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The Lancet: Dynamics and control of Ebola virus transmission in Montserrado, Liberia: a mathematical modelling analysis

N

nola_mnr

Well-known member
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(14)70995-8/fulltext
[...]
Findings
We estimated the basic reproductive number for EVD in Montserrado to be 2?49 (95% CI 2?38?2?60). [...]

Interpretation
The number of beds at EVD treatment centres needed to effectively control EVD in Montserrado substantially exceeds the 1700 pledged by the USA to west Africa. [...] Our findings highlight the rapidly closing window of opportunity for controlling the outbreak and averting a catastrophic toll of EVD cases and deaths.
[...]
 
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