radical step of putting her in a coma to offer her and her unborn baby the best chance of survival.

After the birth of baby Faith, Leanne improved and hopes she would recover rose.

But tests later revealed she had suffered brain damage and she died on Friday after suffering a massive brain haemorrhage.

Leanne's devastated father, Simon, yesterday paid tribute to his "precious little girl" who he said was an "angel".

...

Read more: http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepag...mum-dies.html?OTC-RSS&ATTR=News#ixzz1M1cTdCYL

 

[gsgs]

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Weekly provisional figures on deaths registered in England and Wales

Week number 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Week ended 11-Mar-11 18-Mar-11 25-Mar-11 01-Apr-11 08-Apr-11 15-Apr-11 22-Apr-11 29-Apr-11


Total deaths, all ages 9.648 9.842 9.707 9.312 9.557 9.327 8.335 8.064
Total deaths: average of corresponding 10.232 10.084 9.662 9.714 9.822 9.640 10.122 9.919
week over the previous five years1

Deaths by underlying cause2,3
All respiratory diseases (ICD-10 J00-J99) 1.412 1.412 1.467 1.333 1.370 1.308 1.199 ..
ICD-10 v 2010
Persons
Deaths by age group
Under 1 year 66 63 75 55 70 76 59 46
01-14 21 29 24 35 25 27 19 20
15-44 299 304 312 264 289 312 239 257
45-64 1.213 1.260 1.179 1.226 1.245 1.205 1.057 997
65-74 1.624 1.519 1.545 1.529 1.579 1.562 1.328 1.306
75-84 2.858 2.995 2.935 2.774 2.828 2.743 2.500 2.427
85+ 3.567 3.671 3.626 3.428 3.518 3.401 3.130 3.009
Males
Deaths by age group
Under 1 year 44 40 45 31 35 42 30 24
01-14 10 11 13 18 16 13 10 11
15-44 196 198 218 167 197 207 154 165
45-64 736 734 707 752 715 731 634 590
65-74 977 925 892 855 931 936 808 749
75-84 1.477 1.524 1.477 1.415 1.484 1.426 1.305 1.233
85+ 1.228 1.352 1.323 1.197 1.271 1.207 1.117 1.091
Females
Deaths by age group
Under 1 year 22 23 30 24 35 34 29 22
01-14 11 18 11 17 9 14 9 9
15-44 103 106 94 97 92 105 85 92
45-64 477 526 472 474 530 474 423 407
65-74 647 594 653 674 648 626 520 557
75-84 1.381 1.471 1.458 1.359 1.344 1.317 1.195 1.194
85+ 2.339 2.319 2.303 2.231 2.247 2.194 2.013 1.918

Deaths by area of usual residence Government Office Region4
North East 526 533 496 496 478 493 411 429
North West 1.295 1.279 1.291 1.322 1.310 1.305 1.171 1104
Yorkshire and The Humber 970 969 1.023 937 946 950 841 841
East Midlands 815 809 790 762 801 772 714 726
West Midlands 964 1.060 943 972 958 915 839 764
East 971 1.075 1.034 967 1.073 963 863 828
London 946 953 893 863 931 923 801 784
South East 1.461 1.523 1.519 1.425 1.481 1.402 1.268 1.161
South West 1.051 1.018 1.062 974 991 1.010 859 845
Wales 630 593 633 574 566 573 535 565

Footnotes

1 This average is based on the actual number of death registrations recorded for each corresponding week over the previous five years. Moveable public holidays, when register offices are closed, affect the number of registrations made in the published weeks and in the corresponding weeks in previous years.

2 Counts of deaths by underlying cause exclude deaths at age under 28 days.

3 Coding of deaths by underlying cause for the latest week is not yet complete.

4 Does not include deaths of those resident outside England and Wales or those records where the place of residence is either missing or not yet fully coded.

