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The Lancet. The immune response and within-host emergence of pandemic influenza virus

Giuseppe

Emeritus
[Source: The Lancet, full page: (LINK). Abstract, edited.]


The Lancet, Early Online Publication, 25 April 2014 / doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62425-3

Copyright ? 2014 Elsevier Ltd All rights reserved.

The immune response and within-host emergence of pandemic influenza virus

Original Text

Dr Leslie A Reperant PhD a b, Prof Thijs Kuiken PhD a, Prof Bryan T Grenfell PhD c d, Prof Albert D M E Osterhaus PhD a b


Summary

Zoonotic influenza viruses that are a few mutations away from pandemic viruses circulate in animals, and can evolve into airborne-transmissible viruses in human beings. Paradoxically, such viruses only occasionally emerge in people; the four influenza pandemics that occurred in the past 100 years were caused by zoonotic viruses that acquired efficient transmissibility. Emergence of a pandemic virus in people can happen when transmissible viruses evolve in individuals with zoonotic influenza and replicate to titres allowing transmission. We postulate that this step in the genesis of a pandemic virus only occasionally occurs in human beings, because the immune response triggered by zoonotic influenza virus also controls transmissible mutants that emerge during infection. Therefore, an impaired immune response might be needed for within-host emergence of a pandemic virus and replication to titres allowing transmission. Immunocompromised individuals?eg, those with comorbidities, of advanced age, or receiving immunosuppressive treatment?could be at increased risk of generating transmissible viruses and initiating chains of human-to-human infection.
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a Department of Viroscience, Erasmus Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands; b Artemis Research Institute for One Health in Europe, Utrecht, Netherlands; c Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA; d Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA

Correspondence to: Dr Leslie A Reperant, Department of Viroscience, Erasmus Medical Centre, PO Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, Netherlands


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