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Swine flu fears spur Canada to stock up on ventilators

Shiloh

Editor, Senior Moderator
Source: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news...da-to-stock-up-on-ventilators/article1207344/

Swine flu fears spur Canada to stock up on ventilators

Warnings that youth are hit hardest by virus point to shortfalls in strategy for pandemic

Gloria Galloway

Ottawa ? From Monday's Globe and Mail Last updated on Sunday, Jul. 05, 2009 10:28PM EDT

Critical ventilators to help Canada cope with the swine flu outbreak are being ordered by the federal government amid dire warnings about the severity of this fall's flu season.

As the pandemic spreads globally, Canadian public health findings show ? for unknown reasons ? that victims here have been younger and sicker, and have required more ventilators than most other countries, including the United States.

For years, medical experts have been worried about the small number of intensive care nurses who would be available to treat patients during an influenza pandemic. But the first wave of the H1N1 virus, which killed 29 people in Canada and sent 663 to hospital as of Friday, has exposed another shortfall in national pandemic planning: the number of ventilator machines.

One young man arrived at the Mount Sinai Hospital in Toronto more than a month ago with symptoms of the disease, which was subsequently confirmed. He was put on an oscillatory ventilator ? a measure that is used only rarely for patients with a standard type of influenza. Four weeks later, he was still hooked up to the machine.

?It appears that there is a sub-population of relatively young people who very rapidly develop severe illness with this virus. And they are not a large number, but they require very intensive ventilatory support with new advanced ventilators,? said Allison McGeer, an expert in infectious disease at Mount Sinai.

?We have very few oscillatory ventilators. We generally don't need them very often and usually it's for a very short period of time. So these young people are requiring a disproportionate amount of time on ventilators that we have very small numbers of.?
graphic-flu_106802a.jpg

It is a problem that Dr. McGeer said has been quite distinctive to this pandemic and this particular H1N1 virus.

Anand Kumar, an associate professor of medical microbiology and pharmacology at the University of Manitoba, who has been treating hospitalized flu patients in Winnipeg, said he would be surprised if there was a province in Canada that was not trying to buy ventilators right now.

Each jurisdiction has its own stockpile. And the Public Health Agency of Canada owns 130 that are to be distributed to the provinces and territories as they request them. Fifteen of them were recently sent to Manitoba where, a week ago, 38 ICU beds were occupied by patients on ventilators.

The federal agency ?is currently in negotiations to purchase additional ventilators to increase its stockpile to 500,? a spokeswoman said.

That means they're planning to buy 370 ventilators, which, at a cost of about $10,000 each, would mean an outlay of $3.7-million.

Despite its pandemic planning, the agency could not say how many ventilators there are across Canada, how long it would take to make the purchase, and whether it would specifically be looking for oscillating ventilators.

But doctors applauded any effort to increase the numbers.

?I think it would be prudent to review the Manitoba experience and understand where our strengths are and where our weaknesses are. And certainly the issue of ventilator capacity is something that we ought to be paying attention to nationwide,? Dr. Kumar said.

?I think it is very appropriate to be concerned about the amount of resources of all sorts, whether you talk about nursing, or certain groups of medications, or ventilators. You want to make sure that sufficient resources are available should this recur in a bigger way.?

The recurrence he was alluding to has been predicted for the fall when the traditional flu season in Canada returns.

Dr. David Butler-Jones, Canada's chief medical health officer, said in a teleconference from Mexico last week that H1N1 is not going away.

?The one thing, to the extent that you can be certain about anything, is that we will definitely see this [disease] this winter and preparing for that,? Dr. Butler-Jones told reporters.

The Spanish flu pandemic, which killed between 20 million and 50 million people worldwide in 1918, came in two waves, the second far worse than the first. And doctors say they fear the current H1N1 pandemic will mirror its deadly predecessor.

?It could be much worse during the fall so we need to be prepared,? said Dr. Robert Ouellet, the president of the Canadian Medical Association. ?So I think that any move to improve the equipment, to improve the human resources, is a good move.?

In Ontario, there are 8,000 ventilators, about 1,100 of which are attached to critical-care beds. ?If there is a large-scale health emergency, it comes down to the fact that you're dealing with only so many resources,? said David Jenson, a spokesman for the province's Health Ministry.

That's why the Ontario pandemic plan contains a triage protocol that provides guidelines for decisions around optimal use of such things as ventilators, Mr. Jenson said.

The Canadian Pandemic Influenza Plan cites a research paper called Stand on Guard for Thee that was produced in 2005 by the Joint Centre for Bioethics of the University of Toronto. It identifies many of the ethical issues that could arise during an influenza pandemic, including the allocation of scarce resources such as ventilators.

Dr. Ross Upshur, director of the centre and one of the authors of the study, said it was always assumed that ventilators would go to younger people who have not lived full lives, rather than to older people, if tough choices had to be made.

