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Secret British Report??

zkurmus

Moderator
Has anyone read this anywhere? It is reported in anatolianagency.com

England: "If H5N1 mutates, we should be ready for making mass graves"
A secret English report stated that if H5N1 mutates into a kind that spreads from person to peron, 320,000 people in England could die and in this case, would have to be placed in mass graves.


İNGİLTERE: ''H5N1 MUTASYONA UĞRARSA, TOPLU MEZARLARA HAZIRLANMAK LAZIM''
İngilizlerin gizli bir raporunda, kuş gribinin ölümcül versiyonu olan H5N1 virüsünün insana bulaşan türe dönüşmesi halinde İngiltere'de 320 bin kişinin ölebileceği ve bu durumda kitleleri toplu mezarlara gömmek durumunda kalınabileceği belirtildi.
02.04.2006 - 15:03:00 arkadaşıma gönder

http://www.anadoluajansi.com.tr/index.php?option=com_haber&Itemid=49
 
Re: SEcret British Report??

Re: SEcret British Report??

Hey z! Good to see ya. :D Hope you and your kiddies are doin' good.

I did see something on this:

Report reveals bird flu plans
Last Modified: 1 Apr 2006
Source: ITN

Mass burials are reportedly being considered by the Home Office as part of preparations for a possible avian flu pandemic.

A "prudent worst case" assessment suggested 320,000 could die in the UK if the H5N1 virus mutated into a form contagious to humans, according to a confidential report in the Sunday Times.

That would lead to delays of up to 17 weeks in burying or cremating victims, the document - said to have been discussed by a cabinet committee - says.


It warns that the prospect of "common burial" would stir up images of the mass pits used to bury victims of the Great Plague in 1665.

But in fact it "might involve a large number of coffins buried in the same place at the same time, in such a way that allowed for individual graves to be marked".

Town halls - the report suggests - could deal with what it terms a "base case" of 48,000 deaths in England and Wales in a 15-week pandemic.

But it adds: "Even with ramping local management capacity by 100%, the prudent worst case of 320,000 excess deaths is projected to lead to a delay of some 17 weeks from death to burial or cremation."

Should the outbreak kill 2.5% of those who contract the flu, it warns, "no matter what emergency arrangements are put in place there are likely to be substantially more deaths than can be managed within current timescales".

Titled Managing Excess Deaths in an Influenza Pandemic and dated March 22, the document says vaccines would not be available at least for "the first wave" of a pandemic and would not be a "silver bullet".

The newspaper said it was discussed last week in cabinet subcommittee MISC 32, in a meeting chaired by Health Secretary Patricia Hewitt.

It claimed ministers were alarmed at the prospect of such delays to burials but accepted that there might be no option in the event of a mass outbreak.

http://www.channel4.com/news/content/news-storypage.jsp?id=1627056
 
Instapundit - "secret cabinet document" on avian flu

Instapundit - "secret cabinet document" on avian flu



IN BRITAIN, a "secret cabinet document" on avian flu is getting a lot of press, and it offers a rather apocalyptic scenario, though I detect the scent of politics in places. Of course, bird flu may never become human-transmissible at all, but this should certainly encourage governments to take the task of preparing for new outbreaks of disease more seriously. Bill Frist and Ray Kurzweil are behind such an effort.
posted at 09:01 PM by Glenn Reynolds
 
The secret UK plan to tackle bird flu food shortages

The secret UK plan to tackle bird flu food shortages

Revealed: the secret No 10 plan to tackle bird flu food shortages

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml;jsessionid=CE02ZTK0IXSBXQFIQMFCFFOAVCBQYIV0?xml=/news/2006/04/09/nflu09.xml&sSheet=/portal/2006/04/09/ixportaltop.html

Emergency plans to tackle widespread food shortages in the event of a bird flu pandemic are being drawn up by ministers, according to secret Cabinet documents.

