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Quick Tests for the Flu Found Often Inaccurate

AlaskaDenise

In Memoriam
By ANDREW POLLACK
Published: August 5, 2009

As the swine flu spreads, many doctors and hospitals are turning to rapid tests that can determine within minutes whether an anxious patient has the flu. Sales of such tests are soaring.

But the tests have a severe limitation: They may fail more than half the time to detect swine flu infections, according to newly published studies and to experts in medical testing.

The low sensitivity of the tests is becoming a concern to health authorities because a false negative reading might prompt a doctor not to prescribe antiflu drugs.

It is also one of the big issues laboratory directors face as they prepare for what is expected to be a crush of flu testing this fall and winter. Numerous diagnostics companies are hoping to capitalize on demand for influenza testing.

The rapid tests ?are missing a ton of flu,? said Christine C. Ginocchio, director of the division of microbiology, virology and molecular diagnostics at the North Shore-Long Island Jewish Health System in Lake Success, N.Y.

For seasonal flu, experts have long known about the low detection ability of the rapid tests. The new studies suggest the tests are no better, and possibly worse, at detecting the swine flu strain now spreading around the world, known formally as the novel H1N1 virus.

In a study published recently in The Journal of Clinical Virology, Dr. Ginocchio found that one rapid test detected only 10 percent of the swine flu infections that could be picked up by a more sophisticated laboratory culture. A different rapid test detected 40 percent. (Dr. Ginocchio is a consultant to Luminex, a company that makes a more accurate but slower test.)

The federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is expected to publish its own study of the rapid tests soon. Last week, it updated guidance urging doctors to be cautious in relying on the tests.

?We?re saying you need to understand the limitations of these tests,? Dr. Timothy M. Uyeki, an author of the C.D.C. guidance, said in an interview. ?The clinician should not base a decision to treat or not treat on the basis of a negative result.?

But some doctors say there is no good substitute for the simplicity, speed and low cost of the rapid tests. Manufacturers of the tests say the products are helpful if used appropriately.

?When these tests are used properly, the performance is very, very good,? said John D. Tamerius, senior vice president for clinical and regulatory affairs at Quidel, which describes itself as the leading maker of such tests.

He said the company?s QuickVue flu test could detect 80 percent of infections if nasal samples were taken correctly and if the test was given early in the course of the disease, when more virus was present.

But in a letter to The New England Journal of Medicine in June, Navy researchers said the Quidel test missed half the swine flu infections detected by a more sensitive technique.

Spurred by flu test sales, Quidel?s revenue from infectious disease testing rose 70 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, to $16.1 million. Among the big buyers was Mexico, which had an early swine flu outbreak.

Quidel, of San Diego, is now manufacturing tests as fast as it can. The company?s shares, which closed at $15.28 on Wednesday, have doubled since the flu outbreak started in April.

Other rapid tests makers include Inverness Medical Innovations, 3M, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Meridian Bioscience and Becton, Dickinson. With the exception of Meridian, these companies are much larger than Quidel and less dependent on flu tests.

Quidel estimates that about eight million rapid flu tests in total were sold in the United States in the 2007-8 flu season. The number is likely to jump this year.

More accurate tests are available but they generally require sophisticated laboratories. And results might not come for a day or more, making the tests of little use in deciding whether to prescribe drugs like Tamiflu, which are supposed to be started within 48 hours of the appearance of symptoms.

The rapid tests, by contrast, take only a few minutes to half an hour, and most can be done in the doctor?s office or emergency room, without a laboratory. That is appealing to some doctors.

?When parents come in with a kid with fever, they want to know what the fever is from and is there something they can do about it,? said Dr. Dorothy A. Levine, a pediatrician in Connecticut who uses the tests.

The rapid tests also cost only about $10 to $20, though some doctors might charge more, versus about $100 for a test using a sophisticated technique called the polymerase chain reaction, or P.C.R. While a negative result on a rapid test might not be reliable, a positive result, at least during flu season, usually does indicate a person has the flu.

The rapid tests do not tell if a patient has the swine flu. They say only if flu is present, or in some cases whether it is type A or type B influenza. The swine flu is type A, but so are many seasonal flu strains.

So more sophisticated tests, beside being used to double-check a negative rapid test result, are also needed to see if a positive test result is the swine flu.

