Remnants of Lee - Heavy rains and flooding expected from the Mid-Atlantic states into parts of Northeast

Pathfinder · Sep 3, 2011

Re: Lee strengthening - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

Re: Lee strengthening - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

Tropical Storm Lee prompts tornado warnings for much of the New Orleans area this morning

Published: Saturday, September 03, 2011, 6:26 AM Updated: Saturday, September 03, 2011, 6:30 AM

By Mark Schleifstein, The Times-Picayune The Times-Picayune

Much of the New Orleans area is under a tornado warning this morning, as rainbands from approaching Tropical Storm Lee has produced a series of severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, the National Weather Service said.
...
Most of these possible tornadoes are embedded in heavy rainfall, and may not be readily visible.

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/tropical_storm_lee_prompts_tor.html

More maps here:
http://www.wwltv.com/weather/maps?radar=64217522&img=2&c=y

Pathfinder · Sep 3, 2011

Lee stalls just south of Louisiana - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

Lee stalls just south of Louisiana - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

Tropical Storm LEE Public Advisory

000
WTNT33 KNHC 031740
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
100 PM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011

...LEE STALLS JUST SOUTH OF LOUISIANA...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 91.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE
29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST. LEE HAS BEEN STATIONARY THE PAST
FEW HOURS. A SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR
NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE LOUISIANA COAST LATER THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING...THEN MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING FORECAST TO OCCUR ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...76 KM/H WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED BY A NOAA BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES EAST OF THE MOUTH OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A C-MAN STATION AT SOUTHWEST PASS LOUISIANA
RECENTLY MEASURED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 46 MPH...75 KM/H AT AN
ELEVATION OF 100 FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE.

A STORM SURGE OF 4 FEET HAS BEEN REPORTED AT SHELL BEACH LOUISIANA
AND ALSO AT NEW CANAL STATION IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A SURGE HEIGHT
OF 2 FEET HAS BEEN REPORTED AS FAR EAST AS PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES HAVE OCCURRED THUS FAR ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND
OFFSHORE OIL RIGS INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...AND BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA COASTS INCLUDING MOBILE BAY. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/031740.shtml

Pathfinder · Sep 3, 2011

Re: Lee stalls just south of Louisiana - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

Re: Lee stalls just south of Louisiana - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

http://img853.imageshack.us/img853/4179/goes17022011246xjsuwd.jpg

Pathfinder · Sep 3, 2011

Re: Lee stalls just south of Louisiana - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

Re: Lee stalls just south of Louisiana - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

City Of New Orleans

9/3/2011

CITY UPDATES RESIDENTS ON TROPICAL STORM LEE IMPACTS

NEW ORLEANS, LA? The City is responding to reports of minor street flooding and ponding water on low-lying roadways due to heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Lee. On Friday, September 2, Mayor Landrieu declared a state of emergency for the city of New Orleans. The City?s Emergency Operations Center is at Activation Level 2, with 24/7 operations at this time.
"We continue to prepare for and respond to a significant rain and wind event," said Mayor Landrieu. "We are not out of the woods yet which is why I am strongly urging everyone to make sure you have all your supplies and if you do not need to be out in this weather, please stay home. Additionally, we will ticket individuals who drive more than 5 miles per hour through standing water. Be cautious and vigilant.?
The National Weather Service is reporting 6 to 8 inches of rain in the City since last night, with readings of 6 inches at airport, 6.89 inches at Audubon Park and 7.77 inches towards Slidell. Wind gusts as high as 67 mph were recorded at City Hall.
For emergencies or to report street flooding or malfunctioning traffic signals, residents should contact 9-1-1.
To report non-emergencies, please contact 3-1-1. 3-1-1 will continue to operate 24/7 for residents to get updated information and report problems.
All power outages should be reported to Entergy at 1-800-968-8243.

STANDING WATER- REPORTED LOCATIONS

Standing water had been reported at the following locations at some point in the day:

State Street from Claiborne to Willow
Canal and City Park Ave.
Jefferson and Dryades
Canal and North Derbigny
Moss and Dumaine
Delachaise Street and Prytania Street
Old Gentilly, Read through Chef Highway
Lake Marina and W. Roadway in West End
Elysian Fields and I-610 on and off ramps
General Degaulle and Garden Oaks
Claiborne and Louisiana

SEWERAGE & WATER BOARD

At this time, all of S&WB?s 24 pumping stations are operating at full capacity. Pump Station 11 in Algiers operated on a generator this morning from 7am until Noon. The back-up systems worked when the primary source of power was lost and the City never lost pumping capacity.

US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS

Friday, as a result of water reaching the operational trigger of 2.5 ft. and rising at the London Ave. Canal, Col. Ed Fleming, New Orleans District commander of the US Army Corps of Engineers, ordered the canal gates closed yesterday at 4:30 p.m. The gates took about 50 minutes to close and, once closed, the Corps began pumping water from the canal into Lake Pontchartrain to maintain the safe water elevation of 5 ft. USACE has also closed the Company and Harvey canal gates in Jefferson Parish. The London Avenue pumps are 100% operational.

POWER OUTAGES

As a consequence of winds and downed trees, there have been power outages throughout the City. At 11am this morning, Entergy reported there were 11,000 customers without power and as of 12:30pm this afternoon, 5,927 were without power.

