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Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

AlaskaDenise

In Memoriam
2009-01-25 16:28:22 - Information Statement

Unrest at Redoubt Volcano continues. AVO conducted an overflight of the volcano this afternoon, and observations confirm that an eruption has not occurred. Increased steaming through previously observed sources in the snow and ice cover were seen and sulfur gas emissions were noted. There was no significant disruption of the glacial ice, nor any apparent increased water discharge down the Drift River.

Seismicity remains well above background levels. Beginning at 00:58 AST (9:58 UTC) this morning, nearly continuous volcanic tremor was recorded at stations near Redoubt's summit, prompting AVO to raise the Aviation Color Code to ORANGE and the Alert Level to WATCH at 02:09 AST (11:09 UTC). Seismicity began to decline at about 05:30 AST (14:30 UTC) this morning, but remains elevated as of this writing.

The current activity at Redoubt could be precursory to an eruption, perhaps within hours to days. A further increase in seismicity is expected to accompany an eruption. Staff are currently monitoring the volcano 24 hours a day.

AVO raised the Aviation Color Code to YELLOW and the Volcano Alert Level to ADVISORY on November 5, 2008, in response to increased emissions of SO2, H2S, and CO2; melting of snow and ice near the volcano’s summit; and a subtle increase in seismicity. These observations reflected a change in the volcano’s hydrothermal system, possibly associated with an influx of new magma beneath the volcano. It is also possible that the change was related to the development of a new pathway of heated fluids rising from magma intruded during the 1989-90 eruption.
source: http://www.avo.alaska.edu/activity/Redoubt.php

Last eruption in 1989:


Description: From Miller and others (1998): "The most recent eruption at Redoubt began with a major phreatomagmatic, vent-clearing explosion at 9:47 am on December 14, 1989 (Brantley, 1990; EOS, 1990; Miller and Chouet, 1994) after less than 24 hours of intense precursory seismicity. Three more ash-rich explosions occurred the following day, December 15, with the last blast generating a pyroclastic flow down the Drift Glacier. The resulting debris flow contained entrained ice blocks as large as 10 m across and crested about 8 m above the river channel near the Drift River Oil Terminal, 35 km downstream (Waitt and others, 1994). A Boeing 747 enroute from Amsterdam that flew into the ash cloud several hours after the eruption experienced complete engine failure and narrowly avoided tragedy when the crew successfully restarted the engines and safely landed in Anchorage (Casadevall, 1994).

"These initial explosive events were just the first of 23 major explosive events between December 1989 and April 1990. Following the mid-December explosive phases, the crater vent emitted only minor ash and steam for the next 5-7 days. From December 22 to January 2, 1990, however, a large, over-steepened lava dome grew over the vent. At 5:48 pm on January 2, the first of two powerful explosions destroyed most of the dome and sent ash plumes to over 12 km. Massive block and ash avalanches down the Drift Glacier generated the largest debris flow of the eruption, completely covering the 2-km-wide valley floor and spilling into Cook Inlet. Flood waters entered the oil terminal, as much as 75 cm deep in some buildings, and caused a temporary halt in operations.

"Three eruptions occurred in the next two weeks during which time the vent remained open. The January 8 event occurred with no precursory warnings and the resulting ashfall on the Kenai Peninsula disrupted commerce and transportation. Open-vent eruptions on January 11 and 16 resulted in minor debris flows down the Drift River.

"After the January 16 eruption, another period of dome growth ensued through mid-February. This dome was smaller than the earlier dome but larger than succeeding domes (Miller, 1994). Early on February 15, the dome was destroyed in an explosive eruption that again sent a large debris flow down the Drift River and blanketed the lower Kenai Peninsula with ash. A pyroclastic flow and surge traveled down the canyon, across the piedmont lobe of Drift Glacier, and swept up the opposite valley wall 700 m topping the ridge (Gardner and others, 1994). Flow down the Drift River was largely diverted into a side drainage that carried flood waters close to oil storage tanks at the downstream oil terminal prompting reinforcement of the containment dikes surrounding the tank farm. A new dome began growing immediately following the eruption.

