Pathfinder
Editor, Senior Moderator
By Clint Durrett
System near Gulf has 70 percent chance of tropical cyclone development
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UPDATED 1:40 PM CDT Oct 02, 2013
Invest 97-L was located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and has become better organized over the past several hours.
The system could become a tropical depression at any time during the next day or two.
The area is expected to move over the Yucatan Peninsula later Wednesday and into the Gulf of Mexico Wednesday night or Thursday.
The system had a high chance, 70 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
After that, the center said, strong upper-level winds are likely to limit development as the system approaches the northern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend.
Read more: http://www.wdsu.com/weather/hurrica...22238014/-/lqc9u8z/-/index.html#ixzz2gapMjVTq
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL200 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICALSTORM JERRY...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSUREOVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZEDOVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TODEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAYOR TWO. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATANPENINSULA LATER TODAY...AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICOTONIGHT OR THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTERTHAT...STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO LIMIT DEVELOPMENT ASTHE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICALCYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECTTHE CAYMAN ISLANDS...PORTIONS OF CUBA...AND PORTIONS OF THE YUCATANPENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNITHURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ON ITS WAY TO INVESTIGATE THEDISTURBANCE.
...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
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System near Gulf has 70 percent chance of tropical cyclone development
..
UPDATED 1:40 PM CDT Oct 02, 2013
Invest 97-L was located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and has become better organized over the past several hours.
The system could become a tropical depression at any time during the next day or two.
The area is expected to move over the Yucatan Peninsula later Wednesday and into the Gulf of Mexico Wednesday night or Thursday.
The system had a high chance, 70 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
After that, the center said, strong upper-level winds are likely to limit development as the system approaches the northern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend.
Read more: http://www.wdsu.com/weather/hurrica...22238014/-/lqc9u8z/-/index.html#ixzz2gapMjVTq
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL200 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICALSTORM JERRY...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSUREOVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZEDOVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TODEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAYOR TWO. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATANPENINSULA LATER TODAY...AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICOTONIGHT OR THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTERTHAT...STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO LIMIT DEVELOPMENT ASTHE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICALCYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECTTHE CAYMAN ISLANDS...PORTIONS OF CUBA...AND PORTIONS OF THE YUCATANPENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNITHURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ON ITS WAY TO INVESTIGATE THEDISTURBANCE.
...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
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