TREES DOWN

Parks & Parkways has fielded 51 calls for service with reports of downed trees. Crews are cutting and stacking limbs.

SANITATION

Most service areas received trash collection service today with the exception of the Lake Catherine and Venetian Isles areas.

LOUIS ARMSTRONG INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

Armstrong International Airport remains open and operational. Several air carriers have cancelled flights for today and tomorrow morning. Passengers are advised to check their air carriers web sites prior to coming to the airport to ensure their flights are still operating. Airlines are allowing changes in flights due to Tropical Storm Lee. If you are trying to rebook your flight, please do it PRIOR to coming to the airport in the comfort of your home or hotel.
The Airport parking garages have reached capacity at this time but we continue to monitor the flow of vehicles from the garage to be able to reopen the garages when space is available. When the garages reopen, only ticketed passengers will be allowed to enter the garages to park. If you are picking someone up at the Airport, please wait in the cell phone lot until they arrive and pick them up curbside.
Again, the airline web site is the best source of flight information for your particular air carrier.

REGIONAL TRANSIT AUTHORITY

Buses will replace streetcar service on Canal Street and St. Charles Avenue throughout the day. All other service is regular Saturday schedule service.

CITY CLOSURES

New Orleans public libraries have been closed and will return to normal operation on Tuesday, September 6.
All NORDC activities for this weekend have been cancelled.
City Hall will be closed on Monday, September 5, for Labor Day. City offices will return to normal hours of operation on Tuesday, September 6.

VISITOR ATTRACTIONS

According to the Convention & Visitors Bureau and New Orleans Tourism Marketing Corporation, select attractions have chosen to close temporarily. Be sure to check directly with businesses to confirm hours of operation.

Harrah's Casino- open, no changes in hours of operation.
National WWII Museum- closed Saturday, Sept 3 and Sunday, Sept 4. The museum anticipates opening for the Labor Day holiday on Monday, Sept 5.
Ogden Museum of Southern Art- closed Saturday, Sept 3 and Sunday, Sept 4.
The Historic New Orleans Collection- closed Saturday, Sept 3 and Sunday, Sept 4. Normal business hours will resume Tuesday, Sept 6.
Audubon Zoo- closed Saturday, September 3. Check directly with zoo for Sunday hours of operation. Plan to open Monday, September 5 for the Labor Day holiday.
IMAX- open, no changes in hours of operation. Open Monday, Sept 5.
Aquarium of the Americas- open no changes in hours of operation. Open Monday, Sept 5.
Insectarium- open, no changes in hours of operation. Open Monday, Sept 5.
Steamboat Natchez- no cruises Saturday, Sept 3. Resume cruising Sunday evening 7:00 PM cruise.
Gray Line Tours- no tours offered Saturday, Sept 3. Plan to resume touring Sunday, Sept 4.
New Orleans Museum of Art-closed Sunday, September 4. Re-open on Tuesday, Sept 6.

HOMELESS SHELTERS

The following shelters will be available for homeless persons through the morning of Tuesday, September 6:

Covenant House: 611 N. Rampart Street, (504) 584-1111. Males and females 16-21 years old, or any females with children are welcome.
New Orleans Mission: 1130 Oretha Castle Haley Boulevard, (504) 270-4967. Males and females are welcome. The Mission is closed on Monday.
Ozanam Inn: 843 Camp Street, (504) 523-1184. Males of any age are welcome.
Salvation Army: 4530 South Claiborne Avenue, (504) 896-7315. Males of any age are welcome.

RESIDENT PRECAUTIONS

The City is asking residents to take the following precautions:

Clean or clear catch basins near your home.
Prepare emergency supply kits to ensure your personal safety and well-being in the event of loss of power or heavy street flooding.
Secure debris and loose furniture on your property.
Do NOT drive through standing water.

The City is allowing residents to secure their vehicles on the neutral ground throughout the weekend, but please DO NOT park on the street car tracks. Additionally, the NOPD will ticket vehicles that drive faster than 5 miles per hour down streets with standing water.
EMERGENCY SUPPLY KITS

According to Emergency Preparedness officials, families should build an emergency supply kit at home that includes:

Water (one gallon per person, per day ? three day supply for evacuation, two-week supply for home)
Non-perishable food (three-day supply for evacuation and a two-week supply for home)
Can opener for food
Radio (battery-powered or hand crank)
Flashlights
First aid kit (medications and medical supplies, seven-day supply)
Whistle
Dust masks
Sanitation items
Personal hygiene items
Wrench or pliers to turn off utilities
Maps
Important family documents

EMAIL AND TEXT ALERTS

Citizens are encouraged to sign up for email and text message alerts by going to www.nolaready.info or sending a text message to ?NOLA4U?. This service allows city officials to contact citizens during emergencies, which includes life-threatening weather events, evacuation or shelter in place information, and other pertinent emergency information.

http://www.nola.gov/PRESS/City-Of-N...DATES-RESIDENTS-ON-TROPICAL-STORM-LEE-IMPACTS

Pathfinder · Sep 3, 2011

Re: Lee stalls just south of Louisiana - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

Re: Lee stalls just south of Louisiana - Heavy rains occuring over southern Louisiana with tropical storm conditions along the coast

Tropical Storm LEE Public Advisory

000
WTNT33 KNHC 032341
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
700 PM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011

