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U.S. Pediatric Deaths 3/6/11 - total 504 - season - 77

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - Tally: 187

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - Tally: 187

This thread is very important. Thanks to everyone.
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 195

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 195

The number of deaths in California over the past week was 43. Age information was not available for most of those deaths and media reports of 3 children were identified; therefore, as stated before, the California number may be low. They are currently only providing details monthly and I haven't seen a state surveillance report listing the number of pediatric deaths in well over a month.

We have identified the deaths of 33 children in the past week and 8 in the past 24 hours. :(

Alabama 2
Alaska 2
Arizona 9
Arkansas 3
California 30
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 11
Georgia 6
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 5
Indiana 2
Iowa 0
Kansas 2
Kentucky 1
Louisiana 4
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 0
Minnesota 6
Mississippi 3
Missouri 3
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 0
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 3
New Mexico 5
New York 10
North Carolina 3
North Dakota 0
Ohio 2
Oklahoma 5
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 0
Rhode Island 1
South Carolina 3
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 25
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 3
Washington 2
Washington, D.C. 0
West Virginia 1
Wisconsin 6
Wyoming 0
American Samoa 0
Puerto Rico* 0
Virgin Islands 0
Guam 1

Total 195

*No age data in Puerto Rico.
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 195

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 195

:tiphat:THANKS, Big JIMO. You have a hard job and have been doing those kids justice, in that they willnot be forgotten:tiphat::tiphat:
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 203

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 203

I have scoured all the sources I have to sort out the number in California. Our current total fatalities in California is 288. I've confirmed that 157 are adults and 23 are under 18. I cannot find age information on the remaining 108 fatalities, most notably in Alameda, Fresno, Orange, and San Mateo Counties. If the remaining 108 fatalities include approximately the same percentage of deaths, then the state total will be somewhere between 35 and 40.

The problem is that the total number of pediatric deaths reported in the CDC's MMWRs since April doesn't even come close to our count. They report 1 pediatric death in California in May, 3 in June, and 2 in August, for a total of 6 pediatric deaths through last week's report. Even with delays in reporting, I don't see how they could possibly be that far behind. It is no wonder that their number is half our count. I just don't understand it.

The total reported below is based on the state's report of 20 pediatric deaths near the beginning of September, plus 3 pediatric deaths reported in LA County since that report and 8 reported in the media.

Alabama 2
Alaska 2
Arizona 9
Arkansas 4
California 31
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 11
Georgia 6
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 5
Indiana 2
Iowa 0
Kansas 3
Kentucky 1
Louisiana 5
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 0
Minnesota 6
Mississippi 3
Missouri 3
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 0
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 4
New Mexico 5
New York 11
North Carolina 3
North Dakota 0
Ohio 3
Oklahoma 5
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 0
Rhode Island 1
South Carolina 3
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 25
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 3
Washington 2
Washington, D.C. 0
West Virginia 2
Wisconsin 6
Wyoming 0
American Samoa 0
Puerto Rico* 0
Virgin Islands 0
Guam 1

Total 203

*No age data from Puerto Rico
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 203

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 203

I share your confusion and frustration JimO. However, official surveillance numbers are always an underestimate.

Here are a couple of plausible reasons why they may be under reported:
1- Remember that for CDC to receive the report, it must be reported first by the care-provider, be transmitted to the state (or local-then-state) health department, then be successfully reported to CDC. A lack of reporting at any stage, or missing data to support the case definition would prevent CDC from counting the case.
2- I can imagine that many care-providers are overloaded with patient care duties. Reporting cases may not be a priority right now.
This underscores how important your tally is. Thank you. :tiphat:


Here is the case definition for influenza-associated pediatric mortality.

Influenza-Associated Pediatric Mortality

2004 Case Definition
An influenza-associated death is defined for surveillance purposes as a death resulting from a clinically compatible illness that was confirmed to be influenza by an appropriate laboratory or rapid diagnostic test. There should be no period of complete recovery between the illness and death. Influenza-associated deaths in all persons aged <18 years should be reported.

A death should not be reported if:
1. There is no laboratory confirmation of influenza virus infection.
2. The influenza illness is followed by full recovery to baseline health status prior to death.
3. The death occurs in a person 18 years or older.
4. After review and consultation there is an alternative agreed upon cause of death.

