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Rev Panam Salud Publica . Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Rev Panam Salud Publica


. 2022 Mar 23;46:e19.
doi: 10.26633/RPSP.2022.19. eCollection 2022.
Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina


Ariel Karlinsky[SUP] 1 [/SUP]



Affiliations

Abstract

in English, Spanish, Portuguese
This paper presents a method to estimate excess mortality where national data are missing for some or all of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period, but subnational data exist, such as in Argentina. By making use of the stability of the regional distribution of deaths, data on deaths in Córdoba province were used to project excess deaths in Argentina from March 2020 up to the end of 2021. The number of excess deaths was estimated at 134 504, which is 14.8% higher than the reported number of COVID-19 deaths in Argentina for the same time period.

Keywords: Argentina; COVID-19; Excess mortality.
 
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