...LEE WEAKENS A LITTLE AS IT MEANDERS ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 92.4W
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SSW OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF LOUISIANA NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST.
LEE HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS...HOWEVER A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
TONIGHT. A SLOW NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON
SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE ONSHORE THE LOUISIANA COAST LATER THIS EVENING...THEN MOVE
SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT. GRADUAL WEAKENING FORECAST TO OCCUR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER. SEVERAL ELEVATED OFFSHORE OIL RIGS SOUTH OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS BETWEEN 44 AND 48 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND REPORTS FROM OFFSHORE OIL RIGS INDICATE
THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...AND BY
AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA COASTS INCLUDING MOBILE BAY. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...AND POSSIBLY
INTO MONDAY.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/032341.shtml

Pathfinder · Sep 4, 2011

Tropical storm Lee drifting northeastward over south-central Louisiana

Tropical storm Lee drifting northeastward over south-central Louisiana

Tropical Storm LEE Public Advisory

000
WTNT33 KNHC 041450
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1000 AM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

...LEE DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 91.9W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM W OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSE OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST. LEE IS
DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
MOVE SLOWLY OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...
445 KM...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS...A NOAA BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 65 MILES EAST OF THE MOUTH
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH...
72 KM/H AND A GUST TO 49 MPH...79 KM/H. NUMEROUS OFFSHORE OIL RIGS
ALSO CONTINUE TO REPORT SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS A FEW
HUNDRED FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER.

A STORM SURGE VALUE OF MORE THAN 4 FEET RECENTLY OCCURRED JUST SOUTH
OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA AT AMERADA PASS.

RECENT REPORTS FROM OIL RIGS AND COASTAL MONITORING STATIONS
INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THESE RAINS
ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA COAST. WATER
LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ARE OCCURRING
ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/041450.shtml

--------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical Storm LEE Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT43 KNHC 041451
TCDAT3

TROPICAL STORM LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1000 AM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND WSR-88D RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT LEE
FINALLY MOVED INLAND OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS MORNING
AROUND 11Z ABOUT 10 NMI SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY. RECENT DOPPLER
RADAR DATA INDICATE BANDS OF CONVECTION HAVE FORMED OVER
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND NEAR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTEND
SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. SOME OF THESE BANDS HAVE
CONTAINED DOPPLER VELOCITIES OF 65-72 KT FROM 8000-12000 FT IN
35-45 DBZ ECHOES...WITH MEAN VALUES OF AT LEAST 60 KT. ALTHOUGH
THESE DOPPLER VELOCITY VALUES WOULD TYPICALLY EQUATE TO SURFACE
WINDS OF 50-55 KT...THE SHORT-LIVED NATURE OF THESE NEW CONVECTIVE
BANDS SUGGESTS THAT ANY HIGHER WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE VERY
TRANSIENT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING MAINTAINED AT 40 KT BASED
ON WIND REPORTS FROM NOAA BUOY 42040...BUT THE GUST DIFFERENTIAL IN
THE FORECAST/ADVISORY PRODUCT HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 55 KT FROM THE
STANDARD 50-KT GUST VALUE IN ORDER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE STRONGER
DOPPLER VELOCITIES THAT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.

LEE IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST...OR 040/03 KT. THERE IS NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK REASONING. LEE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN EMBEDDED IN A WEAK STEERING FLOW REGIME FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO AND ONLY DRIFT SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO
NORTHEASTWARD. AFTER THAT...A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO DIG SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS
AND GRADUALLY LIFT LEE NORTHEASTWARD AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED...
BUT STILL AT LESS THAN 10 KT. BY 48 HOURS...LEE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE
WITH A FAIRLY BRISK FRONTAL SYSTEM FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR...AND
BECOME A LARGE SLOW-MOVING EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY...EXCEPT THAT THE FORWARD SPEED WAS DECREASED
AFTER 48 HOURS...AND CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE CONSENSUS TRACK MODELS...
TVCN AND TVCA.

LEE WILL BE MOVING OVER THE RAIN-SATURATED FLAT TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN
AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TODAY...WITH A LARGE PORTION OF THE
CIRCULATION REMAINING OVER WATER. AFTERNOON HEATING SHOULD ALSO
GENERATE DEEP CONVECTION OVER LAND AND NEAR THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION...WHICH COULD ADD SOME ENERGY TO THE CYCLONE. AS A
RESULT...THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN MORE SLOWLY
THAN INDICATED BY THE TYPICAL INLAND DECAY RATE FOR INLAND TROPICAL
CYCLONES.

SINCE HEAVY RAINS...STRONG WINDS...AND THE HIGHEST STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE OCCURRING VERY FAR FROM THE CENTER...IT IS IMPORTANT NOT
TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE CENTER OF LEE. THE PRIMARY
THREAT FROM LEE WILL BE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. DURING NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/1500Z 29.9N 91.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
12H 05/0000Z 30.1N 91.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
24H 05/1200Z 30.6N 90.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 06/0000Z 31.4N 88.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 06/1200Z 32.6N 87.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 07/1200Z 34.5N 86.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 08/1200Z 36.5N 86.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/041451.shtml?

