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Trends in Risk Perceptions and Vaccination Intentions: A Longitudinal Study of the First Year of the H1N1 Pandemic

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Editor, Senior Moderator
Courtney A. Gidengil, Andrew M. Parker, and Brian J. Zikmund-Fisher (2012). Trends in Risk Perceptions and Vaccination Intentions: A Longitudinal Study of the First Year of the H1N1 Pandemic. American Journal of Public Health. e-View Ahead of Print.
doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2011.300407

Accepted on: Aug 5, 2011
Trends in Risk Perceptions and Vaccination Intentions: A Longitudinal Study of the First Year of the H1N1 Pandemic
Courtney A. Gidengil, MD, MPH, Andrew M. Parker, PhD, and Brian J. Zikmund-Fisher, PhD

Courtney A. Gidengil is with the RAND Corporation and the Division of Infectious Diseases, Children?s Hospital Boston, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA. Andrew M. Parker is with the RAND Corporation, Pittsburgh, PA. Brian J. Zikmund-Fisher is with the Department of Health Behavior and Health Education, the Department of Internal Medicine, the Center for Bioethics and Social Sciences in Medicine, and the Risk Science Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Correspondence should be sent to Courtney Gidengil, MD, MPH, 20 Park Plaza, Suite 920, Boston, MA 02116 (e-mail: gidengil@rand.org). Reprints can be ordered at http://www.ajph.org by clicking the ?Reprints? link.

Contributors

All of the authors contributed to study concept and design, analysis and interpretation of data, and drafting and revision of the article. A. M. Parker supervised the study and was responsible for acquisition of the data.


ABSTRACT

Objectives. We sought to evaluate longitudinal trends in people?s risk perceptions and vaccination intentions during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic.

Methods. We used data from 10 waves of a US national survey focusing on the H1N1 pandemic (administered between May 2009 and January 2010) to conduct a longitudinal analysis of adult respondents? risk perceptions and vaccination intentions.

Results. Self-reported perceived risk of becoming infected with H1N1 paralleled H1N1 activity throughout the pandemic?s first year. However, intention to be vaccinated declined from 50% (May 2009) to 16% (January 2010) among those who remained unvaccinated (27% had been vaccinated by January 2010). Respondents who indicated that they had previously been vaccinated against seasonal influenza reported significantly higher H1N1 vaccination intentions than those who had not been vaccinated (67% vs 26%; P < .001).

Conclusions. Reported intention to be vaccinated declined well before vaccine became available and decreased throughout the pandemic year. To the extent that prior vaccination for seasonal influenza vaccination is a strong correlate of H1N1 risk perceptions, encouraging seasonal influenza vaccination may benefit pandemic preparedness efforts. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print February 16, 2012: e1-e8. doi:10.2105/AJPH.2011.300407)


http://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/abs/10.2105/AJPH.2011.300407
 
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