"On February 21, the new, but considerably smaller, dome was destroyed, marking the beginning of a new trend in eruptive behavior. Characteristically, small domes were emplaced and subsequently destroyed explosively or by gravitational collapse, resulting in debris avalanches down the now ice-free canyon leading down to the Drift River valley, and flooding down the Drift River. Ten such eruptions followed from February 24 to April 21 at 4 to 8 day intervals.

"Following the April 21 eruption, growth of the present lava dome began and continued through early June. During the next several months, seismic activity declined dramatically and only steam emissions and minor rock falls from the dome were recorded as the eruption came to an end.

"The 1989-90 eruption of Redoubt seriously affected the populace, commerce, and oil production throughout the Cook Inlet region and air traffic as far away as Texas. Total estimated economic costs are $160 million (Tuck and others, 1992), making the eruption the of Redoubt the second most costly in U.S. history."

From Miller and Chouet (1994): "The eruption produced about 20 significant tephra deposits between December 14 and April 26 (Scott and McGimsey, 1994 - this volume) with a total tephra volume of about 20 to 40 x10^6 cubic m (DRE). Tephra plumes rose off the pyroclastic flows to altitudes in excess of 10 km (Woods and Kienle, 1994 - this volume) and were carried mainly northward and eastward by prevailing winds.

Miller and Chouet (1994) also summarize "The volumes of individual domes ranged from z to 20x10^6 cubic m and magma supply rates ranged from 1.8 to 2.5 x10^6 cubic m per day. Total dome volume is estimated at about 90x10^6 cubic m (Miller, 1994 - this volume [Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 1994, v. 62]).

source: http://www.avo.alaska.edu/volcanoes/volcact.php?volcname=Redoubt&eruptionid=442


I'd like to point out that the ash disrupted air traffic at Anchorage International Airport - 3rd largest cargo airport in the world!
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

The petroleum products from the area supply not only automobile fuel to southcentral Alaska, but also jet fuel to the international airport and Elmendorf Air Force base.

They export considerable petroleum products to Asia (LP, naptha, etc.)

.
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

Last eruption (lasted several months) - photo taken 21 April 1990

redoubt 21Apr1990.jpg
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

to add some perspective.....

There are currently 24 flights in the air flying in the dark toward Anchorage - and that only takes the schedule to 3:30 AM - 5 more hours till sunlight.

So the volcano scientists must monitor the seismograms carefully and "guess" whether there has been an eruption, warm the incoming flights and reroute them.

I believe during the last eruption, they only allowed daylight flights. I do remember that it created a scheduling nightmare.

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Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

Where are the webcams located?

The ones on the AVO site are for other volcanoes, although one, Mt. Spurr, is close and rumbing. But then our volcanoes rumble regularly. :D

http://www.avo.alaska.edu/image.php?id=348 .....is a photo of the oil terminal in the earlier eruption.

While it wasn't damaged that time, I have memories of what Mt. St. Helens did to bridges, building, etc. when it's pyroclastic flows melted ice and mixed with muds, etc. - it damaged quite a bit. This mountain shouldn't be "blowing its top off" like St. Helens - we'll see.

Biggest problem would be air traffic. Gotta get all the "made in china" cargo to North America. :D

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Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

The site isn't working at the moment. Overload? :D

According to a list of statewide webcams, it looks like a good candidate - when it gets light.

I'm also going to watch one of the highway condition webcams that is right across the water from the volcano - at Ninilchik bridge. It's at
http://www.dot.state.ak.us/iways/roadweather/forms/SiteSum.html?areaId=2&perspectiveId=1&siteId=13

We'll see if the state computer system can manage all these hits.! Between the cams and the AVO site - they should be busy.