Pathfinder · Sep 4, 2011

Tropical storm Lee moving slowly northward over south-central Louisiana

Tropical storm Lee moving slowly northward over south-central Louisiana

Tropical Storm LEE Public Advisory

000
WTNT33 KNHC 042056
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
400 PM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

...LEE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST LATER TONIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.6N 91.8W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM WNW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM WEST OF MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE
CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST. LEE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND LEE MAY BECOME STATIONARY
BEFORE TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST BY LATE
TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE SLOWLY OVER
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT...AND ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI BY LATE MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...
445 KM...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER.
A NOAA BUOY JUST EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 36 MPH...57 KM/H AND A
GUST TO 43 MPH...69 KM/H. SEVERAL OFFSHORE OIL RIGS ALSO CONTINUE
TO REPORT SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS A FEW HUNDRED FEET
ABOVE THE SURFACE WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF LEE.

A STORM SURGE VALUE OF MORE THAN 2 FEET RECENTLY OCCURRED JUST SOUTH
OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA AT AMERADA PASS.

REPORTS FROM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES EXPECTED...
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

STORM SURGE...ELEVATED WATER LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND BY AS
MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND MONDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/042056.shtml

--------------------------------------------------------
Tropical Storm LEE Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT43 KNHC 042105
TCDAT3

TROPICAL STORM LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
400 PM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

WSR-88D RADAR DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT LEE HAS
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER IS WELL
INLAND NOW OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. OTHER THAN THE STRONG
BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION THAT HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE SURFACE
CENTER...NARROW BANDS OF MODEST CONVECTION CONTINUE TO FORM OVER
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND NEAR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WHICH EXTEND
SOUTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO FOR A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES. SOME
OF THESE BANDS HAVE CONTAINED DOPPLER VELOCITIES OF 60-68 KT FROM
4500-10000 FT IN 25-35 DBZ ECHOES...WITH MEAN VALUES OF ABOUT 55
KT. ALTHOUGH THESE DOPPLER VELOCITY VALUES WOULD TYPICALLY
TRANSLATE TO SURFACE WINDS OF 45-50 KT...THE WEAK ECHO RETURNS
SUGGEST THAT HIGHER WIND SPEEDS WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN GUSTS. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING MAINTAINED AT 40 KT BASED ON SUSTAINED
WIND REPORT OF 40 KT FROM THE BURAS C-MAN STATION...AND THE GUST
DIFFERENTIAL IN THE FORECAST/ADVISORY PRODUCT REMAINS AT 55 KT...
WHICH IS A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE STANDARD 50-KT GUST VALUE IN
ORDER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE TRANSIENT STRONGER WINDS ALOFT NOTED IN
DOPPLER VELOCITY DATA.

LEE HAS BEEN MOVING TO THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER...
THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TO THE NORTHEAST OR
EAST-NORTHEAST WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. OTHERWISE...THERE IS
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST REASONING. A
VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY LIFT OUT
TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED. BY 36 HOURS...
A PIECE OF ENERGY FROM THE SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST BY ALL OF THE
MODELS TO BREAK OFF AND BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE CIRCULATION. THIS
MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC INTERACTION...COUPLED WITH ABSORPTION BY A
FRONTAL SYSTEM...IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION LEE INTO A LARGE
LOW-LATITUDE EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY BY DAYS 2-4. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE CONSENSUS TRACK MODELS...
TVCN AND TVCA.

ALL OF THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS ARE NOW FORECASTING LEE TO
REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM OR EXTRATROPICAL GALE AREA FOR THE NEXT 36
HOURS OR SO AS THE CYCLONE GETS A SHOT OF BAROCLINIC ENERGY FROM AN
UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS TREND WAS FOLLOWED IN THE OFFICIAL
INTENSITY FORECAST...AND IS A BLEND OF THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS
MODEL ICON...AND INPUT FROM THE NHC TAFB UNIT.

SINCE HEAVY RAINS...STRONG WINDS...AND THE HIGHEST STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE OCCURRING VERY FAR FROM THE CENTER...IT IS IMPORTANT NOT
TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE CENTER OF LEE. THE PRIMARY
THREAT FROM LEE WILL BE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. DURING NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/2100Z 30.6N 91.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 30.7N 91.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
24H 05/1800Z 31.2N 89.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 06/0600Z 32.3N 88.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 06/1800Z 33.3N 87.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 07/1800Z 34.8N 86.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 08/1800Z 36.0N 86.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/042105.shtml?

Pathfinder · Sep 4, 2011

Re: Tropical storm Lee weakens a little as it meanders along the coast of southern Louisiana

Re: Tropical storm Lee weakens a little as it meanders along the coast of southern Louisiana

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/rb-l.jpg

Pathfinder · Sep 5, 2011

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL IN SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 90.8W
ABOUT 35 MILES...56 KM...WNW OF NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT LOUISIANA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM
COASTAL TEXAS INTO THE GULF STATES AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL APPALICHIANS.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST. LEE HAS BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AS IT HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION
CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND INTO ALABAMA ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.

HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 AM CDT

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 9.80
MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 2.52
CAIRNS AAF/OZARK 1.55
EVERGREEN 1.47

...ARKANSAS...
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE 4.35
HARRISON 2.26
FORT SMITH 2.23

...FLORIDA...
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.78
MILTON/WHITING FIELD NAS 5.25
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.24
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT 4.37
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 4.25
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 4.24
TYNDALL AFB/PANAMA CITY 3.36
PENSACOLA NAS 3.29

...ILLINOIS...
PEORIA 3.67
QUINCY 3.04
...KANSAS...
MCCUNE 3.80
COFFEYVILLE 3.16

...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON CITY 0.95
BOWLING GREEN-WARREN CO. ARPT 0.84
FORT KNOX AAF 0.43

...LOUISIANA...
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 10.91
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 9.85
BOOTHVILLE 8.64
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 8.20
SLIDELL 6.07
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 6.01
ALEXANDRIA/ESLER 5.90
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 5.65
NATCHITOCHES 3.68
GOLDONNA 2.57
MONROE 2.45

...MISSOURI...
FAIR GROVE 5.52
ASHLAND 5.39
BUFFALO 5.28
LIBERAL 5.25
CROSS TIMBERS 5.18
BROOKFIELD 5.11
PLATTSBURG 5.06
JEFFERSON CITY 5.06
HERMITAGE 5.06
COLE CAMP 5.06
WHEATLAND 5.02
HIGHLANDVILLE 5.02
FORNEY AAF 4.63
COLUMBIA 4.60

...MISSISSIPPI...
PASCAGOULA 10.43
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI 9.79
GULFPORT-BILOXI 9.16
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD 6.35
HATTIESBURG/LAUREL 6.04
HATTIESBURG/CHAIN MUNI ARPT 6.00
JACKSON WFO 5.43

...OKLAHOMA...
CLAREMORE 2.44
MUSKOGEE 2.38
SAND SPRINGS 2.10

...TENNESSEE...
CLARKSVILLE/OUTLAW FIELD 1.68
OAK RIDGE (ASOS) 1.58
CROSSVILLE MEMORIAL ARPT 1.46
KNOXVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.02
NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 1.00

...TEXAS...
MISSION BEND 7.37
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 4.99
HUNTSVILLE 4.90
COLLEGE STATION 3.45
TYLER 2.69
PARIS 2.44

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/0900Z 30.2N 90.8W
12HR VT 05/1800Z 31.9N 89.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/0600Z 32.9N 88.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropic...rm=LEE&adnum=15&dt=2011090509&status=remnants

Pathfinder · Sep 5, 2011

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
1000 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

CORRECTED FOR AN INCREASE IN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS.

...REMNANTS OF LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE GULF COAST
STATES TO NEW ENGLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 89.9W
ABOUT 40 MILES...64 KM...NNE OF NEW ORLEANS, LA.
ABOUT 125 MILES...201 KM...S OF JACKSON, MS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. LEE HAS BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AS IT HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION
CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO
ALABAMA BY MONDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL
ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS
WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH GUSTS UP
TO 50 MPH...80 KM/H.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.

HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE 10.2 WSW 11.35
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW 10.39
THEODORE 3.7 WNW 9.78
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE 9.75
FOLEY 2.0 SSW 9.73
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW 9.65
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 9.47
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 9.19
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW 7.90
WILMER 7.9 SE 7.51
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N 7.41

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE 10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE 7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N 6.57
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW 6.35
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE 6.10
PACE 2.4 N 6.06
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW 6.02
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.93
GONZALEZ 2.1 E 5.68
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 5.37
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE 5.33
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 5.30
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.30
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW 5.13

...KENTUCKY...
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW 3.10
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S 2.34
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE 2.33
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE 2.14
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE 2.08
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW 2.00

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN 15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON 14.32
MAUREPAS 13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE 13.22
CONVENT 2 S 13.04
RESERVE 0.5 SSE 12.43
GRAY 0.5 ENE 12.15
MARRERO 1.9 E 11.21
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE 10.91
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 10.80
MERAUX 0.8 WNW 10.10
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW 9.93
LACOMBE 1.4 N 9.79
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S 9.10
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW 9.04
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E 9.00
SLIDELL 2.2 NE 8.20

...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E 13.45
WAVELAND 1.1 NW 13.20
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE 11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE 11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S 11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N 11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW 11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E 11.18
PEARL 3.4 ESE 11.14
JACKSON WFO 11.13
KILN 6.6 N 10.90
GULFPORT-BILOXI 10.78

...TENNESSEE...
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE 5.09
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE 4.95
CLARKSVILLE 14.4 WSW 4.87
LORETTO 2.8 NNW 4.50
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW 4.48
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW 4.23
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E 4.22
LEBANON 4.0 SE 4.21
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W 4.07

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW 3.12
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 3.04
JASPER 6.7 W 2.12

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GERHARDT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/1500Z 30.5N 89.9W
12HR VT 06/0000Z 32.1N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/1200Z 34.3N 84.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 07/0000Z 34.7N 83.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 07/1200Z 36.0N 82.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropic...rm=LEE&adnum=16&dt=2011090515&status=remnants

Pathfinder · Sep 5, 2011

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

Eastern Conus Sector (Water Vapor Channel)
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browse3.html

Pathfinder · Sep 5, 2011

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=586><TBODY><TR><TD>[SIZE=+1]NWS/SPC Watch, Warning, Advisory Display[/SIZE]
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<TR><TD vAlign=center>

</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle><TABLE border=1 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 align=center>Note: SPC decodes NWS Zone Forecast Products which may delay display of recently issued NWS watch-warning information.
Note: SPC plans to replace this WWA page with the National Weather Hazards page in the near future.
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</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></CENTER>http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/wwa/