Source: Office for National Statistics

09433,09453,09648,09842,09707,09312,09557,09327,08335,08064   this season
10558,10483,10232,10084,09662,09714,09822,09640,10122,09916   average
01370,01379,01412,01412,01467,01333,01370,01308,01199,-----    respiratory

http://webcache.googleusercontent.c...v.uk/StatBase/Expodata/Spreadsheets/D6157.xls

where to get the whole series for this season
they should alo already have an estimate of this year's winter excess mortality
and how it compared to previous seasons and resp.total deaths


-----------------------------------------------------
copied from post #503
total deaths 2011, weeks 47,..,52,1,...,8:
9473,9220,11193,10880,11484,9689,12644,13133,11438 ,10555,10235,10019,9757,9433

average last 5 years: EWM=27110
9856,9898,10175,10454,10925,8825,12166,12540,11711 ,11032,10675,10442,10587,10558

-383,-678,+1018,+426,+559,+864,+478,+593,-273,-477,-440,-423,-830,-1125

weeks 49-08 12weeks out of 17.3 : +370
---------------------------------------

Excess winter mortality is calculated as winter deaths (deaths occurring in December to March)
minus the average of non-winter deaths (April to July of the current year and August to November
of the previous year).

so they should have a very good estimate of this season by now - just redouble June-July from last year
from the weeks that we have in this thread I estimate it is less than last year which was already low

----------------------------------

could it be that these weekly data at
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/ssdataset.asp?vlnk=6157&More=Y
are being deleted after 8 weeks and noone including FT stores them ?
and only available in .xls , no charts

 

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Swine flu victim was a ?great dad?, says family
Michael Armer who contracted swine flu

Published on Wednesday 18 May 2011 04:31


A devastated dad has described the moment he discovered his swine flu victim son?s body.


Michael Armer, 31, of Broadfield Drive, Leyland, was found dead on the sofa by dad Bernard at the family home in Leyland.

Speaking following an inquest into his death at Preston Coroners Court, on January 1 this year, his dad said: ?Michael said he couldn?t go out on New Year?s Eve because he was feeling so bad.

...
http://www.lep.co.uk/news/health/swine_flu_victim_was_a_great_dad_says_family_1_3389802

Overweight coach driver died from complications after becoming ill after swine flu
AN overweight coach driver died after becoming ill with swine flu, an inquest heard.

John Russel had returned from taking the Gloucestershire Police Male Voice Choir on a trip to the Isle of Wight when he became ill.

Despite the efforts of hospital staff in Gloucester, Cheltenham and a special treatment unit in Leicester, 50-year-old John Russel later succumbed to complications caused by pancreatitis.

Gloucestershire Deputy Coroner David Dooley heard that Mr Russel, of Cotswold View, Charfield, Wotton under Edge, had been a smoker for many years, and was overweight.

...
http://www.thisisgloucestershire.co...swine-flu/article-3565832-detail/article.html

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Family of swine flu dad call for better awareness

THE family of a dad who died of swine flu said people in Gloucester need to guard against the disease.

Steve Jackson, 57, of Westgate Street, died in January after a short battle with the illness.

Now, his children Shelley and Jack Jackson want to raise awareness of the flu bug.

Shelley, 25, from Quedgeley said: "My dad fell ill on Boxing Day. We saw him on Christmas Day but he had said he wasn't well.

"But then on Boxing Day his friend Paul, who lived in the same house, called and said he had collapsed and had been taken to hospital at about 9pm. We went to see him and he was a bit better and seemed normal.

"In the week he got a bit worse and the doctors said he had pneumonia."....


http://www.thisisgloucestershire.co...awareness/article-3584744-detail/article.html

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Solihull patient died of swine flu after being taken to walk-in centre instead of A&E

A patient died from swine flu after being taken into a walk-in centre instead of A&E in a cost-cutting move by NHS chiefs, it has emerged.

Solihull NHS Primary Care Trust (PCT) urged paramedics to take more patients to walk-in centres instead of A&E in a bid to save the NHS ?75,000.

But within three months of it starting, a young adult with flu-like symptoms was taken to the walk-in centre and ended up dying from swine flu, an end of year project report to the PCT revealed.

Clare Rippin, PCT project manager, reported: ?Activity figures started to decrease from January due to two West Midlands Ambulance Service diverts to walk-in centres in Birmingham ending up with adverse events through no fault of the ambulance crews.

?One case was a young adult presenting with flu like symptoms, which ended up being a case of swine flu which was fatal.

...