.
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

BTW - current jet stream would carry the ash right down the coast to Seattle. So I imagine the FAA is watching this closely.

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Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

Mount Redoubt rumbles: eruption possible
SEISMIC ACTIVITY: Volcano last erupted from 1989-90.

By GEORGE BRYSON
gbryson@adn.com

(01/25/09 22:04:03)
New seismic activity at Mount Redoubt has increased significantly and may be the prelude to an eruption, "perhaps within hours to days," the Alaska Volcano Observatory reported Sunday.

Geologists there upgraded the aviation color code for Redoubt from yellow to orange, indicating that an eruption may be imminent.

The 10,197-foot peak -- located about 50 miles west of Kenai and 100 miles southwest of Anchorage -- last erupted during a five-month period from December 1989 through April 1990.

Scientists keep a close eye on ground monitors on Redoubt to detect any movement.

"Around 1 o'clock (Sunday) morning the seismic activity really started to pick up," said AVO volcanologist Dave Schneider.

The shaking quieted about five hours later, but it still remains well above normal "background" tremor levels, Schneider said.

In the afternoon, a team from the observatory flew over Redoubt and determined that it hadn't yet erupted.

"There was steaming through pre-existing holes, but there were no new holes. ... and there was no ash on the snow cover," he said.

The crew members smelled sulphur as they flew over the volcano.

Now they'll be monitoring seismic activity at Redoubt around the clock, as well as satellite images that detect changes there in temperature, Schneider said.

Weather radar scanners near the Kenai airport, which transmit data every six minutes, will also be able to detect an ash plume should one appear, he said.

During the 1989-90 eruption, mud flows from Redoubt sped down the Drift River drainage and partially flooded the Drift River Oil Terminal facility.

The ash plume disrupted international air traffic and coated Anchorage and other nearby communities in a thin layer of ash.

The 1992 eruption of Mount Spurr, located about 70 miles due west of Anchorage, left a thicker layer of ash on Anchorage.

The volcanic activity Sunday followed by just one day a magnitude 5.7 earthquake at the mouth of Cook Inlet.

Both earthquakes and volcanoes can generally be traced to the tremendous heat that's generated far below the surface of the earth along a subduction zone where tectonic plates collide.

But that doesn't mean that the earthquake caused the volcanic activity, Schneider said. And the fact that the two were more than a hundred miles apart makes it more unlikely.

"Volcanic earthquakes are typically within five miles or so of the volcano," Schneider said.

Images of Mount Redoubt photographed by scientists who flew over the volcano on Sunday -- as well as any updates on the volcano's status -- are available online at avo.alaska.edu.


Find George Bryson online at adn.com/contact/gbryson or call 257-4318.


http://www.adn.com/news/alaska/kenai/story/667576.html
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

There are 3 webicorders listed on the left side of that page under "Redoubt" - in a yellow box. The ones starting with "RSO..." and "RED..." show lots of action.

Perhaps the larger one on the first page has its sensitivity turned down.

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Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

Inlet volcano quieter but still simmering

By JULIA O'MALLEY
jomalley@adn.com

Published: January 26th, 2009 09:57 AM
Last Modified: January 26th, 2009 10:03 AM

Redoubt volcano seems to have simmered down over recent hours, but this morning scientists were still watching for signs of an eruption, according to the Alaska Volcano Observatory.

Scientists upgraded the aviation color code for Redoubt from yellow to orange over the weekend, indicating that an eruption may be imminent. The code remains the same but activity has settled down, without any major shaking since midnight.

"Things have dropped down quite a bit," said Kristi Wallace, an AVO research geologist.

Geologists may make a flight above the volcano to gather samples of gases later today, she said.

http://www.adn.com/news/alaska/story/668061.html
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

New cam:

http://www.avo.alaska.edu/webcam/webcam.php?cam=Redoubt - CI


A new webcam will be located here:

http://www.avo.alaska.edu/image.php?id=16180


Latest report:

2009-01-27 12:48:18 - Status Report

Unrest at Redoubt Volcano continues. Seismicity has waxed and waned over the past 24 hours, but remains well above background levels.