Pathfinder · Sep 6, 2011

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

Re: Tropical depression Lee becomes extratropical in southern Louisiana

Tropical Depression LEE Public Advisory

000
WTNT33 KWNH 061451
TCPAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 06 2011

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.3N 85.2W
ABOUT 60 MILES...97 KM...NW OF ATLANTA GEORGIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE SOUTHERN U.S. NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE APPALACHIANS INTO
THE NORTHEAST.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. LEE IS NOW A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WHICH HAS BEEN ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. A WELL-DEFINED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDS NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOW CENTER THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND OFF THE COAST OF THE NORTHEAST. THE LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY.
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE
LOW CENTER. AS THIS MOISTURE CROSSES THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IT WILL
BE LIFTED...RESULTING IN EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL IN LOCATIONS
WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHEAST U.S. THROUGH
THURSDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THESE
LOCATIONS. THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.

RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 11.74
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW 11.32
MOBILE 10.92
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE 10.50
FOLEY 2.0 SSW 10.39
SPRINGVILLE 5.3 WNW 10.36
THEODORE 3.7 WNW 10.31
ALBERTVILLE 4.8 WNW 8.94
GUNTERSVILLE 2 ENE 8.65
BIRMINGHAM 8.13
WILMER 7.9 SE 7.55
GADSDEN 7.18
TUSCALOOSA 7.16
MUSCLE SHOALS 6.04
HUNTSVILLE/MADISON CO ARPT 5.52

...WASHINGTON DC...
NATIONAL AIRPORT 2.03

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE 10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE 7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N 6.57
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW 6.35
DESTIN ARPT 6.29
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE 6.10
PACE 2.4 N 6.06
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW 6.02
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.93
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT 5.81
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 5.71
GONZALEZ 2.1 E 5.68
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 5.49
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE 5.33
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.30

...GEORGIA...
LA FAYETTE 2.9 NE 10.00
RINGGOLD 5 W 8.95
TRENTON 5.8 S 8.55
LYERLY 4.8 SSE 7.65
ROME/RUSSELL FIELD 6.00
CARTERSVILLE AIRPORT 2.93
FORT BENNING 2.03

...KENTUCKY...
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW 3.67
WHITESBURG 2 SE 3.38
BOWLING GREEN 3.24
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW 3.10
LEXINTGON/BLUE GRASS FIELD 2.74
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW 2.65
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S 2.34
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE 2.14
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW 2.00

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN 15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON 14.32
MAUREPAS 13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE 13.22
CONVENT 2 S 13.04
RESERVE 0.5 SSE 12.43
GRAY 0.5 ENE 12.15
MARRERO 1.9 E 11.21
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 11.00
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE 10.91
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E 10.59
MERAUX 0.8 WNW 10.10
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW 9.04
BOOTHVILLE 8.83
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 8.20

...MARYLAND...
HAVRE DE GRACE 4 WNW 3.04
HAGERSTOWN RGNL ARPT 2.42

...MAINE...
GREENVILLE 2 E 2.73
MILLINOCKET MUNI ARPT 2.63

...MISSISSIPPI...
WAVELAND 1.1 NW 14.11
FLORENCE 0.9 E 13.45
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE 11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE 11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S 11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N 11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW 11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E 11.18
JACKSON 11.15
PEARL 3.4 ESE 11.14
GULFPORT-BILOXI 11.14
JACKSON WFO 11.13
PASCAGOULA 10.95
KILN 6.6 N 10.90

...NORTH CAROLINA...
BLOWING ROCK 2.8 ENE 7.18
BOONE 4.8 SE 6.56
FRANKLIN 7.5 SW 4.93

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
KEENE/DILLANT-HOPKINS ARPT 3.55
MOUNT WASHINGTON 2.78

...NEW JERSEY...
ANDOVER 3.40
KNOWLTON TWP 3.2 SSE 3.31

...NEW YORK...
WARWICK 3.2 WNW 3.27
PULASKI 0.5 NE 3.24
OSWEGO 0.9 WNW 3.02
MONTGOMERY/ORANGE CO ARPT 2.96
SARANAC LAKE/ADIRONDACK ARPT 2.26

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JOHNSTOWN/CAMBRIA CO ARPT 4.08
MECHANICSBURG 4.5 NE 3.05
MUIR AAF/INDIANTOWN 2.97
MIDDLETOWN/OLMSTED 2.95
ALLENTOWN-BETHLEHEM 2.64

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
SALEM 2.7 WNW 2.03

...TENNESSEE...
CLEVELAND 3 ESE 12.22
APISON 2.7 SW 9.59
RICEVILLE 3.7 WSW 9.50
OOLTEWAH 6.7 NNW 8.58
OAK RIDGE 8.34
KNOXVILLE MUNI ARPT 7.03
CLARKSVILLE 10.2 WSW 5.53
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE 5.41
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE 5.09
CROSSVILLE MEMORIAL ARPT 4.98
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE 4.95
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW 4.23
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E 4.22
NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 3.53
CHATTANOOGA-LOVELL FIELD 3.04

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW 3.12
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 3.04
JASPER 6.7 W 2.12