Demand by patients to know if they had swine flu overwhelmed some public health and hospital laboratories in the spring, and some experts fear a repeat in the fall. ?I definitely think there will be another crunch,? said Rosemary Humes, senior adviser for scientific affairs at the Association of Public Health Laboratories.

The C.D.C. has developed and distributed its own test for swine flu that runs on equipment made by Life Technologies. But the agency says it would be costly and unnecessary to determine whether every flu case is swine flu.

Quest Diagnostics, the nation?s largest clinical laboratory company, recently received an emergency authorization from the Food and Drug Administration to distribute a swine flu test to hospitals and other laboratories.

Luminex and Prodesse also sell tests to hospital laboratories that detect flu, though they do not specifically test for the swine flu. Because of the pandemic, ?business is extraordinary for us,? said Andrew M. Shrago, chief marketing officer of Prodesse, a privately held company in Waukesha, Wis.

In May, the F.D.A. sent warning letters to Prodesse, Luminex and Becton, Dickinson, saying they were improperly claiming their tests were for swine flu. The companies removed the offending language from their Web sites.

The tests from the C.D.C., Quest, Luminex and Prodesse use the P.C.R. technique, which can amplify minute amounts of the viral genes, making those tests highly sensitive.

The rapid tests are more like pregnancy tests. They use antibodies to detect a protein from the virus. If that protein is present, a colored stripe appears on the test strip. But even a nasal sample from a patient with the flu might not contain enough of the protein to register a positive result.

DxNA, a company in St. George, Utah, says it hopes to have a one-hour P.C.R. swine flu test approved for emergency use this winter. Enigma Diagnostics of Britain hopes to introduce a similar test in 2011.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/06/health/06flu.html
 
Re: Quick Tests for the Flu Found Often Inaccurate

Very true, and here is something to worry about also. I just found out the state of Oregon laboratory that does the confirmatory testing for the area has scaled down testing to confirming pandemic H1N1 only, that's right, a positive quick test patient is not tested for seasonal H1N1 or H3N2 !
I'm hoping this is just for the summer.

What this really tells you is that the confirmatory test is so after the fact, that it is essentially useless for guiding treatment, and we have to mostly rely on the quick test, which should not count as much as the clinical picture, which varies so greatly it often can not be relied on either. So to hit that critical early window for best Tamiflu usage, MANY patients with colds (or resistant seasonal flu if it is around) will get Tamiflu this fall, and MANY patients with pandemic flu will not.

How many patients will go critical that could have been prevented?
This is what we are facing in the clinical setting this fall.
 
Re: Quick Tests for the Flu Found Often Inaccurate

.........How many patients will go critical that could have been prevented?
This is what we are facing in the clinical setting this fall.

But what is the alternative?

Can we do a $100 test (in limited supply) for everyone with minor symtoms? Within 36 hours?

There isn't enough tamiflu for everyone, unless there have been major purchases recently.

So....we need well informed providers.

Given the experiences of many FT posters, that is currently not the case. So how do you get the word out to every doctor AND overcome their frequent misinformation we currently see?

.
 
Re: Quick Tests for the Flu Found Often Inaccurate

http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/guidance/rapid_testing.htm

This guidance very recently posted gives both interpretative text to be added to all quick test results, as well as an algorithm for educational materials. Our lab added the interpretive text today, I hope we can get out the algorithm to all our doctors ASAP. This is a big step in the right direction, we should certainly appreciate the CDC, etc. taking this leadership role. I am also impressed with the State of Oregon's new newsletter:

http://www.oregon.gov/DHS/ph/acd/flu/FluBites.pdf

It provides a lot more information than before, I believe the case counts will not be missed as they were misleading anyway.

One last thing on the "inaccurate" quick tests, it's not really a matter of them being wrong, it's more that they are lacking in sensitivity to lower viral counts. I would love to see some research focused on making them more sensitive, but this would be a long term goal, the manufacturers I talked to this last week said there are no plans to "reformulate" or change them currently. They are simply including documentation with newly shipped kits that states how well Pandemic flu (California strain) is detected "in vitro" (laboratory studies, as opposed to "in vivo": clinical studies) .

I look forward to the upcoming CDC's study report of the quick tests, hopefully there will be a useful analysis of the results that may shed more light on if any tests are really better than others, and in what ways (seasonal vs pandemic vs H3N2, etc.).

As for what we can do, ask every doctor (or ask every patient to ask their doctor) if they have seen and are following the CDC guidance.
 
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