Nothing unusual has been seen over the past 24 hours in partly cloudy satellite views. AVO conducted a gas-measurement flight yesterday afternoon, and detected elevated values of SO2 venting from the volcano's summit crater. Observers also saw new outflows of muddy debris alongside the glacier that is downslope of the summit; these were not seen the previous day (Sunday, January 25).

The current activity at Redoubt could be precursory to an eruption, perhaps within days. A further increase in seismicity is expected to accompany an eruption. Staff are currently monitoring the volcano 24 hours a day.

AVO engineers have flown by helicopter to the volcano today, to repair a web camera and install an additional seismic instrument along the Drift River valley.
Yesterday, AVO's Spurr web camera was redirected towards Redoubt; this can be viewed at http://www.avo.alaska.edu/activity/Redoubt.phphttp://www.avo.alaska.edu/activity/Redoubt.php
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

One major change today is that the prevailing winds are now such that an eruption would dump its ash on Anchorage - airports, etc.

Very cool that they moved the Mt. Spurr (a nearby volcano) webcam so we can view Redoubt. :D

Better yet would be ... no eruption.!

.
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

Source: http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/science/01/29/alaska.volcano/index.html

Alaska volcano expected to erupt soon

(CNN) -- A volcano in south-central Alaska could erupt within days or weeks, authorities said.

"The level of seismic activity" has "increased markedly" in recent days at Mount Redoubt, a 10,197-foot peak about 100 miles southwest of Anchorage, the state's most populous city, according to the Alaska Volcano Observatory.

"We don't have a crystal ball," said Peter Cervelli, a research geophysicist with the observatory. But "we expect based on the past behavior of this volcano that this activity is going to culminate in an eruption."

The activity has consisted "of a combination of discrete, relatively small earthquakes and periods of more continuous volcanic tremor." The activity prompted the observatory to raise the alert level Sunday, the observatory said.

The volcano last erupted nearly 20 years ago, in December 1989, and continued until April 1990. Geologists think there could be an eruption "similar to or smaller than the one that occurred in 1989-90."

The eruption nearly two decades ago spread ash in Kenai, about 50 miles west of the mountain, and in Anchorage, where it disrupted air traffic operations. Cervelli said the ash plumes caused engine failure on a jet during that period.

"It's not the closest volcano to Anchorage," Cervelli said, but "it has the potential to disrupt air traffic at Anchorage."

The 1989-90 eruption also spurred volcanic mudflows, or lahars, that flowed east down the Drift River. The ash fall was seen as far away as Fairbanks and the Yukon Territory border.

The observatory is aggressively monitoring the volcano. It has set up a Web camera near the summit of the mountain and and another within Cook Inlet. It plans continued visual surveillance and will measure gas output and analyze satellite and weather-radar data.

* See Redoubt volcano webcam
 
Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

Source: http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hcWJaxwgurm_TV9AVcObQBWbS25QD961D1MO0

Alaskans brace for Redoubt Volcano eruption

By DAN JOLING ? 1 hour ago

ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) ? Hardware stores and auto parts shops scored a post-holiday run of business this week as Anchorage-area residents stocked up on protective eyewear and masks ahead of a possible eruption of Mount Redoubt.


Monitoring earthquakes underneath the 10,200-foot Redoubt Volcano about 100 miles southwest of Anchorage, scientists from the Alaska Volcano Observatory warned that an eruption was imminent, sending experienced Alaskans shopping for protection against a dusty shower of volcanic ash that could descend on south-central Alaska.

"Every time this happens we do get a run on dust masks and goggles," said Phil Robinson, manager of an Alaska Industrial Hardware store in Anchorage. "That's the two main things for eye and respiratory protection."