...VIRGINIA...
HILLSVILLE 8.9 SE 6.34
SHIPMAN 1.8 NW 6.30
BEDFORD 1.1 N 6.08
ROANOKE MUNI ARPT 4.30

...VERMONT...
BURLINGTON INTL ARPT 2.58
SPRINGFIELD/HARTNESS STATE ARPT 2.35

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BLUEFIELD/MERCER CO ARPT 3.76
BECKLEY MEMORIAL ARPT 3.49
MORGANTOWN 2.99
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.87
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE 2.22
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E 2.00

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER RYAN

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 06/1500Z 34.3N 85.2W
12HR VT 07/0000Z 36.0N 83.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 07/1200Z 37.5N 83.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 08/0000Z 39.3N 81.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 08/1200Z 39.9N 84.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAHPCAT3+shtml/061451.shtml

Pathfinder · Sep 7, 2011

Remnants of Lee - Heavy rains and flooding expected from the Mid-Atlantic states into parts of Northeast

REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
1100 AM EDT WED SEP 07 2011

...SURFACE CIRCULATION OF LEE HAS BEEN ABSORBED BY A LARGE SCALE
EXTRATROPICAL LOW...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES INTO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THERE WAS NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE
CIRCULATION FOR LEE. THE CIRCULATION OF LEE HAS BEEN ABSORBED BY A
LARGE SCALE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTERED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING UP FROM THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN CONTINUES TO BE LIFTED ALONG A WELL DEFINED WARM FRONT
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...RESULTING IN THE FORMATION OF
HEAVY RAIN FROM THE MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO THE NORTHEAST. HEAVY
RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE THE ENTIRE EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM SLOWLY
DISSIPATES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEASTERN
STATES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 08 AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
FYFFE 6.3 NNE 12.94
MOBILE 10.2 WSW 12.93
ALBERTVILLE 4.8 WNW 12.44
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 11.74
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW 11.32
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 10.92
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE 10.50
FOLEY 2.0 SSW 10.39
ENSLEY 9.54
GUNTERSVILLE 8.95
BIRMINGHAM MUNI ARPT 8.30
GADSDEN MUNI ARPT 7.18
TUSCALOOSA MUNI ARPT 7.17
MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 6.21
HUNTSVILLE/MADISON CO. ARPT 5.72

...CONNECTICUT...
GREENWICH 4.17
NORTH HAVEN 3.51
NORWALK 3.20
DANBURY MUNI ARPT 2.80
MERIDEN/MARKHAM MUNI ARPT 2.68
DANBURY 2.61
WALLINGFORD 2.54
BRIDGEPORT 2.52

...WASHINGTON DC...
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL 2.63

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON ARPT 2.88

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE 10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE 7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N 6.57
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 6.50
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW 6.35
DESTIN ARPT 6.29
DESTIN AIRPORT 6.29
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE 6.10
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT 5.81
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 5.71
CRESTVIEW/BOB SIKES 5.51
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 5.49
PENSACOLA NAS 3.91
TYNDALL AFB/PANAMA CITY 3.87
TALLAHASSEE RGNL ARPT 3.22

...GEORGIA...
LA FAYETTE 2.9 NE 11.01
RINGGOLD 5 W 10.21
TRENTON 5.8 S 9.89
LYERLY 4.8 SSE 9.14
LAFAYETTE 5 SW 8.71
NAOMI 2 E 7.88
NEW ENGLAND 2 SE 7.84
CURRYVILLE 3 W 6.81
ROME/RUSSELL FIELD 6.26
CARTERSVILLE AIRPORT 3.17
WARNER ROBINS AFB 2.58

...KENTUCKY...
CRANKS CREEK RESERVOIR 5.49
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW 4.82
CUMBERLAND 4.75
WHITESBURG 4.00
BOWLING GREEN-WARREN CO. ARPT 3.93
ALBANY 5.3 W 3.90
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW 3.81
LONDON-CORBIN ARPT 2.98
LEXINGTON/BLUE GRASS FIELD 2.94
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW 2.65

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN 15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON 14.32
MAUREPAS 13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE 13.22
CONVENT 2 S 13.04
WESTWEGO 1.8 NE 13.03
RESERVE 0.5 SSE 12.89
GRAY 0.5 ENE 12.15
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 11.00
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW 9.04
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 8.20
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 5.90
NEW ORLEANS NAS 4.59
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 4.35

...MASSACHUSETTS...
LANESBOROUGH 4.75
PITTSFIELD MUNI ARPT 3.90
NORTH ADAMS 3.31
SAVOY 3.10
ALFORD 2.70
ORANGE MUNI ARPT 2.69

...MARYLAND...
CRESAPTOWN-BELAIR 0.9 SSE 6.55
HAGERSTOWN RGNL ARPT 3.90
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT 3.44
HAVRE DE GRACE 4 WNW 3.04
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 2.77
BALIMORE SCIENCE CENTER 2.54
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY 2.51

...MAINE...
LINCOLN 4.3 NW 3.08
GREENVILLE 2E 2.73
MILLINOCKET MUNI ARPT 2.63

...MISSISSIPPI...
WAVELAND 1.1 NW 14.11
FLORENCE 0.9 E 13.45
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE 11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE 11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S 11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N 11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW 11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E 11.18
JACKSON WFO 11.15
GULFPORT-BILOXI 11.14
PASCAGOULA 10.96
HATTIESBURG/LAUREL 8.12
TUPELO/C.D. LEMONS 6.10
NATCHEZ/HARDY 4.81
COLUMBUS AFB 3.57

