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The US 2009 A(H1N1) Influenza Epidemic: Quantifying the Impact of School Openings on the Reproductive Number

tetano

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Epidemiology. 2014 Jan 15. [Epub ahead of print]
The US 2009 A(H1N1) Influenza Epidemic: Quantifying the Impact of School Openings on the Reproductive Number.
Huang KE, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Goldstein E.
Author information
Abstract
BACKGROUND::

There is limited information on differences in the dynamics of influenza transmission during time periods when schools are open compared with periods when they are closed.
METHODS::

Data on school openings, influenza surveillance, and absolute humidity were incorporated into a regression model to estimate the increase in the reproductive number for the 2009 A(H1N1) influenza pandemic associated with the opening of school in 10 US states.
RESULTS::

The estimate for the average increase in the reproductive number for the 2009 A(H1N1) influenza pandemic associated with the beginning of the school year was 19.5% (95% credible interval = 10%-29%).
CONCLUSIONS::

Whether schools are open or closed can have a major impact on community transmission dynamics of influenza.

PMID:
24434751
[PubMed - as supplied by publisher]

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24434751
 
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