Customer Ron Cowan picked up gear at the store Thursday before heading off to an auto parts store for a spare air filter.

"I'm older now and I'm being a little more proactive than I was the last time," Cowan said.

When another Alaska volcano, Mount Spurr, blew in 1992, he waited too long.

"The shelves were cleared, so I thought I wouldn't wait until the last minute," Cowan said.

Unlike earthquakes, volcanoes often give off warning signs that usually give people time to prepare.

The observatory, a joint program between the U.S. Geological Survey, the University of Alaska Geophysical Institute and the state Division of Geological and Geophysical Surveys, was formed in response to the 1986 eruption of Mount Augustine.

It has a variety of tools to predict eruptions. As magma moves beneath a volcano before an eruption, it often generates earthquakes, swells the surface of a mountain and increases the gases emitted. The observatory samples gases, measures earthquake activity with seismometers and watches for deformities in the landscape.

On Nov. 5, geologists noted changed emissions and minor melting near the Redoubt summit and raised the threat level from green to yellow. It jumped to orange ? the stage just before eruption ? on Sunday in response to a sharp increase in earthquake activity below the volcano.

Alaska's volcanoes are not like Hawaii's. "Most of them don't put out the red river of lava," said the observatory's John Power.

Instead, they typically explode and shoot ash 30,000 to 50,000 feet high ? more than nine miles ? into the jet stream.

"It's a very abrasive kind of rock fragment," Power said. "It's not the kind of ash that you find at the base of your wood stove."

The particulate has jagged edges and has been used as an industrial abrasive. "They use this to polish all kinds of metals," he said.

Particulate can injure skin, eyes and breathing passages. The young, the elderly and people with respiratory problems are especially susceptible. Put enough ash under a windshield wiper and it will scratch glass.


It's also potentially deadly for anyone flying in a jet. "Think of flying an airliner into a sandblaster," Power said.

Redoubt blew on Dec. 15, 1989, and sent ash 150 miles away into the path of a KLM jet carrying 231 passengers. Its four engines flamed out.

As the crew tried to restart the engines, "smoke" and a strong odor of sulfur filled the cockpit and cabin, according to a USGS account. The jet dropped more than 2 miles, from 27,900 feet to 13,300 feet, before the crew was able to restart all engines and land the plane safely at Anchorage. The plane required $80 million in repairs.

The observatory's first call after an eruption is now to the Federal Aviation Administration. The observatory's data collection has become far more advanced in 19 years, as has the alert system.

"Pilots are routinely trained to avoid ash and in what to do if they encounter an ash cloud," Power said. "That kind of thing was not routinely done in the 1980s."

The jet stream can carry ash for hundreds of miles. Ash from Kasatochi Volcano in the Aleutians last August blew all the way to Montana and threatened aircraft, Power said.

Particulate is mildly corrosive but can be blocked with masks and filters.

Power advises Alaskans to prepare as they would for a bad snowstorm: Keep flashlights, batteries and several days' worth of food in the house, limit driving and prepare to hunker down if the worst of an ash cloud hits.

Merely going indoors is a defense against ash. The American Red Cross recommends wearing long-sleeved shirts and long pants outside, plus goggles and glasses instead of contact lenses. If no dust mask is available, an effective respiratory filter is a damp cloth over nose and mouth.

But potential danger all depends on the wind. Mount Spurr erupted three times in 1992. When it blew that June, only climbers on Mount McKinley ? about 150 miles north of Anchorage ? were affected, Power said. An August eruption dumped significant ash on Anchorage and a September blow sent ash about 40 miles north of Anchorage to Wasilla.


Dust mask customer Elizabeth Keating said Thursday that if the volcano erupts, she expects to stay inside. She bought masks for her school-age grandchildren to carry in their backpacks.

"I want to make sure they're carrying these in case they're en route," she said.
On the Net:

* Alaska Volcano Observatory: http://www.avo.alaska.edu
* Ash hazards: http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hazards
 
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