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Tropical storm Leslie on track to make landfall in Newfoundland

Re: Bermuda awaiting Hurricane Leslie

Re: Bermuda awaiting Hurricane Leslie

Bermuda wary, but calm as Tropical Storm Leslie appears likely to skirt by to east of island

By Associated Press, Updated: Saturday, September 8, 10:16 PM

HAMILTON, Bermuda ? Tropical Storm Leslie swirled northward in the Atlantic late Saturday toward Bermuda, and forecasters said it might strengthen into a hurricane again while passing to the east of this wealthy British territory.

Forecasts pointed to the storm following a track about 200 miles (320 kilometers) east-southeast of the British territory Sunday afternoon or evening, the Bermuda Weather Service said.

?Bermuda seems to have escaped the worst of Tropical Storm Leslie,? said Wayne Perinchief, the national security minister. ?However, we should by no means let our guard down as we are still expecting strong winds and rain as well as dangerous ocean conditions overnight and well into Sunday.
...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world...778c6c-fa17-11e1-a0a1-b07778c66e04_story.html
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 08 2012

...OUTER RAINBANDS OF LESLIE NOW MOVING OVER BERMUDA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 62.6W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A NORTHWARD MOTION
WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT OR
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD PASS
EAST OF BERMUDA ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND LESLIE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA ON SUNDAY.
SQUALLS...OCCASIONALLY STRONG...SHOULD BEGIN OVERNIGHT.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ON BERMUDA.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/090235.shtml?

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/rb-l.jpg

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/12L/imagery/rb-animated.gif
 
Re: Tropical storm Leslie on track to make landfall in Newfoundland

Leslie on track to lash Newfoundland Tuesday

Rain expected to be heavy in western and central areas; winds high in eastern region

CBC News

Posted: Sep 9, 2012 5:19 PM NT
Last Updated: Sep 9, 2012 5:17 PM NT

Tropical storm Leslie is on track to make landfall in Newfoundland Tuesday, dousing central and western parts of the island with heavy rain and bringing hurricane-strength winds to eastern regions.

"This is an ever-changing story and the track will be very key as to who sees what,? CBC meteorologist Ryan Snoddon said Sunday afternoon.
The affected locations will be better known over the next 24 hours, he noted.

"Current forecast models have Leslie crossing eastern sections of Newfoundland on Tuesday as a post-tropical storm with Category 1 hurricane-strength winds,? Snoddon said.

Rainfall totals in western parts of Newfoundland could hit the 100 to 150 millimetre range, and possibly more, in the coming days. Leslie is expected to combine forces with a trough of low pressure currently over the Maritimes.

In eastern Newfoundland, including the Avalon Peninsula, winds from the storm could top out at 100 km/h, with gusts up to 130 km/h, Snoddon said.
Snoddon is posting regular updates on his blog.

More...
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfo...l-tropical-storm-leslie-newfoundland-909.html
 
Re: Tropical storm Leslie on track to make landfall in Newfoundland


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?5-daynl#contents

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/114742.shtml?tswind120#contents

000
WTNT32 KNHC 101455
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 AM AST MON SEP 10 2012

...LESLIE HEADING FOR NEWFOUNDLAND WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.0N 60.2W
ABOUT 765 MI...1225 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOR TO TRITON.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL HEADING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO...WITH A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BEGINNING LATER
TODAY. THE CENTER OF LESLIE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER EASTERN
NEWFOUNDLAND ON TUESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE
LESLIE MOVES OVER NEWFOUNDLAND...AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO
TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL OR FRONTAL CYCLONE AS IT APPROACHES
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...AND THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND EASTERN NOVA
SCOTIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH LESLIE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/101141.shtml?
 
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