tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2016 Mar 10;37(3):430-3. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2016.03.029.
[h=1][Study on early warning method for influenza epidemic in Gansu province].[/h] [Article in Chinese]
Yang XT[SUP]1[/SUP], Liu XF, Meng L, Liu DP, Yu DS, Li HY, Jiang ZY, Zhang H.
[h=3]Author information[/h]
[h=3]Abstract[/h] [h=4]OBJECTIVE:[/h] To explore the appropriate early warning method for influenza epidemic in Gansu province.
[h=4]METHODS:[/h] By using simple control chart, moving percentile method, exponential smoothing method and cumulative sum control chart method, the annual incidence data of influenza-like illness in Gansu province during 2014-2015 were analyzed, and the sensitivities, specificities, positive predictive values, Jorden indexes and Kappa values of the 4 methods were evaluated and compared.
[h=4]RESULTS:[/h] The 2014-2015 seasonal influenza epidemic occurred in the fiftieth week of 2014 in Gansu, and the epidemic peak lasted for 6 weeks. Cumulative sum control chart method had the best early warning effect with the sensitivity of 66.67% and specificity of 93.48%.
[h=4]CONCLUSION:[/h] It is feasible to use cumulative sum control chart method to give early warning of influenza epidemic in Gansu.
PMID: 27005552 [PubMed - in process]
[h=1][Study on early warning method for influenza epidemic in Gansu province].[/h] [Article in Chinese]
Yang XT[SUP]1[/SUP], Liu XF, Meng L, Liu DP, Yu DS, Li HY, Jiang ZY, Zhang H.
[h=3]Author information[/h]
[h=3]Abstract[/h] [h=4]OBJECTIVE:[/h] To explore the appropriate early warning method for influenza epidemic in Gansu province.
[h=4]METHODS:[/h] By using simple control chart, moving percentile method, exponential smoothing method and cumulative sum control chart method, the annual incidence data of influenza-like illness in Gansu province during 2014-2015 were analyzed, and the sensitivities, specificities, positive predictive values, Jorden indexes and Kappa values of the 4 methods were evaluated and compared.
[h=4]RESULTS:[/h] The 2014-2015 seasonal influenza epidemic occurred in the fiftieth week of 2014 in Gansu, and the epidemic peak lasted for 6 weeks. Cumulative sum control chart method had the best early warning effect with the sensitivity of 66.67% and specificity of 93.48%.
[h=4]CONCLUSION:[/h] It is feasible to use cumulative sum control chart method to give early warning of influenza epidemic in Gansu.
PMID: 27005552 [PubMed - in process]