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Laidback Al said:I am in on this as well. We need to continue the discussion about financial preps to help refine our own thinking as the situation changes and to provide up-to-date discussions for those just starting to plan for the financial impacts of a pandemic.
Since we don't have a pandemic at the moment, I don't see how anyone can be talking about or promoting "profiteering". We all want to minimize our losses and maximizes our gains in light of uncertain market conditions. It will only be after a pandemic has started that we can, retrospectively, apply the term "profiteering" to certain economic activities.
Jeremy said:Which is why trying to play the markets going into and during a pandemic is a feat in futility.
One of my biggest concerns will be the 'snake oil' type solutions that are going to appear during the pandemic. We at FluTrackers will do everything in our power to fight these types of solutions, which fall into the category of 'profiteering'.
...The false claims that some companies and individuals make already fall into the category of 'profiteering'.
The stock market is just one avenue for 'profiteering' to occur. I personally believe that avenue will be shut once the pandemic starts taking hold as most money will be pulled out of the markets. At that point the 'profiteering' will occur locally and that is what we all should be concerned about.
Jeremy said:Laidback Al,
I believe 'profiteering' is taking place as we speak.
Let's look at this scenario:
1) Company A claims to have a potential vaccine or new approach to H5N1.
2) You invest in Company A.
3) Company A issues a press release on this potential vaccine/new approach and their stock price takes a positive bounce.
4) You sell off your investement.
5) It later turns out that Company A's potential vaccine/new approach won't be ready for 5 -10 years or the potential vaccine/new approach is really just a whole bunch of hot air with no real substance.
6) Company A stock price takes a loss.
True or false?
You just made money off of pure H5N1 speculation with no proven facts.
Would you call that 'profiteering'?
I would.
Laidback Al said:I guess I am not sure what I would call profiteering. The example you pose seems to me to be a sound investment strategy of maximizing gain. You buy low and sell high. I think it would become profiteering if you had insider knowledge about the vaccine that is not available to every investor.
Suppose we take your same example, and instead of an H5N1 vaccine, we substitute "a cure for cancer" or " a car that 1000 miles per gallon of biodiesel". Would you still call it profiteering if I bought low and later sold when the market runs up the stock price? The very basis of the stock market investment is to sell your positions for more than you paid for them. That is not profiteering to me.
To me, a clear example of profiteering from a potential H5N1 pandemic will be cases where outright charlatans are selling snakeoil and H5N1 miracle cures to the unsuspecting masses once a pandemic starts.
On the other hand, if all the toilet paper in your town is sold out and you have a warehouse full that you are willing to sell, where is the price point between being a shrewd businessman and a profiteering pirate? $1/roll? $10/roll? or a $100/roll?
Florida1 said:. . . In the State of Florida, once a state of emergency is declared, it is illegal to charge more than your standard level of profit. You can pass on increased and substantiated costs, but your level of profit must remain the same as before the calamity.