...NORTH CAROLINA...
BLOWING ROCK 2.8 ENE 8.50
BOONE 6.56
SPARTA 3.5 SSW 6.01
LAUREL SPRINGS 3 WSW 5.34
LENOIR 5.28
FRANKLIN 7.5 SW 4.93
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT 2.25

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
WEST SWANZEY 2 ENE 4.87
KEENE/DILLANT-HOPKINS ARPT 4.52
MOUNT WASHINGTON 2.92

...NEW JERSEY...
KNOWLTON TWP 3.2 SSE 6.40
ANDOVER/AEROFLEX ARPT 5.60
SUSSEX ARPT 4.51
LODI 4.01
TETERBORO AIRPORT 3.75
CALDWELL/ESSEX CO. ARPT 3.74
LYNDHURST 3.66
TETERBORO 3.63
WOODCLIFF LAKE 3.39
NEWARK INTL ARPT 3.32
SOMERVILLE 3.27
TRENTON/MERCER CO. ARPT 2.97

...NEW YORK...
WURTSBORO 0.2 SSW 5.45
MONTGOMERY/ORANGE CO. ARPT 4.83
ANCRAMDALE 4.41
HUDSON 4.10
STEPHENTOWN 4.00
WHITE PLAINS/WESTCHESTER CO. APT 3.86
POUGHKEEPSIE/DUTCHESS CO. ARPT 3.49
NEW YORK CITY 3.43
CHATHAM 3.10
CATSKILL 3.04
LIVINGSTON 3.00
ALBANY WFO 2.70
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA 2.59

...PENNSYLVANIA...
BETHLEHEM 2.9 NE 7.05
DOVER 4.2 WSW 7.04
JOHNSTOWN/CAMBRIA CO. ARPT 6.52
ALLENTOWN-BETHLEHEM 5.49
WILKES-BARRE/SCRANTON 4.78
WILLIAMSPORT 4.50
LANCASTER AIRPORT 4.09
ALLENTOWN 3.95
DOYLESTOWN ARPT 3.84
POTTSTOWN LIMERICK ARPT 3.76
READING 3.65
ALTOONA 3.50
YORK ARPT 3.39
BETHLEHEM - LEHIGH RIVER 3.33
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 2.72

...TENNESSEE...
CLEVELAND 3 ESE 12.22
CHARLESTON 11.50
APISON 2.7 SW 9.59
CLEVELAND 9.58
RICEVILLE 3.7 WSW 9.50
GEORGETOWN 9.48
OAK RIDGE (ASOS) 8.62
OAK RIDGE 8.34
KNOXVILLE MUNI ARPT 7.30
CROSSVILLE MEMORIAL ARPT 5.35
NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 4.41
SMYRNA AIRPORT 3.63
CHATTANOOGA-LOVELL FIELD (ASOS) 3.41

...VIRGINIA...
HILLSVILLE 8.9 SE 9.59
COPPER HILL 6.2 S 8.88
FANCY GAP 6.77
SHIPMAN 1.8 NW 6.30
ROANOKE MUNI ARPT 6.14
BEDFORD 1.1 N 6.08
CHARLOTTESVILLE ARPT 5.59
ROCKFISH 5.58
WASHINGTON/DULLES 3.34
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.86
FORT BELVOIR/DAVISON AFB 2.68
NEWPORT NEWS/WILLIAMSBURG INL AP 2.58

...VERMONT...
BRATTLEBORO 2 SW 4.98
WOODFORD 3.12
BURLINGTON INTL ARPT 2.60
SPRINGFIELD/HARTNESS STATE ARPT 2.58

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 5.37
KEYSER 3.4 ESE 5.19
BLUEFIELD/MERCER CO. ARPT 4.49
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD 4.44
CLARKSBURG/BENEDUM ARPT 3.95
BECKLEY MEMORIAL ARPT 3.92
BLUEFIELD/MERCER CO ARPT 3.76
ELKINS/RANDOLPH FIELD 3.56
MARTINSBURG RGNL ARPT 3.03
MORGANTOWN 2.99
PARKERSBURG/WILSON 2.64

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER RYAN

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropic...rm=LEE&adnum=24&dt=2011090715&status=remnants

Pathfinder · Sep 7, 2011

Re: Remnants of Lee - Heavy rains and flooding expected from the Mid-Atlantic states into parts of Northeast

Source:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/bgm/
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/

SKYWARN Training: Schedule for New York or Pennsylvania
<TABLE border=0 width=524 bgColor=#003399 align=center><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#ff0000 colSpan=2 align=middle>Click to view the Hazardous Weather Outlook</TD><TD class=white2 bgColor=#000000 colSpan=2 align=middle>Central NY and Northeast PA</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=4 align=middle><FORM method=get name=form1 action=http://www.erh.noaa.gov/forecast/MapClick.php><INPUT id=site_type value=bgm type=hidden name=site> <INPUT id=forecast_type value=text type=hidden name=FcstType> <INPUT value=1 type=hidden name=zmx> <INPUT value=1 type=hidden name=zmy> <TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=501 bgColor=#ffffff><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle>Click on the map below for the latest forecast.</TD><TD>

</TD><TD>

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</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3 align=middle>Last map update: Wed, Sep. 7, 2011 at 1:55:11 pm EDT</TD></TR></FORM></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD>

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