Laboratory criteria for diagnosis
Laboratory testing for influenza virus infection may be done on pre- or post-mortem clinical specimens, and include identification of influenza A or B virus infections by a positive result by at least one of the following:
? Influenza virus isolation in tissue cell culture from respiratory specimens;
? Reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing of respiratory specimens;
? Immunofluorescent antibody staining (direct or indirect) of respiratory specimens;
? Rapid influenza diagnostic testing of respiratory specimens;
? Immunohistochemical (IHC) staining for influenza viral antigens in respiratory tract tissue from autopsy specimens;
? Four-fold rise in influenza hemagglutination inhibition (HI) antibody titer in paired acute and convalescent sera*.

Case classification
Confirmed - A death meeting the clinical case definition that is laboratory confirmed.
Laboratory or rapid diagnostic test confirmation is required as part of the case definition; therefore, all reported deaths will be classified as confirmed.

Comment

*Serologic testing for influenza is available in a limited number of laboratories, and should only be considered as evidence of recent infection if a four-fold rise in influenza (HI) antibody titer is demonstrated in paired sera. Single serum samples are not interpretable.

http://www.cdc.gov/ncphi/disss/nndss/casedef/Influenza-Associated_current.htm
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 203

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 203

I did manage to find the California surveillance report where the 20 deaths were reported. Two subsequent reports indicated four more, so that the state was reporting 24 pediatric H1N1 deaths by October 7th, and 20 by September 23rd. I understand that there is a lag time, but there still seems to be some problem with the data making it from California to the CDC. I haven't seen this much of a lag with any other states. But, it is what it is and we need to do the best we can with the information available.
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 210

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 210

This represents approximately 100 deaths in the past four weeks.

Alabama 2
Alaska 2
Arizona 10
Arkansas 4
California 31
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 11
Georgia 6
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 5
Indiana 2
Iowa 0
Kansas 3
Kentucky 1
Louisiana 6
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 0
Minnesota 7
Mississippi 3
Missouri 3
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 0
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 4
New Mexico 5
New York 11
North Carolina 3
North Dakota 0
Ohio 3
Oklahoma 7
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 0
Rhode Island 2
South Carolina 3
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 26
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 3
Washington 2
Washington, D.C. 0
West Virginia 2
Wisconsin 6
Wyoming 0
American Samoa 0
Puerto Rico* 0
Virgin Islands 0
Guam 1

Total 210
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 217

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 217

Alabama 2
Alaska 2
Arizona 12
Arkansas 4
California 31
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 13
Georgia 6
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 6
Indiana 2
Iowa 0
Kansas 3
Kentucky 1
Louisiana 6
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 0
Minnesota 7
Mississippi 3
Missouri 3
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 0
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 4
New Mexico 5
New York 11
North Carolina 3
North Dakota 0
Ohio 3
Oklahoma 7
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 0
Rhode Island 2
South Carolina 3
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 27
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 3
Washington 2
Washington, D.C. 0
West Virginia 2
Wisconsin 7
Wyoming 0
American Samoa 0
Puerto Rico* 0
Virgin Islands 0
Guam 1

Total 217
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 217

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 217

Here is an updated chart comparing pediatric for the past several flu seasons. The seasonal flu information (in green) was derived from the CDC FluView chart of reported pediatric deaths. The H1N1 deaths (in red) were taken from this thread, the dead children thread, and the US child death thread on the Pandemic Flu Information Forum. Note that the last green row and the first red row cover the same time period (the 2008-2009 flu season), just separating the seasonal flu deaths and the H1N1 flu deaths.

USA Pediatric Deaths by Month 20091101.webp
attachment.php
 

Attachments

Last edited by a moderator:
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 217

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 217

A picture paints a thousand words...
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 217

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 217

Thanks Chuck for the graph...it really puts it in perspective.
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 223

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 223

Alabama 2
Alaska 2
Arizona 12
Arkansas 5
California 32
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 13
Georgia 6
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 6
Indiana 2
Iowa 0
Kansas 3
Kentucky 1
Louisiana 6
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 0
Minnesota 7
Mississippi 3
Missouri 3
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 0
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 4
New Mexico 6
New York 12
North Carolina 3
North Dakota 0
Ohio 3
Oklahoma 7
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 0
Rhode Island 3
South Carolina 3
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 28
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 3
Washington 2
Washington, D.C. 0
West Virginia 2
Wisconsin 7
Wyoming 0
American Samoa 0
Puerto Rico* 0
Virgin Islands 0
Guam 1

