Tropical depression forms north of the Bahamas

[Pathfinder]

Tropical disturbance forms off coast of Central Florida

By Ken Kaye Sun Sentinel

9:25 a.m. EDT, July 17, 2011

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A tropical disturbance about 100 miles off the coast of Cape Canaveral was showing signs of organization on Sunday and could help bring heavy rains to Central and South Florida by the afternoon, forecasters said.

More...
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/we...bring-rain-to-florida-20110717,0,401989.story

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Atlantic Graphical TWO Area 1 closeup



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1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOWPRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDACONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLYMARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME...BUT COULDBECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THISSYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICALCYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THESOUTH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULEDTO INVESTIGATE THE AREA LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.


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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/gtwo_atl_sub.shtml?area1#contents

 

[Pathfinder]

Tropical depression forms north of the Bahamas

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011
500 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 78.2W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND
LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION COULD PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.

SURF...LOCALLY HIGH SURF CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG NORTH AND
WESTERN FACING BEACHES IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/172034.shtml

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