But because this flu disproportionately hits younger people, it has become a choice of giving them to one young person or another young person, Dr. Upshur said. ?This is a scenario that no one had actually anticipated.?
 
Re: Swine flu fears spur Canada to stock up on ventilators

This purchase by the Canadian Government is a clear announcement that they think they are powerless to prevent the consequences of the novel N1H1 pandemic this fall.

I agree, they are powerless especially since their actions suggest that they are planning to use their limited resources to wipe up the spilled milk rather than prevent the spill in the first place. We all know the hopeless resort to despite measures and this, forgive me but useless window dressing by the Ministry of Health can only be described as despite.

However rather than wasting all these resources on ventilators, which will not be used in the fall for reasons explained below, they should rather spend a fraction of this sum on providing every living Canadian with an oral vitamin D3 supplement of 450,000iu every quarter beginning ASAP.

The reason the vents will not be of use is because during a pandemic where the hospitals are overwhelmed, there will not be enough trained staff to operate them. Why; because they will be dead, sick, or staying home. What's more, the hospitals are unlikely to remain functional once their supplies and other non-professional staff run short.

This move by the Canadian Government is the equivalent of throwing down the towel of surrender to the pandemic. The minister might think it a good move politically because he or she perceives it as saying to the public "see, I am doing something, something expensive and high tech, something that will save the lives on the most desperately ill during the fall when we expect the pandemic to become really bad" At least, that is the subtext IMO.

It is like saying "we are preparing to deal with the most severe effects of the pandemic" rather than saying "we are preparing to do what we can to reduce the numbers of those who become ill with the virus and among those who do our actions are likely to lessen the consequences."

Providing vitamin D3 to the sun-stared Canadian people is an action that states a message of hope rather than a hopeless one regarding vents. The vent message is the equivalent of tell soldiers that when they are riddled with bullets on the field of battle, "you can be assured that we are buying plenty of bandages to cover your wounds". Now, how reassuring does that sound?

The above recommendation for widespread vitamin D3 supplementation can be justified for any number of reasons with pandemic mitigation being only one. The data are clear on this point. The majority of Canadians are vitamin D insufficient with a substantial minority being deficient year round. This problem has been documented by studies funded by the Canadian Government itself. There are numerous well designed studies documenting that among those who live on the First Nations reservations to whom the government has a special responsibility, vitamin D deficiency is much worse.

On a number of Internet sites devoted to exploration issues related to influenza and their pandemics we have been investigating why those within Canada's First Nations have been so hard hit by the flu compared to others within Canada. One possible explanation we have found is their differences in vitamin D levels. Of course there are others including poverty, chronic ill health, over crowding, poor diet etc etc. But of the possible reasons, it is easy and cheap to fix vitamin D deficiency within the First Nations peoples compared with these other problems.

Frankly, IMO as a physician who has spent considerable time and effort exploring the impact of pandemic influenza on human health and especially ways to reduce it, of all the ideas put forth so far I have evaluated the very best one is vitamin D supplementation.

There is a rich peer reviewed literature supporting the fact that vitamin D levels are low in a large percentage of the world's population, not just among Canadians. What makes the Canadian problem worse than in many other places is the lack of adequate sun exposure. Furthermore the data show that bone health is adversely affected by low vitamin D levels, something that is not controversial. What is relatively newer is the data linking vitamin D insufficiency with a higher rate of infections and cancer. This link has been found to be due to the essential role vitamin D plays at the nuclear vitamin D receptor which controls the function of about 1,000 human genes including many within the immune system.

This is just a taste of the data but if you find it interesting I urge you to do your own research into this area and the potential benefit of providing all Canadian's with 450,000iu of vitamin D3 every quarter.

I hope that those charged with the health and safety of Canadians as well as those with this same duty elsewhere take this suggestion to heart and evaluate it on the same basis as you would for the widespread implementation of any public health measure. What are the potential benefits, risks, cost and most importantly impact on public health if the above recommendations are embraced and widely implemented.

The choice to investigate or ignore this suggestion is up to those of you in public health with the power to make a difference. I am confident that you will do the right thing because you do what you do for the benefit of those you serve. This too is what motivates me.

Grattan Woodson, MD
 
Re: Swine flu fears spur Canada to stock up on ventilators

Where do you buy 450,000iu of vitamin D3 pills?

You can buy 250 x 1000 IU pills at the drugstore and take two bottle a day for 500,000 IU. They're probably cheaper if you buy them by the case.
 
Re: Swine flu fears spur Canada to stock up on ventilators

You can buy 250 x 1000 IU pills at the drugstore and take two bottle a day for 500,000 IU. They're probably cheaper if you buy them by the case.

450,000iu of vitamin D3 every quarter
quarter=90 days. 450,000iu/90=5000iu per day.

If the pills are 1000 international units, you would need 5 1000 iu pills a day to reach 450,000 iu's per quarter.


I am not advising anything here :fluffy: , just helping with the math.
 
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