Read More http://www.birminghampost.net/news/...-instead-of-a-e-65233-28757518/#ixzz1NMAbeWP6

 

[gsgs]

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

excess winter mortality seens to be lower than the year before
which was lower than average

deaths per quartal 2007-3rd 2010 are available, they should have pretty
good estmates for the next 2 quartals as well, but that was too tedious
for me to figure out
http://magictour.free.fr/panflu/ukq1.GIF


in the UK we have a mysterious decline in flu since ~2000
see here for deaths and the 2nd graph here for ILI,respiratory disease
(some respir.disease in 2008/9 other than ILI ?)

figure out the reason and export that decline !

 

[mixin]

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Remember how they also had the decline in Sparrows that year? I didn't ever read if they had decided the exact reason why.

Has the sparrow population rebounded?

 

[cartski]

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Re: UK: 602 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

excess winter mortality seens to be lower than the year before
which was lower than average

in the UK we have a mysterious decline in flu since ~2000
see here for deaths and the 2nd graph here for ILI,respiratory disease
(some respir.disease in 2008/9 other than ILI ?)

figure out the reason and export that decline !

But there's a spike in weeks 17 and 18 - page 48 graph of excess mortality.

Look for a coding difference between 2000 and 2010 to examine the mystery. A difference in what is shown in the death certificate, which may be the raw source for the data, could explain the apparent decline.

J.

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 607 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Plymouth dad, 40, died of swine flu while waiting for an ambulance


A 40-YEAR-old dad died from swine flu while waiting for an ambulance, an inquest heard.

Father of four Darren Puzey of Whitleigh, collapsed and died at his girlfriend's home after several days of illness. His death came within 40 minutes of a GP visiting the flat in West Park.

The doctor said she would call for an ambulance when she returned to the surgery ? but he collapsed before help arrived, the inquest heard.

..

Coroner Ian Arrow found Mr Puzey died of natural causes ? pneumonia triggered by swine flu.

...

He came to stay with her from December 30, and his health gradually deteriorated.

On January 2, an emergency doctor recommended he take ibuprofen and Paracetamol.

On the night of January 4 he looked like he was coughing up blood, and had diarrhoea and vomiting.

Ms O'Prey said that the following morning he was having difficulty breathing and looked grey. She telephoned the local GP surgery.

A locum GP arrived at 12.25pm. She examined Mr Puzey and said he should go to hospital. The doctor tried to call for an ambulance via Derriford Hospital but could not get through. The GP said she would call from the surgery, and an ambulance would arrive within one or two hours, the inquest heard. Ms O'Prey did not have her own transport.

Mr Puzey collapsed while Ms O'Prey was preparing clothes for him to wear to hospital. She dialled 999. Paramedics arrived within minutes and tried in vain to revive him.

...
She called ambulance control from the surgery about 40 minutes later and they informed her they had already received an emergency call from the address.

Mr Arrow said Mr Puzey may have been more vulnerable to infection due to issues with his liver, which a pathologist linked to alcohol intake.

The coroner said the patient had been up and mobile on the day of his death.

"He sadly collapsed and died within 40 minutes of seeing the doctor. That's a very rapid change," he said. It seems to me that if someone is ill it needs to be addressed quite quickly."

http://www.thisisplymouth.co.uk/new...ambulance/article-3602754-detail/article.html

 

[tetano]

Re: UK: 607 confirmed fatalities due to influenza

Tragedy of first Scot to die from swine flu without pre-existing illness

A FORMER RAF medic died from swine flu despite not having other health problems, a fatal accident inquiry heard yesterday.

Bill Anderson was the first Scot to die from the condition without suffering from a pre-existing illness.

The 53-year-old, from Kirkcaldy, Fife, fell sick on September 4, 2009, shortly after returning from Tenerife with his wife Linda, 56.

He was given antibiotics and sent home by a doctor but he died four days later.

The Dunfermline Sheriff Court inquiry heard that swine flu had caused "adult respiratory distress syndrome" in Bill.

The pathologist who carried out the post mortem said there were "no other contributory factors".

Ibrahim Nawroz said that "large numbers" of people had been hit by swine flu but most people had not died and there remained very little known about the disease.

The inquiry is also examining the death of Joanne Winsborough, 33, an otherwise healthy mum from Kelty, Fife, who died in April 2009, a week after falling ill.

The inquiry continues.

http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/h...-without-pre-existing-illness-86908-23162472/