Off-duty firemen and retired lorry drivers would be pressed into service to ensure that essential food and drink supplies were delivered. Laws that restrict the daily hours of drivers and other vital workers would be suspended.


An extract from the secret Cabinet documents

The confidential papers - seen by the Sunday Telegraph - show that a serious lack of long-distance- HGV drivers willing to go to infected areas is seen in Whitehall as a potential "pinch point" if avian flu takes a grip. The papers reveal government concern over a lack of preparation for a pandemic among the biggest food firms.

They also show how, in the event of a serious outbreak overseas, the Government will give preventive medicine to embassy and consular staff - but not to British holidaymakers or UK nationals who live in an infected country.

The Government fears that any pandemic could last more than six months. The documents say that Whitehall should be on alert for a pandemic on an "extended time-scale - certainly for six months ? and perhaps longer". They also suggest "more than one pandemic wave" of bird flu.


Senior vet Douglas Gray inspects a dead swan in Aberdeen
The documents were drawn up on March 22, a fortnight before a dead swan in a village in Fife was found to have the deadly H5N1 strain of the disease. The swan, which was washed ashore in the village of Cellardyke, had a strain similar to that contracted by 100 birds in Germany. Tests are continuing on hundreds of other dead birds, but none - apart from the swan - has tested positive for H5N1. Fourteen other birds that gave rise to concern tested negative.

The documents show a lack of preparedness in Whitehall that ministers and officials are working round the clock to combat. Their disclosure came as the Government was accused of "astonishing complacency" over planning, with farmers angry about confusing advice and the ?1.2 billion poultry industry braced for a consumer backlash.

Industry leaders and poultry staff called for vaccinations to protect birds and farm workers, amid claims that the situation was becoming reminiscent of the foot and mouth crisis, which left thousands of animals on giant pyres.

The Government papers, which have been discussed by the "Cabinet Committee on Influenza Pandemic Planning", include a blueprint for "managing the response" to a pandemic. Whitehall would go into what officials call a full-scale "battle rhythm" with Tony Blair lined up to take personal charge at an as yet unspecified stage.

It is understood that two issues particularly concerning ministers are the difficulties of closing large numbers of schools and the provision of masks to large numbers of people, should the need arise.

A Government paper revealed last week suggested that families might have to wait up to four weeks to bury their dead. Ministers warned that up to 320,000 people could die in a pandemic.

The Cabinet documents reveal how the Environment Department fears that no large-scale plans to combat a pandemic have been lined up by big food companies apart from Marks & Spencer - suggesting a chronic lack of preparedness. They add: "HGV drivers had been identified as a potential pinch-point by some sectors. Various mitigation options were being discussed, including using retired drivers or off-duty fire service personnel, and lifting the requirements of the Working Time Directive."

An accompanying memo by Lord Triesman, the junior foreign office minister, puts forward an exhaustive plan for coping with a bird flu outbreak abroad. In the event of humans being infected, the document suggests, "we may come under pressure from the media and the British public at home to appear to be doing more for our nationals immediately affected by the virus. In particular we would hope to deal with the potential sensitivity of providing Tamilflu antiviral treatment for use by overseas mission staff and their dependents diagnosed with the flu virus under our duty of care obligations, but not to British nationals."

The document admits that France would supply preventive medicine to its overseas citizens while Britons will be told to fend for themselves.
 
Re: The secret UK plan to tackle bird flu food shortages

Re: The secret UK plan to tackle bird flu food shortages

Serious leaks is going on, that can only be good in the long term, but as Mr. Sandman say it, UK gov is loosing some confidences that citizens could have towards them.

And he eloquently demonstrate that credibility is so important in a crisis.

cf to www.psandman.com
 
food shortages involve more than distribution

food shortages involve more than distribution

This article only discusses the distribtion network.

What about production?

Will there be enough healthy non-quarantined farmers to grow the food, tend the livestock, & staff the processing/production facilties?

When they discuss food distribution, my question is WHAT FOOD?

We may need "at-the-gate" or DIY distribution systems.

.
 
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