Total 223
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 240

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 240

17 deaths have been reported in the past three days and 37 in the past week. :(

Alabama 2
Alaska 2
Arizona 13
Arkansas 5
California 33
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 13
Georgia 6
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 7
Indiana 2
Iowa 1
Kansas 3
Kentucky 1
Louisiana 6
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 0
Minnesota 7
Mississippi 3
Missouri 3
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 0
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 4
New Mexico 8
New York 16
North Carolina 3
North Dakota 0
Ohio 3
Oklahoma 7
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 1
Rhode Island 3
South Carolina 4
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 32
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 4
Washington 2
Washington, D.C. 0
West Virginia 2
Wisconsin 7
Wyoming 0
American Samoa 0
Puerto Rico* 0
Virgin Islands 0
Guam 1

Total 240
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 259

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 259

With data from most states through Week 43 (10/31/09) and some media reports from last week, the totals are as follows:

Alabama 2
Alaska 2
Arizona 13
Arkansas 5
California 34
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 13
Georgia 8
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 8
Indiana 2
Iowa 1
Kansas 3
Kentucky 1
Louisiana 6
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 2
Minnesota 7
Mississippi 3
Missouri 3
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 1
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 4
New Mexico 8
New York 16
North Carolina 3
North Dakota 0
Ohio 3
Oklahoma 8
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 1
Rhode Island 3
South Carolina 4
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 41
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 4
Washington 4
Washington, D.C. 0
West Virginia 2
Wisconsin 7
Wyoming 0
American Samoa 0
Puerto Rico* 0
Virgin Islands 0
Guam 1

Total 259

* No age data from Puerto Rico
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 272

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 272

I have not yet reconciled the data below with the information on pediatric deaths reported by CDC today, although I suspect that we have accounted for most of the 35 deaths reported in today's MMWR.

Alabama 4
Alaska 2
Arizona 15
Arkansas 5
California 34
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 14
Georgia 8
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 8
Indiana 2
Iowa 1
Kansas 3
Kentucky 2
Louisiana 6
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 2
Minnesota 7
Mississippi 3
Missouri 3
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 2
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 4
New Mexico 8
New York 17
North Carolina 3
North Dakota 0
Ohio 3
Oklahoma 10
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 1
Rhode Island 3
South Carolina 6
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 42
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 4
Washington 4
Washington, D.C. 0
West Virginia 2
Wisconsin 7
Wyoming 0
Guam 1

Total 272
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 300

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 300

Here are the latest numbers. There has been a slow down in Texas, but California numbers are climbing.

Alabama 4
Alaska 2
Arizona 15
Arkansas 5
California 46
Colorado 8
Connecticut 1
Delaware 1
Florida 15
Georgia 8
Hawaii 2
Idaho 2
Illinois 11
Indiana 2
Iowa 1
Kansas 3
Kentucky 2
Louisiana 6
Maine 0
Maryland 3
Massachusetts 1
Michigan 3
Minnesota 7
Mississippi 3
Missouri 4
Montana 2
Nebraska 1
Nevada 2
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 4
New Mexico 9
New York 18
North Carolina 4
North Dakota 0
Ohio 3
Oklahoma 10
Oregon 2
Pennsylvania 2
Rhode Island 4
South Carolina 6
South Dakota 1
Tennessee 9
Texas 44
Utah 3
Vermont 0
Virginia 4
Washington 7
West Virginia 2
Wisconsin 7
Wyoming 0
Guam 1

Total 300
 
Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 300

Re: U.S. Pediatric Deaths - 300

Here are the total pediatric fatalities by month:

April - 1
May - 6
June - 21
July - 11
August - 20
September - 53
October - 105
November - 91 (through 11/18)

Total - 308 (through 11/18) :(

It's been doubling every month with June being somewhat of an outlier. Unless things slow down the rest of November, we will likely exceed 200 for the month. Due to the reporting delays, the deaths reported through today represent data through Weeks 44 or 45, depending on the state (states with the largest numbers - California and Texas - are only current through 11/7). Usually there is a jump on Fridays and we still have two Fridays this month.
 
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